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GeorgeBrush
09 Aug 24 21:09
Joined:
Date Joined: 16 Jun 02
| Topic/replies: 68,036 | Blogger: GeorgeBrush's blog
Start price 8.4

My hand has been revealed, he wins.  Anyone I've spoken to not involved in betting thinks he wins, and there's actually a big new audience of darts mams (mums) who love him.  I was very sceptical earlier in the year, but not now.

He's revolutionised his sport and likely doubled the audience (will be looking up figures) .  Hardcore darts fans will vote as a big up for the sport.  Expect a horsey style campaign
Pause Switch to Standard View The Lukey Lamborghini to the spoty loot
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Report stu August 11, 2024 6:51 PM BST
*her I meant
Report GeorgeBrush August 11, 2024 6:52 PM BST
I thought I'd been out in the sun too long lol
Report armagnac August 11, 2024 6:52 PM BST
move it to 50's, after all she has no chance
Report stu August 11, 2024 6:53 PM BST
If your description is true she's more like a 5/2 shot Grin
Report armagnac August 11, 2024 6:54 PM BST
apparently she can't win SPOTY coz she didn't win a gold on her own CrazyCrazyCrazy
Report stu August 11, 2024 6:55 PM BST
5/2 shot at 36.0 and not being taken?
Report stu August 11, 2024 6:55 PM BST
I'll leave it up there if any takers.
Report armagnac August 11, 2024 6:56 PM BST
sports personality of the year, based on your achievements for that particular year

its fecking immaterial who won what or what they won
Report stu August 11, 2024 6:58 PM BST
Taken, hope by you army - fair play.
Report armagnac August 11, 2024 6:59 PM BST
as long as you achieved something, its about the journey Love
Report armagnac August 11, 2024 6:59 PM BST
brushy took it, coz i smell something
Report GeorgeBrush August 11, 2024 7:01 PM BST
Have a shower then :)
Report stu August 11, 2024 7:03 PM BST
As that was popular, added another tenner at 25.0

your argument convincing me, slightly.
Report stu August 11, 2024 7:04 PM BST
Actually that's a bit skinny, so prepared to go to 30
Report stu August 11, 2024 7:09 PM BST
Star Sports obv listening to you army - they still have her at 9/1 for SPOTY
Report GeorgeBrush August 11, 2024 7:10 PM BST
Were you backing bellingham at 10 after the euros army?
Report armagnac August 11, 2024 7:12 PM BST
your're gonna have a very squeaky bum come the awards if you keep laying her stu, for one simple reason.

she won welsh spoty last year, so many welsh gamblers will expect her to progress to the main award after such a great games. She will get backed in no matter what, once a campaign starts she'll go very short.
Report stu August 11, 2024 7:14 PM BST
Happy to give another 10 at 30, it's there...
Report stu August 11, 2024 7:30 PM BST
Someone bit, so fair play whoever - hope you played army.

I'm not adding anymore at present, it's too long to wait.
Report armagnac August 12, 2024 12:29 PM BST
I was originally getting on Luke after the euro's and Olympics to see where his price was at, its actually decent but i think there is too many doubts about him making the list.
Raducanu won it last games year, will the bbc risk that again ? They are not scared of making tough controversial decisions, whether its them or the panel.

Would seem harsh to dump young spoty on him, that award is for upcoming kids you've hardly heard of and Luke has transformed darts and the adult world of darts. Which is his only positive imo to help him get on the list, the fact he's competing against adults at the highest levels of his sport.

Unfortunately that sport is not covered by the Illuminati and that is what the 17 year old is up against, the bbc do seem to like him though, following his progression.

With the bbc's track record of leaving massive names off the list over the years, its a total coin flip whether he gets on it imo.
Keely's price will always be odds on regardless of him making the list coz she will get massive media coverage on the run imo, most likely a documentary at some point, too boost her profile as i think Luke is more known than she is tbh.
She'll get the kitchen sink VT on the night as well no doubt, so i think you will still get some value on Luke even if you wait till the actual night or whether he makes the list or not.

conclusion is his price his great, you're just gambling he makes the list if you back him now. Its factored in by the looks of it, i think your'll still get 3+ if he makes the list.

Thats the 1st hurdle, getting on the list..the next one will be getting men to vote for him, if they do he wins easily. I just can't see enough women voting for him as right now most women are doing right by supporting other women. Joey Barton fall out still in effect no doubt, they was already at there height and he just pushed the agenda higher.
last hurdle for luke is no personality whatsoever, he's terrible in interviews with one sentence answers followed by a deathly silence lol and looking 35 is also a big negative. Hardly reminds you of your young son, more like the one who's moved out that drinks and eats kebabs every weekend.

Good luck if backing him as of now, way to many negatives for me verses an Olympian
Report stu August 12, 2024 1:38 PM BST
He has 0 of the classic (I think GBs term) 'moist vote' - unlike some other male winners in SPOTY

No women will be fancying him in any way - maybe to mother him, but he loses some of that even as he looks 36!
Report armagnac August 12, 2024 1:54 PM BST
you can back luke at 6/1 who is not even guaranteed to make the list, then has big hurdles to overcome even if he does
or
you can back Emma at 66/1 who is guaranteed to make the list and has a whole country who will get behind her

CrazyCrazyCrazy
Report stu August 12, 2024 2:33 PM BST
Wouldn't rely on any wales vote - Alun Wynn Jones (greatest ever wales rugby player) couldn't even get a top 3 vote from them lot.
Report stu August 12, 2024 2:33 PM BST
...and that was RUGBY!
Report GeorgeBrush August 12, 2024 2:59 PM BST
Lateysha would have pissed up though ;-)   :(
Report armagnac August 12, 2024 3:08 PM BST
helps if your're liked stu, and female. didn't you know the landscape has changed, spoty is now a female magazine show
Report duffy August 12, 2024 3:15 PM BST
Lynne Davies not winning it for Wales after winning Olympic Gold was bad enough, but still not winning it after what he went on to achieve on Superstars was down right criminalGrinLaugh
Report Hibore August 12, 2024 3:21 PM BST
I’d guess BBC will ask Luke if he wants to be 3rd at best in Spoty or 1st Young Spoty. If he’s not in Young Spoty it would be a farce competition.
Report GeorgeBrush August 12, 2024 3:56 PM BST
They'll just ask the 6 people on the independent panel, and they'll say, yes he's the biggest sporting story in Britain this year, covering the most column inches, of course he's on the shortlist
Report armagnac August 12, 2024 4:03 PM BST
i think he'd be closer to 2/1 if he was a cert for the list brushy
Report armagnac August 12, 2024 4:05 PM BST
doubt's are creeping in and the bbc are far from trustworthy to guarantee anyone being on it, apart from keely and ems Love
Report duffy August 12, 2024 4:06 PM BST
Not being as clued up on the politics of the award as a few on here I've not understood this shortlist question stuff.

Why isn't it a simple case of, is he a star of his game, has he taken his game by storm, has he impacted outside of his sport, is there a unique aspect of his achievement...where's the debate, isn't these all the things that get you on the list...you know...excellence!!
Report duffy August 12, 2024 4:07 PM BST
And we know the BBC like him
Report stu August 12, 2024 4:14 PM BST
He has a clearly better darts player this year (Humphries) who beat him in the world final - a straight nom of Littler is very odd given this fact.

Littler has had good impact for darts, but I think will get recognised by giving him Young sportsperson of the year.
Report GeorgeBrush August 12, 2024 4:16 PM BST
So the panel is external to the bbc, invited to salford come november to have a good chin wag and tea and biscuits. Maybe a slap up meal even. 

Of course you can say they'll be influenced by the bbc, but they are independent.  They produce the candidates, be it 6 or 12
Report armagnac August 12, 2024 4:16 PM BST
all correct duffy

but and a very big but, darts not on bbc, they are well known for leaving stars off list year in year out. Kerr last year
they may want an olympian to win this time coz there channel and radu won last time games was on
young spoty is a very easy get out for them

i do think he makes the list but there is a ton of uncertainty
Report GeorgeBrush August 12, 2024 4:18 PM BST
In answer to duffy, the public will find it very odd if he's not on the list, but of course stranger things have happened
Report duffy August 12, 2024 4:22 PM BST
Does it matter that there is a player arguably better than him ATM, what he has achieved at his age especially in that very much gladiatorial arena that darts provides and to be able to hold your own at his age amid all that without being overawed especially when he appears to not be an overly demonstrative individual is simply incredible and then to be very nearly the best player in the world at it is astounding.
Report duffy August 12, 2024 4:28 PM BST
Players championship is a bit of a big deal in late November he could do with winning that one, on ITV4...at least it's terrestrial tv, so might jog a few memories when people start to see it being advertised.
Report GeorgeBrush August 12, 2024 4:37 PM BST
Last year the panel made a very populist choice in chosing Broad, he'd done next to bugger all really.  I'd make Luke odds on to be selected, and Cav around evens
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- August 12, 2024 4:45 PM BST
He was padding so goalie won.
Report GeorgeBrush August 12, 2024 5:09 PM BST
Well, he was very short for a time. I was laying
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- August 12, 2024 5:59 PM BST
Cool
Report Cider August 12, 2024 8:22 PM BST
In Olympic year, a chubby man child wins spoty by starring in a pub sport. A pub sport which auntie doesn't even have the rights to broadcast live, and the runner didn't win the most important title. I no longer see the prods going for it at all, the question is if they are comfortable risking him being listed for the main award.
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 9:54 AM BST
Luke will have many, many chances to go on the main list and win the award..that will count against him. Its the only chance they will ever get legitimately to leave him off.


The BBC Young Sports Personality of the Year[1] award is presented at the annual BBC Sports Personality of the Year award ceremony. It is awarded to the sportsperson aged 17 or under as of 1 January of that year, who has made the most outstanding contribution to sport in that year.
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 10:00 AM BST
Ian black won the main award as a 17 year but that was back in 1958, pretty sure its never happened since then. There is no minimum age mentioned anywhere about the main award but as they introduced young SPOTY with a max age limit it might be some unwritten rule not known by the public.
Simply put is he old enough to go on the main list ? nobody actually knows !!
Report bearcub August 13, 2024 10:08 AM BST
You don't half post some sh1te at times ExcitedCry

2022, Young Spoty winner was Jessica Gadirova,, She was also on the shortlist of 6 for the main award



nobody actually knows !!Plain
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 10:12 AM BST
oh yeah well spotted Cool, i did actually look at her last year lol for similar reasons i recall. i'm catching you all up and going senile Cry
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 10:13 AM BST
He still has far more negatives, his only positives are what he's achieved.
he's so boring i just can't see how there gonna make a decent VT of him
Report bearcub August 13, 2024 10:18 AM BST
Their vt's are 60 secs..  Him hitting 2 x 9 darters and winning the premiership will fill that

Emma's will be going round in circles and getting beaten
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 10:20 AM BST
Both girls will smash him out the park with there VT's, dreaming as young girls about winning medals...tears, blood, sweat along the way.
the men will love the 9 darters but will they vote or expect everyone else too, most won't bother to fill out the form. Lets be honest any bloke that has a partner, she will do all there paperwork and online crap coz the bloke can't be arsed.
whereas every woman watching will go out of there way to fill out the form, they love it. Being part of something, men are just not the same !! and he needs there votes to stand any chance imo
Report bearcub August 13, 2024 10:23 AM BST
Insta is mainly aimed at females..

Emma gained 8.5 k extra Insta followers during her week in Paris

Luke gained 1.4 million
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 10:26 AM BST
oh that old chestnut, works every time and were all millionaires by following it Crazy
how many more times does it have to be wrong before you stop posting crap followers LaughLaughLaugh
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 10:27 AM BST
he has to get on the list 1st, so good luck if you have put money on him. nothing is guaranteed with the bbc, they manipulate every thing
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 10:29 AM BST
its not like they would be fecking him over either, they would be giving him an award. the young version of it and tell him to come back next year with a bit more spunk in ya interviews
Report bearcub August 13, 2024 10:31 AM BST
Its a decent gauge of popularity imo especially when the gap is humongous.

Probably better that relying on the huge Welsh vote because Glynn got 2nd in BB 20 years ago..Plain
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 10:33 AM BST
he's certainly not an ideal advert for sport in general, i actually love the lad but he's massively overweight for his age and does nothing to lower it. just eats and promotes junk food.
in this pc driven world we live in now, is he the winner the bbc want to showcase to young aspiring kids

not for me, thats another negative to the already long list
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 10:34 AM BST
half the followers are fake and a large % would be from oversea's thats why we lose as much as win by following them
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 10:35 AM BST
some people are sheep and like seeing big numbers next to a name without knowing who's real or not and where they live in the world
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 10:36 AM BST
you got any more jabs my way or can i go make a coffee please
Report bearcub August 13, 2024 10:37 AM BST
You're just posting random sh1te now so im off to cut the grass.Sad
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 10:47 AM BST
don't forget the weed killer !!
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 10:57 AM BST
tbh to this thread, i'm a massive Luke fan and hope he does make the list and win if the unknowns vote, he has the potential to win by miles. its just a coinflip whether he gets on or not and far to risky to have the 2k i was gonna put on him as Plan A, so i'll probably be kicking myself when he does and win lol.

my main play in this market now and will continue to be all the way is emma top 3 so good luck luke backers and to luke himself, he does deserve it for what hes achieved and done for the sport.

ive nothing further to say on this topic, all my energy is for emma Love
Report GeorgeBrush August 13, 2024 11:27 AM BST
U turn if you want to
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 11:40 AM BST
no mate, i can get 10/1 for 3rd for emma which i think is odds on. why on earth would i take lower about luke who has many hills to overcome lol
Report GeorgeBrush August 13, 2024 11:53 AM BST
Do both :)
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 11:56 AM BST
lol if luke does make the list i'd be happy backing him at say 2/1+ and prey men vote, that would still be massive value considering his pub popularity. and i would have the 2k on. so i will wait
Report GeorgeBrush August 13, 2024 12:09 PM BST
You'll need to be quick then
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 12:12 PM BST
nah keely will go shorter come the night imo, she will get everything thrown at her unfortunately coz everyone else on the track was so poor
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 12:13 PM BST
the bbc have no option to make it all about her coz of the popularity of athletics over everything else
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 12:14 PM BST
lets face it, she only gets beat as a very short price fav. ive accepted that as fact
Report bearcub August 13, 2024 12:26 PM BST
The BBc aren't producing the show this year, whisper North are

As it's their first year I doubt they will want to show any obvious bias.
Report GeorgeBrush August 13, 2024 12:28 PM BST
Aren't they producers for a lot of the darts on sky? ;-)
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 12:30 PM BST
bit of hope then for all
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 12:33 PM BST
The tender was launched in January and from the field of shortlisted tenderers, Whisper North’s bid scored highest against the published criteria. Whisper North will begin producing Sports Personality of the Year from 2024 and will work closely with BBC Sport to ensure the effective and successful delivery of the programme.
Report GeorgeBrush August 13, 2024 12:34 PM BST
Panel is a load of fat northern journos sitting in a pub
Report GeorgeBrush August 13, 2024 12:35 PM BST
Like to shout at cyclists as they overtake
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 12:35 PM BST
Mark Cole, Managing Director, Whisper, commented: “BBC Sports Personality of the Year brings together many of the elements Whisper love to produce and celebrate: live events, awards shows, sporting moments, superstars and entertainment.

“We celebrate sport and athletes across many productions throughout the year, so to be working with the BBC on this prestigious end of year show feels a fitting way to conclude what will be an incredible year of sporting achievement and endeavour.

“With the BBC, we will be seeking to deliver a bold and ambitious show that will appeal to a wide audience, driven by compelling and entertaining story-telling.

“Sport has a brilliant power to bring everyone together and impact change. To be able to celebrate that and showcase the heroes that influence and inspire so many is a privilege that we will, as usual, meet with the focus and huge ambition it deserves.”
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 12:37 PM BST
just be here 1st september to give me my 10/1
Report GeorgeBrush August 13, 2024 12:37 PM BST
Sounds like lukey is a cert for that shortlist then
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 12:40 PM BST
hopefully it will make the show worth watching then, otherwise it will be the keely coronation night and boring as foooook
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 12:41 PM BST
funny though he keeps drifting ConfusedMischiefLaugh
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 12:42 PM BST
and to think i could of got him into 3/1 with a bit of effort, blame emma brushy..she's my hero now Love
Report GeorgeBrush August 13, 2024 12:44 PM BST
I thought you said worrying about prices was for mugs?
Report armagnac August 13, 2024 12:47 PM BST
im not worried about his price or anyones, only bets i have is for emma and when she gets top 3 i will clean up just like i did on nick skelton..lovely 10k payday that was, i hope to better that with emma
Report armagnac September 10, 2024 10:19 AM BST
Broom broom……..
Report stu September 10, 2024 12:55 PM BST
In reverse or just stalled...?

Liking the Emma quote you also wrote just above too, you still thinking that one? Wink
Report stu September 10, 2024 12:56 PM BST
In relation to that, wonder when are we getting a top 3 market?
Report armagnac September 10, 2024 1:05 PM BST
All eyes on Lando unfortunately for all now stu, I have him covered now but obviously rather he fecks it up
Report stu September 10, 2024 1:19 PM BST
Lando is a fly in the ointment for sure for many earlier selections in this market.
Report GeorgeBrush September 10, 2024 1:32 PM BST
Unfortunately he has to be covered if you're a trader, rather than pure gambler
Report GeorgeBrush September 10, 2024 1:33 PM BST
After 2 more races he could be fav for the title, and closing on fav here too
Report GeorgeBrush November 13, 2024 8:30 PM GMT
Any truth in the rumour that lineker's replacement on spoty is Bobby George?
Report bearcub November 13, 2024 10:32 PM GMT
Jake Humphrey
Report GeorgeBrush November 17, 2024 5:35 PM GMT
Vroom vroom
Report Angela Rebecchi November 17, 2024 8:46 PM GMT
Wow. That was a destruction. 107 average, 105 for the tournament. Unreal performance to take his 10th tournament of the year. Truly unreal levels
Report GeorgeBrush November 17, 2024 8:48 PM GMT
Brutal
Report bearcub November 17, 2024 8:56 PM GMT
Nice of him to get it done in time for IAC
Report GeorgeBrush December 9, 2024 7:14 AM GMT
Throw some non believers on the fire
Report GeorgeBrush December 9, 2024 7:17 AM GMT
Guess who was the only one Sally Nugent commented on as the bbc sports guy read them out?
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