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That's a lot of bottle tops
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innit...prob too many, but it;s money I won from the NBA the past few weeks. If he loses you can back on here take the pi$$, but I wouldn;t be so sure.
the average age demographic of oscar voters is 63 and 94% white. they don;t tend to favour young people (di caprio. judy garland in oz) or black people (viola davis,eddie murphy, foxx in django, etc) UNLESS the performance was truly oustanding. the voting as already finished last week. |
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Is Redmayne black
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lol. .he's young, hasn't earnt his chops yet. might be a one hit wonder
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redmayne would be the youngest ever winner of the best actor oscar and a british one at that... that seriously counts against him
I think this is much closer than the odds suggest another reason to bet on keaton who i agree is massive value in what looks like a 2 horse race |
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I actually don;t think it will be a close race.it's 60-40 favoring keaton. Redmayne is 33 , the youngest actor is Adrien Brody at 29.
i checked the recent American polls over 8 websites and keaton is averaging 50% of total American votes. really should of backed the second fav Meyrl Streep last year, as all polls suggested a clear victory for her, but didn't |
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The fact that she never won has probably passed you by
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she won it alright. won it by an absolute mile. might not of been last year though.
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she gets nominated and wins so many times, it;s hard to keep up.
haha |
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Reckon citizen four is worth potting in best
Doc. Feature... $1.28 fav for a doco that is pretty much A pro Edward snowden show... Even in liberal Hollywood there will be voters That think snowden is a crunt and traitor.. Worth risking for a low downside ... The feel good salt of the earth as my Best roughie at 60's |
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a bit risky bet imo. Keaton is more of a certainty.
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Big hero 6 is worth a punt for best animated
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If you don't think Citizenfour will win I'm guessing the next in line is Virunga. Did a ton of advertising and saving planet/animals good theme for a winner.
Big Hero 6 around 4's not a bad bet, seems pretty close with the Dragon movie. Not certain Interstellar gets Visual effects, think the price there is a little off. Interstellar picked up 4-5 below the line nominations but really don't think there's any real passion for the film to garner it those automatic prestige votes that some winners have gotten (Like when Hugo beat the First Apes movie here). Apes like Virunga spent money on advertising and will try to grab the oscar, Guardians isn't impossible either. |
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have no idea about best animation. i saw big hero 6 and that was a v good film. it's not about what we think, it's about the feelings of the 6000 oscar voters - an average age at 63, who were brought up on classic disney animation.
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http://www.nola.com/movies/index.ssf/2015/02/oscars_2015_poll_who_do_you_th.html
i see HTYD2 is way ahead in the polls. not by much though at 40% and because of the lego movie. Anything near enough 50% is adead cert. you may be right laying HTYD2 but I;m already quite deep in Keaton, so no more bets now. |
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Director -Linklater
Animated Short= Feast looks a wobbly fav backed The Dam Keeper Cinematography- biggest bet of night on Birdman Editing - Boyhood Foreign Language - Ida Live Action Short - taking on fav with Pavanah and The Butter Lamp Make Up and Hair -Grand budapest Score -Theory Of Everything Orig Screenplay - Budapest Adapted Screenplay - backed Whiplash but big drifter, might have to write that one off Sound Editing - American Sniper Sound Mixing -Whiplash Best Film - Birdman small |
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big call on cinematography, its 1.01 to back
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its not, but it should be
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1.07 now, nice
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not much totty on the red carpet, parade of skeletons
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