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ghoststory.
03 Feb 14 05:58
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Date Joined: 04 Mar 04
| Topic/replies: 178 | Blogger: ghoststory.'s blog
Can throw up some good odds and the over backed favourites......
Just working through the different awards that have already
been run.

Jared Leto for best sup. actor is about the biggest cert. but $1.15.

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Replies: 49
By:
Horangi.
When: 03 Feb 14 19:08
Blanchett biggest lock, in the major categories anyways.  Leto also looking like a shoe in, but could see Fassbender still in contention.  Obviously going to win the BAFTA and that visibility could cause a few voters to rethink.
By:
TheMadness
When: 03 Feb 14 19:18
Some controversy over Blachett because of the Woody Allen allegations of child abuse re-emerging. I've seen Blue Jasmine and she is excellent in it. Far better than Bullock in Gravity. And I suspect Hollywood will rally to the defence of Allen like many of them did Polanski anyway. Fascinating that Elia Kazan can get turned on by so many but rapists are defended.
By:
Horangi.
When: 03 Feb 14 22:38
Don't see what the news/non news surrounding Woody Allen will have to do with Blanchett winning/not winning.

Also feel 12 Years is almost a lock to win Best Pic, anything above 1.35 is decent value.  By Oscar night I'd anticipate the odds to be around 1.20, maybe less.  Its going to dominate the Bafta's and its important feel will push it to a clear victory.  The fact February is black history month isn't going to hurt matters either.
By:
ghoststory.
When: 04 Feb 14 08:39
Matthew McConaughey is getting very short at 3's on.....
By:
ghoststory.
When: 16 Feb 14 02:39
Think gravity might be worth a few $ for best picture at $6 plus..... It tied with  12 YAS at the producers guild awards ....
Most of the voters there also vote in the academy ....
The guild award has a better than 75% strike rate of matching best picture at Academy A.
Yes the fav. Will be hard to beat but think gravity is overs and is most certainly a live chance of the upset.
By:
Horangi.
When: 17 Feb 14 23:27
Gravity probably worth a bit of a gamble at current prices.  Seems like lots of voters feel forced to give 12 Years best pic because of the subject matter rather than loving the movie.  Globes and Bafta it wins best pic but picks up only one other award (Ejiofor being British probably helped that one win as well).  Strange to have a movie winning best picture without it gobbling up other categories on the way.
By:
ghoststory.
When: 19 Feb 14 22:03
Just running thru some stats with American award season I've come up with GRavity  close to a 40 % chance of winning.
It's not as big a slam dunk in the states of winning as people think....
Gravity is a pretty unique film....
This year reminds me a bit of when CRash upset Brokeback MOuntain......  Enough older consecutive voters didn't warm to the subject matter
And crash got up.
Gravity is really well done and will not offend anyone......  12 years a slave is a great film but there' is plenty of old white male voters
It only takes small %  to feel " another slavery film showing the bad white man "  for this favourite to get rolled.

Anyways I've backed  gravity at 6.40 at still think it's decent overs at anything above $3.80
By:
ghoststory.
When: 02 Mar 14 23:27
Gravity most certainly the value

The art of killing for feature doc. although  easily the best  in the field is pretty hard film to stomach
20 feet from stardom .... American feel good doco think it's also overs

Best for. Film  this  has a  strong history of favs. Getting rolled.
It's the one category that I believe you are a chance of a roughie getting up
Have backed the hunt.

All  other favs I wouldn't take on....... Best supporting actress I actually think j Lawrence  was the better performance
But she is young and won it last year so think 12 years a slave girl probably wins.

Gravity $6.
20 feet from stardom $2.50
The hunt  $6.40
By:
a bitofinterest
When: 02 Mar 14 23:43
backed steve mcqueen best director,the academy love a posthumous winner and chewi best actor
By:
Horangi.
When: 03 Mar 14 00:29
Agree with those three picks ghost.  All good value.  The Square could spoil in Documentary but I don't see it being Act of Killing, can't see the academy going for that.
By:
elise
When: 03 Mar 14 00:30
backed steve mcqueen best director,the academy love a posthumous winner

i don't know why but i think you're being serious
By:
judorick
When: 03 Mar 14 00:32
despite being a renowned grump and a generally hostile bastard, I do love Oscars night

Anyway, the Latino geezer from Gravity for Best Director and 12 Years a Slave Best Picture

done two singles and a double

then done 2 doubles with those two and Matthew Mcconaghey (sic) for Best Actor
By:
elise
When: 03 Mar 14 00:36
i think gravity will get 7 oscars, but not the big one
By:
a bitofinterest
When: 03 Mar 14 00:39
serious is my middle name
By:
Horangi.
When: 03 Mar 14 00:46
Bout value, Gravity is way too high at 7's now.  Its a very close vote.
By:
anton_chigurh
When: 03 Mar 14 01:15
A 'Gravity' and 'The Hunt' double is much too big.
By:
mach
When: 03 Mar 14 01:19
I would like to get on at these prices

Amanda Walker
@WalkerSkyNews
Las Vegas oscars odds! Favs - 12 yrs slave - 2to5. Mcconaughey1to2. Blanchett 1to5. No one still doesn't look amazing according to the telly
By:
treble
When: 03 Mar 14 01:38
Where's Billy?

Lesbian's are rubbish fully clothed.
By:
five leaves left
When: 03 Mar 14 01:41
Which channel is it on?
By:
mach
When: 03 Mar 14 01:48
sky movies, if there are any links out there to a feed, plz post
By:
five leaves left
When: 03 Mar 14 01:58
cheers mach
I might stick with Leonard Cohen. He's bringing me luck in the 8th anniversary stars millionGrin
Made the cash 2645 left out of the 46,000 who started
By:
mach
When: 03 Mar 14 02:01
found a stream

http://www.gossipcop.com/watch-oscars-live-stream-video-2014/
By:
five leaves left
When: 03 Mar 14 02:04
Any value left?
Tempted to back Her for best Original Screenplay
By:
the swede
When: 03 Mar 14 02:13
1,02 gubbed
By:
Keefter
When: 03 Mar 14 02:27
First year I've looked at these markets. Some real 'penalty kicks' in this lot. The shorties good things historically?
By:
Horangi.
When: 03 Mar 14 02:39
Best Foreign-Language Film
Achievement in Sound Mixing
Achievement in Sound Editing
Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Achievement in Cinematography
Achievement in Film Editing
Achievement in Production Design
Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Score)
Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Song)
Adapted Screenplay
Original Screenplay
Achievement in Directing
Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Best Motion Picture of the Year
By:
satana
When: 03 Mar 14 03:01

the swede 03 Mar 14 02:13 Joined: 06 Oct 03 | Topic/replies: 811 | Blogger: the swede's blog
1,02 gubbed


which one?
By:
Vince_Bluett
When: 03 Mar 14 03:16
Massive drift on Jennifer Lawrence in the last 10 minutes.  They knew!
By:
treble
When: 03 Mar 14 03:17
Whatever she wins or doesn't Vince, she still makes my heart pound every time I look at her Love
By:
treble
When: 03 Mar 14 03:20
LOL at that scene with the old girl "look at what you could have had Pete" Laugh
By:
satana
When: 03 Mar 14 03:23
what 1.02 got went busted?
By:
five leaves left
When: 03 Mar 14 03:25
Best short animation, I think
By:
satana
When: 03 Mar 14 03:34
thanks
By:
Keefter
When: 03 Mar 14 03:37
It's all been perfectly predictable since then
By:
the swede
When: 03 Mar 14 03:39
best animated short film was gubbed at 1,02 and another 9 K wanted to buy at 1,02 when markets suspended
By:
timbuctooth
When: 03 Mar 14 04:15
How is it that these actors can`t even read from an autocue, let alone try to remember a couple of lines?
By:
The Answer.
When: 03 Mar 14 04:16
hurry up
By:
judorick
When: 03 Mar 14 04:36
first bet landed with Alphonso Quaron best director, need 12 Days best picture
By:
Keefter
When: 03 Mar 14 04:38
you're in no danger. Cate Blanchett, Matthew Mcconaghy, 12 years. all nailed on.
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