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You know there`s a fake eviction going on? Friday BB

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Replies: 278
By:
George Bailey
When: 13 Jun 15 00:09
Marc is already a bigger BB legend than her
By:
bearcub
When: 13 Jun 15 00:10
tut
By:
George Bailey
When: 13 Jun 15 00:11
Marc knows he will be measured by how he compares to these three....probably end up shagging Helen
By:
George Bailey
When: 13 Jun 15 00:12
Nikki in 10 minutes tonight has blown whatever she had reputation wise. All down hill now.
By:
BB 3rd Cousin twice removed
When: 13 Jun 15 00:13
Henry. Thanks for articulating my point. It;s so humid down here I am having trouble articulating for myself.
I think I will take a cold shower.
By:
mach
When: 13 Jun 15 00:16
I've seen Nikki interviewed in the last few years, she came over very different than all those years ago in the house, calm and self aware.
This may be too much for her, i don't think she can handle the pressure going by the clips
By:
timbuctooth
When: 13 Jun 15 00:32
BB3, I think you might have taken my `Marc max green` thing seriously. Tongue in cheek doesn`t work well in print.


GB2 which of these three is `max red`?

a) max red
b) max red, but them lay £200 at 3.1, knowing you can back bigger, soon?
c) max red, then lay the 3.1, then back at 3.5, so max is now £80 less than it was initially?

To me, they all are, vaguely, max red, especially if I intend to use that £80 on others, so bringing Marc back to where he was at the beginning. It`s called trading, more specifically `micro trading`, and lessons, as stated, are available. 1.000 bets of this type means that, YES, max red is a moveable feast.
Three times over the years, I`ve felt compelled to post a bet, after feeling I was being doubted. Each time, it was YOU! If you`d care to see any of the bets I post about, feel free, I`m here to please, help, elucidate and educate.
Lesson 2, tomorrow, will explain what a `max green `is, and why there IS, in fact, such a thing. Stay tuned!
By:
George Bailey
When: 13 Jun 15 00:38
I never doubted you were max red Marc
By:
timbuctooth
When: 13 Jun 15 00:41
Sorry if I`m getting a bit defensive.
By:
timbuctooth
When: 13 Jun 15 00:44
Spend half an hour typing all ^^^ that boll0x, only to feel guilty as soon as I see it posted!
By:
BB 3rd Cousin twice removed
When: 13 Jun 15 01:12
I can understand the micro trading but if you take that approach, you would expect to be all green.
I've always said that I don't understand the aim of being all green, when all but 6 or 7 of the field will be evicted.
I try to stay green or at least close to level on those that I think will make the final.

Having Marc a max red suggests you believe he will be evicted.
Yes, prods will level the field as we approach the final VTW.
However, are they going to let the guy who 'saved the show' leave before the final?
By:
BB 3rd Cousin twice removed
When: 13 Jun 15 01:13
Once Marc is in the final vote, there is a real chance that he will win it.
By:
timbuctooth
When: 13 Jun 15 02:18
BB, the micro trading doesn`t mean you have to be all green. In the earlier  example, there was an £80 free bit of traded green on Marc.  Depending on how you view his chances, you can either leave it there, or lay him for another £32 or so at these prices. He`s back where he started, everyone else is £32 better. Rinse and repeat.
By:
BB 3rd Cousin twice removed
When: 13 Jun 15 02:49
Sure, you don't end up all green if you lay that traded green from Marc, or back other house mates with it.

However, keeping Marc at max red suggests you believe he will be evicted.
Otherwise, you are taking a massive risk come the final vote to win.

Don't you think there is a good chance that he will make the final vote?
By:
timbuctooth
When: 13 Jun 15 03:41
All pure guesswork, but

How likely is he to be nommed at the next possible opportunity? 60%? 70%?
If up, how likely to go? Too many variables, but maybe 30%? 40%? These add up to about a 7/2 shot to be gone. 22%
If he stays, how likely to be nommed the next time? More or less the same 60%? And let`s guess about 30% again at being gone. Combined, about 9/2, 18%

Repeat for another few weeks, throw in the real possibility of him being ejected, (20%?) and, even then, he still has to top the vote.  His current price gives him about a 28% chance of winning, but all of these individual possibilities add up to a far lower chance of winning.
Then, throw in the fact that he`ll almost certainly (80% chance? 90%?) drift at some point, enabling a profitable escape route for layers at today`s price.

On such highly scientific and mathematical assumptions, I`m happy enough where I am. For now, at least, as of course I do recognise the danger he poses if he gets to the final.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 13 Jun 15 13:31
http://bigbrother.channel5.com/day-33-helen-and-nikki-have-another-row

Marc says he has visual agnosia when he doesn’t remember Helen is from Bolton. Cry Tik baarstrd.

Classic Nikki impersonation of Helen at the end, made me laugh. Reminds me of her impersonation of Aysleeeeene.
By:
five leaves left
When: 13 Jun 15 13:52
Nikki is a wonderful character. To suggest she's only famous for a 10 second rant is nonsense
She'd have a 'best bits' that would be far longer than 95% of HM's
There was a very moving and candid chat with Vanessa in Ultimate BB about her lifelong struggle with an eating disorder
If there were more genuine chats like that these days then they might have more viewers
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Jun 15 15:14
I'm max red on marc. Currently that means I'm green
By:
George Bailey
When: 13 Jun 15 15:15
I'm red and green on him....he's my biggest purple
By:
BB 3rd Cousin twice removed
When: 13 Jun 15 15:21
GB, you can't say your max red when you are min green. Tongue Out
By:
BB 3rd Cousin twice removed
When: 13 Jun 15 15:22
say you're*
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Jun 15 15:23
I'm just making it up anyway. Lots of green, he's second largest
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Jun 15 15:24
I just layed the 3.65 though Mischief
By:
Henry VIII
When: 13 Jun 15 16:07
2000's non video quiz: who in 2006 built up an over 100K green on Nikki (and I presume red on all else) because he wanted to make more money than she did "when" she won?
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Jun 15 16:29
Didn't play or watch that year, what did her graph look like?
By:
bearcub
When: 13 Jun 15 16:33
Dj Cool
By:
bearcub
When: 13 Jun 15 16:34
Bear 1 GB 0
By:
Henry VIII
When: 13 Jun 15 16:45
yup
By:
Henry VIII
When: 13 Jun 15 16:47
don't remember her graph, just pete bennet being pretty much always fav.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Jun 15 17:03
OT, why is Pepper generally airbrushed out of BB history?
By:
bearcub
When: 13 Jun 15 17:07
Sexpest
By:
Henry VIII
When: 13 Jun 15 17:08
maybe they're embarrassed they had to resort to a 4 way eviction to get rid of him.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Jun 15 17:11

Jun 13, 2015 -- 5:07PM, bearcub wrote:


Sexpest


Seems the most desirable feature in a HM these days

By:
bearcub
When: 13 Jun 15 17:12
http://www.bbc.co.uk/newsbeat/article/29404364/youtube-star-sam-pepper-faces-sexual-harassment-claims
By:
bearcub
When: 13 Jun 15 17:12
.http://www.bbc.co.uk/newsbeat/article/29404364/youtube-star-sam-pepper-faces-sexual-harassment-claims
By:
bearcub
When: 13 Jun 15 17:12
CryBlush
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Jun 15 17:16
Charged with absolutely nowt it seems
By:
mach
When: 13 Jun 15 18:47
Chloe backed down as low as 4.6, are the backers fecking demented

own up, who thinks Chloe could be a contender?
By:
Tom_Ato
When: 13 Jun 15 18:59
just can't see it with Chloe, she is too vanilla and in many shows has been invisible. she'll need to be the focal point of a big drama in the house to have any chance. at this stage I wouldn't be surprised if Jade beats her.
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