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ahorsewithnoname
03 Oct 13 11:41
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Date Joined: 08 Apr 03
| Topic/replies: 2,152 | Blogger: ahorsewithnoname's blog
Before Judges Houses, best bookie prices for the final 24:

Tamera Foster        7/2
Abi Alton                6/1
Nicholas McDonald  6/1
Melanie McCabe     10/1
Sam Bailey            10/1
Hannah Barrett      12/1
Sam Callahan        12/1
Paul Akister           14/1
Joseph Whelan       16/1
Kingsland Road       16/1
Luke Friend            20/1
Made up girl group  20/1
Brick City               25/1
Rough Copy            33/1
Lorna Simpson        50/1
Andrea Magee         66/1
Shelley Smith          66/1
Zoe Devlin               66/1
Code 4                    100/1
Giles Potter              100/1
Jade Richards           100/1
Relley Clarke            100/1
Ryan Mathie             100/1
Xyra                        125/1
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Report ahorsewithnoname October 4, 2016 12:14 PM BST
Betfair prices on Tuesday, after the Judges Houses weekend. We have a final 12 for the first live show on Saturday with no word or mention, even hint, about any wildcards BUT the Betfair market tells a different story with highly suspicious prices for several of the "non runners".

Also of note, the final 12 include one contestant who was rejected at Boot Camp and THREE contestants rejected at Six Chair Challenge Shocked

The three groups have had, what now seems obligatory, a change of name. 5 AM are now 5 After Midnight. The Brooks are now Brooks Way and Ottavio & Bradley are now Bratavio


3.25 - 3.35       Matt Terry       (£180 matched at 2.8 Sunday evening, next low matched is 3)
6.2 - 6.4         Emily Middlemass
6.4 - 6.8         5 After Midnight
12.5 - 13.5       Gifty Louise
13 - 15           Samantha Lavery
22 - 24           Ryan Lawrie
25 - 29           Brooks Way
32 - 34           Saara Aalto
42 - 44           Honey G       (matched down to 34 Sunday evening. You say Honey, I say Fook Off)
50 - 65           Freddy Parker
130- 230          Relley C
160 - 230         Bratavio

Everyone else on Betfair not 1000 to back:

27 - 34        James Wilson       (trading between 50 and 75 after not getting thru, touched 100 but then shortened yesterday and more dramatically today)
65 - 80        Caitlyn Vanbeck
80 - 100       Christian Burrows
95 - 120       Four of Diamonds
170 - 900      Christopher Peyton
160            Niall Sexton
200 - 1000     Samantha Atkinson
280 - 1000     Ivy Grace Paredes
450            Nate Simpson
500            Yes Lad
510            Janet Grogan
520 - 1000     Olivia Garcia
520            Kayleigh Marie Morgan
520            James Hughes
650            Tom and Laura
710            Skarl3t

Amount matched £206,184
Report ahorsewithnoname October 4, 2016 5:19 PM BST
Best High Street prices:

Winning Category
7/4     Girls
2/1     Boys
3/1     Groups
12/1 Overs

First Manager Out
4/9     Sharon
4/1     Louis
8/1     Simon
10/1     Nicole

Top Boy
1/4     Matt
5/1     Ryan
9/1     Freddy

Top Girl
5/6     Emily
12/5    Gifty
3/1     Samantha

Top Group
2/5     5 After Midnight
3/1     Brooks Way
12/1    Bratavio

Top Over
11/8    Honey G
13/4    Saara A
7/2     Relley C
Report bearcub October 4, 2016 5:31 PM BST
Foty in waiting Cool
Report Kriskin October 4, 2016 11:35 PM BST
Caitlyn Vanbeck will be back in.  Looks like James Wilson could be in as well
Report ahorsewithnoname October 14, 2016 8:27 AM BST
Early Saturday evening, and hour or two before the show started, news broke that Brooks Way had been thrown out
At the start of the show it was, eventually, announced they had just been suspended
On Monday morning it was announced they had left the show for good "by mutual consent"
Later on Monday it was revealed 4 of Diamonds would replace them


First elimination - Bratavio

This year, for now anyway, a change in the process whereby the bottom 3 are announced then there is a 4 or 5 minute flash app vote only for one of these acts to be saved before the remaining 2 acts then have the usual sing-off
The acts were called safe in the following order - Relley, 5AM, Matt, Sam, Ryan, Emily, Honey, Gifty
This left Bratavio, Saara Aalto and Freddy Parker the Bottom 3 before Freddy was then saved
After the sing-off, Bratavio were voted off by 3 of the judges

On Friday morning Bratavio were the 2/1 favs to be eliminated first. Relley was 5/2, Saara 13/2, Honey 10/1, Freddy 11/1, 20s bar
Saturday afternoon and Bratavio were 7/4, Relley 2/1, Saara 8/1, Freddy 9/1, Honey 10/1, 20s bar
After Saturday's show, Bratavio were 6/5, Freddy 9/2, Relley 5/1, Saara 7/1, Ryan & Honey 16/1, 25s bar
Sunday morning Bratavio now Evs, Freddy 7/2, Relley 7/1, Saara 8/1
Early Sunday evening and Bratavio now odds on, 5/6, Freddy 100/30, Saara 9/1, Relley 11/1
During the sing-off, Bratavio traded around the 1.25 to 1.3 mark
Report ahorsewithnoname October 14, 2016 8:52 AM BST
Betfair prices on Friday morning, day before the second live weekend:

2.6 - 2.62       Matt Terry        (been matched as low as 2.3 after singing or on Sunday)
7.2 - 7.6         5 After Midnight        (matched down to 4.8 last week)
9 - 9.2        Gifty Louise        (matched down to 6.6, after singing, I think)
9.8 - 10           4 of Diamonds        (9.2 lowest matched so far after announced as replacing Brooks Way)
10.5 - 11.5         Emily Middlemass        (matched down to 4 last week)
19.5 - 21           Samantha Lavery
19.5 - 21           Honey G        (shortened all last week, around 30 during the show, continued to shorten since, 17.5 been matched)
38 - 40           Relley C        (had shortened leading up to her performance, around 75, hit 26 during/after singing)
75 - 85           Ryan Lawrie        (friendless, apart from Emily, after singing)
100 - 140         Freddy Parker
130 - 160         Saara Aalto

Everyone else on Betfair not 1000 to back:

330 - 500       Christian Burrows
400             James Wilson
460             Skarl3t
500             Brooks Way
520             Caitlyn Vanbeck
640             Yes Lad
830             Christopher Peyton

Amount matched £389,905

If any of my comments are incorrect, please feel free to correct me. Thank you.
Report ahorsewithnoname October 14, 2016 9:08 AM BST
Best High Street prices:

Winning Category
.......5/4 Boys, 9/4 Girls, 100/30 Groups, 9/1 Overs

First Manager Out......8/11 Sharon, 3/1 Louis, 6/1 Simon, 12/1 Nicole

Top Boy........1/10 Matt, 11/1 Ryan, 20/1 Freddy

Top Girl.......11/8 Emily, 6/4 Gifty, 3/1 Sam

Top Over.......4/5 Honey, 9/4 Relley, 3/1 Saara

Top Group......4/7 5AM, 13/8 4 of Diamonds

2nd Elimination........6/4 Saara, 9/4 Freddy, 6/1 Relley, 8/1 Ryan, 10/1 Sam, 20/1 Honey, 25/1 4oD, 40/1 Gifty, 40/1 Emily, 66/1 5AM, 100/1 Matt
Report ahorsewithnoname October 21, 2016 6:45 AM BST
Second Elimination - Freddy Parker

The acts were called safe in the following order - Emily, Gifty, 5am, Matt, Honey, Sam, 4oD, (then adverts), Relley

Freddy & Saara were both in the bottom 3 again, this time with Ryan. Ryan saved in the flash vote, Cowell took it to Deadlock with Freddy announced as having the least votes

6pm Saturday Freddy was 2.86 - 2.96 for elimination, Saara 2.9 - 3.25, Ryan 10 - 12, Relley 10 - 13.5, 20s bar

6pm Sunday Freddy was 2.02 - 2.04, Saara 2.94 - 3.15, Ryan 11 - 13.5, 30s bar. Very efficient market!

Freddy traded between 1.2 and 1.5s during the sing-off and judges decision
Report ahorsewithnoname October 21, 2016 7:05 AM BST
Betfair prices on Friday morning, day before the third live weekend:

1.98 - 2.04       Matt Terry        (2.3s 6pm Saturday, 2.1s 6pm Sunday, low of 1.9 now been matched)
4.6 - 4.7         5 After Midnight        (impressed on Saturday, price shortened to 4s, 1.75k matched at 3.75)
16.5 - 17          Emily Middlemass
17.5 - 18          Samantha Lavery   
18 - 18.5           Gifty Louise
26 - 28            Honey G        (still trading around 18 on Sunday but been drifting since)
27 - 28            Relley C
29 - 30            Four of Diamonds        (pimp spot on their debut but poor performance saw price shoot out)
140 - 160          Saara Aalto   
220 - 230          Ryan Lawrie

Everyone else on Betfair not 1000 to back:

250         Christian Burrows
530         James Wilson
630         Niall Sexton
730         Skarl3t
630         Caitlyn Vanbeck
720         Yes Lad

Amount matched £490,100
Report ahorsewithnoname October 21, 2016 7:24 AM BST
Best High Street prices:

Winning Category.......Evs Boys, 5/2 Groups, 4/1 Girls, 10/1 Overs

First Manager Out......5/6 Sharon, 9/4 Simon, 6/1 Louis, 12/1 Nicole

Top Boy........1/50 Matt, 45/1 Ryan

Top Girl.......7/4 Emily, 7/4 Gifty, 15/8 Sam

Top Over.......4/6 Honey, 6/4 Relley, 8/1 Saara

Top Group......2/9 5AM, 100/30 4oD

3rd Elimination........10/11 Saara, 7/2 Ryan, 8/1 4oD, 12/1 Relley, 20/1 Sam, 20/1 Gifty, 25/1 Honey, 25/1 Emily, 80/1 5AM, 100/1 Matt
Report ahorsewithnoname October 28, 2016 7:01 AM BST
Third elimination - Relley C

In a surprising change, voting lines opened at the BEGINNING of the show

The acts were called safe in the following order - Sam, 5AM, Saara, Matt, Emily, Honey, Gifty

This left Relley and 4oD in the bottom 3 along with Ryan who was again saved in the flash vote, despite being odds on for elimination. They announced there had been 1.7 mil flash votes

6pm Saturday - Relley was 12/1 for elimination, Saara 4/5, Ryan 4/1, 4oD 6/1, 20s bar
1pm Sunday - Ryan was now fav for elimination around 2.2, Saara & 4oD around 5.5, Relley 9 to back, 14.5 to lay
7:22pm Sunday - prices were similar. Relley was 13 to back
At the beginning of the sing-off, 4oD were fav to go, trading around 1.8s/1.9s. They were still odds on after Relley had sang but during their song the prices switched with Relley now trading around 1.8s
The judges voted Relley off 3 to 1
Report ahorsewithnoname October 28, 2016 7:20 AM BST
I have never enjoyed this show less than this year Sad

Betfair prices on Friday morning, day before the fourth live weekend (randomly picked Fright Night theme):

Matt was trading between 2 & 2.1 pre show but shortened as low as 1.85 after 5AM's poor performance. He was then matched as low as 1.75 after singing and remained low 1.7s when the show had finished. Middle of Sunday he was 1.8. 1.7 lowest matched so far.

1.77 - 1.78       Matt Terry
6.8 - 7           5 After Midnight       (drifted after woeful performance of Valerie)
10.5 - 11         Emily Middlemass       (trading 13 after the show, shortened more this week)
17.5 - 18.5       Gifty Louise
19.5- 22          Honey G        (23 after the show, 20 on Sunday)
21 - 28           Samantha Lavery       (drifted to 30 over weekend but shortened back last few days)
44 - 46           Four of Diamonds
42 - 48           Saara Aalto       (still trading around 90-100 Sunday but shortened after surviving Bottom 3)
170- 220          Ryan Lawrie

Everyone else on Betfair not 1000 to back: 510 Christian Burrows, 630 Caitlyn Vanbeck

Amount matched £558,524
Report ahorsewithnoname October 28, 2016 7:40 AM BST
Best high street prices:

Winning Category.......4/6 Boys, 7/2 Girls, 9/2 Groups, 11/1 Overs

First Manager Out......4/6 Sharon, 7/2 Simon, 4/1 Louis, 25/1 Nicole

Top Boy........1/50 Matt, 33/1 Ryan

Top Girl.......11/8 Emily, 15/8 Gifty, 11/4 Sam

Top Over.......2/7 Honey, 5/2 Saara

Top Group......1/6 5AM, 11/2 4oD

4th Elimination........7/4 Saara, 9/4 4oD, 11/4 Ryan, 9/1 Sam, 16/1 Gifty, 25/1 Honey, 33/1 Emily, 33/1 5AM, 150/1 Matt
Report hemsby October 28, 2016 9:14 AM BST
Terrific stuff as always horse.

Many thanks for all the time and effort spent on this and the SCD thread Love
Report Henry VIII October 28, 2016 9:22 AM BST
What Hems said.
Report ahorsewithnoname November 4, 2016 7:16 AM GMT
Thanks hems and Henry

Fourth elimination - Gifty Louise

Lines again opened at the beginning of the show. Gifty sang first and in the SCD overlap

Dermot said there had been 2.3mil votes in the 24 hour period, which doesn't seem much seeing as there was supposedly 1.7mil votes in the 4 minute flash vote the previous Sunday (unless I've got that wrong)

The acts were called safe in the following order - 5AM, Emily, Matt, Sam, Saara, Honey

This left Gifty and 4oD in the bottom 3 along with Ryan who was saved for the third consecutive week in the flash vote

6pm Saturday   -   Saara was 2.9 - 3.1 for elimination, Ryan 3.65 - 4, 4oD 4.5 - 4.9, Sam 8.8 - 10, Gifty 16.5 - 24, 27 bar
After the show   -   4oD 2.86 - 2.98, Ryan 4.1 - 4.3, Saara 4.6 - 4.9, Gifty 6.4 - 10, Sam 14 - 19, 32 bar
Sunday midday   -   4oD 2.32 - 2.48, Ryan 4.1 - 4.2, Gifty 7 - 8.2, Saara 7.2 - 8.4, Sam 24 - 29, 32 bar
8:13pm Sunday   -   4oD 1.98 - 2.02, Ryan 3.9 - 4.1, Gifty 6 - 9, Saara 8 - 12
Gifty sang first. Don't have accurate records for Sunday's show but Gifty was trading 1.25 - 1.3 at one stage during the sing-off
The judges voted Gifty off 3 to 1
Report ahorsewithnoname November 4, 2016 7:48 AM GMT
Betfair prices on Friday morning, day before the fifth live weekend (Boyband v Girlband theme):

Matt shortened to low 1.6s after singing (in 2nd spot) then shortened further during the show with a low of 1.54 matched
5 After Midnight drifted massively after singing
Emily was shortening all evening and was already as low as 7.2 before she sang
During Emily's performance of Creep (in pimp), she shortened to 5 and steadied around that price
During Sunday, Matt had drifted to 1.7s (due to Emily's shortening) with Emily was now being matched mid 4s
Emily was back out to 5 on Monday morning but has then shortened all week with a low of 4 being matched so far

1.76 - 1.77       Matt Terry
4.2 - 4.4         Emily Middlemass
14.5 - 16         5 After Midnight
18 - 19.5         Honey G
23 - 28           Saara Aalto       (60 pre show, 40 after, 34 Monday morning then shortened all week)
30 - 34           Sam Lavery
80 - 90           Four of Diamonds
220 - 290         Ryan Lawrie

Everyone else on Betfair are finally 1000 to back!

Amount matched £643,652
Report ahorsewithnoname November 4, 2016 8:00 AM GMT
Best high street prices:

Winning Category.......4/6 Boys, 5/2 Girls, 15/2 Groups, 10/1 Overs

First Manager Out......Evs Sharon, 6/4 Louis, 6/1 Simon, 25/1 Nicole

Top Boy........1/50 Matt, 18/1 Ryan

Top Girl.......2/9 Emily, 100/30 Sam

Top Over.......4/7 Honey, 11/8 Saara

Top Group......1/4 5AM, 100/30 4oD

Without Matt..........11/10 Emily, 4/1 5AM, 11/2 Honey, 7/1 Sam, 8/1 Saara, 16/1 4oD, 40/1 Ryan

5th Elimination........2/1 4oD, 9/4 Ryan, 5/2 Saara, 10/1 Sam, 14/1 Honey, 20/1 5AM, 80/1 Emily, 100/1 Matt
Report ahorsewithnoname November 4, 2016 8:28 AM GMT
Not my best morning...

***Gifty sang first. Don't have accurate records for Sunday's show but 4 of Diamonds was trading 1.25 - 1.3 at one stage during the sing-off
Report bearcub November 4, 2016 9:37 AM GMT
I'll forgive you, just this once Love
Report ahorsewithnoname November 11, 2016 8:58 AM GMT
Fifth elimination - Four of Diamonds

6pm Saturday   -   4oD were just shading favouritism on Betfair, 3.3 - 3.35. Ryan 3.65 - 3.85, Saara 5.2 - 5.3, 5AM 10.5 - 12, Sam 17.5 - 23, Honey G 20 - 26, 100+ Matt & Emily
After the show   -   4oD 2.22 - 2.4, Saara 3.3 - 3.7, Ryan 4.7 - 5.8, Sam 16 - 19, 5AM 30 - 50, Honey G 55
Sunday 5pm   -   4oD 2.28 - 2.36, Saara 3.15 - 3.3, Ryan 6.8 - 7.2, Sam 11 - 12, 65 bar
Sunday 8:15pm   -   4oD 2.46 - 2.78, Saara 2.7 - 2.94, Ryan 6.6 - 7, Sam 12.5 - 13.5

Dermot said there had been 2.5mil votes and then revealed there was 1% between 1st and 2nd, 1% between 2nd and 3rd and 4% between the bottom 4 acts

The acts were called safe in the following order - 5AM, Ryan, Emily, Honey G, Matt  (I fancied Ryan to escape the Bottom 3 so backed him for First Announced Safe at a juicy 9/1 Cry )

This left 4oD, Saara & Sam in the bottom 3. Sam was saved in the flash vote
As the sing-off was about to start, 4oD were 1.78 - 1.83, Saara 2.26 - 2.28
4oD sang first. After both songs, 4oD were 1.66 - 1.7, Saara 2.52 - 2.6
The judges voted 4oD off 3 to 1. At the death, they were last traded 1.3
Report ahorsewithnoname November 11, 2016 9:21 AM GMT
Betfair prices on Friday morning, day before the 6th live weekend (Disco theme):

Matt sang first, singing Wham!'s I'm Your Man, was unimpressive and drifted to 1.8s then 1.9s
Honey G was 16 before singing (in 3rd), 14 during judges comments before shortened a bit further
Emily was 4.5 before singing (2nd last) and shortened to 3.65 afterwards
After the show, Matt was 1.9, Emily 3.55, Honey G 13, 5AM 17, 44 bar
As Sunday's show was about to start, Matt was 1.9 - 1.95, Emily 3.45 - 3.5, Honey G 9.8 - 10.5, 5AM 15.5 - 17.5, 65 bar
5 minutes after Sunday's show, Matt was 2 - 2.14, Emily 3.1 - 3.3, Honey G 9.4 - 9.6, 5AM 14.5 - 15.5, Saara 42 - 55, Sam 80, Ryan 110
Monday morning 9am Matt had shortened back to 1.9 with Emily drifting a little

1.86 - 1.87       Matt Terry
3.5 - 3.7         Emily Middlemass
9.4 - 9.8         Honey G
15.5 - 16         5 After Midnight
55 - 65           Saara Aalto
150 - 180         Sam Lavery
190 - 230         Ryan Lawrie

Amount matched £750,064
Report ahorsewithnoname November 11, 2016 9:35 AM GMT
Best high street prices:

Winning Category.......5/6 Boys, 9/4 Girls, 13/2 Overs, 12/1 Groups

First Manager Out......8/11 Sharon, 13/8 Louis, 8/1 Simon, 25/1 Nicole

Top Boy........1/50 Matt, 18/1 Ryan

Top Girl.......1/10 Emily, 7/1 Sam

Top Over.......2/9 Honey G, 100/30 Saara

Without Matt..........8/11 Emily, 100/30 Honey G, 6/1 5AM, 16/1 Sam, 16/1 Saara, 40/1 Ryan

6th Elimination........2/1 Sam, 2/1 Saara, 2/1 Ryan, 12/1 5AM, 16/1 Honey G, 66/1 Emily, 80/1 Matt
(Betfair to back prices.......3.1 Sam, 3.45 Saara, 3.45 Ryan, 12 5AM, 28 Honey G, 80 Emily, 110 Matt)
Report timbuctooth November 11, 2016 3:07 PM GMT
You`re the unsung hero of the forum, horse, thanks.
Report bearcub November 11, 2016 5:01 PM GMT
Not for long he's not Wink
Report ahorsewithnoname November 17, 2016 7:23 AM GMT
Thanks timmy and beary

Sixth elimination - poor 17 year old Sam Lavery

The Star broke the news on Saturday the flash vote would be ditched. Dermot confirmed this at the beginning of the show, that now we were at the business end of things it wouldn't be used any further

Saara sang first and was praised. Sam sang next, totally stitched up with a slowed down I Will Survive (ironically), then Ryan sang third. Sam was the only one who sang then without an ad break had another act afterwards

6pm Saturday   -   Ryan favourite at 2.54 - 2.92, Saara 3.35 - 3.5, Sam 3.8 - 3.9, 26 bar (Ryan had shortened with news the flash vote wouldn't be used)
After the show   -   Sam 1.7s, Ryan around 4, Saara around 7, 30 bar
Sunday 7:15pm   -   Sam 1.78, Ryan 3.8, Saara 7.8, Honney G 29, Emily 38, 5AM & Matt triple figures  (Emily had shortened after making a poor Wishing on a Star)
Just before vote close   -   Sam 1.88 - 1.91, Ryan 3.15 - 3.7, Saara 7.2 - 9.6, Honet G 15 - 35, Emily 19 - 26

At 20:05 Dermot said "there's just 3% of votes between the bottom 3"
At 20:15 Dermot said "over the last 24 hours the 1st and 2nd place have changed a number of times, and the 2 acts who have been at the top who have never been top before" sic

Dermot said there had been 2.5mil votes

The acts were called safe in the following order - Saara, Matt, 5AM, Honey G, then the last person safe would be announced later. We then had ads, Olly Murs singing, more ads, then Emily announced safe

- Sam sang first, was initially 1.5s then 1.6s during singing. She drifted further to 1.7s when Ryan was singing
- After the two judges saved their own acts, Louis said he would send Ryan home. Sharon was last to decide and amongst her gibbering, said "Ryan you have improved so much...I don't know what to do...the name of the act I'm sending home, it's only because he's been in the bottom so many times...I hate to do this...then Dermot urged the name you are sending home Sharon...Sharon replied Sam!
- It then went to Deadlock. The prices were obviously all over the place during all this. Sam matched as high as 4 with even a little matched at 5. Her last price matched though was 1.62 when it went to Deadlock. Ryan had shortened to around evens after Louis decision then matched down to 1.5 during Sharon's decision. Lpm 2.38
Report ahorsewithnoname November 17, 2016 7:54 AM GMT
Betfair prices on Thursday morning. Movie theme this weekend

When the songs for last weekend were announced mid Friday morning, Matt drifted as high as evens. However, in the afternoon he started to shorten back and this continued Saturday. At 4pm he was 1.74. During this shortening Emily was drifting and at 4pm was 4.3. Honey G was 8.4, 5AM 15, Saara 60, Sam 110, Ryan 190

5AM, singing 4th, had drifted to 17 pre song but shortened to 10 afterwards
Matt sang 5th and was unchanged at low 1.7s afterwards
Emily sang 6th and was 4.5 pre song but had drifted to 7 after the judges comments. Matt was now getting matched at 1.6
Honey G sang last, was 8.4 pre song, 7.6 during/after
-  When the show finished - Matt 1.68, Emily 6, Honey G 7.4, 5AM 10, Saara 44
-  Sunday 7:15pm - Matt 1.72, Emily 7, Honey G 7.2 (low of 6.6 had been matched), 5AM 8.4, Saara 34
-  Dermot's voting revelation had sent to market into a spin and 10am Monday Matt was 1.97 (having been matched low 2s Sunday evening), 5AM 5.1, Emily & Honey G 8.6, Saara 18
-  9pm Tuesday Matt had shortened back though and was 1.75, 5AM after being 5s all Monday were now 6.2, Emily 8, Honey G drifting and now 9.8, Saara 16

1.79 - 1.8       Matt Terry
6 - 6.4          5 After Midnight
8 - 8.4          Emily Middlemass
11 - 11.5        Honey G
17.5 - 18.5        Saara Aalto
390 - 510         Ryan Lawrie

Amount matched £913,931
Report ahorsewithnoname November 17, 2016 8:07 AM GMT
Best high street prices:

Winning Category.......10/11 Boys, 4/1 Overs, 9/2 Groups, 7/1 Girls

First Manager Out......6/4 Simon, 9/4 Louis, 11/4 Sharon, 20/1 Nicole  (crazy market this year)

Top Boy........1/50 Matt, 33/1 Ryan   /   Top Over.......3/10 Honey G, 11/4 Saara

Without Matt..........7/4 5AM, 12/5 Honey G, 3/1 Emily, 8/1 Saara, 50/1 Ryan

7th Elimination........4/7 Ryan, 3/1 Saara, 10/1 Honey G, 12/1 Emily, 20/1 5AM, 66/1 Matt
Report ahorsewithnoname November 24, 2016 6:22 AM GMT
Seventh elimination - poor Ryan Lawrie

Ryan sang first (Jailhouse Rock) with Honey G 5th (of 6)

Saturday 6pm  -   Ryan favourite at 1.65 - 1.69, Saara 6 - 7, HoneyG 9 - 9.6, Emily 7.6 - 11, 5AM 32 - 36, Matt 70 - 110
Sunday 8am   -   Ryan 1.37 - 1.51, HoneyG 6 - 7, Saara 7.8 - 10, 5AM 15.5 - 17, Emily 55 - 60, Matt 220 - 390
Sunday 7pm   -   Ryan 1.45 - 1.48, HoneyG 6.6 - 6.8, Saara 9.2 - 9.8, 5AM 18.5 - 19.5, Emily 30 - 50, Matt 310
Sunday 7pm Bottom 2 prices   -   Ryan 1.18 - 1.24, HoneyG 2.76 - 2.84, Saara 2.8 - 3.2, 5AM 2.78 - 2.8, Emily 7.2 - 9, Matt 40 - 95

At 20:07 Dermot said there was "5% separating the bottom 4"
Elimination last prices matched when market suspended - Ryan 1.38, HoneyG 7, Saara 7

The acts were called safe in the following order - 5AM, Saara, Matt, Emily

- When the elimination market reopened, Ryan initially traded as low as 1.37 then quickly moved to around 1.5 then 1.6s before going back to 1.5s
- Ryan was 1.53 pre singing. He sang first, awfully, and shortened to 1.4s and remained there during Honey G's "singing"
- Ryan was 1.4 as Dermot went to the judges, surprisingly Simon first, who saved Honey G. Nicole obviously saved Ryan, Sharon obviously saved Honey G. Ryan was now 1.26 - 1.3
- With Sharon nagging him, Louis then saved Honey G. Ryan's lowest price matched was 1.26 with lpm 1.32. Honey G's lowest price matched was 2.6 with lpm 4.4
- £89,827 final total matched
Report ahorsewithnoname November 24, 2016 6:59 AM GMT
Betfair prices on Thursday morning. "Louis Loves" theme this weekend when the remaining 5 will be singing two songs each

- Saturday 6pm Matt was 1.78, 5AM 5.3, HoneyG 11, Emily 12, Saara 14, Ryan 200 (Emily had drifted a lot over last couple of days, 14s getting matched)
- at the beginning of the show, Dermot again revealed that "3 different acts had come top of the voting" in previous weeks and therefore how wide open it was. Yes Dermot
- Ryan sang first and at this time Matt was still mid 1.7s but Emily had shortened significantly and was now mid 7s. 5AM 5.8 - 6.6, HoneyG 11 - 13, Saara 15 - 17.5
- 5AM sang second and drifted to 7s
- Saara sang third and shortened from around 18 pre song to 15 as she finished
- Matt sang fourth, was still mid 1.7s as VT started then shortened to 1.6s during singing. He was 1.6 to lay as the judges eulogised
- Honey G sang fifth and didn't really change from around 11 - 12
- Emily sang last, was 8.4 pre VT, 7.8 as about to sing, then shortened to mid 6s

- at the end of the show, Matt was 1.6 - 1.66, Emily 6.6 - 6.8, 5AM 8.6 - 9, HoneyG 14 - 18.5, Saara 17 - 18.5
- Sunday 8am Matt was 1.56 - 1.58, Emily 8 - 8.4, 5AM 9.6 - 10.5, Saara 12.5 - 13, HoneyG 14 - 17
- Sunday 7pm Matt was 1.51 - 1.53, Emily 8.8 - 9, 5AM 8.8 - 9, Saara 16.5 - 18.5, HoneyG 18 - 20. Ryan was 150 - 300
- Sunday 8pm Matt was 1.53 - 1.58, 5AM 7 - 7.4, Emily 8.8 - 9, Saara 17 - 17.5, HoneyG 21 - 24 (although she shortened back to 16 - 19 as lines closed

Right now:

1.51 - 1.52       Matt Terry     (lowest matched 1.49)
6.8 - 7            5 After Midnight
9.4 - 9.8          Emily Middlemass
16.5 - 17.5       Saara Aalto     (was matched as low as 9.8 when market reopened Sunday, trading around 12 on Monday, drifting since)
27 - 28        Honey G     (busted flush now after being bottom 2, lumps trying to lay in 40s during Sunday's show, trading 30s earlier in the week)

Amount matched £1,047,178
Report ahorsewithnoname November 24, 2016 7:10 AM GMT
Best high street prices for:

Winning Category.......8/15 Boys, 11/2 Groups, 11/2 Overs, 8/1 Girls

First Manager Out......11/8 Sharon, 15/8 Simon, 11/4 Louis, 28/1 Nicole

Top Over.......8/13 Saara, 11/8 Honey G

Without Matt..........13/8 5AM, 9/4 Emily, 3/1 Saara, 6/1 Honey G

8th Elimination........4/6 Honey G, 3/1 Saara, 5/1 Emily, 10/1 5AM, 50/1 Matt
Report ahorsewithnoname December 1, 2016 10:21 AM GMT
Eighth elimination - Honey G  (G for Goodbye, to be polite)

Saturday 6:35pm   -   Honey G 1.86 - 1.96, Saara 2.48 - 2.84, Emily 10.5 - 13, 5AM 28 - 34, Matt 150 - 440
Sunday 9am   -   Honey G 1.3 - 1.39, Emily 7.6 - 8.8, Saara 13 - 20, 5AM 20 - 28, Matt 50 - 75
Sunday 7pm   -  Honey G 1.27 - 1.31, 5AM 8.8 - 14.5, Emily 8.6 - 19.5, Saara 13.5 - 26, Matt 90 - 200 (great market Sad )
Sunday 7pm Bottom 2 prices   -   Honey G 1.14 - 1.16, 5AM 1.75 - 1.85, Emily 2.64 - 3.3, Saara 6.4 - 7.8, Matt 5.9 - 8.2

Dermot said "I can tell you there's only 1% of the vote keeping 1 of the acts safe from the bottom 2 and the dreaded sing off"
Elimination last prices matched when market suspended - Honey G 1.25, Emily 12, 5AM 12.5, Saara 15.5, Matt 260
Bottom 2 last prices matched when market closed - Honey G 1.2, 5AM 1.53, Emily 2.5, Saara 9.2, Matt 16.5

The acts were called safe in the following order - Saara, Matt, Emily

- When the elimination market reopened, Honey G traded around the 1.1 mark
- Honey G the traded shorter, 1.07 matched at 20:36, 1.05 matched at 20:42. She was 1.08 - 1.09 when about to sing (first)
- Honey G was 1.09 - 1.1 as 5AM were about to sing. During their truly awful performance, Honey G went to 1.14
- Louis of course saved 5AM (Honey G 1.1 - 1.12). Sharon of course saved Honey G before Nicole then Simon saved 5AM
- Honey G's highest prices matched for elimination was around 2, lowest 1.05, lpm 1.06
- £83,313 final total matched
Report ahorsewithnoname December 1, 2016 11:20 AM GMT
Betfair prices on Thursday morning. Christmas theme this weekend coming

- Saturday 6:35pm Matt was 1.54 mid price, 5AM 7, Emily 7.8, Saara 22, Honey G 30
- Matt sang first and was still around 1.55 afterwards
- Saara sang second (Winner Takes It All), was 21 - 30 pre song, 18 matched after then quickly went 16 then 14 then 10.5 was getting matched when the judges had finished praising it
- Honey G sang third was 28 - 32 pre song, 48 - 50 afterwards then back to 30s when the stage was "invaded"
- 5AM sang fourth, 6.6 - 7.4 pre song, 5.9 matched during it (Matt had now drifted to 1.7)
- Emily sang fifth, 8s pre song, touched 7s during her VT before going back to 8s  when her song finished
- At half time, Matt 1.64 - 1.67, 5AM 5.8 - 6.2, Emily 8.8 - 9.2, Saara 10 - 11.5, Honey G 38 - 44
- Matt sang sixth and was trading 1.7s after (Saara now hitting a new low of 8.4)
- 5AM sang seventh, 6 pre song, 5.6 when song finished (Saara's ever decreasing price now 7.6)
- Honey G sang eighth and was 34 - 42
- Emily sang ninth and was trading around 10 (Saara now 7)
- Saara sang tenth and last, was getting matched at 6 during her VT, heading towards 7 as her song finished, back to 8s when the judges had finished their less than fulsome praise (cheesy being mentioned)
- at the end of the show, Matt was 1.65 - 1.67, 5AM 6.2 - 6.8, Saara 8.8 - 9, Emily 10.5 - 11, Honey G 40 - 48
- Sunday 9am Matt was 1.67 - 1.69, Saara 6 - 6.4, 5AM 7.4 - 7.8, Emily 12 - 13, Honey G 42 - 65
- Saara continued to shorten all day. Shortly after midday 4k was matched at 5.4 before going a little lower
- Sunday 7pm Matt was 1.66 - 1.67, Saara 5.7 - 5.9, Emily 8.6 - 9.6, 5AM 9.4 - 9.8, Honey G 100 - 130
- After the bottom 2 announcement, Saara was matching at 4.4 then during the Honey G/5AM sing-off there was some brief panic backing down to 3, for biggish money
- After the show finished, Matt was 1.74 - 1.79, Saara 3.85 - 3.9, Emily 10.5 - 11.5, 5AM 12 - 13.5
- Monday 8am Matt was 1.83 - 1.85, Saara 3.45 - 3.6, Emily 11 - 12, 5AM 11.5 - 12

Right now:

1.68 - 1.69       Matt Terry
3.65 - 3.7        Saara Aalto
12 - 12.5         Emily Middlemass
17 - 18           5 After Midnight

Amount matched £1,278,312
Report ahorsewithnoname December 1, 2016 11:23 AM GMT
Best high street prices for:

Without Matt..........4/6 Saara, 7/2 Emily, 9/2 5AM

9th Elimination........11/8 5AM, 13/8 Emily, 4/1 Saara, 20/1 Matt
Report ahorsewithnoname December 6, 2016 8:07 AM GMT
9th Elimination - Emily Middlemas

Saturday 6pm Elimination market   -   5AM 2.18 - 2.32, Emily 2.76 - 2.98, Saara 5.8 - 6.6, Matt 25 - 42
Sunday 9am Elimination market  -   Emily 1.32 - 1.39, 5AM 5.3 - 8, Matt 10 - 14.5, Saara 30 - 100
Sunday 9am Bottom 2 market   -   Emily 1.08 - 1.17, 5AM 1.54 - 1.89, Matt 2.4 - 4, Saara 6 - 10

Elimination market at suspension...
Emily - highest matched 3.1, lowest and last price matched 1.1 (next lowest 1.17 but £511 matched at 1.1 just before market suspended)
Matt - highest matched 48, lowest 7.4, lpm 10
5AM - highest matched 9 (+ £12 at 10, £3 at 14 & £14 at 15), lowest 2.06, lpm 9
Saara - highest matched 36 (+ £4 at 40), lowest 4, lpm 28
£32,398 matched at this stage

Bottom 2 market at vote close...
Emily - highest matched 1.3, lowest 1.09, lpm 1.1
Matt - highest matched 12, lowest 1.4, lpm 1.77
5AM - highest matched 3, lowest 1.31, lpm 2.98
Saara - highest matched 12 (+ £12 at 24), lowest 2.92 (+ £4 at 2.8 & £112 at 1.66), lpm 11
£22,513 matched

So, huge market changes during Saturday's show as Matt was deramped. However, it wasn't until more or less the exact time the Sunday show started that Matt went from trading in the 2s to plunging odds on for Bottom 2, with biggish amounts matched...£610 at 1.4, £812 at 1.5, £1,268 between 1.51 & 1.7


Dermot said it had been the biggest vote of the series with over 2 million votes (although in previous weeks he has said there had been 2.5 mil votes??)
There were no remarks from Dermot about any voting being close but he did emphasise that all of the last 4 had topped the vote at least once during the series

The acts were called safe in the following order - 5AM, Saara

- When the elimination market reopened Emily initially traded in the 1.11 - 1.14 before going a little higher, 1.17. She was 1.15 as Matt was about to sing (first). He was 8 - 8.4
- After Matt sang he dropped in price to 6s with Emily trading 1.18 - 1.2
- During Emily's song she went a little higher again, 1.2/1.21 with Matt touching 5s
- Simon, of course, saved Emily and she hit 1.24. Nicole, of course, saved Matt. Louis was next and saved Matt, Emily was 1.23. During Sharon's decision Emily then went shorter before she saved Matt. Emily's lpm was 1.12, Matt's 9. Matt had traded at a low of 5 during the sing-off. Emily's last price matched in the Outright had been 70
- £59,034 final total matched
Report ahorsewithnoname December 6, 2016 9:10 AM GMT
Tuesday morning, after Emily's elimination and before final weekend

- Last Saturday 6pm Matt was 1.77, Saara 3.1, Emily 14, 5AM 20
- By 7:30pm Matt had drifted to 1.9 & Saara shortened to 2.9
- When the running order had been announced (Matt -> 5AM -> Emily -> Saara) Matt hit 2 with Saara 2.8s (and 2.64 having been matched)
- Matt sang 1st (Silent Night) and was around 1.9 when finishing. During the judges comments he drifted to 2 - 2.2 range then quickly went as high as 2.5 with Saara getting matched at 2.2
- 5AM sang 2nd, 11-14 pre song, 16 matched during song (Matt 2.4, Saara 2.2 - 2.3)
- Emily sang 3rd, 12.5 - 16 pre song, stayed around this price afterwards
- Saara sang 4th, was 2.3 after Emily had sang but then 2 was matched during adverts pre song, 2.14 - 2.34 as about to sing, 2.26 at end of song
- At half time, Matt 2.1 - 2.18, Saara 2.3 - 2.44, 5AM 11.5 - 14.5, Emily 19 - 21
- Emily sang 5th and was 20 - 21 afterwards
- Matt sang 6th and went from 2.2s pre singing to 2.5 - 2.9 range afterwards (Saara hit 1.8s/1.9s). Matt settled around 2.6s/2.7s after the judges comments
- Saara sang 7th, was around 2 pre song (Matt 2.7s, 5AM 8s/9s, Emily 30s). Saara went 1.9s during VT then 1.8s/1.9s getting matched during/after singing (with Matt hitting 3)
- 5AM sang last, around 8 before a tearful VT sent them down to 7s, down to 6s when singing and hitting 5s during the judges comments
- As the show finished...Saara 2 - 2.06, Matt 3 - 3.2, 5AM 5.8 - 6, Emily 34 - 40
- Sunday 9am...Saara 1.91 - 1.93, Matt 2.78 - 2.86, 5AM 10 - 10.5, Emily 36 - 44
- Sunday 8:15pm market suspension...Saara 1.75 - 1.76, Matt 3.25 - 3.3, 5AM 8.6 - 9, Emily 55 - 70
- Sunday 9pm market reopened...Saara 1.84 - 1.87, Matt 3.1 - 3.2, 5AM 7 - 7.4

During Matt's sing off Saara was matched at 1.42 for £136, 1.51 for £44, 1.56 for £302, 1.58 for £22 & 1.6 for £174 with next lowest 1.65

Early Monday morning Saara started to drift, towards evens then up to around 2.1, with Matt shortening to around 2.8. At 8am Matt shortened further to 2.6. 5AM were 7. However, later in the morning the prices started to reverse and around 1pm Saara was 1.8s, Matt 3.3 - 3.5 whilst 5AM had shortened to high 5s. Later on Monday Saara shortened more with Matt drifting

Prices right now:

1.75 - 1.85       Saara Aalto
3.7 - 3.85        Matt Terry
5.9 - 6.2         5 After Midnight

Amount matched £1,791,302


High Street prices for:
Next elimination (3rd place finish)   -   4/6 5 After Midnight, 15/8 Matt, 6/1 Saara
W/O Matt   -   1/4 Saara, 11/4 5 After Midnight
Report bearcub December 6, 2016 5:13 PM GMT
Cheers FOTY  Love
Report ahorsewithnoname December 10, 2016 6:35 AM GMT
Saturday morning of the final weekend:

1.66- 1.67       Saara Aalto     (has been matched at 1.6 earlier in the week)
3.75 - 3.9         Matt Terry     (has been matched down to 3.4 earlier in the week)
7.6 - 8           5 After Midnight     (drifted earlier in the week)

Amount matched £1,950,161


Best high Street prices for:
Next elimination/3rd place finish   -   4/6 5AM, 11/5 Matt, 13/2 Saara
Runner up   -     5/4 Matt, 11/5 Saara, 5/2 5AM
W/O Matt   -   2/9 Saara, 3/1 5AM
Straight Forecast   -   6/5 Saara/Matt, 3/1 Saara/5AM, 100/30 Matt/Saara, 8/1 5AM/Saara, 12/1 Matt/5AM, 25/1 5AM/Matt
X-Factor to be Christmas Number 1   -   4/1
Report ahorsewithnoname December 15, 2016 6:56 AM GMT
3rd place - 5 After Midnight

Runner up - Saara Aalto

WINNER - Matt Terry



On Saturday afternoon there was a move on 5AM. At 3pm they were 7 after being in the 8s half an hour before. By 5pm they were down to 5s
7:30pm Saara was 1.67, Matt 4.5, 5AM 5.6 with £2,046,623 matched

Saturday's show (8pm start)
8:10pm   lines open, order = 5AM/Matt/Saara. 5AM drift on this news to 7, Saara 1.61, Matt 4.9
8:13pm   5AM drift further, now 8.6, Saara 1.57, Matt 3.9
8:15pm   start of 5AM's song (Crazy In Love), they drift to 9s during it and are 10 by the end of the song
8:22pm   adverts Saara 1.57, Matt 3.5, 5AM now 12
8:27pm   Matt's VT playing and he's now 3.3, 3 at the start of his song (Take Me Home), 3.6 hit during it, 4 by the end
8:38pm   Saara 1.49, Matt 4.6, 5AM 9s
8:44pm   Saara's VT about to start and she's 1.46, 1.43 during VT, 1.41 start of song (Everybody Wants To Rule The World), new low of 1.34 matched during it, 1.4 at end, 1.35 at end of judges comments
8:55pm   half time, Saara 1.36, Matt 5, 5AM 12
9:10pm   adverts before duets, Saara 1.34 - 1.38, Matt 6 - 6.2, 5AM 10.5 - 11
9:13pm   start of 5AM's duet (Tears with Clean Bandit/Louisa Johnson) and during it they drift to 13 then 15
9:18pm   start of Matt's duet (Purple Rain with his mentor Nicole) and he's 5.4, 1 minute into song and he's quickly shortening, mid 4s, then lower, by end of song he's 3.75 (Saara 1.41, 5AM 23)
9:26pm   during Saara's VT she's 1.43, Matt 3.6 and 5AM drifting very quickly, now 40. By the end of Saara's song (Bohemian Rhapsody with Adam Lambert) she was 1.44 but had dipped into 1.3s during it
9:31pm   Saara drifted a bit to 1.49, Matt 3.2, 5AM 30 before some quick and big movements...
9:32pm   Saara 1.6, Matt 2.82, 5AM 42
9:35pm   Saara 1.66, Matt 2.66, 5AM 42
9:36pm   Saara 1.7, Matt 2.4, 5AM 44
9:39pm   5 minutes warning for vote suspend
9:43pm   Saara 1.6, Matt 2.6, 5AM 70
9:44pm   VOTE SUSPEND Saara lpm 1.6, Matt 2.7, 5AM 70. £2,217,998 matched. Dermot said there had been 2 mil votes

9:57pm   Saara called safe then Matt...5 After Midnight eliminated
10:08pm   Market reopened and Saara was trading mid 1.8s, Matt around 2.2
10:17pm   flip-flop...Matt 1.75, Saara 2.4s
10:55pm   Matt 1.8, Saara 2.26



3rd Place Finish Market
5AM traded between 2.28 (+ £3 at 2.4) and 1.07 with lpm 1.09
Matt traded £196 at 11, £20 at 9.6, £75 at 6, £40 at 5 then between 4 and 2.04. That highest matched of 11 was the lpm
Saara traded £35 at 50, £2 at 48, £6 at 40, £27 at 38 then between 26 and 4 with lpm 20
£11,269 matched



Sunday...
6am   Matt was 1.77, Saara 2.3 with £2,467,575 matched
9am   Matt 1.67, Saara 2.5
4pm   Matt 1.89, Saara 2.12, £2,557,302 matched
6pm   Matt 1.73, Saara 2.36
7:30pm   Matt 1.67, Saara 2.46, £2,632,800 matched

Sunday's show (8pm start)
8:07pm   Dermot said there had been 3.5 mil votes
8:11pm   Kylie Minogue singing, Matt 1.76, Saara 2.3
8:22pm   Saara to sing first (It's Oh So Quiet) and she drifts from 2.4 to 2.6s and ends song at 2.7
8:31pm   Matt about to sing (The Writing's On The Wall) and goes from 1.57 pre song to 1.51 by the end, but during the judges comments he drifts to 1.7
8:40pm   during adverts Matt drifts further to 1.9, Saara 2.1
8:42pm   flip-flop again, Saara 1.92, Matt 2.18, 1 minute later Saara down to 1.7s then 1.6s
8:44pm   after this market madness, Madness about to sing. Saara 1.8, Matt 2.26
8:50pm   Madness still singing and Saara now gone low 1.6s
8:54pm   Matt now fav again at 1.95 (yes, in the space of 4 minutes)
9:03pm   Matt 1.7s, Saara 2.2s
9:06pm   durings ads, Matt 1.9, Saara 2.1
9:09pm   evens the pair
9:11pm   Dermot says there's been 5.6 mil votes
9:12pm   Matt about to sing (One Day I'll Fly Away) and was 2.2, 2.1 hit during song but 2.3 at the end
9:20pm   Saara VT before her song and she's 1.82, Matt 2.2
9:22pm   start of Saara's song ((I Didn't Know My Own Strength) and she's 1.7s
9:25pm   end of Saara's song and it's virtually evens the pair again
9:27pm   end of judges praising Saara and she's 1.8, Matt 2.26
9:30pm   evens the pair again
9:34pm   during ads Matt gone clear fav at 1.7, Saara 2.4
9:37pm   evens the pair yet again
9:41pm   Little Mix singing and Matt now 1.68, Saara 2.4s
9:42pm   Matt 1.63, 1 minute later 1.75, 3 minutes later 1.68
9:47pm   VOTE CLOSE Matt lpm 1.66, Saara 2.48, £3,367,465 final amount matched
9:52pm   Dermot announces there has been 6.4 mil votes. Matt announced the winner

Money matched to follow...
Report ahorsewithnoname December 15, 2016 7:27 AM GMT
Lowest and highest matched for Matt Terry
1.48    £6
1.49    £1,131
1.50    £10,870
1.51    £9,901
1.52    £11,183
1.53    £4,976
1.54    £8,991
1.55    £12,320
--------------------------------
10.0    £80
10.5    £12
11.0    £174
11.5    £55
12.0    £66
12.5    £60
13.0    £119
13.5    £41
14.0    £205
15.0    £66
16.0    £110
17.0    £81
24.0    £92

Lowest and highest matched for Saara Aalto
1.34    £318
1.35    £1,535
1.36    £2,038
1.37    £1,274
1.38    £9,170
1.39    £8,105
1.40    £12,903
1.41    £4,091
1.42    £2,608
--------------------------------
100    £433
110    £336
120    £656
130    £502
140    £649
150    £492
160    £196
170    £146
180    £39
190    £23
200    £6
220    £4
230    £4
260    £3
270    £0

Lowest and highest matched for 5 After Midnight
3.75    £1,749
3.85    £108
3.90    £32
3.95    £170
4.00    £156
4.10    £240
4.20    £432
4.30    £621
4.40    £3,015
4.50    £3,370
---------------------------------
50    £141
55    £224
60    £267
65    £87
70    £340
75    £14
80    £3
85    £183
95    £38

Lowest matched for Emily Middlemass
3.05    £465
3.10    £25
3.15    £1,403
3.20    £48
3.25    £136
3.30    £2,038
3.35    £2,480
3.40    £1,486
3.45    £4,047
3.50    £1,804

Lowest matched for Honey G
6.6    £23
6.8    £2,149
7.0    £3,803
7.2    £4,150
7.4    £2,532
7.6    £2,792
7.8    £2,218
8.0    £3,269

Lowest matched for Ryan Lawrie
14.5    £2
16.5    £28
17.0    £82
17.5    £423
18.0    £66
18.5    £470
19.0    £428
19.5    £53
20.0    £613

Lowest matched for Sam Lavery
4.1    £8
8.0    £20
9.4    £40
9.6    £40
10.0    £110
10.5    £8
11.5    £50
12.0    £1,198
12.5    £2,245
13.0    £2,393

Lowest matched for 4 Of Diamonds
8.6    £45
9.0    £3
9.2    £172
9.4    £247
9.6    £1,768
9.8    £2,325
10.0    £6,379

Lowest matched for Gifty Louise
6.6    £565
6.8    £364
7.0    £742
7.2    £367
7.4    £505
7.6    £138
7.8    £277
8.0    £643

Lowest matched for Relley C
19    £4
20    £10
21    £53
22    £22
23    £220
24    £74
25    £338
26    £132

Lowest matched for Freddy Parker
12.0    £20
12.5    £20
13.0    £4
13.5    £97
14.0    £77
14.5    £60
15.0    £222
15.5    £196

Lowest matched for Bratavio
20    £50
29    £16
30    £8
32    £4
36    £4
40    £50
42    £32
44    £92


Lows matched for others:

Caitlyn Vanbeck
5.0    £36
5.6    £44
5.7    £72
5.8    £246
5.9    £372
6.0    £762
6.2    £1,033

Brooks Way
7.0    £231
7.2    £72
7.4    £450
7.6    £767
7.8    £458
8.0    £495
8.2    £426

Kayleigh Marie Morgan
8.2    £46
8.4    £29
8.6    £19
8.8    £14
9.0    £54
9.2    £66

James Wilson
12.0    £207
13.0    £85
13.5    £76
14.0    £128
14.5    £92
15.0    £99

James Hughes
13.0    £166
13.5    £160
14.0    £175
14.5    £136
15.0    £37

Christian Burrows
13.0    £28
14.0    £70
15.0    £66
15.5    £125

Niall Sexton
15.0    £24
16.0    £36
16.5    £64
17.0    £348
17.5    £46

Christoper Peyton
5.5    £11
15.5    £12
16.0    £108
17.5    £54
18.0    £157

Olivia Garcia
16.5    £33
17.0    £58
17.5    £39
18.0    £123
18.5    £183

Janet Grogan
20    £94
34    £10
50    £110
60    £46

Ivy Grace Parades
24    £25
26    £108
27    £50
28    £60
30    £464

Sada Vidoo
26    £4
36    £104
38    £20
40    £10

Chanal Benjilali
25    £12
34    £20
42    £8
44    £21

Yes Lad
28    £4
34    £3
40    £8
44    £4
50    £70

Garry Grieg
32    £44
34    £4
40    £8
50    £56

Tom & Laura
34    £40
40    £20
60    £4
80    £90

Samantha Atkinson
34    £8
44    £2
46    £5
50    £44

Mike Hough
34    £20
38    £2
40    £15
42    £40
44    £104

Nate Simpson
42    £97
44    £8
46    £10
48    £8

Marianna Zappi
44    £20
46    £24
48    £5
55    £3
60    £26
Report Jack Bauer '24' December 15, 2016 3:45 PM GMT
Top work, as always.
Report bearcub September 5, 2017 9:07 AM BST
I miss Horse Sad
Report ahorsewithnoname September 5, 2017 9:14 AM BST
X-Factor Series 14 - 2017


Betfair prices / High Street prices for acts put through in the audition shows, listed in the order they were shown:

Audition Show 1 (2nd Sept)
10.5 - 12.5  /  12/1    Rak-Su   (20/1 available on Sunday with Lads/Joe...assuming you have a good online account)
70           /  33/1    Sam Black
65 - 95      /  33/1    Kayleigh Taylor
320 - 800    /  100/1   Rwanda Shaw
18 - 22      /  16/1    Anthony Russell
360          /  150/1   Elisangela Mahoghany
26 - 30      /  16/1    Jack & Joel
18.5 - 19.5  /  14/1    Holly Tandy
5.7 - 5.9    /  5/1     Grace Davies   (7/1 available on Sunday)

Audition Show 2 (3rd Sept)
40 - 60      /  22/1    Lloyd Macey
440          /  66/1    Jordan Rabjohn
34 - 38      /  33/1    Georgina Panton
230 - 920    /  33/1    Nicole Caldwell
250 - 1000   /  100/1   GaGa Lord
38 - 55      /  16/1    Shanaya Atkinson-Jones

£9,140 matched
Report ahorsewithnoname September 5, 2017 9:15 AM BST
Patience bear, was typing when you posted!
Report bearcub September 5, 2017 9:30 AM BST
I know Wink
Report J.O.TOBIN. September 5, 2017 10:43 AM BST
Gotta have a little patience as Fat Ted would singHappy
Report ahorsewithnoname September 13, 2017 8:20 AM BST
From show 1, Grace Davies now trading 4.7 - 4.9 having steadily and consistently shortened, as have Rak-Su who are now 8.6 - 9.6

Betfair prices / High Street prices for acts put through in the audition shows, listed in the order they were shown:

Audition Show 3 (9th Sept)
26 - 32   /   16-1   Talia Dean
560       /   66-1   Liaa
1000      /   66-1   Drew Wedlake
210 - 480  /   100-1   New Dynamixx
21 - 23   /   12-1   Kevin Davy White
40 - 60   /   33-1   Rebecca Grace

Audition Show 4 (10th Sept)
18.5 - 20   /   10-1   The Cutkelvins
660         /   50-1   SJ Hill
510         /   40-1   Harrison Styles
220 - 490   /   50-1   Daniel Quick
570         /   150-1   JBK
570         /   50-1   Elysa V
16 - 19.5   /   6-1    Deanna
22 - 26     /   16-1   Aidan Martin

£30,712 matched

Some of those high street prices compared with Betfair Laugh
Report ahorsewithnoname September 19, 2017 6:26 AM BST
Current prices for previously shown singers:

4.2 - 4.4   Grace Davies  (was matched at 4 overnight on 15th)
12.5 - 13.5   Rak-Su   (matched at a low of 9 before drifting the last few days)
21 - 23   The Cutkelvins
22 - 26   Deanna
22 - 32   Sam Black   (been matched up to 200)
29 - 30   Talia Dean
30 - 38   Kevin Davy White
30 - 42   Lloyd Macey
34 - 44   Holly Tandy
38 - 55   Georgina Panton
Aidan Martin matched as low as 17 but now 85 to back
Anthony Russell matched as low as 13 but now 200 to back


Betfair prices / High Street prices for acts put through in last weekend's audition shows, listed in the order they were shown:

Audition Show 5 (16th Sept)
NOT ADDED   /   no quotes   Amrick Channa  (did I imagine him being put through? No hoper anyway)
150 - 790   /   100-1   Benji Matthews
44 - 85     /   33-1   Tracy Leanne Jefford
340 - 1000   /   100-1   Russell Jones
190 - 1000   /   no quotes   Nicole Simpson
220 - 1000   /   100-1   Gregor Coleman
6.6 - 6.8   /   6-1  Sean and Conor Price  (opened with £16 matched at 20 then 15.5 downwards, shortened all evening/overnight after shown, lowest matched 5.6)

Audition Show 6 (17th Sept)
240         /   50-1   Chloe Rose Moyle
NOT ADDED   /   no quotes   Harry Holmes   (must have imagined him too)
340         /   70-1   Imagen Harrison
260         /   100-1   Descendance
1000        /   100-1   The Clique
48 - 230    /   33-1   Taliah Dalorto
110 - 1000   /   66-1  Gary Barker

£57,301 matched.  Two more audition shows to come I think
Report ahorsewithnoname September 25, 2017 7:29 AM BST
Current prices for previously shown singers:

4 - 4.2   Grace Davies     (3.9 lowest matched)
6.2 - 6.8   Sean and Conor Price
12.5 - 13   Rak-Su
18 - 20   The Cutkelvins
Low 20s bar


Betfair prices / High Street prices for acts put through in the final two audition shows, listed in the order they were shown:

Audition Show 7 (23rd Sept)
23 - 27     /   16-1   Spencer Sutherland
1000     /   100-1   ITG
32 - 40     /   16-1   Matthew Linnen
1000     /   no quotes   Scarlett Lee
36 - 44     /   14-1   Rai-Elle Williams
1000     /   100-1   Brad Howard
NOT ADDED     /   no quotes   Peter Warick
NOT ADDED     /   no quotes   Afro-Swag
150 - 300     /   25-1   Slavko Kalezic
24 - 30     /   16-1   Alisah Bonaobra

Audition Show 8 (24th Sept)
130 - 970     /   40-1   Jenny Ball
1000     /   50-1   Reuel Elijah
1000     /   100-1   Just Us
24 - 46     /   16-1   Berget Lewis

Betfair have added Simon Gross & Danny Lambo but I didn't think they got through? Both are 1000 anyway

£78,255 matched
Report bearcub September 25, 2017 10:16 AM BST
Cheers Horse Happy

Lambo got a No. Simon we never really saw the decision but he was shown in the BC montage, so presumably a Yes
Report bearcub September 26, 2017 4:23 PM BST
Update. Just found out that Danny Lambo was at BC despite getting No's. Strange that BF have bf have better info than us Angry
Sorry if i've disrupted your thread Horse.
No more posts from me Blush
Report ahorsewithnoname September 26, 2017 8:40 PM BST
No apology necessary bear, cheers for the info. Very strange BF seemed to know but I think they added them by mistake and it's just a coincidence they are actually at BC

Could do without Simon Gross ever appearing on my TV screen again Cry
Report Henry VIII September 26, 2017 8:56 PM BST
Gross is fascinating character. "IT'S SHOWBIZ!!!" with a fixed mega grin and then the dark and resentful underpinnings revealed on BB.
Report ahorsewithnoname October 4, 2017 7:16 AM BST
I hate doing this thread in the early stages, the show's too messy, too many runners, grrr

So last weekend we had a two hour Boot Camp show on Saturday where the first 90 minutes showed the singers performing in groups of 4 acts with some going through and others rejected. The last 30 minutes and all of Sunday's 90 minute show then had individual acts singing in front of the judges and an audience before being rejected or going through to 6CC. This coming Saturday continues this for another 90 minutes then on Sunday it's the first (of 3, we think) 6CC shows

Grace Davies
During last Saturday she continued to be relentlessly backed, reaching a low of 3.25. After being shown over the weekend she started to drift a bit. Just before Sunday's show she was 3.8. During Monday she was trading around 4.3 and steady. News then broke Monday evening she was being advertised singing in some charity concert on 4th November which is when the live shows would be on, suggesting she might not have made the live shows. She drifted as high as 21, shortened to around 8, drifted again to around 13 before then shortening back. When I woke around 7am Tuesday she was trading around 6 and then slowly shortened more all during the day and right now is 4.4, right back where she was on Monday. Strewth!

Current prices:
4.4 - 4.5.......Grace Davies
7.2 - 7.4.......Sean & Conor Price (Shelby Park Boys)
7.8 - 8.........Holly Tandy   (was shown doing well on Saturday's show, shortened to 10 during Sunday, shortened more after Sunday's show)
9.8 - 10........Rak-Su
18 - 21.........The Cutkelvins
19.5 - 22.......Kevin Davy White
22 - 23.........Matt Linnen
23 - 26.........Spencer Sutherland
25 - 28.........Rai Elle Williams
30 - 46.........Alisah Bonaobra
36 - 44.........Sam Black
40 - 44.........Lloyd Macey
36 - 100........Benji Matthews
60 - 70.........Georgina Panton
60 - 80.........Aidan Martin
70 - 95.........Berget Lewis
65 - 100........Talia Dean
75 - 100........Jack & Joel
80 - 130........Tracy Leanne Jefford
95 - 170........Jack Mason

£173,417 matched
Report ahorsewithnoname October 10, 2017 10:50 AM BST
Tuesday morning after last Saturday's final 90 minute Boot Camp episode (with Grace in pimp) and Sunday's 90 minute 6CC episode which covered the girls
This coming weekend are 2 x 2 hour episodes which will complete 6CC for the other three categories

Grace Davies Price
After my posting last Wednesday, Grace drifted to 5s on Thursday and even 6s on Friday before shortening back. After Saturday's show she was 4.2 and continued to shorten more during Sunday, trading around 3.7 just before that show. After the show she was 3.4 - 3.6. At some time on Sunday, I think during the show, she was matched at a new low of 3.15. She's drifted a tad during yesterday

Current prices:
3.6 - 3.75........Grace Davies
7.6 - 8.2........Sean & Conor Price (Shelby Park Boys)
7.8 - 8..........Holly Tandy
12 - 12.5........Rak-Su
16.5 - 17.5......The Cutkelvins
19.5 - 21........Matt Linnen
26 - 34..........Spencer Sutherland
30 - 36..........Kevin Davy White
34 - 38..........Rai Elle Williams
34 - 46..........Alisah Bonaobra
34 - 48..........Georgina Panton
38 - 50..........Lloyd Macey
42 - 50..........Sam Black
55 - 75..........Benji Matthews
70 - 90..........Berget Lewis
75 - 120.........Aidan Martin
130 Bar

£257,375 matched
Report ahorsewithnoname October 16, 2017 6:41 AM BST
Monday morning after the completion of the 6CC shows. 2 x 2 hour Judges Houses shows next weekend

Current prices for the final 24 (with Sam Black, who was not even at 6CC, replacing Anthony Russell who's been thrown out after 6CC):

Girls (Sharon)
3.3 - 3.7........Grace Davies     (low of 3 matched over last few days)
9 - 9.2...........Holly Tandy
32 - 55...........Georgina Panton
44 - 55...........Rai Elle Williams
55 - 80...........Alisah Bonaobra
150 - 220.........Deanna

Boys (Louis)
36 - 48...........Sam Black
40 - 55...........Spencer Sutherland
46 - 55...........Lloyd Macey
42 - 80...........Aidan Martin
65 - 100..........Jack Mason
120 - 200.........Leon Mallett

Overs (Nicole)
21 - 23............Matt Linnen     (backed down to 16 last week)
36 - 60............Kevin Davy White
100 - 160..........Talia Dean
100 - 170..........Berget Lewis
150 - 190..........Tracy Leanne Jefford
200 - 390..........Slavko Kalezic

Groups (Cowell)
7.4 - 7.8..........Sean & Conor Price (Shelby Park Boys)
12.5 - 13.5........Rak-Su
26 - 28............The Cutkelvins     (backed down to 14 last week, big drifter after 6CC performance)
42 - 60............New Girl Band
230 - 360..........Lemonade
220 - 770..........Jack & Joel

Anyone else trading below 500:
50 - 60..........Benji Matthews
220..............Nicole Caldwell

£314,237 matched
Report ahorsewithnoname October 20, 2017 7:55 PM BST
Friday evening before Judges Houses weekend. Current prices:

Girls (Sharon)   (13/10 best high street price)
3 - 3.1........Grace Davies     (was trading around 3.3/3.4 this morning but has shortened and been matched at previous low of 3 again)
8 - 8.2...........Holly Tandy
38 - 40...........Rai Elle Williams
36 - 55...........Georgina Panton
40 - 44...........Alisah Bonaobra
150 - 250.........Deanna

Boys (Louis)   (5/1)
38 - 55...........Sam Black
48 - 60...........Aidan Martin
50 - 85...........Lloyd Macey
65 - 75...........Spencer Sutherland
85 - 130.........Leon Mallett
100 - 170..........Jack Mason

Overs (Nicole)   (11/2)
29 - 34............Matt Linnen
46 - 65............Kevin Davy White
75 - 85..........Talia Dean
80 - 150..........Berget Lewis
95 - 170..........Tracy Leanne Jefford
280 - 600..........Slavko Kalezic

Groups (Cowell)   (5/2)
7.8 - 8............Sean & Conor Price (Shelby Park Boys)
11.5 - 12..........Rak-Su
22 - 23............The Cutkelvins
60 - 70............New Girl Band
180 - 310..........Lemonade
220 - 300..........Jack & Joel

Anyone else trading below 500:
90 - 200..........Benji Matthews

£355,075 matched
Report ahorsewithnoname October 23, 2017 8:28 AM BST
I've made my decision....it's not good news....it's GREAT news....I'm going to post the current odds

It's Monday morning, Judges' Houses weekend has finished (Overs then Girls Saturday, Groups then Boys Sunday) and we now officially know the 12 acts going through, PLUS there is currently a viewer vote happening (closes 1pm today) to choose one Wildcard act from each category. Current prices:

Girls (Sharon)
4 - 4.1.............Grace Davies     (drifted during Saturday's show, trading around 3.6 Sunday morning, drifted further all day, hit 4.9 Sunday evening before quickly shortening back some)
5.1 - 5.3...........Holly Tandy     (shortened during Saturday's show, 6 Sunday morning, shortened more during Sunday, low of 5 matched)
34 - 36.............Rai Elle Williams

46 - 55.............Alisah Bonaobra
100 - 150...........Georgina Panton
530.................Deanna

Boys (Louis)
38 - 44...........Lloyd Macey
44 - 55...........Sam Black
60 - 75...........Spencer Sutherland

44 - 55...........Aidan Martin
85 - 160..........Jack Mason
180 - 260.........Leon Mallett

Overs (Nicole)
36 - 40............Matt Linnen
65 - 75............Kevin Davy White
100 - 170..........Tracy Leanne Jefford

34 - 50...........Talia Dean
330...............Berget Lewis
500...............Slavko Kalezic

Groups (Cowell)
6.2 - 6.4............Rak-Su     (trading 10 before Sunday's show, quickly shortened during, 6 lowest matched)
9.6 - 12.............Sean & Conor Price (Shelby Park Boys)     (drifted big during Sunday's show, as high as 15, shortened back overnight)
13 - 13.5............The Cutkelvins     (trading 20 before Sunday's show, shortened during to around 15, gone even shorter overnight, 12.5 lowest matched)

160 - 180............New Girl Band
140 - 320...........Lemonade
170 - 200...........Jack & Joel


Benji pricewatch...140 - 900.   £425,499 matched
Report ahorsewithnoname October 28, 2017 8:30 AM BST
Saturday morning of the first live weekend

With big changes brought in, all 8 acts from 2 categories will sing tonight with the bottom of the vote eliminated. Same for tomorrow for the other 2 categories. It seems on Sunday the winner of each night will then have a sing-off to win a "money can't buy prize"

Although not official, various sources have informed us of the Wildcard winners (along with the market). Current prices:

Girls (Sharon)
3.6 - 3.75...........Grace Davies
6.4 - 7.............Holly Tandy
28 - 30.............Rai Elle Williams
42 - 46.............Alisah Bonaobra

Groups (Cowell)
6.2 - 6.4............Rak-Su
10 - 10.5............The Cutkelvins
12.5 - 15.............Sean & Conor Price
140 - 180...........Jack & Joel

Boys (Louis)
36 - 38...........Lloyd Macey
55 - 80...........Sam Black
70 - 80...........Leon Mallett
85 - 120..........Spencer Sutherland

Overs (Nicole)
46 - 60............Talia Dean
46 - 65............Matt Linnen
75 - 110............Kevin Davy White
150 - 190..........Tracy Leanne Jefford

Prices for everyone else not 1000:
250.............Berget Lewis
280.............Jack Mason
330.............Deanna
350.............Benji Matthews
910.............New Girl Band
990.............Aidan Martin

£526,772 matched, back 103.2%, lay 89.6%
Report ahorsewithnoname October 28, 2017 8:50 AM BST
Best high street prices for:

Winning Manager - 10/11 Sharon, 5/2 Simon, 7/1 Louis, 8/1 Nicole

Top Girl - 10/11 Grace, 6/4 Holly, 14/1 Rai-Elle, 18/1 Alisah

Top Boy - 9/4 Lloyd, 3/1 Sam, 7/2 Spencer, 5/1 Leon

Top Group - 11/8 Rak-Su, 5/2 Cutkelvins, 5/2 S&C Price, 12/1 Jack & Joel

Top Over - 6/4 Matt, 2/1 Talia, 5/2 Kevin, 10/1 Tracy
Report ahorsewithnoname October 29, 2017 6:27 AM GMT
First Elimination - Spencer Sutherland

For the first show all the Boys & Girls sang with Spencer announced as bottom of the 12 to 13 minute vote

Spencer traded between 4.4 and 1.99 (+ £13 at 1.8) with lpm 2.3. His lpm in the Outright was 220
Leon Mallett traded between 7 and 2.5 with lpm 4.6
Sam Black traded between 16.5 and 5.6 with lpm 5.7
Rai-Elle traded between 10.5 and 3.7 (+ £12 at 3.2) with lpm 5.7
Alisah Bonaobra traded between 50 (plus tiny amounts up to 100) and 5.3 with lpm 32
Lloyd Macey, Holly Tandy & Grace Davies lows matched were 12, 17 & 50
Bizarrely Any Other had £58 matched at 6, £10 at 6.2, £18 at 6.4 & £44 at 6.6. The market was loaded early Saturday afternoon. £11,730 total matched
Report ahorsewithnoname October 29, 2017 6:53 AM GMT
Saturday's Boys & Girls Show

The was a big move for Lloyd leading up to the show, he had been matched as low as 16
Grace was trading 3.5 - 3.7 as she was about to sing in 7th (of the 8) place. After singing she slowly drifted to 4s
As Lloyd was about to sing in pimp, he had been matched at 11 (At this time Rak-Su were getting matched at 4.3 and had been matched at 4)
When the market suspended for the elimination, Grace lpm was 5.2, Lloyd 10
After Spencer's elimination, Grace was announced as topping the evening's vote, which obviously crashed her price back to around 3.5 before slowly drifting out a little, whilst Lloyd's price shot back out to around 30

Sunday morning current prices:
3.6 - 3.9..............Grace Davies
4.9 - 5.2............Rak-Su
7.4 - 7.8............Holly Tandy
8.4 - 9.2............The Cutkelvins
12 - 14..............Sean & Conor Price
25 - 27..............Lloyd Macey
25 - 29..............Alisah Bonaobra
32 - 36..............Talia Dean
36 - 44..............Rai Elle Williams
38 - 40..............Matt Linnen
70 - 100.............Kevin Davy White
110 - 130............Jack & Joel
120 - 140............Sam Black
130 - 190............Leon Mallett
150 - 240............Tracy Leanne Jefford

Everyone else 1000 to back, even Benji!   £586,533 matched
Report ahorsewithnoname October 31, 2017 6:19 AM GMT
Second Elimination - Talia Dean

For the second live show all the Overs & Groups sang with Talia announced as bottom of the 5 (FIVE) minute vote

Early prices had Tracey fav around 6/4
Just before the show Kevin was now fav, trading 2.42 - 2.98 with Tracey 3.4 - 4, Jack & Joel 5 - 6 and Talia 9 - 16

Talia had £9 matched at 30 but otherwise traded between 16 and 2.16 with that 2.16 the lpm. Her lpm in the Outright was 190
Kevin Davy White traded between 5 and 2.22 with lpm 3.35
Tracey Leanne Jefford traded between 24 and 2.02 with lpm 17
Jack & Joel traded between 29 and 3.95 (+ £5 at 3.5) with that 3.5 being lpm
Both Matt Linnen and Sean & Conor Price were matched as low as 10
The previously keen Any Other backer decided to have the evening off. £9,915 total matched


Second Show Winner

New market added by Betfair. Rak-Su won
Rak-Su traded between 3.5 (+ £1 at 4) and 1.4 with that 1.4 being lpm
Sean & Connor Price were matched between 10 (+ £1 at 12.5) and 4 with that 12.5 being lpm
The Cutkelvins were matched between 11 and 4 with that 11 being lpm
Matt Linnen was matched between 11.5 and 5 with lpm 9
Talia Dean was matched at 100, 15, 12 & 8 with that 100 lpm
£2,879 total matched
Report ahorsewithnoname October 31, 2017 7:22 AM GMT
Sunday's Overs & Groups Show

Just before the show, Grace was trading 3.4 - 3.5 and Rak-Su 4.9 - 5
After Rak-Su had sung, in pimp, they were 4.2 - 4.5
Rak-Su then shortened some more and when the market was suspended they had been backed down to 3.6 with lpm 3.7. Grace lpm at suspension was 3.45
Rak-Su were announced as winning Sunday's vote then the public had another 5 minutes (I think) to vote for the weekend winner out of Grace and Rak-Su
Grace was announced the overall winner. The market stayed suspended all during this


Tuesday morning current prices:
2.52 - 2.6.............Grace Davies       (after winning the weekend overall vote, Grace opened in the 2.6s. Lowest matched so far 2.5)
4.1 - 4.3............Rak-Su       (briefly opened around 5 I think, was already back to 4.5 Monday morning and now shortened a bit more)
9.2 - 9.8............The Cutkelvins
11 - 11.5............Holly Tandy       (still trading 7s by end of Sunday's show but been drifting ever since)
26 - 29..............Sean & Conor Price       (drifted to high teens by end of Sunday's show, not stopped drifting since)
32 - 34..............Lloyd Macey
32 - 34..............Alisah Bonaobra
44 - 46..............Matt Linnen
46 - 55..............Rai Elle Williams
75 - 90..............Kevin Davy White
85 - 120.............Tracy Leanne Jefford
140 - 160............Jack & Joel
210 - 270............Sam Black
210 - 310............Leon Mallett

£658,741 matched     Back 107.3%, Lay 97%
Report ahorsewithnoname November 4, 2017 6:14 AM GMT
Saturday morning of the 2nd live shows weekend
Boys & Groups sing tonight, Girls and Overs tomorrow evening

Current prices:
2.74 - 2.8............Grace Davies          (slight but steady drift over the week, just due to Rak-Su I suppose)
3.4 - 3.7............Rak-Su                 (been shortening over the whole week, matched at a new low of 3.25 yesterday)
9.8 - 10.5...........The Cutkelvins         (did drift to 13 yesterday before shortening back)
15 - 15.5............Holly Tandy            (very drifty)
27 - 29..............Lloyd Macey            (was 32 a couple of days ago, shortened a bit since)
27 - 32..............Sean & Conor Price       (drifted as high as 46 over the week before shortening back some)
44 - 50..............Alisah Bonaobra
55 - 60..............Matt Linnen
55 - 60..............Rai Elle Williams
75 - 85..............Kevin Davy White
85 - 100.............Tracy Leanne Jefford
140 - 160............Jack & Joel
200 - 220............Leon Mallett
210 - 220............Sam Black

£701,710 matched     Back 104.8%, Lay 94.3%
Report ahorsewithnoname November 4, 2017 6:28 AM GMT
Best high street prices for:

Winning Manager - 5/6 Sharon, 6/4 Simon, 16/1 Nicole, 18/1 Louis

Top Girl - 2/5 Grace, 9/2 Holly, 12/1 Alisah, 20/1 Rai-Elle

Top Boy - 2/5 Lloyd, 9/2 Sam, 5/1 Leon

Top Group - 4/6 Rak-Su, 4/1 Cutkelvins, 5/1 S&C Price, 33/1 Jack & Joel

Top Over - 10/11 Matt, 3/1 Kevin, 3/1 Tracy

First Manager to lose all acts - 5/6 Nicole, 5/4 Louis, 12/1 Simon, 12/1 Sharon (only one high street bookie betting on this previously popular market)
Report ahorsewithnoname November 5, 2017 6:22 AM GMT
3rd Elimination - Leon Mallett

For the 3rd show all the Boys & Groups sang with Leon announced as bottom of the 14 minute vote

Mid Saturday afternoon I think Leon was available around 11/8 to go with Sam 15/8
Leading up to the show Leon was backed in and went odds on
Leon traded between 2.5 and 1.32 with lpm 1.6 on a late drift. His lpm in the Outright was 300
Sam Black traded between 15 (+ £6 at 46) and 2.92 (+ £40 at 1.9) with lpm 10
Jack and Joel traded between 10 and 3.75 (+ £5 at 3.1) with lpm 4.9
Sean and Conor Price traded between 40 (+ £2 at 48 and pennies at 110) and 7 (+ £6 at 6) with lpm that 110
Lloyd Macey's low matched was 18.5, Cutkelvins 22 (+ £10 at 11 which was lpm) and Rak-Su just had £3 matched at 200
£7,904 total matched


3rd Show Winner - Rak-Su

Just £330 matched on this market
Report ahorsewithnoname November 5, 2017 6:37 AM GMT
Saturday's Boys & Groups Show

At the beginning of the show Rak-Su were trading low 3s. After The Cutkelvins had sung (in 5th of 7th position) Rak-Su were getting matched at a new low of 2.82
Rak-Su then sang in 6th position and were matched at 2.6 just after, then 2.5 during the judges comments then 2.2 got matched
Rak-Su, lpm 2.38 at suspension, were announced as topping the vote but that was obvious by that time (Grace's lpm at suspension was 3.05)

Sunday morning current prices:
2.26 - 2.36..........Rak-Su
2.94 - 3.05..........Grace Davies
25 - 30..............Holly Tandy
27 - 32..............Lloyd Macey
34 - 48..............The Cutkelvins
36 - 46..............Alisah Bonaobra
42 - 70..............Matt Linnen
48 - 70..............Rai Elle Williams
60 - 90..............Kevin Davy White
70 - 90..............Sean & Conor Price
80 - 110.............Tracy Leanne Jefford
130 - 270............Jack & Joel
230 - 400............Sam Black

£734,662 matched
Report ahorsewithnoname November 7, 2017 6:19 AM GMT
4th Elimination - Tracey Leanne Jefford
For the 4th show all the Girls & Overs sang with Tracey announced as bottom of the 5 minute vote

20 minutes before the show Tracey was 3.1 - 3.7, Rai-Elle 4 - 4.7, Kevin 4.8 - 6, Alisah 5.3 - 5.9, Holly 6.4 - 7.6, Matt 13 to back, Grace 46
Tracey shortened after singing (in 2nd) and went long odds on. She traded between 3.75 (+ £44 at 4 & £65 at 5.2) and 1.4 (+ £79 at 1.3) with lpm 1.4. Her lpm in the Outright was 180
Rai-Elle Williams traded between 11.5 and 3 with lpm 8
Alisah Bonaobra traded between 10 and 3.5 with lpm 5
Matt Linnen traded between 100 and 5.5 with lpm 14
Holly Tandy traded between 24 (+ a few quid higher) and 5.4 with lpm 200 (for pennies)
Kevin Davy White traded between 16 (+ a few quid higher) and 3.95 (+ £20 at 3.35) with lpm 1000 (for pennies)
Grace Davies traded between 290 and 75 with that 75 lpm
£15,868 total matched


4th Show Winner - Kevin Davy White
Kevin was matched between 4 and 2.2 with lpm 2.3
Grace had £90 matched at 5 then between 3.1 down to 1.8 + £60 at 1.65 with lpm 3.1
£4,286 total matched


Saturday/Sunday Prize Fight Winner
This new market was in play all weekend with Kevin/Sunday the overall winner
Saturday (which Rak-Su won) traded between 1.62 and 1.29 + £5 at 1.2 with lpm 1.29
Sunday (which Kevin won) traded between 4.8 and 2.4 with lpm 2.84
£2,059 total matched
Report ahorsewithnoname November 7, 2017 6:55 AM GMT
Sunday's Girls & Overs Show

Rak-Su continued to shorten during Sunday with a new low of 2.06 having been matched. They were 2.1 as the show was about to start
Grace was 3.35 at beginning of the show. Kevin was trading 75 - 90
After Grace had sung (her first cover), in 1st position, she drifted to 4
Holly, who had shortened to 16.5 when about to sing (in 4th) was 20 by the end of her song. Rak-Su were now getting matched at Evens
After Kevin's rousing performance (Smooth, in 5th position) he shortened and was 26 to back

At the first market suspension, last prices matched were Rak-Su 2.06 (having been matched at 1.98), Grace 3.7, Kevin 26

Unlike last week, the market was then reopened during Rak-Su & Kevin's sing off. At the second market suspension, last prices matched were Rak-Su 2.08, Grace 3.85, Kevin 23 (having been matched as low as 20)


Tuesday morning current prices:
2.26 - 2.36..........Rak-Su     (opened after Sunday's show around 2.5 but have since shortened yet again)
3.45 - 3.6...........Grace Davies
17.5 - 18.5..........Kevin Davy White     (was still 20 to back after Sunday's show, shortened a little yesterday)
20 - 21..............Lloyd Macey     (around 26 Monday morning, shortened during yesterday and overnight)
23 - 26..............Holly Tandy
28 - 29..............The Cutkelvins
40 - 44..............Sean & Conor Price     (have been matched as high as 110 over the weekend)
48 - 50..............Alisah Bonaobra
60 - 65..............Rai Elle Williams
70 - 75..............Matt Linnen
140 - 210............Jack & Joel
300 - 390............Sam Black

£825,050 matched, back 105.3%, lay 95.5%

There will be a double elimination on this coming Saturday AND Sunday shows
Report ahorsewithnoname November 8, 2017 5:49 AM GMT
Wednesday morning - unplanned update as there were some big moves yesterday, for unknown reasons, also a much more than usual amount of money traded

Rak-Su drifted all day yesterday, to at least 2.7s, maybe higher. Currently 2.62 - 2.74
Grace is 3.75 - 4
Lloyd continued to shorten since the weekend, was getting matched at 17 by late morning, shortened even more overnight, currently 14.5 - 15.5
Cutkelvins also shortened, as low as 21 last night, drifted a little since, currently 24 - 25
Sean & Conor shortened as well, matched as low as 20 yesterday evening, currently 22 - 25
Matt Linnen's lpm is 48 and finally good old Anthony Russell was matched at 200 yesterday evening!

£961,419 matched, up 136k in 23 hours  Shocked
Report bearcub November 8, 2017 8:33 AM GMT
Cheers Horse.

Rak-Su were 2.94 at 10pm last night
Report ahorsewithnoname November 10, 2017 7:03 AM GMT
Thanks bear

Friday morning before George Michael (RIP) weekend and 4 eliminations. Song choices not known yet, likely to be released later today:

2.6 - 2.78..........Rak-Su
3.95 - 4............Grace Davies     (drifted late yesterday/overnight, tabloid stories yesterday about her diva behaviour)
12 - 13..............Lloyd Macey     (relentless shortening continues)
16.5 - 17.5..........Kevin Davy White
18.5 - 21.............Holly Tandy
24 - 26..............Sean & Conor Price
30 - 32..............The Cutkelvins
65 - 70..............Matt Linnen
70 - 80..............Rai Elle Williams
75 - 80..............Alisah Bonaobra
200 - 220............Jack & Joel
320 - 360............Sam Black

£1,030,463 matched, back 101.7%, lay 91%
Report ahorsewithnoname November 10, 2017 7:12 AM GMT
Best high street prices for:

Winning Manager - Evs Simon, 6/4 Sharon, 10/1 Nicole, 12/1 Louis

Top Girl - 1/3 Grace, 9/2 Holly, 12/1 Alisah, 16/1 Rai-Elle

Top Boy - 1/5 Lloyd, 4/1 Sam

Top Group - 1/8 Rak-Su, 12/1 Cutkelvins, 12/1 S&C Price, 50/1 Jack & Joel

Top Over - 3/10 Kevin, 11/4 Matt

First Manager to lose all acts - 4/9 Louis, 2/1 Nicole, 12/1 Sharon, 20/1 Simon
Report ahorsewithnoname November 11, 2017 9:45 AM GMT
Saturday morning
Songs announced yesterday morning and also that they've changed their minds and now there is only one elimination today and tomorrow. Groups & Overs sing tonight, Girls & Boys tomorrow

2.64 - 2.78..........Rak-Su
3.35 - 3.55............Grace Davies     (diva stories persist being reported but market likes are song choice, I Can Make You Love Me)
15.5 - 16.5..........Lloyd Macey     (drifted yesterday, or maybe just rebounded)
16.5 - 17............Kevin Davy White     (did drift to 20 yesterday but then shortened back)
18.5 - 19............Holly Tandy
21 - 24..............Sean & Conor Price     (shortened to around 18 yesterday but then drifted back out)
42 - 46..............The Cutkelvins     (matched as high as 60)
44 - 48..............Matt Linnen     (market likes him singing Careless Whisper, he shortened as low as 32 yesterday)
55 - 60..............Rai Elle Williams
80 - 85..............Alisah Bonaobra
210 - 250............Jack & Joel
200 - 290............Sam Black

£1,080,637 matched, back 104.1%, lay 93.5%
Report ahorsewithnoname November 12, 2017 7:39 AM GMT
5th Elimination - Jack & Joel

For the 5th live show all the Groups and Overs sang with Jack & Joel announced as bottom of the 13 minute vote

Hills were first up with prices and had J&J fav at 6/5
Just before the show started, J&J were 2.14 to back (but had been odds on, then traded as high as 2.88 before shortening back), Matt was 4 to back, Cutkelvins 5.7, S&C 7.6, Rak-Su 14, Kevin 20
J&J traded between 2.88 and 1.52 with lpm 2.16. Their lpm in the Outright was 190
Matt traded between 6.6 and 2.86 with lpm 3
Sean and Conor traded between 13 at 5.5 with lpm 7.6
Cutkelvins traded between 12.5 and 4.4 with lpm 9.2
Rak-Su traded between 38 and 20 with lpm 23
Kevin traded between 75 (+ £6 at 390 & £8 at 190) and 11 with lpm that 390
£13,420 total matched


5th Show Winner - Kevin Davy White

Kevin traded between 2.5 (highest matched, before running order and therefore pimp position was known) and 1.27 with lpm 1.65. He was trading near his lows when Dermot, surprisingly, announced half way through the vote that there was "less than 1% between the Top 2" when he obviously then shot out to 1.6s/1.7s
Rak-Su traded between 14 and 3.25 with lpm 5
Cutkelvins traded between 12 and 4.8 with lpm 6.6
Sean & Conor traded between 28 and 5 with lpm 25
Matt traded between 65 and 13 (+ £10 at 4.3) with lpm 40
Jack & Joel traded between 48 and 18 with lpm that 48
£9,052 total matched
Report ahorsewithnoname November 12, 2017 8:00 AM GMT
Saturday's Groups & Overs Show

At the beginning of the show Rak-Su were around 2.8, Grace 3.65 - 4.1 with Kevin, who had shortened all day, 10
Kevin sang in pimp and 8.8 was lpm as about to sing (but £18 had been matched at 7.6 & £78 at 7.8). 7 was matched during the judges comments then a new low of 6.6. He was trading in the 7s but upon Dermot's statement that there was "less than 1% between the Top 2" he drifted to 8s
Rak-Su's lpm at suspension was 2.76, Kevin 9, Cutkelvins 40, Sean & Conor 44, Matt 55, Grace around 4


Sunday morning current prices:
2.82 - 2.88..........Rak-Su
4 - 4.6..............Grace Davies     (even more tabloid stories yesterday about past misdemeanours)
7.2 - 7.6............Kevin Davy White
15.5 - 16............Lloyd Macey
18 - 19..............Holly Tandy
34 - 48..............Sean & Conor Price
44 - 60..............The Cutkelvins
44 - 55..............Rai Elle Williams
48 - 55..............Matt Linnen
75 - 80..............Alisah Bonaobra
210 - 310............Sam Black

£1,146,798 matched
Report LendUsAFiver November 12, 2017 2:03 PM GMT
9.0 was lovely after being declared winner - Think someones bot needs fixing. Laid most of it off at 6.0 today.
Report ahorsewithnoname November 13, 2017 7:26 AM GMT
6th Elimination - Alisah Bonaobra   (so all 4 wildcards gone by the 6th elimination)

For the 6th live show all the Girls & Boys sang with Alisah announced as bottom of the 4 1/2 minute vote

Just before the show started, Alisah was around 2.5, Sam mid price 2.6, Rai-Elle 4.6 - 5.9
Alisah traded between 4.5 and 2 with lpm 3.8. Her lpm in the Outright was 150
Sam traded between 3 and 1.34 with lpm 1.5
Rai-Elle traded between 15.5 and 4 (+ £160 at 3.5) with lpm 15
Holly had early money matched at 7, 10, 12.5 & 13 but was otherwise big prices
Lloyd was matched at a low of 24 + £5 at 20/21
Grace was matched at a low of 20
£17,272 total matched



6th Show Winner - Lloyd Macey

Lloyd traded between 6 and 1.26 with lpm that 1.26
Grace traded between 10 and 2 with lpm 6.4
Holly traded between 8.8 and 2.5 with lpm that 8.8
Rai-Elle traded between 22 (+ £7 at 25 & £8 at 34) and 7.8 with lpm that 34
Only a few quid was matched on Alisah & Sam
£6,215 total matched



3rd Weekend Prize Fight Winner - Lloyd Macey

Kevin (Saturday Winner) v Lloyd (Sunday Winner). Kevin sang first and it was only after Lloyd had started singing when Betfair reopened the market (£64 had been matched before this)
Sunday Winner had £30 matched at 2 (pre sing off) then when reopened had £109 matched at 1.8, £14 at 1.7 then was matched between 1.35 and 1.2 with lpm 1.3
Saturday Winner was matched between 6 and 3 (+ £40 at 2, £14 at 1.51 & £19 at 1.25) with lpm 3.9
£3,774 total matched
Report ahorsewithnoname November 13, 2017 7:52 AM GMT
Sunday's Girls & Boys Show

At the beginning of the show Rak-Su were trading 2.5s - 2.7s, Grace mid 4s, Kevin around 6.6, Holly and Lloyd around 14
After Grace had sang (in 3rd), she drifted to 5s
After Lloyd sang (in 5th, bringing Sharon to tears) he was matched as low as 8.4
When Holly was singing (in pimp) she shortened to 10 but quickly drifted afterwards
Last prices matched at suspension were Rak-Su 2.7, Grace 5, Kevin 5.8, Lloyd 11, Holly 20. Unlike last week, the Outright market stayed suspended during the Prize Fight Sing-off

Monday morning current prices:
2.34 - 2.38..........Rak-Su       (opened last night still in 2.6s & 2.7s, shortened overnight)
4.8 - 5..............Grace Davies       (early Sunday afternoon she drifted to around 5.7 before then shortening back)
8 - 8.4..............Kevin Davy White     (early Sunday afternoon he shortened to high 5s before drifting to 6s, opened 6s last night, drifted overnight)
10.5 - 11.5..........Lloyd Macey       (opened 9s last night after winning Prize Fight but has drifted since)
32 - 36..............Holly Tandy       (hasn't stopped drifting since the show finished)
46 - 48..............Matt Linnen
55 - 70..............Rai Elle Williams       (opened 30s, drifted since)
70 - 85..............Sean & Conor Price     (matched as high as 130 during yesterday)
95 - 100.............The Cutkelvins       (matched as high as 140 during yesterday)
330 - 600............Sam Black

£1,276,340 matched, back 100.7%, lay 91.3%
Report ahorsewithnoname November 17, 2017 6:55 AM GMT
Friday morning update

Song's announced later this morning (Crazy in Love theme). Supposedly 2 eliminations on Saturday AND Sunday but we don't know if it one from each category or the two who are bottom of the vote each day or what

2.5 - 2.52...........Rak-Su       (had shortened to 2.1s on Tuesday before drifting back out since)
4.3 - 4.4............Grace Davies
7.6 - 7.8............Kevin Davy White
9.4 - 9.6............Lloyd Macey
28 - 29..............Holly Tandy
34 - 38..............Matt Linnen
48 - 55..............Rai Elle Williams
80 - 95..............The Cutkelvins
90 - 100.............Sean & Conor Price
430 - 500............Sam Black

£1,402,539 matched, back 103.2%, lay 95.8%
Report ahorsewithnoname November 17, 2017 7:06 AM GMT
Best high street prices for:

Winning Manager - 5/4 Simon (Groups), 9/4 Sharon (Girls), 9/2 Nicole (Overs), 7/1 Louis (Boys)

Top Girl - 1/3 Grace, 4/1 Holly, 8/1 Rai-Elle

Top Boy - 1/16 Lloyd, 8/1 Sam

Top Group - 1/12 Rak-Su, 12/1 Cutkelvins, 16/1 S&C Price

Top Over - 1/8 Kevin, 11/2 Matt

First Manager to lose all acts - 11/10 Louis, 6/4 Nicole, 7/1 Sharon, 16/1 Simon
Report ahorsewithnoname November 18, 2017 5:02 AM GMT
Saturday morning update

Songs revealed yesterday as usual. Groups & Boys sing tonight (we think), Girls & Overs tomorrow. Current odds:

2.28 - 2.38..........Rak-Su
4.3 - 4.4............Grace Davies
6.8 - 7.2............Kevin Davy White
12 - 13..............Lloyd Macey
29 - 36..............Holly Tandy
32 - 34..............Matt Linnen
36 - 42..............The Cutkelvins
50 - 55..............Rai Elle Williams
70 - 75..............Sean & Conor Price
450 - 590............Sam Black

£1,428,684 matched, back 108.2%, lay 97.7%
Report ahorsewithnoname November 19, 2017 7:03 AM GMT
7th Elimination - Sam Black
8th Elimination - Sean & Conor Price


For the 7th live show the Groups and Boys sang with the bottom two going after the 11 1/2 minute vote
No bookies were betting on this with the uncertainty of exactly how the eliminations would work. Betfair had a Double Elimination market
Just before the show Lloyd was trading 1.15 - 1.22, S&C 1.5 - 1.61, Cutkelvins 2.56 - 3.1, Lloyd 8 - 11, Rak-Su 10 - 22
Sam had £21 matched at 1.5 & £57 at 1.48 when the market was first loaded but otherwise traded between 1.23 and 1.06 with lpm 1.09. His lpm in the Outright was 380
Sean & Conor had £15 matched at 6, £3 at 5.9, £8 at 4, £5 at 3 but otherwise traded between 1.69 and 1.33 with lpm 1.6. Their lpm in the Outright was 120
Cutkelvins mostly traded between 3.45 and 2.28 with lpm 2.8
Lloyd had £7 matched at 25 then traded 18 to 5 with lpm 10
Rak-Su mostly traded 34 to 19.5 for small amounts, lpm 32
£9,281 total matched


7th Show Winner - Rak-Su

Another pimp slot and adulations given to Rak-Su. They had £160 matched at 1.8 but otherwise traded between 1.54 and 1.23 with lpm 1.3
Lloyd traded between 7 and 2.8 (+ £24 at 2.3) with lpm that 7
Cutkelvins mostly traded bewteen 9 and 3s with lpm 6.6
Only very small amounts matched on no hopers Sean & Conor and Sam. £4,812 total matched
Report ahorsewithnoname November 19, 2017 7:15 AM GMT
Saturday's Groups & Boys Show

At the beginning of the show Rak-Su were 2.3, Grace 4.8, Kevin 7.6 and Lloyd 10
Last prices matched at suspension were Rak-Su 2.34, Lloyd 11.5, Cutkelvins 55

Sunday morning current prices:
1.97 - 2.02..........Rak-Su       (obviously opened lower after winning the vote, new low 1.96 matched overnight)
4.4 - 4.5............Grace Davies
7.8 - 8..............Kevin Davy White
16 - 16.5............Lloyd Macey       (predictably criticised by Cowell, 14 when market reopened, drifted a bit since)
32 - 34..............Holly Tandy
38 - 40..............Matt Linnen
60 - 65..............The Cutkelvins
65 - 70..............Rai Elle Williams

£1,405,307 matched
Report ahorsewithnoname November 21, 2017 7:18 AM GMT
CORRECTION to my post two up. I said Sam Black was eliminated 7th and Sean & Conor Price 8th but actually they were just both announced as leaving so we don't know who was bottom of the vote (though very likely to be Sam) but in any case it doesn't really matter as didn't impact any betting markets


9th & 10th Eliminations (order unknown) - Rai-Elle Williams & Holly Tandy

For the 8th live show the Girls and Overs sang with the bottom two going after a 4 minute vote
In Betfair's Double Elimination market, just before the show, Rai-Elle was trading 1.45 - 1.49, Matt 1.67 - 1.75, Holly 2.26 - 2.58, Kevin 3.65 - 4.5, Grace 9 - 15
Rai-Elle was matched between 1.49 (+ £6 at 1.6) and 1.2 (+ £76 at 1.16) with lpm 1.22. Her lpm in the Outright was 280
Holly was matched between 2.62 and 1.25 which was lpm. Her lpm in the Outright was 80
Matt was matched between 4 and 1.31 with lpm that 4
Kevin was matched between 7.8 and 2.54 with lpm that 7.8
Grace was mostly matched between 16 and 12 with lpm pennies at 44
£10,307 total matched


Betfair had an Elimination Combo market up which had £2,297 matched
The winning selection, Rai-Elle & Holly, traded between 5.2 and 1.5 which was lpm


8th Show Winner - Grace Davies
Just before the show, Grace was trading 1.53 - 1.75, Kevin 4.4 - 5, Holly 8.2 - 11.5, Matt 13.5 - 17.5, Rai-Ella 20 - 40
Grace, in pimp, traded between 1.9 and 1.25 with lpm 1.68 on a late drift
Matt traded between 18.5 and 3.5 (+ £13 at 3) with lpm 4
Kevin traded between 11 and 3.9 with lpm 9
Holly traded between 11.5 (+ £6 at 24) and 4 with lpm that 24
Rai-Elle traded between 75 and 12, all for very small amounts, with lpm that 75
£4,884 total matched


4th Weekend Prize Fight Winner - Rak-Su
Rak-Su (Saturday winner) v Grace (Sunday winner). Rak-Su sang first, then Grace, then a 10 minute vote. I think Betfair suspended the market a couple of minutes early
Saturday winner traded between 1.73 and 1.33 (+ £40 at 1.22) with lpm that 1.73
Sunday winner traded between 2.68 and 1.34 which was strangely the lpm (only £24 matched at that price though)
£1,664 total matched
Report ahorsewithnoname November 21, 2017 7:37 AM GMT
Sunday's Girls & Overs Show

5 minutes before the show Rak-Su were trading 1.98 - 1.99 (new low of 1.93 matched during Sunday), Grace 3.9 - 4.2, Kevin 9 - 9.4, Lloyd 16 - 17, Holly 30 - 34, Matt 34 - 40, Rai-Elle 60 - 70, Cutkelvins 80 - 95
Grace was 3.75 at the start of her song (in pimp) and 4.5 afterwards
Last prices matched at suspension were Rak-Su 1.91 (new low of 1.89 been matched + £20 at 1.79), Grace 4.5, Kevin 11.5, Lloyd 16, Matt 17.5


Tuesday morning current prices:
1.65 - 1.67..........Rak-Su       (opened much shorter after beating Grace in the Prize Fight, lowest matched so far 1.63)
4.6 - 4.7............Grace Davies
13.5 - 15............Kevin Davy White       (opened Sunday evening at 11, higher now)
18.5 - 19............Lloyd Macey       (opened Sunday evening at 16, higher now)
38 - 44..............Matt Linnen       (opened Sunday evening around 30)
65 - 75..............The Cutkelvins

£1,594,243 matched, back 104.7%, lay 96.7%
Report ahorsewithnoname November 24, 2017 7:03 AM GMT
Friday morning update

Song's announced later this morning (Cool Britannia/Best of British theme). All 6 acts will sing on Saturday, we think bottom of the vote will go, then assume the remaining 5 acts will sing again on Sunday (same theme, different theme, no theme?) with again the bottom of the vote going

1.59 - 1.61..........Rak-Su       (steadily shortened all week, 1.57 lowest matched)
4.7 - 4.9............Grace Davies
13 - 13.5............Kevin Davy White
21 - 23..............Lloyd Macey
42 - 48..............Matt Linnen
70 - 80..............The Cutkelvins

£1,634,504 matched, back 105.8%, lay 97.6%


Best high street prices for:

Winning Manager - 8/13 Simon (Groups), 100/30 Sharon (Girls), 6/1 Nicole (Overs), 12/1 Louis (Boys)

Top Group - 1/50 Rak-Su, 14/1 Cutkelvins

Top Over - 1/3 Kevin, 11/4 Matt

Top 3 Finish - 1/25 Rak-Su, 1/4 Grace, Evs Kevin, 5/4 Lloyd, 11/4 Matt, 9/2 Cutkelvins

First Manager to lose all acts / Next Elimination - not one bookie betting on this
Report ahorsewithnoname November 25, 2017 8:54 AM GMT
Saturday morning update

Song's announced yesterday, the market liking Grace's but not Rak-Su's and definitely not Matt's

1.67 - 1.69..........Rak-Su
4.4 - 4.5............Grace Davies
11.5 - 12............Kevin Davy White
19.5 - 20............Lloyd Macey
60 - 65..............Matt Linnen
60 - 65..............The Cutkelvins

£1,650,465 matched, back 105.2%, lay 97.8%

Next Elimination  (High Street prices) Evs Cutkelvins, 7/4 Matt, 6/1 Lloyd,  8/1 Kevin, 16/1 Grace, 50/1 Rak-Su
Report ahorsewithnoname November 26, 2017 8:47 AM GMT
11th Elimination - Matt Linnen

Whilst a couple of bookies were offering 7/4 Matt going yesterday morning this quickly shortened during the day making Matt fav to go
The voting window was 15 minutes and half way through Dermot announced there was only 2% between the Bottom 2 acts

Matt was matched between 2.5 and 1.28 with lpm 1.61 (drifting from lows on Dermot's reveal). His lpm in the Outright was 120
Cutkelvins were matched between 5 and 2.2 (small amount at 2.1 & 1.91) with lpm 3 (shortening from highs on Dermot's reveal)
Lloyd was matched between 60 (+ £12 at 110, £1 at 120, £1 at 130) and 9.8 (small amount at 9 and 8.6) with lpm 120. He was matched at lows when Louis announced his voice had gone
Kevin was mostly matched between 190 and 7 with lpm that 190
Grace was mostly matched between 50 and 19 with lpm 20
Rak-Su were matched between 100 (+ £8 at 270) and 30 with lpm 55
A whopping £18,594 matched
Report ahorsewithnoname November 26, 2017 9:08 AM GMT
Sunday morning after Saturday's show and Matt's Elimination

Don't have pre show prices and details of price movements during the show as there was a long overlap with SCD and something had to give
Last prices matched at suspension were Rak-Su 1.65, Grace 5.6, Kevin 7.8, Lloyd 18, Cutkelvins 75

Tonight the 5 remaining artists will sing (theme "Songs To Get You To The Final") with Dermot surprisingly revealing at the end of last night's show that TWO acts will leave tonight, so leaving a 3 act final weekend

1.54 - 1.57..........Rak-Su       (lowest matched now 1.52 which was since last night's show)
4.5 - 4.6............Grace Davies       (had drifted to near 6 during last night's show but has shortened back overnight)
11 - 12.5............Kevin Davy White       (shortened to 7s during the show or after singing but since market reopened has drifted)
27 - 36..............Lloyd Macey       (dodgy voice, doctors told him not to sing, can he recover?)
100 - 120............The Cutkelvins       (toast tonight)

£1,707,086 matched, back 106.5%, lay 97%
Report ahorsewithnoname November 27, 2017 10:40 AM GMT
12th & 13th Eliminations (or 5th and 4th place finishers) (order unknown) - The Cutkelvins & Lloyd Macey

Betfair had a Double Elimination market. Just before the show, Cutkelvins were 1.09 - 1.1, Lloyd 1.37 - 1.41, Kevin 3.4 - 4.2, Grace 10.5 - 12, Rak-Su 20 - 28
The vote was open for 15 minutes
The Cutkelvins had £72 matched at 1.3 then were matched between 1.2 and 1.03 with lpm 1.06. Their Outright lpm was 350
Lloyd was matched between 1.76 and 1.25 with lpm 1.36. His Outright lpm was 48
Kevin was matched between 6 and 2.5 (+ £123 at 2 and £41 at 1.96) with lpm 5
Grace was matched between 14 and 4.8 (+ £40 at 2.2) with lpm 8
Rak-Su were matched between 38 and 16 with lpm 27
£26,712 total matched

Elimination Combo Market
The winning Cutkelvin/LLoyd combo was matched between 1.72 and 1.25 with lpm 1.29
£4,172 total matched
Report ahorsewithnoname November 27, 2017 10:59 AM GMT
Monday morning after Sunday's Show and Cutkelvin's & Lloyd's Elimination

By 2pm Sunday Rak-Su had traded sub 1.5, low of 1.48 matched
5 minutes before the show, Rak-Su were trading 1.51 - 1.53, Grace 4.5 - 4.7, Kevin 10.5 - 11, Lloyd 38 - 42 (drifted with news by TellyStats of singing first), Cutkelvins 150 - 190
Lloyd on 1st and had been matched as high as 42 but 28 was matched at the end of his performance
Rak-Su singing 2nd were 1.5 - 1.53 beforehand and similar after
Kevin singing 4th was 11 before, 13 matched after then back to 11 during judges comments
Grace singing in pimp was 4.8 as VT started, 4.6 end of song and 4.3 by the end of Simon's praise
Last prices matched at suspension were Rak-Su 1.55, Grace 5 and Kevin 8.4

1.48 - 1.5..........Rak-Su       (new low of 1.44 matched after market reopened)
4.4 - 4.5............Grace Davies
9.6 - 9.8............Kevin Davy White

£1,796,841 matched, back 106.4%, lay 99.1%

My brain is frazzled
Report ahorsewithnoname December 1, 2017 6:55 AM GMT
Friday morning before the weekend finale

Market been very steady this week, not much movement, well Kevin drift. Current prices:

1.45 - 1.46...........Rak-Su
4.4 - 4.5............Grace Davies
13 - 13.5............Kevin Davy White
£1,839,671 matched

Best high street prices for:

Next Elimination (3rd place)   1/2 Kevin, 2/1 Grace, 10/1 Rak-Su

To Finish 2nd     Evs Grace, 9/4 Kevin, 5/2 Rak-Su

Straight Forecast     11/10 Rak-Su/Grace, 100/30 Rak-Su/Kevin, 5/1 Grace/Rak-Su, 12/1 Kevin/Rak-Su, 16/1 Grace/Kevin, 25/1 Kevin/Grace
Report ahorsewithnoname December 3, 2017 10:39 AM GMT
3rd Place Finisher - Kevin Davy White

Best priced 1/2 on the high street, he shortened to be first out as the show neared, a lump up trying to back him at 1.35 just before the show started
Kevin had £9 matched at 8 but otherwise traded between 1.6 and 1.21 (+ £20 at 1.15) with lpm 1.27
Grace mostly traded between 4.9 and 3.5 with lpm 4.3
Rak-Su mostly traded between 22 and 15.5 with that 22 the lpm
£19,701 total matched


Outright Market
Unlike the roller-coaster market last year, things were a lot more steady this year, which made my job a lot easier
Saturday 9am Rak-Su were 1.41 (1.39 had been matched), Grace 4.7, Kevin 12.5
Saturday 5pm the prices were 1.37, 5.1, 12
Saturday 7pm the prices were 1.36, 5.1, 13.5 with £1,887,012 matched
TellyStats revealed the running order at 6:10pm (Kevin, Grace, Rak-Su) but unusually the market hardly twitched, as everyone knew it would be that

7:05pm   Show started
7:15pm   Lines opened
7:21pm   Kevin up first (Whole Lotta Love), trading 14 before and afterwards
7:31pm   Grace next (Live and Let Die), 5 - 5.2 before, 5.8 after judges comments
7:46pm   Rak-Su up (Mamacita), 1.3 beforehand, a tick lower afterwards
7:58pm   Prices were 1.28, 6, 16.5
8:16pm   Kevin + Tokio Myers up (Fastlove), trading 15 before and same afterwards
8:25pm   Grace + Paloma Faith up (Roots), trading low 6s then high 5s
8:37pm   Rak-Su + Naughty Boy + Wyclef Jean up (Dimelo), 1.29 as the song finished
8:53pm   Lines frozen. Last prices matched were 1.34 Rak-Su, 4.7 Grace (who had shortened) and 21 Kevin
When the market reopened, Grace traded low 4s, drifted near to 5 overnight but back to low 4s again

Prices right now:
1.32 - 1.34.......Rak-Su
4 - 4.2...........Grace
£1,960,964 matched
Report ahorsewithnoname December 5, 2017 8:54 AM GMT
Winner - Rak-Su

Runner Up - Grace Davies


During Sunday afternoon Grace shortened a little, only to around 3.8 though. As the show neared she went back to 4
7:15pm  Show started, Rak-Su 1.31 - 1.32, Grace 4 - 4.2, £2,024,957 matched
7:35pm  VT for Grace's first song starts, she's 4.4 then hits 4.6 by the end of judges comments
7:43pm  Rak-Su's VT starts, they are 1.27, 1.25 by end of VT, 1.23 during the song, 1.22 after judges orgasms
8:10pm  Grace 2nd song about to start, she's 5.3 now, 5.5 end of song, then 5.7 then hits 6 by the end of judges comments
8:19pm  Rak-Su 2nd song about to start, they are 1.18, 1.17 end of song, hit 1.15 during judges comments
8:41pm  Lines closed, last prices matched Rak-Su 1.17, Grace 7.2, total matched £2,203,962

So there you have it, Rak-Su were the very first act shown on the very first audition show on Saturday 2nd Sept whilst Grace had the closing pimp section on the very same show!
On the day after the first audition show, Rak-Su were available at 20/1 with Lads/Coral and Grace 7/1 with Hills

The final 16:

Lowest & Highest prices matched for Rak-Su
Highest prices matched were on the first day of the market
1.15    £13,575
1.16    £20,003
1.17    £18,070
1.18    £13,027
1.19    £7,444
1.20    £12,040
1.21    £10,238
1.22    £9,804
1.23    £17,717
--------------------------------
10.0    £2,670
10.5    £2,111
11.0    £2,811
11.5    £2,117
12.0    £2,627
12.5    £3,066
13.0    £1,309
13.5    £1,483
14.0    £856
14.5    £191

Lowest and Highest prices matched for Grace Davies
Lows matched after the first live weekend where she won the Prize Fight (beating Rak-Su)
Highs matched on an infamous quiet Monday evening (2nd Oct) when Tweets were saying she was doing a charity concert during the live shows, suggesting she hadn't made the cut at Judges' Houses
2.50    £119
2.52    £1,158
2.54    £467
2.56    £1,264
2.58    £1,327
2.60    £2,451
2.62    £4,807
2.64    £1,187
2.66    £2,238
2.68    £603
2.70    £508
2.72    £4,686
----------------------------
15.0    £278
15.5    £3
16.0    £426
16.5    £134
17.0    £330
17.5    £316
18.0    £61
19.0    £193
19.5    £74
20.0    £342
21.0    £117

Lowest & highest prices matched for Kevin Davy White
Lows hit on 12th Nov, highs during the first live show weekend I think, or maybe before that
5.1    £10
5.3    £40
5.6    £840
5.7    £222
5.8    £770
5.9    £2,308
6.0    £2,273
6.2    £2,386
6.4    £2,909
6.6    £2,537
6.8    £3,058
7.0    £3,214
----------------------------
150    £273
160    £150
170    £82
180    £6
200    £94
250    £41
270    £4
280    £46
300    £18
400    £20

Lowest & Highest matched for Lloyd Macey
Lows matched on the 3rd live show weekend when he won the Prize Fight, highs in the early days after his audition
6.0    £2
7.6    £7
8.0    £19
8.2    £88
8.4    £18
8.6    £46
8.8    £291
9.0    £2,080
9.2    £920
9.4    £1,748
9.6    £2,310
9.8    £2,102
10.0    £5,454
-----------------------------
50    £913
55    £624
60    £636
65    £194
70    £173
75    £0
80    £41
85    £33
90    £7
95    £63
100    £8

Lows matched the The Cutkelvins
8.0    £56
8.2    £176
8.4    £852
8.6    £591
8.8    £2,170
9.0    £934
9.2    £1,302
9.4    £1,496
9.6    £1,648
9.8    £1,183
10.0    £4,563

Lows matched for Matt Linnen
16.0    £56
16.5    £400
17.0    £268
17.5    £825
18.0    £549
18.5    £40
19.0    £46
19.5    £177
20.0    £1,535
21.0    £1,428

Lows matched for Holly Tandy
5.0    £49
5.1    £65
5.2    £184
5.3    £328
5.4    £1,054
5.5    £1,143
5.6    £885
5.7    £475
5.8    £1,033
5.9    £1,605
6.0    £1,996

Lows matched for Rai-Elle Williams
20    £81
23    £4
24    £60
25    £141
26    £278
27    £386
28    £927
29    £1,164
30    £2,470
32    £3,858

Lows matched for Sean & Conor Price
5.6    £300
5.7    £444
5.8    £60
5.9    £32
6.0    £980
6.2    £437
6.4    £1,278
6.6    £2,398
6.8    £1,938
7.0    £3,832

Lows matched for Sam Black
22    £96
23    £427
24    £21
25    £113
26    £376
27    £46
28    £154
29    £112
30    £465
32    £572

Lows matched for Alisah Bonaobra
22    £18
23    £44
24    £56
25    £263
26    £262
27    £147
28    £630
29    £198
30    £1,819
32    £2,033

Lows matched for Jack & Joel
15.5    £4
16.0    £47
16.5    £20
17.0    £66
17.5    £60
20.0    £16
21.0    £33
22.0    £34
23.0    £4
24.0    £40
26.0    £34
27.0    £84
28.0    £50
29.0    £48
30.0    £120

Lows matched for Tracey Leanne Jefford
40    £64
42    £47
44    £99
46    £155
48    £64
50    £228
55    £54
60    £143
65    £64
70    £138

Lows matched for Leon Mallet
44    £40
50    £118
55    £21
60    £400
65    £471
70    £472

Lows matched for Talia Dean
15.5    £20
21    £20
22    £4
25    £274
26    £40
27    £502
28    £158
29    £234
30    £296
32    £305

Lows matched for Spencer Sutherland
15.0    £44
15.5    £17
16.0    £20
16.5    £50
17.5    £20
18.0    £133
18.5    £79
19.0    £149
19.5    £150
20.0    £304

Lows matched on the other 8 who made Judges' Houses:

New Girl Band
32    £4
34    £20
36    £77
38    £200
40    £313
42    £105
44    £173
46    £495
48    £510
50    £1,063

Lemonade
55    £3
80    £3
85    £4
90    £62
95    £14
100    £166

Jack Mason
12    £6
34    £20
40    £30
42    £10
46    £40
50    £11
60    £26
65    £39
70    £106
75    £116
80    £216

Berget Lewis
25    £90
28    £76
29    £81
30    £164
32    £297
34    £126
36    £91
38    £76
40    £452

Georgina Panton
8    £40
19    £40
20    £8
24    £20
25    £373
26    £69
27    £109
28    £116
29    £12
30    £595

Deanna
12.0    £8
14.5    £18
16.0    £90
16.5    £88
17.0    £148
17.5    £80
18.0    £125
18.5    £84
19.0    £337
19.5    £252
20.0    £241

Aidan Martin
17.0    £20
17.5    £48
18.0    £41
18.5    £64
19.0    £63
19.5    £58
20.0    £116
21.0    £178
22.0    £482

Slavko
50    £50
90    £10
95    £10
100    £40
120    £12
130    £30
150    £45

Other Notable lows:

Anthony Russell
13.0    £80
16.0    £200
17.0    £190
17.5    £10
18.0    £57
18.5    £100
19.0    £24
19.5    £261
20.0    £547
21.0    £205
22.0    £212

Benji Matthews
18.5    £25
25    £7
27    £6
28    £123
29    £5
30    £210
32    £304
34    £338
36    £284
38    £232
40    £755

Rebecca Grace
18    £42
22    £8
25    £24
26    £109
27    £36
28    £288
29    £64
30    £138
32    £31
34    £157

Shanaya Atkinson-Jones
20    £20
28    £5
29    £12
30    £51
32    £420
34    £102
36    £138
38    £303
40    £135

Taliah Dalorto
20    £2
34    £148
38    £49
40    £60
42    £114
46    £4
48    £97

Kayleigh Taylor
48    £4
50    £38
55    £6
60    £54
65    £68
70    £45
75    £43

I'm pleased to report not a penny was matched on Simon "Showbiz" Gross
Report ahorsewithnoname December 3, 2018 9:30 AM GMT
I didn't update this thread this year as decided to not watch the show anymore

However, I recorded the prices yesterday so here they are...

The final weekend had two shows, 7:30pm - 9:30 pm Saturday and 7:30pm - 9pm Sunday
There was no vote freeze and lines closed at 8:42pm Sunday
Dalton spent most of the weekend trading in the 1.2s, only going shorter in last night's show
Scarlett and Anthony kept switching between 2nd and 3rd fav, trading from 8s to high teens
Last prices matched Dalton 1.14, Scarlett 19, Anthony 14
£871,847 total matched

Lowest & highest prices matched for Dalton Harris
1.11    £379
1.12    £5,954
1.13    £1,557
1.14    £11,977
1.15    £3,504
1.16    £626
1.17    £1,467
1.18    £785
1.19    £3,563
1.20    £13,034
----------------------------------
20.0    £206
21.0    £10
22.0    £26
23.0    £225
24.0    £12
25.0    £85
26.0    £31
29.0    £49

Lowest & highest prices matched for Scarlett Lee
4.0    £4
4.6    £43
4.8    £58
4.9    £4
5.0    £1,263
5.1    £1,117
5.2    £1,182
5.3    £1,110
-------------------------------
60    £64
65    £105
70    £30
80    £10
90    £22
95    £7
100    £32

Lowest & highest prices matched for Anthony Russell
6.2    £439
6.4    £1,253
6.6    £1,037
6.8    £969
7.0    £1,222
7.2    £729
7.4    £392
7.6    £852
7.8    £474
8.0    £1,080
----------------------------
50    £126
55    £33
60    £11
65    £11
70    £29
75    £13
80    £40
90    £32
100    £6
190    £6

Lowest prices matched for Shan
2.90    £10
2.92    £286
2.94    £214
2.96    £464
2.98    £1,273
3.00    £10,292
3.05    £3,185
3.10    £5,010

Lowest prices matched for Misunderstood
3.8    £304
3.85    £18
3.95    £55
4.0    £779
4.1    £763
4.2    £3,930
4.3    £2,183
4.4    £2,275
4.5    £3,363

Lowest prices matched for Brendan Murray
4.9    £106
5.0    £427
5.1    £124
5.2    £183
5.3    £438
5.4    £224
5.5    £2,292
5.6    £2,789
5.7    £2,510
5.8    £1,313

Lowest prices matched for Bella Penfold
6.0    £83
6.6    £20
6.8    £8
7.0    £358
7.2    £1
7.4    £47
7.6    £311
7.8    £419
8.0    £1,228

Lowest prices matched for Acacia & Aaliyah / A-Star
9.0    £19
11.0    £50
11.5    £20
12.0    £100
14.5    £2
15.0    £90
15.5    £195
16.0    £160
16.5    £105
17.0    £728

Lowest prices matched for Molly Scott
9.6    £82
10.5    £74
11.0    £86
11.5    £4
12.0    £252
12.5    £231
13.0    £516
13.5    £457
14.0    £2,049

Lowest prices matched for LMA Choir
11.0    £906
12.0    £40
12.5    £55
13.0    £200
13.5    £656
14.0    £396
14.5    £424
15.0    £572

Lowest prices matched for Vibe 5 / United Vibe
12.0    £50
12.5    £4
13.0    £222
13.5    £10
14.0    £732
14.5    £1,106
15.0    £1,877

Lowest prices matched for Olatunji Yearwood
17    £30
18    £12
21    £100
24    £53
25    £98
26    £79
27    £16
28    £4
30    £83

Lowest prices matched for Armstrong Martins
21    £20
22    £62
23    £10
24    £20
25    £5
28    £26
29    £4
30    £85

Lowest prices matched for Danny Tetley
20    £18
21    £4
30    £20
32    £50
34    £18
36    £1
38    £112
40    £186
42    £153
44    £385

Lowest prices matched for Janice Robinson
25    £6
27    £28
30    £88
32    £46
34    £10
38    £16
40    £44
42    £49
44    £30
46    £87
48    £28
50    £151

Lowest prices matched for Giovanni Spano
30    £19
34    £20
36    £16
40    £40
42    £86
44    £34
46    £65
48    £4
50    £637


Finally, two other notable lows matched for people not making the live shows:

Ricky John
8.0    £18
9.0    £303
9.2    £16
9.4    £64
9.6    £55
9.8    £43
10.0    £403
10.5    £200
11.0    £567
11.5    £410
12.0    £867
12.5    £1,318

Georgia Burgess
6.2    £4
8.8    £19
9.4    £280
9.6    £67
9.8    £307
10.0    £842
10.5    £664
11.0    £1,121
Report bearcub December 4, 2018 12:18 AM GMT
Thanks Horse, much appreciated as ever  Love
Report scampi December 4, 2018 3:53 AM GMT
Great work Horse. And to think Barrowman has an MBE and you don't- no justice in this world :(
Report hemsby December 4, 2018 5:25 AM GMT
horse Love
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