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haileselassie
27 May 12 17:12
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Date Joined: 10 Feb 12
| Topic/replies: 332 | Blogger: haileselassie's blog
Is very confident in a Johansson win... 60k

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Replies: 57
By:
zzzzzzzzzz
When: 27 May 12 17:14
4-4 0-15 and 1.75  so interesting..
By:
zappy
When: 27 May 12 17:18
not Lumpy, this is money laundring or money swapping between accounts...
By:
zappy
When: 27 May 12 17:22
lovely sheep effect, some followers could be in huge trouble shortly...
By:
zappy
When: 27 May 12 17:25
like now...
By:
haileselassie
When: 27 May 12 17:29
Rodionova is the better player anyway - if she keeps her head together she will win.
By:
DStyle
When: 27 May 12 17:29
so she'll lose then
By:
zappy
When: 27 May 12 17:29
ok guys, can you finish this sh1t...? followers trying to limit losses via speculation now...?

man...
By:
haileselassie
When: 27 May 12 17:30
lol Dstyle :)
By:
zappy
When: 27 May 12 17:30
DStyle, what is this carp...? Big bot players swapping money between accounts to avoid the PC or...?

I'm growing old... ;-)

Glad I laid the 1.75 massively tho...
By:
DStyle
When: 27 May 12 17:34
hi zappy.

i have absolutely no idea what it was; i layed some of the 1.5 on Johansson, but wasn't watching and started wondering whether she was injured.

surely there is no way anyone would risk swapping money between accounts on a match that's in play, when you could easily go and find something much quieter with no in play delay.

looking at the graph, is there any chance that it was someone trying to bail from a position too big for the market?
By:
kiwipirate
When: 27 May 12 17:35
diabolical
By:
zappy
When: 27 May 12 17:39
DStyle,

surely, you're right about the easier options available if one should want to swap...I was just trying to find an answer...

losing on purpose (i.e. gambling massively against odds) sounds ridiculous. I know from very reliable sources that e.g. at Russian tennis tournaments very strange odds movements occur because mega-millionaires with little odds understanding enter the markets - this could be up that alley...amazing it is, tho

could be the big position, but still...?

I'm still growing old...oh well ;-)
By:
zappy
When: 27 May 12 17:41
but tbh, I dont like giving up the short-term trade just to wait and see if lunacy loses...but hey, it had to be laid...

DStyle, do you lay these blatantly wrong prices at every time...? There seem to be several occasions lately...
By:
DStyle
When: 27 May 12 17:42
we're all growing old. Happy
By:
DStyle
When: 27 May 12 17:43
not straight away, no.

i need some justification or to get a feel of the texture of what's going on.
By:
DStyle
When: 27 May 12 17:46
and in these r1 matches, you have to be exceptionally careful how big a position you take on.

there are times in the past where i've skewed markets just because i'm trying to dump money the market can't absorb.

and i'm not talking about that much either (thousands rather than tens of thousands), just that these r1 markets can't often support it.
By:
zappy
When: 27 May 12 17:48
DStyle, MJ backed fairly big at 2.10 but still, nowhere near those numbers that were put up at 1.75

Sure, could be a cover for a big bet with a bookie, but on Johansson-Rodionova...???

Speculation, with these number, doesnt make sense either.
The only logical explanation I can cling to is that a profoundly rich gambler out there felt relatively certain MJ would win...

Advanced pocket money...?
By:
DStyle
When: 27 May 12 17:59
looking back at what happened, in an otherwise quiet market (100k matched) lumpy got on johannson at 1.7ish from 4-3* to 5-4*.

i reckon the counterparty/counterparties got spooked and looked to dump some of their exposure trying to back her at 1.5ish.
By:
zappy
When: 27 May 12 18:03
yeah could be, but the big position was at 1.75 (around EUR 100K), the sum just stayed there, the guy(s) wanted to be matched. Then sheep went below with 1.74 to 1.70...

Dont you agree we can rule out speculation since no equally big positions at lower odds were entered into the market...?

DStyle, dont you agree that this is not the old Lumpy...? He played GBP 30K and he mostly laid 2-0 set victories for huge favs...
By:
zappy
When: 27 May 12 18:04
he did have some match odds plays but not this lunatic...
By:
zappy
When: 27 May 12 18:08
Dodders, at 4-4 *0-15 in an even match, on paper...it is simply crazy to back the server, as she was behind by one point so intensely at 1.75(moreover, she had just been rebroken twice and Rodionova had held so momentum was massively on the Aussie's side...).

Cant help thinking there's more to it than utterly strange millionaire gambling...but I dont see it, oh well...cant see all the lights in life...
By:
tenniso
When: 27 May 12 18:08
don't question it too much, just try to profit from it Laugh
By:
haileselassie
When: 27 May 12 18:09
at least it looks like Rodionova kept her calm.
By:
haileselassie
When: 27 May 12 18:16
uhm.
By:
Dummy Runner
When: 27 May 12 18:17
Total mug mode for Roddchick
By:
Szilard
When: 27 May 12 18:19
sp 1.9, one set up 1.9?
By:
Dummy Runner
When: 27 May 12 18:19
Rod not even on the court now
By:
Szilard
When: 27 May 12 18:23
that 1.9 was ridiculous
By:
nofx
When: 27 May 12 18:24
what is this?? evens without set?
By:
Szilard
When: 27 May 12 18:25
johhanson @ 1.5 if she wins the tie break
By:
haileselassie
When: 27 May 12 18:34
oh oh
By:
tenniso
When: 27 May 12 18:35
wahey
By:
nofx
When: 27 May 12 18:35
lovely tb
By:
owning
When: 27 May 12 18:37
its safe to say now that RODIO has 0 chance to win now, what a choking b1tch she is
By:
owning
When: 27 May 12 18:38
rodio's mind must be sooooooooo FECKED NOW lol loving it
By:
tenniso
When: 27 May 12 18:42
that and against a french lady in Paris..  zero chance for rod
By:
matt hughes
When: 27 May 12 19:01
mathilde is biggest choker on wta
By:
Marin1977
When: 27 May 12 19:11
We need a choke
By:
Marin1977
When: 27 May 12 19:24
Choke serving for the match coming right up (I hope Silly) Love
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