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ghoststory.
03 Feb 14 05:58
Joined:
Date Joined: 04 Mar 04
| Topic/replies: 177 | Blogger: ghoststory.'s blog
Can throw up some good odds and the over backed favourites......
Just working through the different awards that have already
been run.

Jared Leto for best sup. actor is about the biggest cert. but $1.15.
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Report Horangi. February 3, 2014 7:08 PM GMT
Blanchett biggest lock, in the major categories anyways.  Leto also looking like a shoe in, but could see Fassbender still in contention.  Obviously going to win the BAFTA and that visibility could cause a few voters to rethink.
Report TheMadness February 3, 2014 7:18 PM GMT
Some controversy over Blachett because of the Woody Allen allegations of child abuse re-emerging. I've seen Blue Jasmine and she is excellent in it. Far better than Bullock in Gravity. And I suspect Hollywood will rally to the defence of Allen like many of them did Polanski anyway. Fascinating that Elia Kazan can get turned on by so many but rapists are defended.
Report Horangi. February 3, 2014 10:38 PM GMT
Don't see what the news/non news surrounding Woody Allen will have to do with Blanchett winning/not winning.

Also feel 12 Years is almost a lock to win Best Pic, anything above 1.35 is decent value.  By Oscar night I'd anticipate the odds to be around 1.20, maybe less.  Its going to dominate the Bafta's and its important feel will push it to a clear victory.  The fact February is black history month isn't going to hurt matters either.
Report ghoststory. February 4, 2014 8:39 AM GMT
Matthew McConaughey is getting very short at 3's on.....
Report ghoststory. February 16, 2014 2:39 AM GMT
Think gravity might be worth a few $ for best picture at $6 plus..... It tied with  12 YAS at the producers guild awards ....
Most of the voters there also vote in the academy ....
The guild award has a better than 75% strike rate of matching best picture at Academy A.
Yes the fav. Will be hard to beat but think gravity is overs and is most certainly a live chance of the upset.
Report Horangi. February 17, 2014 11:27 PM GMT
Gravity probably worth a bit of a gamble at current prices.  Seems like lots of voters feel forced to give 12 Years best pic because of the subject matter rather than loving the movie.  Globes and Bafta it wins best pic but picks up only one other award (Ejiofor being British probably helped that one win as well).  Strange to have a movie winning best picture without it gobbling up other categories on the way.
Report ghoststory. February 19, 2014 10:03 PM GMT
Just running thru some stats with American award season I've come up with GRavity  close to a 40 % chance of winning.
It's not as big a slam dunk in the states of winning as people think....
Gravity is a pretty unique film....
This year reminds me a bit of when CRash upset Brokeback MOuntain......  Enough older consecutive voters didn't warm to the subject matter
And crash got up.
Gravity is really well done and will not offend anyone......  12 years a slave is a great film but there' is plenty of old white male voters
It only takes small %  to feel " another slavery film showing the bad white man "  for this favourite to get rolled.

Anyways I've backed  gravity at 6.40 at still think it's decent overs at anything above $3.80
Report ghoststory. March 2, 2014 11:27 PM GMT
Gravity most certainly the value

The art of killing for feature doc. although  easily the best  in the field is pretty hard film to stomach
20 feet from stardom .... American feel good doco think it's also overs

Best for. Film  this  has a  strong history of favs. Getting rolled.
It's the one category that I believe you are a chance of a roughie getting up
Have backed the hunt.

All  other favs I wouldn't take on....... Best supporting actress I actually think j Lawrence  was the better performance
But she is young and won it last year so think 12 years a slave girl probably wins.

Gravity $6.
20 feet from stardom $2.50
The hunt  $6.40
Report a bitofinterest March 2, 2014 11:43 PM GMT
backed steve mcqueen best director,the academy love a posthumous winner and chewi best actor
Report Horangi. March 3, 2014 12:29 AM GMT
Agree with those three picks ghost.  All good value.  The Square could spoil in Documentary but I don't see it being Act of Killing, can't see the academy going for that.
Report elise March 3, 2014 12:30 AM GMT
backed steve mcqueen best director,the academy love a posthumous winner

i don't know why but i think you're being serious
Report judorick March 3, 2014 12:32 AM GMT
despite being a renowned grump and a generally hostile bastard, I do love Oscars night

Anyway, the Latino geezer from Gravity for Best Director and 12 Years a Slave Best Picture

done two singles and a double

then done 2 doubles with those two and Matthew Mcconaghey (sic) for Best Actor
Report elise March 3, 2014 12:36 AM GMT
i think gravity will get 7 oscars, but not the big one
Report a bitofinterest March 3, 2014 12:39 AM GMT
serious is my middle name
Report Horangi. March 3, 2014 12:46 AM GMT
Bout value, Gravity is way too high at 7's now.  Its a very close vote.
Report anton_chigurh March 3, 2014 1:15 AM GMT
A 'Gravity' and 'The Hunt' double is much too big.
Report mach March 3, 2014 1:19 AM GMT
I would like to get on at these prices

Amanda Walker
@WalkerSkyNews
Las Vegas oscars odds! Favs - 12 yrs slave - 2to5. Mcconaughey1to2. Blanchett 1to5. No one still doesn't look amazing according to the telly
Report treble March 3, 2014 1:38 AM GMT
Where's Billy?

Lesbian's are rubbish fully clothed.
Report five leaves left March 3, 2014 1:41 AM GMT
Which channel is it on?
Report mach March 3, 2014 1:48 AM GMT
sky movies, if there are any links out there to a feed, plz post
Report five leaves left March 3, 2014 1:58 AM GMT
cheers mach
I might stick with Leonard Cohen. He's bringing me luck in the 8th anniversary stars millionGrin
Made the cash 2645 left out of the 46,000 who started
Report mach March 3, 2014 2:01 AM GMT
found a stream

http://www.gossipcop.com/watch-oscars-live-stream-video-2014/
Report five leaves left March 3, 2014 2:04 AM GMT
Any value left?
Tempted to back Her for best Original Screenplay
Report the swede March 3, 2014 2:13 AM GMT
1,02 gubbed
Report Keefter March 3, 2014 2:27 AM GMT
First year I've looked at these markets. Some real 'penalty kicks' in this lot. The shorties good things historically?
Report Horangi. March 3, 2014 2:39 AM GMT
Best Foreign-Language Film
Achievement in Sound Mixing
Achievement in Sound Editing
Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Achievement in Cinematography
Achievement in Film Editing
Achievement in Production Design
Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Score)
Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Song)
Adapted Screenplay
Original Screenplay
Achievement in Directing
Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Best Motion Picture of the Year
Report satana March 3, 2014 3:01 AM GMT

the swede 03 Mar 14 02:13 Joined: 06 Oct 03 | Topic/replies: 811 | Blogger: the swede's blog
1,02 gubbed


which one?
Report Vince_Bluett March 3, 2014 3:16 AM GMT
Massive drift on Jennifer Lawrence in the last 10 minutes.  They knew!
Report treble March 3, 2014 3:17 AM GMT
Whatever she wins or doesn't Vince, she still makes my heart pound every time I look at her Love
Report treble March 3, 2014 3:20 AM GMT
LOL at that scene with the old girl "look at what you could have had Pete" Laugh
Report satana March 3, 2014 3:23 AM GMT
what 1.02 got went busted?
Report five leaves left March 3, 2014 3:25 AM GMT
Best short animation, I think
Report satana March 3, 2014 3:34 AM GMT
thanks
Report Keefter March 3, 2014 3:37 AM GMT
It's all been perfectly predictable since then
Report the swede March 3, 2014 3:39 AM GMT
best animated short film was gubbed at 1,02 and another 9 K wanted to buy at 1,02 when markets suspended
Report timbuctooth March 3, 2014 4:15 AM GMT
How is it that these actors can`t even read from an autocue, let alone try to remember a couple of lines?
Report The Answer. March 3, 2014 4:16 AM GMT
hurry up
Report judorick March 3, 2014 4:36 AM GMT
first bet landed with Alphonso Quaron best director, need 12 Days best picture
Report Keefter March 3, 2014 4:38 AM GMT
you're in no danger. Cate Blanchett, Matthew Mcconaghy, 12 years. all nailed on.
Report satana March 3, 2014 4:39 AM GMT
wd judorick.
didn't see that one coming.
Report Keefter March 3, 2014 4:44 AM GMT

Mar 2, 2014 -- 10:39PM, satana wrote:


wd judorick. didn't see that one coming.


LaughLaughLaughLaugh

Report mach March 3, 2014 4:57 AM GMT
had oped for gravity
Report mach March 3, 2014 4:57 AM GMT
*hoped
Report judorick March 3, 2014 4:58 AM GMT
hat trick landed, shoulda just done the treble, still nice work
Report CJ March 3, 2014 7:21 AM GMT
Had my biggest bet ever on 12 YAS, not watched it just hoped the Oscars opted for the guilt trip and they clearly did.

That said, i saw Gravity and thought it was mind numbingly boring. My fav film of the year was Capt Philips, followed by American Hustle. Oscars voters must live in a parallel universe to the rest of us, it's little wonder these film barely take anything at the box office.
Report ahorsewithnoname March 3, 2014 10:16 AM GMT
6 bets in the Racing Post's preview (by Jeremy Chapman) on 21st Feb, with 8 pts bet, returned ZERO.
Report bearcub March 3, 2014 11:00 AM GMT
Which bookie was allowing doubles Judo ?
Report Jim Duncan March 3, 2014 4:20 PM GMT
...nice work rick well done :)
Report TheMadness March 4, 2014 5:52 PM GMT
I enjoyed Rush the most out of the films I've seen in the last couple of months
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