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TK
![]() Is this for 1st elim? ![]() Hope you are keeping well |
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Phuck me, been an awful long time, wondered about you many times, welcome back!
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I think he wins at a canter. Bet of the decade at current level.
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Couldn't even win camp leader old chum
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hmm why couldn't he win the camp leader vote?
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Cantering a bit too slowly maybe
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Ghost train, there is no life in it!
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Not sure the camp leader vote is altogether relevant; his position in the market was based on the theory that Brexiteers would turn up nearer the business end but, last night, they weren`t lined up and ready yet, unorganised, unmotivated, probably unaware, not even watching. Not helpful to his chances, but not as fatal as the market thinks
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Nobody had a vote that was organised and prepared last night. Level playing field on which he lost
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Sorry, I now see Cider had already posted the same point in the main thread
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Who knows how many supporters he has, or how many of those will be voting but, if it was a valid theory when he was 7.x, it still is at 26, so one that needs to be factored in. I keep changing my mind, have had him both decent green and max red numerous times, but, at these prices he`s a definite green
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At these prices i see a trade if thats the boat you wanna sail, but winning can't happen. He would get annihilated in the H2H
is 3rd place up for grabs, yes it is..so based on that its not the worse trade attempt at the current prices, he'd probably halve in price if he made the top 3. then halve again in the H2H probably, seems like a lot of hassle may as well dutch top two and guarantee half a point |
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He's also got competition from bellew for the manly man's man vote
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I’ve moved up north in my retirement. It’s not as grim as some people would have you believe.
I’m a huge green on Farage, that drift last night was ridiculous. |
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He has no route to victory from the viewers(see camp leader vote), he would need an external campaign to get flag sh@ggers to down load the app and vote in the correct windows as people leave, this is never going to happen, top 5 is his best result and that is only because we have a camp of dullards!
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The ratings drop and anger he's being edited out will work in your favour, a trade is not out of the realms of reality but i think the kitchen sink is going to be thrown in Sam's direction for the next week or so.
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Better as a Top 3 train, if the theory about his 'support' is true - he might make it to top 3. Even then it's a guess.
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Farage voters don't watch this.
It's bizarre his price moves with edits. His fans either vote or they don't, same as from day one. Tommy Robinson getting arrested has more influence on your chances than Sam being camp leader. |
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Who can be arsed to download the app and vote.
Kids and mems They ain't voting farage, or bellew for that matter |
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Maybe itv will tell them there's a tracking device in theApp
to deter them..... ![]() |
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I wish you the best Kitten but does anybody really want to hear him rant on the hypocrisy of "cultural appropriation"? And I even agree with him btw. He has all his political platforms for that, which most IAC viewers probably sensibly avoid, and watch RTV instead. He said he was going to let people see the "real me". Unfortunately the real him is one dimensional.
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i reckon if farage got to the h2h he's be the same price he is now with all the deramping he will get
just seems pointless backing him |
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The only winner on the farage train is farage and his 1.5 million
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Nigel twitter ramping up the strawmen
... |
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Ignore the little blip on his odds.
I have just laid a bit back to change my green onNigel from “Money beyond my wildest dreams†to “I am considerably richer than youâ€. Still ultra confident though. |
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you have my admiration
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Worth a look……….
https://www.gbnews.com/celebrity/nigel-farage-nick-pickard-im-a-celebrity-trial-grim-gutter-trial?fbclid=IwAR3bRPOoadKUhrbq-LwIiGyOG7Qym9C0nQQ3hY6AinSkP51cuQSs5NOkBE0 |
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Hope you are doing well Kitten? Only me and the from IMAC 2002?
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Wonder if Baloos, myweigh and Izzy Wizzy are still alive and kicking?
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I was around in those days too
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My join date was 16th june 2002, what a shame I didn't see the forum then, could have had an extra few years of winding everyone up
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lol and me, this is my 2nd account..was betting on exchange from day 1 but never knew about the forum for ages.
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sorry stu! The Kitten was The Cat back then and working for SJ if I remember correctly.
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You are correct Clydebank. Happy days!
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what was your earlier name on here army?
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Lou macari iirc
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Hah Lou - where has he gone these days?
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Izzy Wizzy's Christmas Forum meet up at Covent Garden tube station was the stuff of legends.
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