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leftitbehind
19 Feb 13 15:11
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Date Joined: 27 Jul 02
| Topic/replies: 89 | Blogger: leftitbehind's blog
Does anyone remember what they had to say about these? Did Jeremy Chapman have any tips?

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Replies: 115
By:
hemsby
When: 20 Feb 13 01:34
Chapman did do a piece in the RP on the Oscars a while back.Can't remember much about it tbh,but he did suggest a few bets although I don't recall exactly what.....seem to remember him advising Life of Pi (and possibly one other) at big prices for Best Picture,and Ang Lee for Best Director.He did suggest possibly a couple of other bets,but I can't remember them.
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 20 Feb 13 09:01
Article by Chapman was in the 4th Feb paper. Headline "Lee could shine brightest on the night of the stars". Tips were:

3pts   A.Lee 6/1 Best Director

0.5pt  Life of Pi 66/1 Best Picture

2pts   J.Chastain 2/1 Best Actress
0.5pt  N Watts 33/1 Best Actress

1pt    P.Seymour Hoffman 4/1 Best Supporting Actor
0.5pt  C.Waltz 4/1 Best Supporting Actor

0.5pt  H.Hunt 66/1 Best Supporting Actress
0.5pt  A.Adams 40/1 Best Supporting Actress
By:
bearcub
When: 20 Feb 13 09:55
Very helpful post Hems Crazy
By:
hemsby
When: 20 Feb 13 10:00
Laugh......not my finest hour.
By:
leftitbehind
When: 22 Feb 13 14:54
Thanks for all the helpful replies! (cheers ahorsewithnoname).
By:
bearcub
When: 24 Feb 13 21:20
Order of awards via  -supp actor,ani short, ani feat,cinematog,fx,costume,makeup,live action short,doc feature,foreign,soundediting, supporting actress,editing,prod design, in memoriam, score, song, adapted,original,actress,actor,director,picture
By:
johnwark
When: 24 Feb 13 22:18
UK times

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
1:45

ANIMATED SHORT FILM
1:54

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
1:56

CINEMATOGRAPHY
2:05

VISUAL EFFECTS
2:07

COSTUME DESIGN
2:14

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
2:17

LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
2:30

DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
2:32

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
2:41

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
2:48

SOUND MIXING
3:08

SOUND EDITING
3:14

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
3:19

FILM EDITING
3:30

PRODUCTION DESIGN
3:47

INTRO IN MEMORIAM
3:56

IN MEMORIAM PACKAGE & PERFORMANCE
4:00

ORIGINAL SCORE
4:08

ORIGINAL SONG
4:17

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
4:22

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
4:25

DIRECTING
4:32

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
4:39

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
4:46

BEST PICTURE
4:53



Think Argo for Adapted Screenplay the best value of the night
By:
hemsby
When: 24 Feb 13 22:20
Thanks JW.....far more informed post than that bearcub chap Grin
By:
hemsby
When: 24 Feb 13 22:21
3 hours between my 2 bets Cry
By:
Hove_Park_Upper_School
When: 24 Feb 13 23:03
The Adapted Screenplay award usually goes to a film that just misses out in the Best Picture category, so it's unlikely that Argo will win this one as it's massive odds-on for the big one.
By:
bearcub
When: 24 Feb 13 23:18
Out of the last 7 years there have only been 3 pics up for both awards

They won it every time Confused
By:
Hove_Park_Upper_School
When: 24 Feb 13 23:20
That's strange...I remember reading this fact several years ago...maybe it refers to films that just missed out on even being nominated for Best Picture that should have been?
By:
bearcub
When: 24 Feb 13 23:23
ignore my last post Laugh
By:
bearcub
When: 24 Feb 13 23:25
social network didnt win best pic Oscar after all Angry
By:
horses2010
When: 24 Feb 13 23:30
is the oscars on uk tv?
By:
bearcub
When: 24 Feb 13 23:33
actually my first post was correct, so ignore my last 2 posts instead Crazy


Im doing a Hemsby Cry
By:
bearcub
When: 24 Feb 13 23:33
sky movies
By:
Hove_Park_Upper_School
When: 24 Feb 13 23:33
Live on Sky Oscars HD on Sky 303
By:
Hove_Park_Upper_School
When: 24 Feb 13 23:34
The markets on here are all going In-Play and the liquidity is usually pretty good on Oscars night with the live show. Excited
By:
johnwark
When: 24 Feb 13 23:37
you made me go look.

Last 25 years, 10 have done the best pic, best adapted double

Only 3 times another adapted screenplay won.
2004 Sideways beat Million Dollar Baby
2002 The Pianist beat Chicago
1996 Sling Blade(?) beat The English Patient

1.73 got to be worth the risk (especially as it has already won the Writers Guild Award who got had 10 double winners and Sling Blade and Sideways as well)

Price should be a lot closer to the best pic price
By:
nigelpm1
When: 24 Feb 13 23:43
Spielberg stonking value for Director.
By:
bearcub
When: 24 Feb 13 23:45
Is he Bollox
By:
nigelpm1
When: 24 Feb 13 23:48

Feb 24, 2013 -- 11:45PM, bearcub wrote:


Is he Bollox


ha ha.  Moved out from 1.2 to 1.45 on absolutely nothing.  Ang Lee isn't going to pip him.

By:
nigelpm1
When: 24 Feb 13 23:56
poll here :

http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/2013-oscar-predictions-reader-poll-results/
By:
popking
When: 25 Feb 13 01:10
Got a few bets on so may stay up.  Few favourites worth opposing - Spielberg could be one but there are probably better ones.  Les Mis & Life Of Pi could easily win a few of the more minor categories each.
By:
J.O.TOBIN.
When: 25 Feb 13 01:18
Agre about life of pi pop think it could do well in the craft categories
By:
johnwark
When: 25 Feb 13 01:31
Anna Karenina a decent 1/3 shot in costume design. Been wiping the floor with Les Mis including the Costume Design Guild award
By:
popking
When: 25 Feb 13 01:34
Well it wins some where it's favourite (Visual Effects, Score, Cinematography) but it could easily take Sound Editing as well and then maybe even Production Design, or Best Director.

Les Mis will take Sound Mixing and is in the mix too for Production Design (FWIW I think Anna Karenina beats both in PD).  I fancy it could take Make Up too, challenge AK for costume design, and even upset Adele for best Song.

Would not surprise me to see them take 7-10 between them.
By:
johnwark
When: 25 Feb 13 01:39
I've backed Les Mis for make up also, Hobbit had no impact like LOTR made. Will probably get a few at the end of part 3. Thats the theory anyway
By:
popking
When: 25 Feb 13 01:43
My Pics:

Best Picture – Argo

Best Director – Steven Spielberg, but worth opposing with Ang Lee at the prices.

Best Actor – Daniel Day-Lewis

Best Actress – Jennifer Lawrence, although I backed Jessica Chastain mainly before the controversy.

Best Supporting Actor – Robert De Niro, although it could go to Christopher Waltz

Best Supporting Actress – Anne Hathaway

Best Original Screenplay – Zero Dark Thirty

Best Adapted Screenplay – Argo

Best Song – Suddenly, Les Miserables

Best Score – Life Of Pi

Best Sound Editing – Life Of Pi

Best Sound Mixing – Les Miserables

Best Cinematography – Life Of Pi

Best Film Editing – Argo

Best Visual Effects – Life Of Pi

Best Production Design – Anna Karenina

Best Costume Design – Anna Karenina

Best Make-Up – Les Miserables

Best Foreign Language – Amour

Best Animated Feature – Wreck-It-Ralph, although Frankenweenie could easily win too and I am on both.

Best Animated Short – Paperman

Best Live-Action Short - Curfew

Best Documentary Feature – Searching For Sugar Man

Best Documentary Short - Inocente
By:
johnwark
When: 25 Feb 13 01:46
Not far off mine

I've laid Tommy Lee Jones first up so hopefully we both collect

Hope you are wrong about the song, and I've got Django Best Original Screenplay
By:
popking
When: 25 Feb 13 01:49
You could be right.  I just think if they are going to give Zero Dark Thirty an award, it could be there.  Amour could even win.

I really don't think the odds reflect Adele's true chance.  Sure, I understand her being favourite, but the older Academy may like to reward the new song written for the hottest musical of the year.
By:
johnwark
When: 25 Feb 13 01:49
Adele is a stupid price now agreed
By:
bearcub
When: 25 Feb 13 01:50
Nice start Happy
By:
hemsby
When: 25 Feb 13 01:51
Aftertimer
By:
popking
When: 25 Feb 13 01:51
Bet De Niro was close, and was a bigger winner for me.
By:
bearcub
When: 25 Feb 13 01:52
Laugh
By:
bearcub
When: 25 Feb 13 01:52
20/1 hems Wink
By:
hemsby
When: 25 Feb 13 01:53
Shrewdie
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