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Marin1977
14 Mar 12 01:10
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Date Joined: 13 Feb 08
| Topic/replies: 9,057 | Blogger: Marin1977's blog
H2H 5:1, Bartoli in good form, Safarova got this far due to retirements.

Marion the Warrior Woman wins it.

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Replies: 47
By:
;[p
When: 14 Mar 12 01:19
u saying she wouldnt beat paszek and schiavone if no retirements?
paszeh is in horrible form and lucie was 3-0 on hard court agains franny
By:
;[p
When: 14 Mar 12 01:24
barto was in fhe final last yr here
By:
Marin1977
When: 14 Mar 12 01:25
We will never know. Safarova not the most reliable out there.
By:
gaekwon
When: 14 Mar 12 01:27
isnt lucie playing well atm?
fartoli is a slow starter, you know
By:
noovae1
When: 14 Mar 12 01:44
One has done well here in the past the other hasn't.
But 1.4 is no value, 1.5+ on Bartoli earlier was.
By:
Marin1977
When: 14 Mar 12 01:46
I took 1.47, good enough. Would take anything over 1.4 in any case.
By:
;[p
When: 14 Mar 12 02:01
i think the match can be close, lucie isnt in a bad shape i think, but the question is who got the flu who not, many players r contaminated but some feel ok and can play others retired , so its tricky here and its ver hot out there as well
By:
nofx
When: 14 Mar 12 02:08
that would work in favour of Lucie i suppose but by the time they play it will have cooled down considerably?
anyway think 1.4~ is terrible value
By:
;[p
When: 14 Mar 12 02:17
dont know she get into final last yr barto, so the weather doesnt affect her seems to me
By:
Marin1977
When: 14 Mar 12 02:24
The matchup is clearly in Bartoli's favor.

She won 5 out of 6 matches vs. Safarova and last year took down Niculescu, Petkovic, Clijsters, Ivanovic and Wickmayer, so I don't see how 1.4 is terrible?

Explain your research and statistic please.
By:
nofx
When: 14 Mar 12 02:31
they played three times in the last year. twice Bartoli won. twice it wasn't easy. statistically bulletproof this.
By:
nofx
When: 14 Mar 12 02:32
it will be a train from 1.45 you say?
By:
Kukken
When: 14 Mar 12 02:33
I have a feeling that ctrl-z might be proven right later on. Reckon it will be tight. Not having a bet myself though. Good luck if you are.
By:
gaekwon
When: 14 Mar 12 02:40
fartoli has the edge but given fartoli's tendency to get broken early and lucie's good recent form, this looks like a 3 setter during which im sure you can grab better than 1.45ish
By:
Marin1977
When: 14 Mar 12 02:43
Possible, but prematch positioning has to take into consideration the likely final result. Safarova likes to lose set 1 BTW, check her stats.
By:
Marin1977
When: 14 Mar 12 02:46
Irrelevant in any case.

Did anyone else notice that the markets gave around 5 point on average bonus on all favs today, across the board? It happens sometimes, people just go crazy with laying.
By:
;[p
When: 14 Mar 12 02:50
u cant realy expect straigt forward match between players like lucie and barto,it can happen, but most likely the odds will be jumping up and down
By:
Marin1977
When: 14 Mar 12 02:51
In most matches odds jump up and down.
By:
nofx
When: 14 Mar 12 02:53
so both are value then
By:
Marin1977
When: 14 Mar 12 02:55
By that logic you should almost never get involved prematch, and yet I am doing it all the time with very decent profits.
By:
nofx
When: 14 Mar 12 03:00
correct. again i'm not arguing a Bartoli victory but the odds of 1.4~, i'm not afraid that will quickly go away to never come back
By:
Marin1977
When: 14 Mar 12 03:05
Nope, if market behavior stays consistent the price will get up to 1.5+ before kickoff Wink
By:
TerryTibbs
When: 14 Mar 12 04:31
is there a stream for this, saw it's moved courts?
By:
Tytfaen
When: 14 Mar 12 04:34
think its on aftre nalband.
By:
jahangir1
When: 14 Mar 12 04:35
No live view so far
By:
Marin1977
When: 14 Mar 12 04:35
Bandy almost over anyway, why move it
By:
Marin1977
When: 14 Mar 12 04:37
Bandy finished
By:
TerryTibbs
When: 14 Mar 12 04:37
no cameras on stadium 3?!
By:
nofx
When: 14 Mar 12 04:37
really pissed off now
By:
Tytfaen
When: 14 Mar 12 04:38
no streamPlainSadCryAngry
By:
Srichaphan or Ancic?
When: 14 Mar 12 04:38
Bartoli cannot keep getting to finals. She isnt that good!
By:
Marin1977
When: 14 Mar 12 04:39
scum yenks
By:
Marin1977
When: 14 Mar 12 04:41
I have never seen such idiocy... they saved 5 minutes, max
By:
Marin1977
When: 14 Mar 12 04:48
Liquidity is total crap, naturally.
By:
Marin1977
When: 14 Mar 12 05:14
At least the match is going as expected.
By:
gaekwon
When: 14 Mar 12 05:15
layed fartoli at 1.16
hopefully she will have her usual brain fart in the 2nd Cool
By:
jahangir1
When: 14 Mar 12 05:18
i dont think so,,put your lay back
By:
Marin1977
When: 14 Mar 12 05:18
Looks like murder
By:
gaekwon
When: 14 Mar 12 05:20
yeah, ffs Cry
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