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Lifter
06 Oct 24 19:28
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Date Joined: 19 Sep 14
| Topic/replies: 10,133 | Blogger: Lifter's blog
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Report Henry VIII November 12, 2024 6:53 PM GMT
I just thought the odds represented her probabilities. When they go lower than the known probabilities then that's suspicious. I don't deny insiders, they took David Potts odds, last CBB winner, very low just before he got the TCO edits in the last few days.
       Doesn't look like there's a TCO this time, they're showing all Ali's b1tchiness. Doesn't seem to effect her support.
Report Henry VIII November 12, 2024 7:03 PM GMT
I agree Borg, all that's part of it. Also women are fascinated by beautiful women if they act serenely (and not provocatively). Different oc from the sexual way men look at beautiful women (Ali needs more of a bum).
Report GeorgeBrush November 12, 2024 7:17 PM GMT
I thought Bellew would have gone fav at some point last year without influence. But his odds always reflected where he was, about 10 points down
Report bearcub November 12, 2024 8:09 PM GMT
Yinrun was backed into 2nd fav late,, she was 20% behind Jordan
Report GeorgeBrush November 12, 2024 9:34 PM GMT
That was pure army. He's not the one with the results
Report TheBorg November 12, 2024 9:39 PM GMT
Decent for Marcello
Report GeorgeBrush November 12, 2024 9:40 PM GMT
2, 3, 4 were extremely close, if there was a gap for votes between 4th out and 3rd out that was incredibly close between the 3 positions

Jordan was down to 1.3 and it never wavered iirc
Report timbuctooth November 12, 2024 9:44 PM GMT
Excellent show for Marcello, particularly in making Ali's letter so nice, after she's been antagonistic to him forever, even rejecting his previous peace offerings
Report GeorgeBrush November 12, 2024 10:04 PM GMT
How did thomas beat anyone?
Report J.O.TOBIN. November 12, 2024 10:06 PM GMT
Have to say was a great show for Marcello, though you would never guess reading through Twitter. Went to cancel my lay in the without market, too late it had already been taken think Ive done my dough.
Report Henry VIII November 12, 2024 10:09 PM GMT
First I'd heard of that market, no effort made by BF to tell us.
Report Henry VIII November 12, 2024 10:09 PM GMT
£30 matched, looks like nobody else knows.
Report BETED November 12, 2024 10:12 PM GMT
I take no prisoners Tobin
Best of luck
Report BETED November 12, 2024 10:13 PM GMT
£23 @ 1.66 profit £15.18
Report timbuctooth November 12, 2024 10:15 PM GMT
I didn't know it was up either, just put up a few pennies as an interest
Report Henry VIII November 12, 2024 10:16 PM GMT
Sarah was great, wish they showed her more.
So tonight was Marchy's edit. Let's see if tomorrow is also or maybe Emma or Hanah. Every edit is also a Ali edit but she's always negative but the public love it so it's probably good for her.
Report Henry VIII November 12, 2024 10:20 PM GMT
No trading though. In such tiny market. Just position taking.
Report Henry VIII November 12, 2024 10:21 PM GMT
* talking about w/o market
Report J.O.TOBIN. November 12, 2024 10:23 PM GMT
Hopefully will get a bit more activity now, give Habbah a chance personally
Report Henry VIII November 12, 2024 10:24 PM GMT
Well I just took £22 at 1.5. Was that you laying off BETED?
Report BETED November 12, 2024 10:29 PM GMT
Not guilty Henry
Report Henry VIII November 12, 2024 10:29 PM GMT
w/o - I could actually back Hanah and Emma now for a guaranteed small profit (discounting a Nathan or Segun T2). Can't be bothered though.
142.5% on the left side. 65.5% on the right.
Report Henry VIII November 12, 2024 10:29 PM GMT
I thought it couldn't be you.
Report Henry VIII November 12, 2024 10:31 PM GMT
MUST BE INSIDERS (lol).
Report Henry VIII November 12, 2024 10:42 PM GMT
Will be interesting to see if they keep pushing Marchy.
Report TheBorg November 12, 2024 10:50 PM GMT
The market is finally waking up, more matched today for me than the last week
Report Henry VIII November 12, 2024 10:50 PM GMT
Will "Fireworks, Thomas you might lose another eyebrow".
Thomas "I thought you were going to say hand".
Report Henry VIII November 12, 2024 10:51 PM GMT
Ali slandering Segon. Or is it true?
Report TheBorg November 12, 2024 11:01 PM GMT
Someone wants £300 on Dean in IAC,he doesn't look like a natural in the Jungle.
Report TheBorg November 12, 2024 11:04 PM GMT
Segun is real imo, there are plenty of people who avoid conflict at all costs, they just don't have the fortitude for it.
Report bearcub November 12, 2024 11:06 PM GMT
He's a bit like me
Report Jim Duncan November 13, 2024 5:17 PM GMT
Mischief
Report GeorgeBrush November 13, 2024 8:21 PM GMT
Good god no Bear, he has some redeeming features
Report TheBorg November 13, 2024 9:08 PM GMT
Nathan and Emma humour looks forced
Report mecca November 13, 2024 9:14 PM GMT
Marchy and Hanna just gave the win to Ali
Report mecca November 13, 2024 9:16 PM GMT
Very bad move not letting Ali at least get part of her message from home
Report mecca November 13, 2024 9:23 PM GMT
Hmmm ... Marchy must have talked Hanna into giving Ali one of Seguns coins
Report timbuctooth November 13, 2024 9:37 PM GMT
Segun getting a bit of a rough ride; he seems like a thoroughly decent sort, just a bit weak in confrontations, but that's not the worst trait to have
Report Henry VIII November 13, 2024 9:48 PM GMT
Ali was loving all of that lol.
Report TheBorg November 13, 2024 9:57 PM GMT
Show was good for Ali, Marcello and Segun, so it's still as we were, tomorrow will probably be a dinner with awards then the final is elimination plus interviews, I would take it if you are in the lead now you have it won't.
Report TheBorg November 13, 2024 9:58 PM GMT
Won*
Report Henry VIII November 13, 2024 10:06 PM GMT
Ali wins and the other positions could be anything.
Report Henry VIII November 13, 2024 10:07 PM GMT
Well we know Segun and Nathan were losing the vote after Tom and Sarah.
Report TheBorg November 13, 2024 10:10 PM GMT
Probably but not definitely, the bottom two were the only ones that could go, the other two in the vault could be random, but of course it looked like bottom four.
Report Henry VIII November 13, 2024 10:12 PM GMT
Yes, and BB over the years have always been true to the vote in these kind of things even if they don't say so.
Report GeorgeBrush November 13, 2024 10:40 PM GMT
I don't remember a situation like that before ?
Report BETED November 14, 2024 9:20 AM GMT
6th Nathan,  was going to say Segun but think Segun gets a few sympathy votes due to last nights edit.

5th Segun, decent fella, good luck to him.

4th Hanah, got a fan base on Digital spy not sure she gets enough votes to break into top 3.

3rd Marcello,  layed off my earlier without Ali bet due to Emma edit last night.

2nd Emma,  oldest in the house yet done a fabulous job of entertaining for 6 week, Northeners will bag her 2nd.

1st Ali, easy to predict now.
Report GeorgeBrush November 14, 2024 9:37 AM GMT
Northerners vote for Emma from Essex?

Some weird stereotyping here ?
Report GeorgeBrush November 14, 2024 9:53 AM GMT
Northerners like old people more?  Possibly i guess :)
Report BETED November 14, 2024 9:53 AM GMT
Apologies, I read somewhere she live in Altrincham.
Manchester area I thought.
Report J.O.TOBIN. November 14, 2024 5:45 PM GMT
Not sure a positive edit for Emma last night will affect things that much. The vote reopened after Tuesdays show which was wholly positive for Marcello and showing Emma identifying the reasons why Sarah and Tom would be evicted which was quite brutal (and unecessary) alienating any transference from their supporters.
Was told once by someone who works in production in these show that 80% of the total votes come in the first hour following the show, cant really see anyone changing their mind some 24 hours later(I was told also that the vote after that first hour barely changed any results) Thats backed up by Celeb elimination insiders betting.
I might be wrong but Marcello still in the box seat for me.
Report GeorgeBrush November 14, 2024 6:15 PM GMT
They will leave in odds order
Report Henry VIII November 14, 2024 9:21 PM GMT
Marchy just did a DR which means he'll be getting the anti-Ali vote that is large. Large enough to help him to 2nd.
Report TheBorg November 14, 2024 9:24 PM GMT
Very boring show tonight
Report Henry VIII November 14, 2024 9:27 PM GMT
But potentially the most important show. Deep convo from the T2.
Report TheBorg November 14, 2024 9:31 PM GMT
Slightly below par performance from Ali
Marcello and Emma Slightly better, not enough to move the dial imo, people have chosen their winner and there is not enough to make people change horses
Report timbuctooth November 14, 2024 9:39 PM GMT
Emma stirring too much
Report timbuctooth November 14, 2024 9:41 PM GMT
Good stuff from Marcello
Report timbuctooth November 14, 2024 9:49 PM GMT
Worst episode of the series; BRING BACK LILLY!!!
Report TheBorg November 14, 2024 9:54 PM GMT
Emma interfering too much in other people's business, negative for her
Report mecca November 15, 2024 9:12 PM GMT
This is it
Report TheBorg November 15, 2024 9:22 PM GMT
Not much to play for. Ali wins
Report mecca November 15, 2024 9:23 PM GMT
My predictions with 4 left in :-

Ali 1st Marchy 2nd Emma 3rd
Report Henry VIII November 15, 2024 9:25 PM GMT
Biggest upset ever if she doesn't win?
Report GeorgeBrush November 15, 2024 9:28 PM GMT
Still would be kenzie
Report GeorgeBrush November 15, 2024 9:29 PM GMT
But if you start believing in insider's I'll give you it henners
Report GeorgeBrush November 15, 2024 9:29 PM GMT
Insiders, i ****g hate a misplaced apostrophe
Report GeorgeBrush November 15, 2024 9:30 PM GMT
Ali had a decent vote herself and then grabbed lily's too
Report GeorgeBrush November 15, 2024 9:31 PM GMT
Looking back it was more than a bit crazy kenzie was 1.12

Loads of mug punts in those good ole days
Report Henry VIII November 15, 2024 9:36 PM GMT
I've always believed in them lol but sometimes people call wolf. They probably layed Ali in Marcelo's great edit a few days ago, which took her price out a lot (still odds on), because he must have been getting the most votes, but just during that show.
But they were stupid in that case. And I don't think were driving Ali's price down today or it would have gone down much faster. I was surprised at the resistance.
Report GeorgeBrush November 15, 2024 9:39 PM GMT
Thinnest market ever though shirley, hardly worth the bother. More pickings on imac
Report GeorgeBrush November 15, 2024 9:39 PM GMT
And they are probably thinking there's loads of votes in running
Report Henry VIII November 15, 2024 9:41 PM GMT
Wouldn't most voters use up their new 5 votes each time.
Report TheBorg November 15, 2024 9:45 PM GMT
I'm hopefully that Emma can beat Marcello i got her at 7/1 in the without market
Report Henry VIII November 15, 2024 9:50 PM GMT
Tonight's argument between Marc and Ali would have motivated both of their fans, those fans that are lazy, to give them some more votes
Report GeorgeBrush November 15, 2024 10:20 PM GMT
Winnaz dinnaz
Report GeorgeBrush November 15, 2024 10:21 PM GMT
Well done anyone who actually liked her early on, certainly wasn't me
Report GeorgeBrush November 15, 2024 10:24 PM GMT

Nov 14, 2024 -- 6:15PM, GeorgeBrush wrote:


They will leave in odds order


Yep

Report Henry VIII November 15, 2024 10:32 PM GMT
Very glad she won but I never really liked her. Not a bad person, just cold and always seeing the worst in people.
Report GeorgeBrush November 15, 2024 10:34 PM GMT
Ds rules nowadays, just check the ds poll for who wins.

It's only ds left watching
Report mecca November 15, 2024 10:39 PM GMT
What's DS, George.  TIA
Report bearcub November 15, 2024 10:39 PM GMT
Ali  51.9%
Report bearcub November 15, 2024 10:41 PM GMT
Dumb Sh1ts
Report GeorgeBrush November 15, 2024 10:42 PM GMT
Yep, also digital spy
Report GeorgeBrush November 15, 2024 10:44 PM GMT
Ali crapped on everyone, only interesting if lily had stayed.

They didn't seem bothered about keeping her, makes me think she was more trouble than the edit
Report mecca November 15, 2024 10:46 PM GMT
Cheers
Report Henry VIII November 15, 2024 10:49 PM GMT
They're not holding back interviewing her.
Report GeorgeBrush November 15, 2024 10:51 PM GMT
They could have stopped her from winning
Report mecca November 15, 2024 10:57 PM GMT
Just had a look at Digital Spy... I never even knew that it existed
Report GeorgeBrush November 15, 2024 10:59 PM GMT
Oh lucky you!!! Lol
Report GeorgeBrush November 15, 2024 11:04 PM GMT
Tbf it looks like they vastly overestimated Marcello, but had Ali winning all the way
Report AKsooted November 15, 2024 11:35 PM GMT
Wondering if I'm the only one who googled Miss Sunday Sport 1992.
Report TheBorg November 16, 2024 2:27 PM GMT
Not a feel good final, they put Segun and Hanah, Marchello, and Ali to a lesser extent through the ringer with the clips they played and the attitude when interviewing them.
It felt to me like very poor form from the producers.
But on the otherside, polls were accurate and money was made.Cool
Report BETED November 16, 2024 3:32 PM GMT
Six weeks went by very quickly hoping for longer next year, needed more markets, Top 3, Male/Female and eviction markets etc. glad the outright market picked up because it was a struggle for the first 3 weeks, very enjoyable in the end, its more fun being able to put thoughts onto a forum rather than keeping them in my head.
Made the mistake of backing Rosie in the early weeks but thankfully was able to get out with minimal damage.
Had a decent Green on Ali after 2 weeks and added to the green for 3 more weeks, left well alone once she went odds on.
Lost on Without Ali market, minor not major.
Only able to catch 4 nights of IAC before flying out, will keep checking in hoping for a few tips.
Well done all winners.
Report BETED November 16, 2024 3:35 PM GMT
Hoping we get the full voting stats sometime soon
Report BETED November 16, 2024 4:12 PM GMT
Thanks to Lifter for the thread
Report GeorgeBrush November 16, 2024 8:38 PM GMT
6 weeks is quite enough when it's this shyte!  Tbh i thought 6 weeks was fine for the jordan series too and i enjoyed that one
Report five leaves left November 17, 2024 4:26 PM GMT
An excellent winner I thought. If it couldn't be Lily it had to be Ali. Funny watching all the miserable faves on Lal. Reminded me of when Rachel won. Rex the only one who had the good grace to congratulate her. Even Divvy was seething

This made me chuckle. Lily knew the winner from early on

https://www.tiktok.com/@jackeclips2/video/7438055401196735777
Report five leaves left November 17, 2024 4:27 PM GMT
faces even^
Report BETED November 19, 2024 7:38 PM GMT
Ali (Winner) – 51.85%
Marcello (Second place) – 20.28%
Emma (Third place) – 12.12%
Hanah (Fourth place) – 8.3%
Nathan (Fifth place) – 3.67%
Segun (Sixth place) – 2.41%
Thomas (Seventh place) – 0.59%
Sarah (Eighth place) – 0.45%
Baked Potato (Ninth place) – 0.33%
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