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Link? Numbers polled? Votes or "I luv". There's no point posting bs.
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https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1Gr8D7r1JA/?mibextid=wwXIfr
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BS aside, Jack has seen growth throughout the first half.
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ok thx
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If the final 3 ends up being Ginge, Aitch and Jack, the vote-transfer dynamic becomes everything.
• If Aitch finishes 3rd, his family/older demo flows mostly to Jack → huge boost. • If Jack finishes 3rd, his entire base shifts to Aitch → massive advantage. • If Ginge finishes 3rd, the youth lane barely transfers → mainly benefits Aitch. Bottom line: Aitch has the strongest transfer profile… Jack benefits only if Aitch exits early… and Ginge must avoid 3rd at all costs. Jack massive chance |
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I don't see any scenario if things keep going on the current coarse that Aitch wins, I don't even think an appearance from his sister is enough.
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I agree. Aitch can’t win now.
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If Aitch finishes 3rd, his family/older demo flows mostly to Jack → huge boost.
This is just nonsense imo Ginge is more popular with the FB mums and older audience. Your poll shows it. I suspect in no small part due to his very genuine friendship with Ruby. Plus he's just a much softer and warmer character Most of Aitch's appeal seems to be younger and lots of male punters. The same ones who preferred Shaun Ryder to Stacey Solomon |
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If Aitch finishes first, then nearly all of his votes transfer to Ginge. It would be game over.
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third*
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Ruby getting on my nerves now
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It's a hard watch, would have switched off if it wasn't for betting.
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I like it, just like BB. Humans thrown together. Interesting. I don't need arguments.
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I think we all would have! Probably years ago
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Ruby's the best for me.
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She's been the stand out from the first show, the only one to make me laugh
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Yeah, she will have solid supporters, but limited. T5 prolly.
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unfortunately Ruby's race is run
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Yeah, I'm finding it hard to stay with it. Limits meant I've bet about 5% of what I usually would, so can't be arsed. Just going to let Ginge win and collect
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With either Aitch or Ginge gaining immunity, the insiders would have had no idea of their VTW strength, relative to each other. Now, they'll know a lot more, so the market will be telling us exactly where we stand, with real evidence to back it up
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If H 'wins' it then it would be highly amusing. I doubt it would radically shift the market if it is the anticipated order.
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There is no insiders, them days are long gone.
Dan@ tellystats no longer has access to the backend of the all. All changed via the website. Hence the reason why Betfair have put back up eliminations, as had to get confirmation from ITV voting was secure. |
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Won't be that long to find out.
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I'm not thinking of hackers, it's somewhere in the vote counting process, with someone there getting info at certain stages during the voting window, but not getting the real-time figures, live, nearer the end of the voting time.
As with religion, you either believe in insiders or you don't |
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I do believe there was insiders, but not now. Over the last couple of years the market has been clean.
ITV fixed it by shifting to web-based, server-controlled voting around 2022–23. Since then, both the leaks and the suspicious betting behaviour have vanished. But let’s see, but highly unlikely |
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one of the most profitable systems in recent years was to go against the market in the early Elimination rounds, so many strong odds on Elimination favourites remaining in position, with many not in the bottom 2, then straight out the night after. Lets see if they are consistent.
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Insiders fixed the trial so both h and ginger up for vts
Insiders need to eat too. |
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A quick review of ly's thread suggests the insider money was still dominant, at least when I was pontificating on it. I was (and still am) confident they get the order, retrospectively. Consequently the best shot of a shock elimination is the first two.
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It'll be them devious jawdee twats :)
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Hair transplants ain't cheap
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I always thought bellew would have gone fav at some point without the inside track. The forum support for him was overwhelming
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The market never let him get past 5 or so
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I seem to recall Clean got smashed in the market for no good reason. Well, there was a good reason, as it turned out.
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I backed her tbf, and I had zero knowledge. It was a terrible year and I thought she would pick up bored mem types
To add to my bellew point, loads of forum favs types have been fav on bb and lost. Thinner volumes I know, but it always seemed cleaner. Bellew was male punter type gold dust |
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She went 20 to 5 or something, before the producers went to work on her but after the voting started. Put it this way, I would net recommend opposing the market from the end of tomorrows show.
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Not at. I don't mean permy fav anyway, just a dip like Jack just had
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Definitely a case to argue that Tony looked value pretty much throughout the series. The insiders don't always win on this, but what seems value is also a fool's gold, once the positive voting has started.
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Recently got Jack finally onside. Can't see the attraction in a disgruntled yank (I know born in UK), but he has support. Still would be surprised if he won.
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