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timbuctooth
10 Jan 17 11:56
Joined:
Date Joined: 11 Jun 12
| Topic/replies: 22,876 | Blogger: timbuctooth's blog
Only got one point to make; four days left, four days for C5 to protect there reportedly most expensive signing, Ray. Given that he`s not done much more than sleep, I`m not entirely sure they`ll actually want to save him, but protecting their most expensive asset is what they tend to do, at least for the first few evictions. Therefore, I think we can expect to see more of him over these few days, but at the expense of whom?

Can`t really see them shifting Speidi or Austin, Stacy`s been getting involved and brings plenty of potential to future house dynamics leaving just Angie and James C. She, at least short term, provides a slightly different angle than we usually have with the Mother/Son thing, and is a best-priced 3/1 on the HS. Cosmo has brought zero except for a reputation, is most unlikely to bring anything in the future, and is behaving like a typical cheque-thief. So, with 12/1 from Laddies available, he`s the value call, as C5 will find it very easy to keep him hidden for four days, four days during which the GBP will be ever more forgetful of his reputation, and unforgiving for his invisibility. Got a bit of 16, which I think is excellent value, particularly if we ignore the only bit of evidence in his favour, the polls.
But since when did we believe polls?
Pause • Switch to Standard View CBB, 1st eviction
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Report timbuctooth • January 11, 2017 12:48 AM GMT
Someone here offering the £45 at 12.0 on Cosmo to go? I`m there at 16.5, meet at 14.5?
Report Spinoza's Ethic • January 11, 2017 12:49 AM GMT
No Cosmo at the slumber party with just 3 places left...Another no show from our reticent hero?
Report George Bailey • January 11, 2017 12:49 AM GMT
Fine by me that's my £2 at 14s Laugh
Report George Bailey • January 11, 2017 12:51 AM GMT
Serioulsy where is Bianca? Not seen her in ages but I am multi tasking so might have missed her
Report Spinoza's Ethic • January 11, 2017 12:54 AM GMT
Cosmo got an invite
Report timbuctooth • January 11, 2017 12:55 AM GMT
13 was available for a minute.
Really torn about taking the 12.0, but trying to be professional, and not to cross the spread. If he wasn`t already my biggest ever potential eviction payout, I`d be weakening, for sure.We really should be taking as much value as our bankroll allows, but take too much of it, and one day you`ll get it wrong and have no bankroll. Quandaries, quandaries...
Report timbuctooth • January 11, 2017 1:05 AM GMT
GB2; is that really your £2 at 14?  You`re not a bad chap, and I got £20 unexpectedly matched at 14 an hour ago so if it`s yours, I`m happy to lay it for you?
Report timbuctooth • January 11, 2017 1:14 AM GMT
Has Austin`s tantrums and subsequent humiliation opened his eyes to the fact that his plan wasn`t really working? Certainly looked that way on lf, and he might be on his way back with new and improved tactics.
Report George Bailey • January 11, 2017 1:15 AM GMT
Not really bothered tim but thanks for the offer. Had £3 matched at 14s for an interest.
Report George Bailey • January 11, 2017 1:18 AM GMT
It ended with him and JJ thick as thieves...its all a game
Report timbuctooth • January 11, 2017 1:22 AM GMT
Well, let`s hope you can retrieve your mojo with a 14.0 winner!
Report George Bailey • January 11, 2017 1:22 AM GMT
11s after PC Sad
Report timbuctooth • January 11, 2017 1:30 AM GMT
Do what I do; lose all your RTV winnings by getting bored about this time of night, and laying Correct Scores in the South American football. PC problem solved!
Report timbuctooth • January 11, 2017 11:35 AM GMT
Can`t quite distinguish between the red and black on the graph, but it looks like James was matched at 4.0 this morning? If so, we`re at least approaching the `true` price.
Report mach • January 11, 2017 12:42 PM GMT
I laid that Cool
Report timbuctooth • January 11, 2017 12:48 PM GMT
Shrewdie!!!
Report Henry VIII • January 11, 2017 12:53 PM GMT
After 1966 Paul McCartney's music was completely changed leading to people thinking he had died and been replaced. In the same vein I'm wondering if Army has taken over Tim's account.

McCartney also became taller and with a longer head. Someone familiar with Tim's (prior) appearance should check up on him.
Report bearcub • January 11, 2017 1:27 PM GMT
Laugh
Report timbuctooth • January 11, 2017 1:46 PM GMT
Not the first time someone has suggested that, Henry. I think of army more as a sledgehammer, to my scalpel. He`s far more incessant; I just try to pretend I`m clever, by using bigger words.
Report Henry VIII • January 12, 2017 2:00 PM GMT
http://www.oddschecker.com/tips/tv/big-brother/20170112-celebrity-big-brothe...
Report Spinoza's Ethic • January 12, 2017 2:17 PM GMT
"She (Angie) referred to the CBB audience as “not very intelligent” on the live feed."

Whereas Cosmo said that Tony the Pony was brighter than the housemates.

Cherry-picking.
Report Henry VIII • January 12, 2017 2:34 PM GMT
Well I don't know the importance but the counter to that is that the audience are voting, not the housemates.
Report bearcub • January 12, 2017 2:44 PM GMT
I agree with H. I don't see any problem with what Cosmo said
Report Spinoza's Ethic • January 12, 2017 5:31 PM GMT
My point is that both comments suggest an attitude of superiority.
Report bearcub • January 12, 2017 6:13 PM GMT
He's The Lord Commander Cool
Report Spinoza's Ethic • January 12, 2017 6:16 PM GMT
Good point, well-made. I retract.
Report jollyswagman • January 12, 2017 6:36 PM GMT
i dont thinke army as taken over tim's acount, the speling wood give the game awaye Shocked
Report sofiakenny • January 12, 2017 10:23 PM GMT
really?Laugh
Report mach • January 12, 2017 11:05 PM GMT
I'm not going to have Angie green for the eviction, I don't think she will get votes from Calum fans but we know  older women are much more likely to pay to vote than younger women, So if just some of these women identify with Angie and like the fact that she is bossy and takes no sh1t she has a chance to survive in a five way elimination.
I dislike Angie, but I'm not part of the demographic that pays to vote in RTV shows.
Report bearcub • January 12, 2017 11:31 PM GMT
Angie voted biggest nightmare to live with
Report mach • January 12, 2017 11:54 PM GMT
VTS with five up, 15% is probably enough, she has had plenty of air time
Report bearcub • January 12, 2017 11:57 PM GMT
She'll be lucky to get 1%
Report bearcub • January 12, 2017 11:58 PM GMT
Even 'our Tim' has tipped her Cool
Report mach • January 13, 2017 12:23 AM GMT
just because Angie is most likely to go it does not maker her a 1.5 - 1.6 on shot, I would have the correct price closer to 1.7 - 1.8
Report Henry VIII • January 13, 2017 9:55 AM GMT
I wouldn’t be shocked at any of the 5 going. Less chance of James or Speidi imo but could easily be any of the other 3.

Angie
Odds-on fav. Of a type that do poorly but may still have more supporters than the following two.

Stacy
A fan fav who casuals will dislike. People are mistakenly equating her with Tiffany Pollard. But Tiffany had a lot of warmth and humour only got to 4th.

Austin
20s and 30s for eviction look gone for good unfortunately. Can anybody give any reason for voting to save this obnoxious irritant?
Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 10:42 AM GMT
your all missing the obvious as usual, im off too town too lump on
Report Henry VIII • January 13, 2017 11:35 AM GMT
help us out army
Report Helmuthian Folds • January 13, 2017 12:30 PM GMT
Small James C investment for me but wouldn't surprise me whoever went.

James C is just invisible and if it wasn't for a couple of polls and CBBBOTS love in for him what price would he be?
Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 1:01 PM GMT
im in full agreement with mach about angie, wrong price.
also agree with H about stacy not being a casual viewer fav

stacy is a loud annoying american who is up against 2 other americans and imo she's the least popular of them, the Americans only get limited appeal from the british viewer so its not as powerful as the brit runners get.
the other two americans are proven group animals as well, she is a virtual unknown and will struggle in this version where there are far more casuals watching.

forget the fan poll sites, as H says that is all she has, as much as i don't trust tellymix..its actually very, very accurate for evictions..especially the bottom of the poll.
there is only 2% between angie and stacy and i think stacy's amount is inflated by the fan site nutters, whereas angie's core vote is very likely too be the older viewers who can't be arsed clicking an online poll.
i think stacy is a lot closer, if not bottom of the poll in reality.

11/2 best price, i think she is more like a 6/4 shot at best.
especially in a 5 way where she is the least liked american out of 3, won't take many of callum's fans to save angie either, she'll get some no doubt..plus her own do gooders jumping on her bandwagon.
Report bearcub • January 13, 2017 3:47 PM GMT
Double  Cry

Maybe Plain
Report mach • January 13, 2017 3:54 PM GMT
TWO housemates will be evicted from the Celebrity Big Brother house tonight
http://www.digitalspy.com/tv/celebrity-big-brother/news/a818946/celebrity-big-brother-shock-eviction-two-housemates-leaving/?utm_content=buffere4364&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=maintwitterpost

or not!
Report mach • January 13, 2017 4:04 PM GMT
bbspy ‏@bbspy  3m3 minutes ago
bbspy Retweeted Big Brother UK
Double eviction must have been a very recent decision - at 11.59pm last night @bbuk said only one would leave #CBB

[i]Big Brother UKVerified account
‏@bbuk
One leaves. Three enter. BRING ON THE WEEKEND FROM HELL!
Report timbuctooth • January 13, 2017 5:49 PM GMT
Just caught up on the last two night`s shows.
In the opening post, I thought James was the value, but a potential flaw was the possibility that he`d actually do something airworthy in the ensuing four days. No airtime, in a VTS, really should have seen his price drop after each no-show show. So far, still nothing from him, yet his price is pretty much unchanged.He might not be a mortgage job, but I`m utterly baffled as to why he`s still a 12.0 shot. He might not go, but he`s the best value poke we`ve seen in a good while
Report mach • January 13, 2017 6:00 PM GMT
Spidey have been quiet, I'm not sure they can depend on voters to turn up.
Austin has acted twatishly.
Stacy is black foreign and female.
James C is a actor no one has heard of that is invisible in the house apart from when he is looking down his nose at the other housemates.

I would rather just have these four green and Angie red
Report timbuctooth • January 13, 2017 6:14 PM GMT
I think Stacy`s safe, and at least Austin`s supporters know he`s in there, which is hardly the case with Speidi. I left a couple of too-greedy Speidi # backs up a couple of days ago, though, and am now feeling I`ve missed the value too much to bother. Might be worth a saver, but I`m going for a nice New Year`s jackpot; get James out, and that`s three or four max reds paid for, which really should see me through this year. Can`t believe being matched at 17 a few minutes ago.
Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 6:23 PM GMT
which one of dumb and dumber loses, 100% cert its angie or stacy
Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 6:28 PM GMT
the stats behind a female leaving 1st is a massive clue
Report timbuctooth • January 13, 2017 6:38 PM GMT
Welcome back, and all that, army, but Stacy`s going nowhere. Angie`s about 1.6, Cosmo`s 16/1. No brainer, value wise.
Report bearcub • January 13, 2017 6:40 PM GMT

Jan 13, 2017 -- 12:28PM, armagnac wrote:


the stats behind a female leaving 1st is a massive clue


I agree army, If you discount the last 6 series Cry

Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 6:43 PM GMT
Cosmo is like harold lloyd tim
Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 6:44 PM GMT
really bear, oh been a while since i checked them
Report timbuctooth • January 13, 2017 6:46 PM GMT
Harold Lloyd? As in `silent`? `Hanging on for dear life by his fingertips`?
Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 6:47 PM GMT
yep
Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 6:48 PM GMT
more silent and done enough too stay though
Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 6:50 PM GMT
james and angie are only true brits up, in a 5 way where votes are small...the least liked yank is in trouble, not helped by mach's points above
Report timbuctooth • January 13, 2017 6:50 PM GMT
Fully expecting another no-show tonight, the night that matters.
Report mach • January 13, 2017 6:50 PM GMT
Harold Lloyd always survived
Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 6:51 PM GMT
lol correct mach, tim is missing the point
Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 6:52 PM GMT
spidey and austin will only need half of there UK fanbase too survive this
Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 6:53 PM GMT
austin has been the same goon this time around as last, arguing, crying, b1tching. spidey not as harsh as last time but done enough
Report mach • January 13, 2017 7:45 PM GMT
1.8 last matched on Angie, the market is correcting it's self
Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 7:52 PM GMT
well done mach Cool
Report bearcub • January 13, 2017 8:06 PM GMT
I've suspended the market to protect mach from his stupidity
Report mach • January 13, 2017 8:09 PM GMT
aww... thanks bearLove
Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 8:11 PM GMT
pass me a bucket
Report mach • January 13, 2017 8:19 PM GMT
KFC?
Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 8:21 PM GMT
Laugh
Report Tom_Ato • January 13, 2017 8:23 PM GMT
Bucket of KFC?
Report Tom_Ato • January 13, 2017 8:23 PM GMT
14 pieces?
Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 8:24 PM GMT
mmmmm
Report Tom_Ato • January 13, 2017 8:28 PM GMT
and a portion of strips for army
Report Tom_Ato • January 13, 2017 8:28 PM GMT
i got this man, put your wallet away
Report jollyswagman • January 13, 2017 8:30 PM GMT
two zingers please tom if you're buying Love
Report Tom_Ato • January 13, 2017 8:32 PM GMT
mate i've just had to pay for christmas because danny mac didnt
Report Tom_Ato • January 13, 2017 8:32 PM GMT
so one mini fillet burger for Jolly please
Report Tom_Ato • January 13, 2017 8:34 PM GMT
and for the rest of the forum, one small popcorn chicken to share
Report Tom_Ato • January 13, 2017 8:34 PM GMT
Happy New year muda****as
Report Tom_Ato • January 13, 2017 8:34 PM GMT
what about the drinks to wash it down?
Report Tom_Ato • January 13, 2017 8:35 PM GMT
One small Pepsi and 10 straws please
Report mach • January 13, 2017 8:35 PM GMT
Our Tim will get the market back open again, more powerful than a ex foty living on spurious past glories Cool
Report timbuctooth • January 13, 2017 8:38 PM GMT
Bear?
Report mach • January 13, 2017 8:40 PM GMT
Wink
Report bearcub • January 13, 2017 8:45 PM GMT
I'll get it unsuspended when mach agrees to back Angie
Report Tom_Ato • January 13, 2017 8:47 PM GMT
my chi says angie
Report Tom_Ato • January 13, 2017 8:47 PM GMT
i've backed james c because i liked the odds
Report Tom_Ato • January 13, 2017 8:47 PM GMT
but not hopeful, could happen but nah
Report bearcub • January 13, 2017 8:48 PM GMT
Everyones backed James C and he still drifts Shocked
Report armagnac • January 13, 2017 8:50 PM GMT
market open
Report Tom_Ato • January 13, 2017 8:50 PM GMT
if he was totally invisible again last night then maybe, but his little bits of airtime where he was a highlander gentleman probably enough
Report mach • January 13, 2017 8:50 PM GMT
Market back open, thanks Tim Grin
Report bearcub • January 13, 2017 8:50 PM GMT
Cry
Report Tom_Ato • January 13, 2017 8:51 PM GMT
thanks tim!
Report bearcub • January 13, 2017 8:53 PM GMT
Our Tim Love
Report mach • January 13, 2017 8:58 PM GMT
Kim Woodburn to take on Jedward as she enters the CBB house

http://www.dailystar.co.uk/tv/big-brother/578323/Kim-Woodburn-CBB-Celebrity-Big-Brother-Chloe-Ferry-Jedward
Report Froggitt • January 13, 2017 9:04 PM GMT
housemates to cull the dullest.......good job that doesnt happen on this forum, there would be noone left
Report five leaves left • January 13, 2017 9:05 PM GMT
CryLaugh
Report bearcub • January 13, 2017 9:06 PM GMT
Cull the deadwood imo
Report bearcub • January 13, 2017 9:08 PM GMT
1% between the bottom 2 and people still take the odds on
Report mach • January 13, 2017 9:16 PM GMT
I thought you wanted me to back Angie bear?
Report bearcub • January 13, 2017 9:29 PM GMT
I still do Cool
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