Racing Post Oscars

actually my first post was correct, so ignore my last 2 posts instead


Im doing a Hemsby

sky movies

Live on Sky Oscars HD on Sky 303

The markets on here are all going In-Play and the liquidity is usually pretty good on Oscars night with the live show.

you made me go look.

Last 25 years, 10 have done the best pic, best adapted double

Only 3 times another adapted screenplay won.
2004 Sideways beat Million Dollar Baby
2002 The Pianist beat Chicago
1996 Sling Blade(?) beat The English Patient

1.73 got to be worth the risk (especially as it has already won the Writers Guild Award who got had 10 double winners and Sling Blade and Sideways as well)

Price should be a lot closer to the best pic price

Spielberg stonking value for Director.

Is he Bollox

Feb 24, 2013 -- 11:45PM, bearcub wrote:

Is he Bollox

ha ha.  Moved out from 1.2 to 1.45 on absolutely nothing.  Ang Lee isn't going to pip him.

poll here :

http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/2013-oscar-predictions-reader-poll-results/

Got a few bets on so may stay up.  Few favourites worth opposing - Spielberg could be one but there are probably better ones.  Les Mis & Life Of Pi could easily win a few of the more minor categories each.

Agre about life of pi pop think it could do well in the craft categories

Anna Karenina a decent 1/3 shot in costume design. Been wiping the floor with Les Mis including the Costume Design Guild award

Well it wins some where it's favourite (Visual Effects, Score, Cinematography) but it could easily take Sound Editing as well and then maybe even Production Design, or Best Director.

Les Mis will take Sound Mixing and is in the mix too for Production Design (FWIW I think Anna Karenina beats both in PD).  I fancy it could take Make Up too, challenge AK for costume design, and even upset Adele for best Song.

Would not surprise me to see them take 7-10 between them.

I've backed Les Mis for make up also, Hobbit had no impact like LOTR made. Will probably get a few at the end of part 3. Thats the theory anyway

My Pics:

Best Picture – Argo

Best Director – Steven Spielberg, but worth opposing with Ang Lee at the prices.

Best Actor – Daniel Day-Lewis

Best Actress – Jennifer Lawrence, although I backed Jessica Chastain mainly before the controversy.

Best Supporting Actor – Robert De Niro, although it could go to Christopher Waltz

Best Supporting Actress – Anne Hathaway

Best Original Screenplay – Zero Dark Thirty

Best Adapted Screenplay – Argo

Best Song – Suddenly, Les Miserables

Best Score – Life Of Pi

Best Sound Editing – Life Of Pi

Best Sound Mixing – Les Miserables

Best Cinematography – Life Of Pi

Best Film Editing – Argo

Best Visual Effects – Life Of Pi

Best Production Design – Anna Karenina

Best Costume Design – Anna Karenina

Best Make-Up – Les Miserables

Best Foreign Language – Amour

Best Animated Feature – Wreck-It-Ralph, although Frankenweenie could easily win too and I am on both.

Best Animated Short – Paperman

Best Live-Action Short - Curfew

Best Documentary Feature – Searching For Sugar Man

Best Documentary Short - Inocente

Not far off mine

I've laid Tommy Lee Jones first up so hopefully we both collect

Hope you are wrong about the song, and I've got Django Best Original Screenplay

You could be right.  I just think if they are going to give Zero Dark Thirty an award, it could be there.  Amour could even win.

I really don't think the odds reflect Adele's true chance.  Sure, I understand her being favourite, but the older Academy may like to reward the new song written for the hottest musical of the year.

Adele is a stupid price now agreed

Nice start

Aftertimer

Bet De Niro was close, and was a bigger winner for me.

20/1 hems

Shrewdie

I'm against Lincoln pretty much everywhere bar DDL so a good start

who won

Waltz

Waltz

Pretty keen on Wreck It Ralph in the animated feature, no great opinion on the short

anyone got a streaming link please

Boo, safe option again.

hems .... blocked

I could stop a train ATM

Oh well not going through the card then

link anyone?

http://atdhe.so/watch.php?id=608185

Jaws music...love it

a

I've eaten all my Oscar snacks,so I'm calling it a night.....good luck with your bets guys.

lightweight

thanks

Jaws music...It was rude enough to put music over a speech but now they just making it stupid..Like they gonna put jaws theme over Daniel Day lewis if he goes over ..pssh lol

Just a little reminder to wrap it up soon. They cut his mic off in the end. Maybe someone else wanted to thank their kids

Will the shoving down my throat of that pish Bond film never stop

I love Shirley Bassey....what a bonus.

I really hope Adele loses.

Need a winner and sharpish, fell for Tommy Lee Jones when it looked like a procession Ang Lee begining to look value for director.

4 mins Micheal Compton Micheal Compton ‏@mcompton428

    @AwardsDaily http://Oscars.com  has already given away the Production design winner
    Expand

3 mins Sasha Stone Sasha Stone ‏@AwardsDaily

@mcompton428 what was it?
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6:23 p.m. - Feb 24, 2013 · Details
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    3 mins Micheal Compton Micheal Compton ‏@mcompton428

    @AwardsDaily Anna Karenina....accidently put it up at same time it won costumes

genuine or a hoax?

was genuine, they took it straight down

may just have put it in the wrong cat though ?

You can still get evens if you want to take a chance?

somebody typed production instead of costume, prob just human error

after all, the results are supposed to be top secret with only the company that counts the votes knowing the winner...not any website.

We wont know unless it loses

it was the official Oscars website

this bit is not what I need at 3am

Russell Crowe

dead heat

hes gonna get the second one as well?

oh no thats editing isnt it

any idea what happens in case of a tie? i had skyfall for sound editing

Be settled as dead heat I expect.

doesnt say anything about dead heat rules. I backed ZDT at odds on so hopefully void

they paid out the win :)

paid out dead heat, only fair I suppose

Jaws her...come on

ironic that she's won best supporting in that outfit !

can't believe she's 1.02 must be hundreds of better 1.02 shots every day

I am now pretty much resigned to the fact she will win but even still 1.02 is ridiculous.

I've sold back my stake, been a Les Mis love in as well so no guarantee

so who won animated film?

brave

ouchee

Wow and ouch.

the "leak" was just a mistake after all

oh dear

wish I hadn't known about it as I had to have a small play "just in case"

I'm having a poor night so far....I've been laying most of the odds-on shots and the vast majority are winning.

You usually get at least one big odds-on shock....is it going to happen tonight?

Spielberg going down probably your best hope now I'd say

do not think there will be any shockers tonight

I normally look for a total banker and go "all-in" on Oscar night as I've seen all the films and have an opinion....this year I didn't feel confident, and Amour for Best Foreign would have been my banker...but so short!

A lot of the scores tonight have been John Williams, he's up for Lincoln in best score

Well Lincoln winning Production Design was a shocker.  Matched at 13.5 or so.

# original score

While I'm laying the short ones, someone is actively backing them at 1.3 over & over again on different markets....someone trying to buy money? Normally a dangerous thing to do, but not tonight it seems!

the betting is closing to late in running

There is a 1.01 in every market, just before the market is suspended.

argo was backed at 1.01

but there is a 5-second delay which is supposed to stop anyone who has a faster link?

betfair should be a ashamed of what is going on.

get the feck in

Almost every market has been hoovered.

1.01 again for ang lee

excellent, got best pic covered at 85 as well

at last....a winning bet.

Life Of Pi should be single figures best pic imo

1/7 argo, 7/1 Life Of Pi, 1000 the rest

did she open the envelope

oh shiit, why are we going to the whitehouse

Argo another matched at 1.01