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Lifter
18 Nov 18 18:57
Joined:
Date Joined: 19 Sep 14
| Topic/replies: 10,196 | Blogger: Lifter's blog
Sticking my neck out here and calling James the winner before launch night.. let's hope I dont get egg on my face!

Been backing all week between 5s and 6. LPM @ 5.7

So, why do I rate James? Despite not many of us on here knowing who he is, James actually has a large fanbase that are waiting to vote. His band, The Vamps, has 4m twitter followers, and they are already making their support known.

Even taking away his fanbase I still think he would go very close. In a camp of big egos and arguing, James will be the friendly, funny, charming lad that the viewers will grow to love. Whether his price will drift or contract over the next few days is a lottery, but 5700% is good with me.

GL all!
Pause Switch to Standard View *** King James McVey - Keep it simple...
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Report Lifter November 25, 2018 10:27 PM GMT
Hes the younger version of Nick.
Report Lifter November 26, 2018 9:13 PM GMT
Today's show marks the start to his run - 36s in amazing value
Report blunder November 27, 2018 2:18 PM GMT
Almost every winner is humorous, James simply isn't. You appear to be another ramper like Hemsby and Armagnac.Quite simply ,
you've done your money already ,feel free to ram these words down my throat if I'm wrong !
Report bearcub November 27, 2018 2:36 PM GMT
blunder must be having a shocker Sad
Report lookingon November 27, 2018 2:43 PM GMT
Sad
Report Lifter November 27, 2018 2:44 PM GMT

Nov 27, 2018 -- 2:18PM, blunder wrote:


Almost every winner is humorous, James simply isn't. You appear to be another ramper like Hemsby and Armagnac.Quite simply ,you've done your money already ,feel free to ram these words down my throat if I'm wrong !


I've openly admitted that my pre-launch backing was foolish.

I'm not just trying to "ramp", I genuingly believe(d) that his price is value with who was ahead of him in the market. There is always hope that one big moment comes along, but yes, he looks to have blown it now.

Report bearcub November 27, 2018 2:48 PM GMT
He's blown his chances of FOTY

Foolish, just plain foolish Cry
Report Lifter November 27, 2018 2:56 PM GMT
I'll think you'll find that was already up in smokes after the cbb Dan train
Report hemsby November 27, 2018 10:05 PM GMT
New addition to the FOTY market

blunder = 1,000,000,000,000,000,000 /1  Angry
Report armagnac November 27, 2018 10:06 PM GMT
Laugh
Report CLYDEBANK29 November 28, 2018 10:14 AM GMT
I need to thank whoever backed him off the boards once the line ups were confirmed.  I'd made him pre show fave and was going to back him with the bookies.  Managed £65 on him   before I realised there was a Betfair market and it was an arb so decided not to back him again.  Next thing I know he was down to 5/1.  Nice lad, too nice really, which makes him dull and uninteresting.
Report J.O.TOBIN. November 28, 2018 3:43 PM GMT
CryCry
Report Libertine93 December 3, 2018 11:11 PM GMT
Bump
Report five leaves left December 3, 2018 11:16 PM GMT
Our Posh boy is coming with a good run Cool
Report scampi December 4, 2018 2:15 AM GMT
Dougie Howser Mark II (oops I meant Dougie Poynter) :)
Report scampi December 4, 2018 2:20 AM GMT
More than any other show "Nice" wins when the numbers thin out. Ant [or Holly Willobooby] & Dec can usually arrange that.
Report CLYDEBANK29 December 4, 2018 9:11 AM GMT
I think if he had just a little bit more about him he would make the top 3.  Just don't think there's enough about him or he's done enough to entertain.  He might be the nicest camp mate but they are all nice this year really.
Report CLYDEBANK29 December 4, 2018 9:14 AM GMT
Bring back Lady C, Duncan Bannatyne, David VD, and resurrect Eric Bristow.
Report Lifter December 4, 2018 9:23 AM GMT
Yeah I orginally backed him because his niceness and the core vote. Problem is everyone's nice this year, and there are so many loud extroverts. Still my biggest green. You can do it James!
Report Libertine93 December 4, 2018 9:45 AM GMT
While I think everyone is nice this year, a lot of them have done things to undermine that. Harry slating nick will have put some people off, fleur and Emily just seem to annoy a lot of people, some people don’t like that Anne won’t do trials. John can be annoying also and a bit try hard. Nick seems a bit serious and also a bit try hard. Rita can also be annoying. I think James is the least offensive. His problem is that he seems to lack any sort of personality.
He needs to have some good, funny moments and I think he becomes a contender.
Report Libertine93 December 5, 2018 10:19 PM GMT
One of 3 not to be B2 yet
Report Lifter December 5, 2018 10:23 PM GMT
Obvious he would make it this far (and further imo). Betting market has just never agreed.
Report Libertine93 December 5, 2018 10:33 PM GMT
Second coming of Dougie
Report armagnac December 5, 2018 10:42 PM GMT
Looks the value and no reason why he can’t do a dougie, literally two peas in the pod

Emily, fleur and John are all seriously annoying, and Nick is a self righteous pr1ck

James due a trial also, a complete no brainer at the prices

Ere we again 4th time lucky Excited
Report Lifter December 5, 2018 10:44 PM GMT
The cluelessness of the market makes it imppossible to trade. Will just have to go for the win. Although, he'll be shorter if in the final 2 obviously.
Report armagnac December 5, 2018 10:47 PM GMT
.
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.thesun.co.uk/tvandshowbiz/7909315/im-a-celeb-james-mcvey-giving-food-to-harry-redknapp/amp/
Report Libertine93 December 5, 2018 10:48 PM GMT
I think James will trade in single figures before we are done. Especially when we get an Emily Fleur B2 tomorrow
Report Lifter December 5, 2018 10:51 PM GMT

Dec 5, 2018 -- 10:47PM, armagnac wrote:


.https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.thesun.co.uk/tvandshowbiz/7909315/im-a-celeb-james-mcvey-giving-food-to-harry-redknapp/amp/


All of this we are never shown. I've said the whole time he romps it if shown as much as Fleur, Emily etc..

Report armagnac December 5, 2018 10:51 PM GMT
The young man is fishing in a pond of one, good enough for me
Decent young males have a great record
Report bearcub December 5, 2018 10:57 PM GMT
CryCryCry
Report armagnac December 5, 2018 10:58 PM GMT
Gotta be in it to win it bear, anything can happen in RTV
Does look value for a place
Report THEMONEYSHOT December 5, 2018 11:00 PM GMT
Cool
Report armagnac December 6, 2018 12:02 AM GMT
With Noel going in what most said was a shock and now Anne going, you gotta think phone votes are not touching the sides against the 5 free votes.
Gotta think nick or John goes tomorrow if that’s the case, especially if bottom was right tonight
Hopefully gives James two edits to shine, needs a mem moment coz he’s not winning any entertaining votes but neither did dougie.
Best Hope here is 2nd place and trade out I guess unless Harry gets carried out
Report armagnac December 6, 2018 11:04 AM GMT
So we know with these shows the ‘nice’ vote is often very strong, unlike Anne James has actually smashed the trials so maybe I’m on the right track here lol
Fair to say James is the most likely to benefit the most from Anne’s elimination as well
Apart from Harry the other 4 are extremely marmite with the audience, Nick for being up himself and the other three just really try hard and annoying.
James apart from genuine and nice is also a big default runner imo

James has also been giving up food for Harry to eat more, in the queue for the pub it didn’t go unnoticed how James was wiping the bugs off Harry, again looking after him, it appears they have struck up quite a Bond we’ve not really been shown.
It appears they have the best friendship in camp, which hopefully we’ll now see with just 6 left, hopefully anyone voting Harry will now throw one or two votes James way to.

Another thing worth noting is James bandmates who are begging for votes constantly, have a vast network with one band member from Birmingham, another from Edinburgh, one from Exeter while James has connections to Chester and Bournemouth.

As boring as James is, his potential vote has a great deal of diversity with the last added bonus he’s a mems perfect son

C’mon lad get me out of the poop with a run up the rail Love
Report mach December 6, 2018 11:48 AM GMT
James doing the trial but he is wearing a costume so it could be anyonePlain
Report armagnac December 6, 2018 11:51 AM GMT
This story getting good coverage, needs to make the edit now

.
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.mirror.co.uk/3am/celebrity-news/im-celebrity-james-mcvey-secretly-13695032.amp
Report Libertine93 December 6, 2018 12:46 PM GMT
If the market thinks James can’t win, Harry should be 1.01 cos none of the other runners have a chance
Report Lifter December 6, 2018 12:50 PM GMT

Dec 6, 2018 -- 12:46PM, Libertine93 wrote:


If the market thinks James can’t win, Harry should be 1.01 cos none of the other runners have a chance


yep!

Report Lifter December 6, 2018 12:50 PM GMT
Harry, James, Emily - Final three
Report Libertine93 December 6, 2018 1:07 PM GMT
Spot on lifter
Report armagnac December 6, 2018 1:56 PM GMT
It’s gotta be a pretty rare scenario where the pre show fav is now 5th fav of 6 having not put a foot out of place and is clearly the least attention seeking and the nicest camp mate.
It’s a shame we don’t have the prices for dougie throughout the final wee, although they are probably buried in the threads somewhere
Report Lifter December 6, 2018 3:16 PM GMT
Just looked through old pages - Seems Dougie hit 15s during that year, but it was full of no hopers. In the final, Mark was 1.3 and Dougie was 4s, despite Dougie romping the polls.
Report armagnac December 6, 2018 3:30 PM GMT
Good work lifter
Was a weak year yes
Let’s hope James can get some quality airtime in, to give us a chance
Report armagnac December 6, 2018 4:58 PM GMT
Just downloaded Lorraine from this morning, big point made of how James is wasting away coz he’s been giving away half his food to Harry, usually when something has leaked like this and gets lots of media attention it’s usually verified by being shown in the edit.
Fingers crossed it all comes out tonight
Report armagnac December 6, 2018 5:07 PM GMT
Host of rags now jumped on this story, great comments here for James

.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-6467479/Im-Celebritys-James-McVey-sharing-meals-ailing-Harry-Redknapp.html?ico=amp-comments-viewall#comments-6467479


Just started to get appreciation on DS TIBB and FaceBook as well

He’s definitely coming with a decent run, just need this story to make main show now
Report mach December 6, 2018 5:11 PM GMT
Army,  do you crash a train every day?  Or just most days?
Report armagnac December 6, 2018 5:15 PM GMT
Lifter

A bit of sh1t has found its way onto the track, it needs removing Angry
Report bearcub December 6, 2018 5:26 PM GMT
Army going for the record of most trains crashed in a week

Tbf he's a job on his hands to beat his old record Cool
Report armagnac December 6, 2018 5:28 PM GMT
This can crash and burn as long as it gets to one station from home
Report armagnac December 6, 2018 6:49 PM GMT
Production have thrown everything into Emily and fleur of late to make this some sought of competition, both have failed miserably. Think it’s about time they give nice lad James a big push Wink
Report armagnac December 6, 2018 7:13 PM GMT
Trial and dingo apparently

.
https://mobile.twitter.com/TheVampsJames/status/1070756402728071168
Report armagnac December 6, 2018 7:17 PM GMT
537 likes in 9 mins Excited
This is more like it
Report armagnac December 6, 2018 7:27 PM GMT
Fluer looking the value to go, think grumpy Nick will last another show
Report Henry VIII December 6, 2018 9:33 PM GMT

Dec 6, 2018 -- 3:16PM, Lifter wrote:


Just looked through old pages - Seems Dougie hit 15s during that year, but it was full of no hopers. In the final, Mark was 1.3 and Dougie was 4s, despite Dougie romping the polls.


I didn't see that one. Why was Mark 1.3 if Dougie was romping the polls?

Report Jack Bauer '24' December 6, 2018 9:42 PM GMT
I seem to recall Mark trading around 1.22
Report timbuctooth December 6, 2018 10:08 PM GMT
Specials markets are the most clueless markets ever known to mankind. That`s why, Henry.
Report Libertine93 December 6, 2018 10:18 PM GMT
King James rolls on
Report ahorsewithnoname December 6, 2018 10:21 PM GMT
Henry - My memory, although it might be wrong, was that Mark was rammed down our throats all series pretty much like Fleur but polls had them pretty close by the end
Report Jack Bauer '24' December 6, 2018 10:24 PM GMT
That's right.
Report Lifter December 6, 2018 10:27 PM GMT
Our gent climbs to 3rd fav Love
Report Lifter December 6, 2018 10:28 PM GMT
"James will be the friendly, funny, charming lad that the viewers will grow to love" - keyword in the OP is "grow"
Report armagnac December 6, 2018 10:36 PM GMT
Get through tomorrow and surely James will take pimp in the cyclone trial, as long as feck face fleur goes, as she’ll want to do whole thing herself
Report scampi December 6, 2018 10:56 PM GMT
Yeah I was worried Bleur was gonna push James off the bridge so she could do today's Up High Trial by herself.
Report armagnac December 6, 2018 10:59 PM GMT
Fleur should be 100/1 in OR, her anti vote will be massive
Report armagnac December 6, 2018 11:06 PM GMT
James fav to go is an insult to intelligence
He’s a massive default choice if you don’t like loud and annoying
Emily, John and feck face fleur are all fishing in the same pond
Nice lad James cruises through surely
Report Lifter December 6, 2018 11:21 PM GMT
It's been that way the whole series. Nick at 4s, Fleur at 4s etc.. Yet James at 100s
Report Libertine93 December 6, 2018 11:41 PM GMT
Let’s not also forget that the vamps have a 4 million strong twitter following. 9 million votes in the final last year. App gives you 5 free votes. If 1/4 of vamps twitter followers vote he wins. That without any non twitter followers.
Report Lifter December 6, 2018 11:46 PM GMT
Alone he has 1.77m twitter followers. Although to be fair, not all of them are in the UK.
Report Libertine93 December 6, 2018 11:48 PM GMT
I have seen people sharing a way for non uk residents to vote. Don’t worry about that lifter.
Report Lifter December 6, 2018 11:49 PM GMT
Shocked
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 12:15 AM GMT
Awwww

.
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/metro.co.uk/2018/12/06/im-celebritys-james-mcvey-bandmates-worried-stars-drastic-weight-loss-8218261/amp/
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 12:17 AM GMT
Looks like we have a new journey runner Love

.
https://mobile.twitter.com/TheVampsJames/status/1070812930978078720
Report MythicalMadMan December 7, 2018 1:03 AM GMT
Tinchy was the standout in terms of getting votes from twitter from non show watchers ever (in my book at least)

So if you compared his twitter to his vote percentage you might be able to get a semi accurate number of what votes James might garner from his twitter following (but you would have to minus a certain percentage given he is british and would have more followers who watch the show then tinchy had)
Report Libertine93 December 7, 2018 9:09 AM GMT
James McAvoy favourite for 7th elimination. Thought Noel was the only late entrant this year?
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 9:52 AM GMT
The vamps were on GMB this morning talking about James
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 9:54 AM GMT
.
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.thesun.co.uk/tvandshowbiz/7921214/james-mcvey-praised-vamp-bandmates-harry-redknapp/amp/
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 9:58 AM GMT
Looks like they are trying to get the message out he’s selfless for giving Harry half his food and what good mates they’ve become
Prods are gonna have to show this ffs
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 10:00 AM GMT
Drummer Tristan Evans revealed: “I think it’s that Harry doesn’t like the meat.

“I love the relationship they have, it’s so good. I never thought they’d be friends, Harry Redknapp and James McVey.”

Before adding: ” He’s a lovely lad, he’s been so genuine. He is selfless. Please support him.”

LaughLaugh
Report Henry VIII December 7, 2018 10:56 AM GMT

Dec 6, 2018 -- 10:08PM, timbuctooth wrote:


Specials markets are the most clueless markets ever known to mankind. That`s why, Henry.


True but it's worth looking into it if the result is miles from the polls.

Report Henry VIII December 7, 2018 10:59 AM GMT
Tim what do you think the market's veiw of Harry? Fair price imo.
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 11:06 AM GMT
stick to the topic please
Report Henry VIII December 7, 2018 11:07 AM GMT

Dec 6, 2018 -- 10:21PM, ahorsewithnoname wrote:


Henry - My memory, although it might be wrong, was that Mark was rammed down our throats all series pretty much like Fleur but polls had them pretty close by the end


Thanks Horse, I would have expected that. Markets and polls can be wrong but they're not usually massively out of step with each other.

However handsome and sociable Mark is he has the "Essex" problem ie accent, no talent, not real job, which might have retarded him slightly, just preventing the win.

I've been trying to look for ways for Harry to lose it away but can't find any. He must be tired, hungry and grumpy by now but he knows how to keep control to win this and a bit of grumpyness will not scratch him anyway. Will be one of their landslide winners imo.

If there was a move for 2nd (but no further) I could imagine it coming from James. I think IAC would quite like one of them to break from the pack to make a (at least a half hearted) challenge to Harry.

Report Henry VIII December 7, 2018 11:09 AM GMT

Dec 7, 2018 -- 11:06AM, armagnac wrote:


stick to the topic please


I think it is the topic as we're looking at what if James is T2. But I've said my piece Happy

Report timbuctooth December 7, 2018 11:11 AM GMT
Yep, agreed; I`m not feeling inclined to either back or lay 1.4, it seems pretty much spot on to me.
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 11:12 AM GMT
ok cool, thought it going off tangent
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 11:18 AM GMT
if james gets the push Emily and fleur have had he'll come 2nd, I think that's a given..its whether his dullness can fit into the edit to make it appealing.
hes supposed to be fun, jovial etc..well lets see it and see his selflessness, viewers are sick of the screeching girls
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 11:40 AM GMT
james had a battle with anorexia which is hitting the headlines via his bandmates
they've certainly thrown there weight behind him, hes desperately missing his girlfriend from what nick just said on itv as well.
although nick wasn't very helpful after initially saying he wanted james to win (after harry and fluer) he also mentioned james wants to leave coz hes missing his girlfriend, for the sake of a few more days im sure james would rather stay to try and win.

nick just being a bellend there
Report Libertine93 December 7, 2018 12:10 PM GMT
One thing I will say about the polls is that I have been unable to find a decent one. Tell mix opens at the beginning of the show and stays open so if people change their mind it doesn’t show, you can maybe do checks each day and measure change but even then I don’t think the sample size is big enough. You also have to take into account who does the polls, I’m not sure myself what sort of demographic would vote in polls but I’m sure it doesn’t capture the full spectrum of voters.
The only other poll I’ve found is DS and they had Iain Lee as their winner last year. If they couldn’t predict Toff who absolutely romped it I can’t Really trust it.
I think Facebook top comments and twitter usage is a better gauge but even that is flawed due to demographics.
I think there’s a place for SM and polls but I wouldn’t want to rely on them solely. Need to balance it with what you see.
Personally I think Harry wins by default, Em, Fleur and John are all annoying (I actually don’t find Em annoying but whatever, people do), James just hasn’t done enough so Harry wins.
I don’t think it’s a landslide though, he’s no Toff. Toff has Fleur levels of coverage but was great with it. Harry last couple of weeks has been a non event, he’s riding off week 1 and he’s shown a bit of a nasty streak as well where as Toff was flawless. I think Harry is likely on 40% of the vote with 5 horses and gets to about 70% at 2 horses. I think James is capable of taking it at the line but will need some serious push to make it happen
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 1:05 PM GMT
.
https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=vamps+you+tube+good+morning+britain&view=detail&mid=6466AB069CCC549C2B836466AB069CCC549C2B83&FORM=VIRE
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 1:06 PM GMT
not sure that worked

google vamps youtube goodmorning britain
full video up
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 1:26 PM GMT
james is one of those runners who shine late on, as the others have all looked desperate before him.
portions of the audience are now seeing how lovely he is, just gotta hope its enough with 10 million watching
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 3:31 PM GMT
if there is any justice, you'd think production would be heavily pushing james for a decent finish after what he's done for harry all series
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 5:00 PM GMT
some great positive comments here

.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-6470979/James-McVeys-bandmates-confess-theyre-worried-dramatic-weight-loss-Im-Celebrity.html#comments
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 10:21 PM GMT
SUNK
where's the emily train Devil
Report Libertine93 December 7, 2018 10:22 PM GMT
I completely blame you for this Army, what’s the opposite of a Midas touch?
Report bearcub December 7, 2018 10:23 PM GMT
Is that 5 trains you've crashed this series army Sad
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 10:26 PM GMT
yup bring back bb ffs Cry
Report Libertine93 December 7, 2018 10:27 PM GMT
Start a harry train
Report armagnac December 7, 2018 10:30 PM GMT
not even I can stop him Sad
Report scampi December 8, 2018 12:33 AM GMT
Complaining about " earning ONLY £250,000  in one year" (Jame's words) never a good move :( 

IF he was a gameplayer he might have had a chance (he was too honest for his own good for us backers) :(
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