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I’ve decided that we are not really all friends in here because I want YOUR money!
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when tony wins your'll have some
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anyone watching james martin with P Faith on, car crash tv
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she just called a dish, cat sick
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I’m anticipating a big drift on Sam today.
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No different to yesterday then
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no drift on sam coming, when down to final two sam is there and his price will probably be in a range of 1.25-1.3
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I found some AP Farage tokens I forgot about, that was a bonus. A consequence of trying to get anything down on any account possible when there is a big rick.
Does anyone think that the market is wrong and he will be despatched tonight ? |
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Pretty sure he'll be third
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Third, or a squeak at getting 2nd, NFC first (IMO)
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If he's ahead of tony currently, some josie transfer will see to that
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Can we just say, if we didn't think there were insiders on this market, Josies price of 70 would be fairly ridiculous wouldn't it - as the only girl left to vote for in there.
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Should say 100 really, as the LPM
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Ta, I've backed the sam - tony forecast at 7-4 this morning.
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The insider cash paranoia will always hang over this market stu. Long term it's definitely better to respect it, than take prices that look to good to be true. Even tho there have been a few reverses, they are infrequent and you'd go poor trying to find them.
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Just for fun, say Sam got booted tonight…..what price would Nigel be?
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I wouldn't go directly against the most blatant moves yes for sure cider.
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If nigel got booted tonight what price would he be? :)
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I'm almost sure, if/when they get the reads it's about 10-15 minutes after a pv close. Those moves after the first one told us so much. Tony backed in, Same drifted a bit, Josie drifted a bit, Dani went for a massive walk, Marv came in a bit. So I had it 1. Tony, 2. Sam, 3. Josie, 4. Nigel, 5. Marv, 6. Dani.
Tony just had the massive momentum and that might well be the only one he wins. So I backed Sam on the drift. |
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back in the day, cider was a keen BMX rider
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Perhaps indicating that Sam is not in the Harry level of unassailable runners. But obviously if winning every vote bar the first vts, still makes him a heavy fav.
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I haven't been following the elims being hs only, but has every fav won again?
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First 2 lost, the rest were rightly fav
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With no elimination tissue for them on bf the bookmakers will price up the elimination based on the OR market, which only started to reflect the insider money after the first vote out. Not clear if the insiders can play on UK bookies, or could get much down even if they could.
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So yes, no way they could back Frankie on inside info, the next one Fred was hammered, which proved to be correct as he was out next day. Quite possible Nella did enough to switch the order as she had a very positive show indeed that night.
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Christ I must be getting old and they all begin to merge into one! So it went Frankie Nella Fred. Fred was the one smashed in iirc 2nd elim but he had the good show that night, booted next night. Nella was backed in for the first one, and had the good show that night.
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sam swiped 1.49
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Sam the only one without a full on concerted demographic behind him
Tony - only northern runner Josie - only female Nige - brexit Sam - The tw-t vote Don't be shocked |
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_lut_hing at _traw_
Can I have a C and an S please Bradley? |
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YNWA
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clyde, you only ever turn up when someone is heavy odds on..try putting some input in from the start
#boringoldfart |
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Have you solved it yet army?
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no, but you seem to have
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you give me the ammunition, I'll fire the gun
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its clear as crystal the farage backer wants nige 2nd fav for cheap publicity, he can't go after Sam coz he's way to short. 2nd fav is good enough though to keep nige in the public eye and a top news headline.
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lol clyde
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nige 2nd fav is giving him exactly what he wants to have another crack at getting a seat, the price is not real but the publicity he's getting is very real for him and his team.
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Sam's price ties in with massive online support and good poll results, added with he's the most entertaining RTV contestant ever.
joise price is down to a spat with fred, which she got slaughtered for online, and her support in polls and online is non-existent. the insider talk is easily countered |
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people who talk about insiders without getting upset they are destroying the market are most certainly doing it for there own benefit
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