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Eurovision 2018 - The road to the Altice Arena, Lisbon, Portugal, chat + news thread starts here.
Eurovision 2018 - The road to the Altice Arena, Lisbon, Portugal, chat + news thread starts here.
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France draw first half for grandfinal.
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Daily Press Poll 2018: Results from day 8 of rehearsals: https://www.escxtra.com/2018/05/06/daily-eurovision-press-poll-day-8/
How it works After the conclusion of today’s rehearsals, we asked 35 members of the press to rate today’s performances based on their rehearsals rather than by their favourite songs. To do this, each press member chose their top 3 performances and we allocated 5 points to their favourite, 3 points to their second favourite and 1 point to their third favourite. Daily Press Poll 2018: Day 8 results The full results of the eighth day of ESCXTRA’s Daily Press Poll 2018 are as follows: 110 France 063 Germany 056 Spain 050 Italy 029 Portugal 025 United Kingdom |
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Italy draw second half for grandfinal.
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Looking forward to seeing this Belarus staging. :) Cheers Corby. ;)
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Thanks Corby
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Many thanks for your months of updates on the thread Corbs.
Must be a labour of love to put the effort into doing this year on year.Greatly appreciated by everyone on the forum. |
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5/6 of the big five in the first half then, odd drawing!
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lol odd writing from me too, 4/5 of course, + Portugal
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i thought finland, moldova and germany were all worth keeping an eye on
moldovo's a bit weird and probably not strong enough but the other two could out run current odds, hard to beat israel if she performs though |
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No links for tonight's Jury votes? :)
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Daily Press Poll 2018: Results from the Eurovision SEMI-FINAL 1 JURY SHOW: https://www.escxtra.com/2018/05/07/press-poll-2018-semi-1-jury-show/
How it works After the conclusion of today’s jury rehearsal, we asked 35 members of the press to rate today’s performances. To do this, each press member chose their top 3 performances and we allocated 5 points to their favourite, 3 points to their second favourite and 1 point to their third favourite. Daily Press Poll 2018: Day 9 results The full results of ESCXTRA’s Daily Press Poll 2018 after this evening’s jury rehearsal are as follows: 103 Cyprus 067 Lithuania 027 Switzerland 022 Estonia 020 Bulgaria 014 Czech Republic 012 Finland 011 Ireland 010 Azerbaijan 008 Albania 007 Austria 004 Israel 003 Belgium 002 Armenia 002 Croatia 002 Greece 001 FYR Macedonia 000 Belarus 000 Iceland |
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So Cyprus won the Jury vote....
When will the points be leaked?... |
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Cyprus now fave LPM 4.1
Israel LPM 5.5 |
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No one knows who won tonight's jury vote unless an insider knows and it gets leaked.
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Just looking at market here , wtf israel now 5 .4
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That's it Corby.
I would be surprised if an insider DIDN'T leak some info. I always expected Netta not to win the Jury vote but to win the Televote. |
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Cheers again for all the great work Corbs
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Top 5 on Esctracker.com right now.
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Top 5 on Esctracker.com right now.
1. Cyprus 2. Austria 3. Ireland 4. Lithuania 5. Israel |
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@timbuctooth Did you get my pm regards Cyprus Top 4? I will have small wager on this if you haven't done so but if there is no value on that then instead i will go with Moldova Top 10. Only a tiny wager, nothing elaborate. Thanks.
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Elise said: “moldovo's a bit weird and probably not strong enough”
Most of the market has been asleep with respect to Moldova IMHO. Matched at 1000 before rehearsals, it was trading at the 80-100 level over the week end. Odds halved again after semi-final 1 despite Moldova not being in it. This looks like the proverbial falling sword – unwise to get in its way, at least until after semi-final 2 broadcast tomorrow. The clues are out there. Watch the instinctive body language in the press room during the first run of their first rehearsal. Note how long it takes the guys in the video to react positively – about a second, and it doesn’t let up. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hYnZX_tRjUE&t=93m30s |
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Why the big drift on Estonia?
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Irelands best entry for years, well worth an e/way punt
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In such a weak semi I wouldn't be surprised if Moldova won.
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Corby; just replied.
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Herro sausages!
For me Italy could be the dark horse of this year, a passionately performed song with a message of defiance and hope which they will translate to the viewers using onscreen lyrics (and images) from 15 different languages. They name drop cities which have been affected by terrorism, project images of war, suffering, children and hope in some of the lyrics. A very powerful package imo. Judging by the current state of the market this is an extremely open year, and it wouldn’t surprise me if something like Italy is able to sneak into the mix with a song and performance that can strike a chord with many viewers. At the odds (50s on the exchange and 40 on the high street) I think it's a better value bet than most of the dross that is occupying the upper regions of the market. |
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Daily Press Poll 2018: Results from the Eurovision SEMI-FINAL 2 JURY SHOW: https://www.escxtra.com/2018/05/09/press-poll-2018-semi-2-jury-show/
How it works After the conclusion of today’s jury rehearsal, we asked 35 members of the press to rate today’s performances. To do this, each press member chose their top 3 performances and we allocated 5 points to their favourite, 3 points to their second favourite and 1 point to their third favourite. Daily Press Poll 2018: Day 11 results The full results of ESCXTRA’s Daily Press Poll 2018 after this evening’s jury rehearsal are as follows: 079 Hungary 038 Sweden 030 Malta 030 Ukraine 027 Slovenia 025 Norway 019 Denmark 017 Moldova 016 Australia 008 Russia 007 Georgia 006 Latvia 005 Poland 005 Montenegro 004 Serbia 004 San Marino 003 The Netherlands 000 Romania |
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when i said not strong enough and a bit weird i was more thinking for the overall win, i still thought it was over priced and worth watching as per the other two also, all 3 did shorten a bit, the whole thing feels a bit up in the air to me, i'm not convinced the win market has this right
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Yes, Italy should walk it if it was just down to the song and performance but I think we know that these days it isn't that straightforward. That's why I suggested playing the top 10 market. You could have got a little 11/4 and plenty of 5/2. Basically, any odds against was good. That would have more than covered a little dabble in the outright market. It is hard to believe it isn't favourite in the Big 5 market as well. The French put a lot of effort into their selection (unlike the UK) but despite what the odds might suggest ended up with something that isn't in the same league.
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The German song sounds very similar to a well known recent song. Its bugging me what it is. Anyone hear the same and if so what song is it. Remember the year the linnets was the same as every breath you take.
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Running order for the Grand final: https://eurovision.tv/story/exclusive-running-order-eurovision-2018-grand-final
01. Ukraine 02. Spain 03. Slovenia 04. Lithuania 05. Austria 06. Estonia 07. Norway 08. Portugal — break position 09. United Kingdom 10. Serbia 11. Germany 12. Albania 13. France 14. Czech Republic 15. Denmark 16. Australia — break position 17. Finland 18. Bulgaria 19. Moldova 20. Sweden 21. Hungary 22. Israel 23. The Netherlands 24. Ireland 25. Cyprus 26. Italy So Israel gets slot 22 between Hungary and The Netherlands whilst Cyprus gets slot 25 between Ireland and Italy. |
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Your top three. Im going for Cyprus Germany France.
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My prediction is that this could be one of the most open results we have had in years and with 26 runners should be 8/1 the field at this stage. Organisers have contrived to put the favourite in a prime penultimate slot but it is no 11/8 shot. She could fall over her fake lashes, hair extensions or her lips could explode. There are some strong performers and I think Europe might give it to Australia this year; it was a jt favourite not so long ago and now lingers around 100/1 having touched 300/1 because of a poor rehearsal (allegedly). I don't see Europe giving votes to Germany or France whatever the song is. I guess it depends who ends up watching for the final tele vote but Czech, Finland, Sweden and Holland all have a good chance imvho. Australia is the neutral vote and that's why I think it might nick it with a good slot before second break.
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Esctracker top 10 right now:
1. Cyprus 2. Austria 3. Sweden 4. Australia 5. Ireland 6. Denmark 7. France 8. Czech Republic 9. Israel 10. Germany |
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"The most successful running order position in terms of the number of wins at the Eurovision Song Contest Final is quite clearly the 17th position in the Final running order"
https://adriankavanagh.com/2017/05/12/the-eurovision-song-contest-final-the-luck-of-the-draw-or-the-running-order/ 7 winners drawn 17 - Saaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaara Altoooooooooooooooooooooo |
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No act won final from 25th or 26th position either, from same blog:-
No act has ever won a Eurovision contest (either a Final or a semi-final) from the “dreaded” 2nd position in the contest running order. The same rule also applies in the case of acts that have performed from the 25th and 26th positions in the contest running order, as well as acts that have performed from 16th position in the Final running order (although one act – Finland in 2006 – has won a semi-final from this position in the contest running order). |
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Australia won't be winning anything on the strength of that last night.
She was all over the shop. Can anyone explain WTF is going on with Ireland????? Some charge on it!!! |
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I think the Ireland song is one of the best and was overpriced at 100(easy to say now)
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100?
It was 1000 a while back...  |