It can be lost on day 1, but not won. Essentially nothing has happened yet that is particularly unexpected. Most likely people following twatter stats. The next few days are key obviously, when they begin to get hungry, jealous and bored, and their guards start to fall. Will it be a happy clappy year, or relentless bickering.

20ish percent is poor probability considering most people think she is the production numero uno. That suggests to me anyway that most serious players feel that she will struggle to win with all the advantages.

I think the market makers only need to watch the edit of josie, coz if it continues in the same vein as it started yesterday, she will be very hard to beat. they really like to plug there chosen ones on a daily bases. once harry started telling stories etc it was every night pimping. think toff had similar treatment, not sure about other good things but its very noticeable.

5 of them are ITV presenters, why do you think Josie is any different?

We were pretty sure that they were sabotaging the trials at one point for example making keys impossible to find for people they were trying to nobble in the pv. It's definitely r1gged to some extent, depending upon who it is. But also, the trials in of themselves don't have the influence they used to, aside from the guaranteed screen time.

josie appears to me the most suitable to get a big gig with a certain type of audience

we've only had a few mins of camp interaction anyway, even the next few edits may not that help coz it will be a reset when frankie and tony arrive. frankie will be as buzzy as sam probably, the market will most likely stay stagnant im guessing for a week. when i looked back its around day 7 onwards the market usually finds a strong fav.

She was a lot younger then JOT and the attention she got from JJ was all she craved, hence leaving UBB so soon. She's media savvy now and looking like she's hungry for a decent career on tv, from yesterday's edit and what they said on TM earlier it certainly looks like the game plan is to ask the questions the audience would like to know. That's an educated guess anyway, her bubbly personality and not taking herself too seriously makes her very easy to get on with. which should allow her to get a lot out of her camp mates.

Thought i heard or read something about her going to be motherly in there but not sure if i imagined that now lol
The weight issues has to make the edit at some point surely you'd think, she will also mention about her make up guard being taken away from her. looking chubby and being vulnerable two massive factors, the storyline all fits i just hope the edit fits.

pepper being robbed was heartbreaking for most of the forum

And Corin Her 3 main challengers ....oh and that Steve fella

Farage smashing trials and winning food for camp makes him settle in easier, there is no big brother to stir the pot. Fred will have to stir it himself

And acting as if he's starring in his own biopic

They should've put someone in to really take him on. Rory stewart would have been a good shout

He's a no-hoper who is providing value to the market

He won't even get many votes from middle-aged people. Sure, there are some die-hard fans and pro-brexiters who have made it their identity, but you could argue that with any of the people in there. Zero motive to note for him

Not much support from the mems.  They're generally less brexity than their grumpy husbands

Is he gonna be like last night ALL the time?  Nobody could stand it

lol brushy, he was awful..surely calms down

just reading something, apparently sam has been quite open about his struggles with ADHD and autism
i had no idea, looks to be getting online hate over being too enthusiastic

Sam is not a one trick poney. He is 1.01 to show his vulnerable side and have quiet moments when he struggles

As a child, how many autistic children did you know? When I was young, the rate was 1 in 1,000. Then, they started adminstering the mumps, measles and rubella jabs in the one shot, rather than separately. Autism rates have since gone up to as many as 1 in 37...

Many people believe that the Dec 2019 election was a de facto 2nd/3rd EU referendum, which won Johnson a landslide victory on the back of 'get brexit done' and Farage pulling out of Tory seats. It was a while ago now tbf, but I doubt all the people who were a small part of achieving that landslide in the name of brexit are all dead. However, whether they will be bothered enough in large numbers to install the app and vote on this nonsense on a daily basis is definitely open to question. To be able to have a chance of winning, my view is that NF needs to swing some of the more neutral voters his way. Therefore it will take more than what he did on the first broadcast.

Lifter, it's the hardcore remainers who made it their identity after doing their best to prevent a democratic mandate from being enacted (the largest one in the country's history). EU flags in profiles, you know the sort of thing. Literally made it their identity! Many of them are still pretty salty even now, and you know still quite disparaging about those who defeated them over 8 years ago. FBPE types won't be voting for NF on this to win of course, whatever he does, in the real world however they are a tiny minority. They are well represented on twatter/x, so I wouldn't recommend taking that as in being any way representative (if that's forming part of your analysis).