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timbuctooth
10 Jan 17 11:56
Joined:
Date Joined: 11 Jun 12
| Topic/replies: 22,876 | Blogger: timbuctooth's blog
Only got one point to make; four days left, four days for C5 to protect there reportedly most expensive signing, Ray. Given that he`s not done much more than sleep, I`m not entirely sure they`ll actually want to save him, but protecting their most expensive asset is what they tend to do, at least for the first few evictions. Therefore, I think we can expect to see more of him over these few days, but at the expense of whom?

Can`t really see them shifting Speidi or Austin, Stacy`s been getting involved and brings plenty of potential to future house dynamics leaving just Angie and James C. She, at least short term, provides a slightly different angle than we usually have with the Mother/Son thing, and is a best-priced 3/1 on the HS. Cosmo has brought zero except for a reputation, is most unlikely to bring anything in the future, and is behaving like a typical cheque-thief. So, with 12/1 from Laddies available, he`s the value call, as C5 will find it very easy to keep him hidden for four days, four days during which the GBP will be ever more forgetful of his reputation, and unforgiving for his invisibility. Got a bit of 16, which I think is excellent value, particularly if we ignore the only bit of evidence in his favour, the polls.
But since when did we believe polls?

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Replies: 164
By:
mach
When: 10 Jan 17 12:06
I think he could go, there is a difference between clicking a free online poll, and being motivated enough to pay to vote with your mobile.
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 17 12:10
The last bits of 12.0 and 12.5 just been taken, now 8.6 on here. True price? Somewhere between 2.5 and 3.0.
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 17 12:29
Oh, and nice to be in agreement with you, mach, after what seems like no end of recent differences of opinion.
By:
mach
When: 10 Jan 17 12:45
I have Colleen green, she has not improved but everyone around her has go worse.
By:
mach
When: 10 Jan 17 12:45
*got
By:
bearcub
When: 10 Jan 17 12:51
Dumb and dumber just got dumber

I didn't know it was possible Sad
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 17 12:55
mach 10 Jan 17 13:45 
I have Colleen green, she has not improved but everyone around her has got worse.

That`s probably true. All the other all-stars are doing their schtick, which we`ve seen before, all a bit `meh`. Colleen`s giving us no pre-planned act, so seems refreshingly normal. In essence, that`s what she is; `normal`, which is exactly why she`ll have every MEM on her side.
By:
hemsby
When: 10 Jan 17 13:20
Stacy looks a worthy fav IMO.

Cosmo,Speidi and Austin obviously safe,Ray will be pushed into action by the prods and Angie has the Calum storyline.

They've given Angie the fitness task which involves Ray.
By:
George Bailey
When: 10 Jan 17 17:28
Be interesting if Cosmo goes as like the o/p states the polls have him safe. Lots of love on the DM comments too along the lines of "I have never voted before but....". Some of these were linked to the perceived picking on him by the all stars in editing him out. I agree since then he's just become a boring cheque thief worried about the impact of taking the cash on what passes for what's left of his career. He'd have been fav to go once upon a time.

Bottom line is TPTB can get out who they want.
By:
sofiakenny
When: 10 Jan 17 18:28
have dutched angie 7/2 and stacey 13/8...big money guy cant go this soon..I hope.
By:
Spinoza's Ethic
When: 10 Jan 17 21:48
Excellent thought-provoking contribution, Tim. Ray's departure makes Cosmos' price of even more interest, effectively landing the first leg of your "treble argument". I've managed somehow to get a few quid on at 17. I think anything in double digits is excellent value as we stand.
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 17 22:04
Well, we might have got a bit lucky with Ray`s departure, but these things happen, sometimes for, sometimes against us. Part of the reasoning presupposed a continuing no-show from Cosmo over the four nights, and I think we can safely say that tonight`s come and gone without seeing him. Three more nights of the same should see his price shorten between here and Friday, particularly so if TPTB give Angie and Stacy a bit of action. Really can`t see why they`d want to save him over either of those, so still feeling pretty good about it all.
Well done with the 17, Spin.
By:
Spinoza's Ethic
When: 10 Jan 17 22:10
Ironically, I wasn't allowed on by the HS so put an offer up at 17s and would have hit 10s on the exchange if they'd been offered. Probably still would.
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 17 22:14
Luisa KNOWS!
By:
Spinoza's Ethic
When: 10 Jan 17 22:15
Stacy to corner the sympathy vote.
By:
Spinoza's Ethic
When: 10 Jan 17 22:30
Welcome aboard, Zoom
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 17 22:39
Feeling a bit guilty about all of this, seeing as he`s hemsby`s train, but I`m really not understanding his price. In my previous experience, someone showing as little as him, in a VTS, would be odds-on, and nobody would blink. Indeed, someone backed him at 2.0, and I hope it was my fellow early layer, fll, who got it. I keep on hovering over the (at this point, dear reader, I went to check exactly what his back price is) 8.8, very nearly taking it. But, in checking, I saw I`ve just had some more matched at 14. This is either stonking value, or I`m missing something fairly important. Particularly so as Stacy`s got Ray`s leaving and then her tears to keep her in tomorrow`s show, and the BOTS audience reaction was positive.
By:
George Bailey
When: 10 Jan 17 22:45
This psyche is worth 10 of the other two
By:
Spinoza's Ethic
When: 10 Jan 17 22:46
Well-spoken and attractive too
By:
George Bailey
When: 10 Jan 17 22:47
Thanks but what about her?
By:
George Bailey
When: 10 Jan 17 22:47
Brandon...I like her even more now
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 17 22:48
Psyche/audience/panel loving Angie and Stacy. Cosmo`s phucked.
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 17 22:51
We`ve heard from a few pundits that Brandon`s got something about him, yet we`re seeing nothing of it. Or, indeed, of him! One of my speculative decent greens,but really  not sure we`ll ever get anything at all from him.
By:
George Bailey
When: 10 Jan 17 22:52
almost tumbleweed from audience for best...audience not got the best record mind
By:
Spinoza's Ethic
When: 10 Jan 17 22:52
Satisfying drift for JOH Snake today
By:
Spinoza's Ethic
When: 10 Jan 17 22:54
live show after BOTS btw
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 17 22:55
Barbara`s the Cosmo layer!
By:
Henry VIII
When: 10 Jan 17 22:57
I got some 60 Brandon 10 minutes ago and because that dizzy cow thinks he's a dark horse lpm 26.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 10 Jan 17 22:57
I got some 60 Brandon 10 minutes ago and because that dizzy cow thinks he's a dark horse lpm 26.
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 17 22:57
Spinoza's Ethic 10 Jan 17 23:52 
Satisfying drift for JOH Snake today

At last, someone states the bleedin obvious, and to widespread applause. Well done Jordan
By:
Spinoza's Ethic
When: 10 Jan 17 22:59
JJ trades 10s.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 10 Jan 17 22:59
What was said about Jamie Tim and how did the audience react?
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 17 23:02
Henry VIII 10 Jan 17 23:57 
I got some 60 Brandon 10 minutes ago and because that dizzy cow thinks he's a dark horse lpm 26.

Just gotta love Specials! Went to see what was happening, and find I`ve laid him at 24. Get that girl on every night, if she can move markets so easily.
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 17 23:04
Henry, I think an honest and unbiased paraphrasing of Jordan`s words would be;` yeah this and that, but you don`t do what he was trying to do, to your friend`s wife`.
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 17 23:05
And it sounded like perhaps half the audience applauded, reasonably enthusiastically
By:
Henry VIII
When: 10 Jan 17 23:06
Thanks Tim. I didn't think Jamie did anything that bad (I do think Jamie is full of himself though with a see-through veneer of humility).
By:
Henry VIII
When: 10 Jan 17 23:07

Jan 10, 2017 -- 6:05PM, timbuctooth wrote:


And it sounded like perhaps half the audience applauded, reasonably enthusiastically


OK, that's more important than any reasonable analysis of Jamie's kiss and cuddle.

By:
Henry VIII
When: 10 Jan 17 23:08
.... how the gbp perceive it.
By:
George Bailey
When: 10 Jan 17 23:08

Jan 10, 2017 -- 6:06PM, Henry VIII wrote:


Thanks Tim. I didn't think Jamie did anything that bad (I do think Jamie is full of himself though with a see-through veneer of humility).


He hit on his mate's wife on national TV Plain

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