Specials
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*** Eurovision Grand Final IR Thread ****
*** Eurovision Grand Final IR Thread ****
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Im not saying Belgium cant get a good finish still but that they will be nowhere points wise near the win.
The jury vote is known as are the overall semi final results. Presumably from this they know Sweden Russia and Italy could conceivably still win but Belgium and to a lesser degree Australia can't. |
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Italy are drifting. money is against them. Russia are shortening
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Sweden staying fairly stable
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If italy hadnt had a good jury vote they would be at Belgiums price by now. Having not been in the semi finals even the insiders cant rule them out for the win because they dont know how the public vote will turn out.
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they're on the drift even though I want them to win
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Jury votes must be in favour of Sweden and Italy. Russia will prob lead the voting for some time but I dont think it can win
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in a market as big as this i don't really worry about insiders because there's more than enough for everybody.
anyway they got/used their info late, sweden was 2.4s until a few hours ago. 2.54 just before 1pm, many hours after the vote reveal order came out. many people would have known the results at that point but it still took many more hours for the price to come down meaningfully. |
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And the winner of tonight's PV may or may not be the same as the Jury winner so anything can happen with voting.
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And if there is a problem with performance tonight it may or not effect the PV voting.
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Evening all
 They'll have a decent idea of how the PV will go based on the semis. Though obviously no idea about Italy, Oz and the UK  |
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well hope there are no problems with sound etc. as that could effect the way people vote.
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It was very dodgy at times in the 2nd semi
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at 11:15pm-ish, who will the winner? one country, it's gotta be Sweden looking at how the market is behaving
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Price of Sweden should drift really, casuals looking in and finding what looks a cheap lay with so many runners.
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Plenty of money buyers out there in these shows. Usually with bigger pockets too
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or traders looking backing/laying for a profit regardless of whatever the country.
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More often than not on all of these shows the favourite shortens on the night
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and if the performance is dodgy the price will drift out and if the performance is great the price will usually shorten especially if it is the fave.
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And tonight the first song doesn't start until about 20 mins in from the start of the show.
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The performances will be what we have already seen bar a technical hitch.
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anything can happen on a live show so fingers crossed nothing goes wrong.
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The known unknowns are the PV of the big 7 and what their itunes ratings would be with the benefit of a televised appearance
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Or are they unknown knowns?
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Still a good indicator I think
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come on then GB, let the cat out of the bag. the winner at 11:15pm will be...
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morocco
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If my ESC betting history is anything to go by I should switch off the PC, go read a book and come back to see who won
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Italy :)
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Already said Sweden wise...fwiw
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I have Italy as green as Sweden and Russia now as I looking to build up equity to trade early. Feck knows what I will do when it come to it though
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Don't forget watching in HD costs money
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Evening gayers and the bi-curious
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Give us a kiss and I'll tell you the winner
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what a pretty pattern
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Conchita
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yuk
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well i hope graham has got electro velvets bags packed.
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is uk that bad?
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