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amazing
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people dont vote for old American woman - surprising
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Lisa bottom two again, not good for Ginge...both annoying
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Insider money wrong?
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although I will say I expected her to beat Martin at least
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I used to like Lisa, thought her nice and natural, but tonight the fake laughing and fake excitement grated. Too intense too.
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Ruby going very good for Tom backers, he will be upset and will see a lot more of him now as she took a lot of the edit up
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Probably Lifter, Lisa a cert tomorrow...was proper childish today
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The three of them, Ruby, Ginge and Lisa been as thick as thieves all series....public obviously not liking it
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Ruby gone? GBP, you can do one!
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Ruby
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This is the same GBP who thought Matt Willis was more worthy than David Gest. So shouldn't be a surprise
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Milking that story for sure
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lol
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No insiders then
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It looks clean most of the time. But then if all they get is the previous day's order, then it's imperfect. Kemp did get his big SB moment last night. Not a big one, granted, but may be enough to switch a place up.
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We didn't see him tonight, either
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army there is a Tom
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Shona is bucking the trend of the early money, but she's enjoyed some great edits. Possibly good enough to pass a couple on the ladder
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Yes Clyde, ive been reading it and a backer...think he will really start to shine now with the smaller numbers, two horse race for me between him and Aitch.
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she's already passed 3 or 4
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Kelly
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The voting ladder I mean, not the market.
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Turn the volume down ffs
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Thing with Tom is, he is so good on every clip he does...whereas Ginge can be good but just playing upto his role as 'angry ginge' now to keep his followers happy, its not a good tactic to win this though.
Ginge of 1st 10 days had it in the bag and throwing it all way to please his posse |
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'we' can't follow the money blind, as even when it has been beyond doubt, they still got it wrong occasionally. certainly I don't.
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Insiders probably been restricted to £500 due to the new laws
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The market is clearly clean now. No idea why you persist with your theories cider
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Your saw Tom's appeal in The Jungle Arms when he was singing. Had the four women wrapped round his finger with his charm. He's the perfect Ladies Man without being a threat. Women love gentlemen
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Kelly prefers Jack on ITV2
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Tom should already be 2nd fav Clyde, the market is not figuring it out yet..i think he will be this time tomorrow.
Ginge has nothing left to give, he has no gears whatsoever...we've seen him at his very best and he ran out of gas, he's a one trick pony and now back to doing his day job. Tom not out of 1st gear yet, watch a master at work now till sunday |
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Kelly can't be trusted
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I don't think Aitch and Ginge finish 1-2 personally. Question is whether both get to the final?
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Genuinely I feel like it's inconclusive, certainly not as blatant as in the past. The observations I have made have all come to fruition. Jack positive, H positive, Ginge weak. The only runner that has defied it is Shona, but there are obvious reasons for that. It could be argued market efficiency, the narrative, clever gamblers. But also the voting is not completely static, and it could well be Shona has moved up the ladder from the first read. I'd be surprised if she managed to break the f4 without help, if she was low when vtw started.
The one that I'm most unsure of is Tom, so I'll be observing him closely. There is big weakness then strength, but a lot of gamblers are keen on him. Bottom line is that my only suggestion is that it's probably not a great idea to oppose the market. If people are happy to trust it, that's fine by me. |
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Like ive mentioned, once Gracie goes in..lots of Ginge's support will switch to Aitch
Ginge 3rd at best, wouldn't be shocked to see Jack get 3rd tbh |
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Two doing trial, really should be Martin and Tom
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I have a got a lot of data including very good data with %.
Ginge is struggling! |
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That was always going to be mathematically close to impossible. They'd need to be commanding 67%+ of the vote, and there's obviously a big overlap in fans. And then it would need to be equally distributed. But because of the vote reset, it's equally challenging for the 3rd person (should both of them make f3)
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Not surprised at all Shraine, playing a very poor game of late
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