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*** X factor b2 poll last 6 ***

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By:
five leaves left
When: 18 Nov 12 18:41
THE X FACTOR 2012 SURVEY RESULTS (AFTER WEEK 7 GUILTY PLEASURES SONGS PERFORMANCES)   
                           
  Votes Cast:  Sat 10.20pm 17/11/2012 - 5.30pm Sun 18/11/2012             
                           
  NB. Poll results are now weighted  by age and gender and filtered to try and match the X Factor Voters demographic as closely as possible.   
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
  Total Survey Responders: 255                       
                           
                           
                           
  Who will you vote for to SAVE and Stay in the X Factor?               
                           
  Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 28% ████████████████████████████             
  James Arthur (Boys) 14% █████████████                 
  Ella Henderson (Girls) 25% █████████████████████████             
  Union J (Groups) 8% ████████                   
  Rylan Clark (Boys) 10% ██████████                   
  Christopher Maloney (Overs) 15% ██████████████                 
    100%                       
                           
                           
  NB. Previous "Want to win " polls have been better at giving clues to who might be in bottom 2           
  But I'll keep doing "Want to SAVE" polls for reference.                   
                           
                           
                           
                           
  Who do you want to win The X Factor 2012?                   
                           
  Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 33% █████████████████████████████████           
  James Arthur (Boys) 15% ███████████████                 
  Ella Henderson (Girls) 31% ██████████████████████████████           
  Union J (Groups) 6% █████                     
  Rylan Clark (Boys) 7% ██████                   
  Christopher Maloney (Overs) 8% ████████                   
    100%                       
                           
                           
                           
  NB. Combining  results of above poll with "Think in Bottom 2" poll might give a better indication of who might be in Bottom 2.     
  Fans of an Act might be more likely to vote if they think that Act is in Danger               
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
  Who's your 2nd Favourite?                       
                           
  Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 17% █████████████████               
  James Arthur (Boys) 25% ████████████████████████             
  Ella Henderson (Girls) 25% ████████████████████████             
  Union J (Groups) 4% ████                     
  Rylan Clark (Boys) 11% ███████████                   
  Christopher Maloney (Overs) 18% █████████████████               
    100%                       
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
  Who's your LEAST favourite?                       
                           
  Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 7% ███████                   
  James Arthur (Boys) 14% █████████████                 
  Ella Henderson (Girls) 2% █                     
  Union J (Groups) 2% █                     
  Rylan Clark (Boys) 41% █████████████████████████████████████████       
  Christopher Maloney (Overs) 34% ██████████████████████████████████           
    100%                       
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
  Who's your 2nd LEAST favourite?                     
                           
  Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 11% ███████████                   
  James Arthur (Boys) 8% ████████                   
  Ella Henderson (Girls) 12% ███████████                   
  Union J (Groups) 19% ██████████████████               
  Rylan Clark (Boys) 29% █████████████████████████████           
  Christopher Maloney (Overs) 21% ████████████████████               
    100%                       
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
  Who do you like the most (personality wise)?                   
                           
  Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 23% ███████████████████████             
  James Arthur (Boys) 8% ███████                   
  Ella Henderson (Girls) 14% ██████████████                 
  Union J (Groups) 5% █████                     
  Rylan Clark (Boys) 32% ████████████████████████████████           
  Christopher Maloney (Overs) 17% ████████████████                 
    100%                       
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
  Who do you THINK will win X Factor 2012?                   
                           
  Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 34% █████████████████████████████████           
  James Arthur (Boys) 17% █████████████████               
  Ella Henderson (Girls) 32% ████████████████████████████████           
  Union J (Groups) 2% █                     
  Rylan Clark (Boys) 1%                       
  Christopher Maloney (Overs) 2% ██                     
  DON'T KNOW 12% ████████████                 
    100%                       
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
                           
   Who do you think is in the most Danger of being in the Bottom 2?             
                           
  Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 0%                       
  James Arthur (Boys) 4% ███                     
  Ella Henderson (Girls) 3% ███                     
  Union J (Groups) 9% ████████                   
  Rylan Clark (Boys) 38% ██████████████████████████████████████         
  Christopher Maloney (Overs) 27% ███████████████████████████             
  DON'T KNOW 19% ██████████████████               
    100%                       
                           
                           
  I've included above poll because Fans of an Act might be more likely to vote if they think their Fav Act is in Danger
By:
stringerbell
When: 18 Nov 12 18:43
what complicates it is chris goes if he is b2, rylan goes if he is b2 against anyone other than chris. ella and james would be saved against anyone - unless they are both b2. and hard to read how much union J will bounce. jahmene simply wont be b2. think i might just leave it alone. it's making my head hurt
By:
stringerbell
When: 18 Nov 12 18:45
how relevant are those stats gents?
By:
mach
When: 18 Nov 12 18:46
the stats have never nailed it but never far away either, only a indicator
By:
Asparagus Man
When: 18 Nov 12 18:47
THose stats are horrific for UJ.

Every act has bounced this year so far, and I think too much of that is built into their price to go.
By:
donny osmond
When: 18 Nov 12 18:48
when they ask whos personality they like best i guess they are attracting a lot of kiddy voters

but not the ones that have been playing havoc with their polls
By:
mach
When: 18 Nov 12 18:48
38% think rylan is in danger - plenty motivation to vote
4% think james is in danger - low motivation to vote
I'm standing by my james v UJ B2 call
By:
Cider
When: 18 Nov 12 19:27
I agree with jack, Ella won't be commercial at all. That's why she's on the xf. Th voice is only a small % of the package, she has nothing else unfortunately. Adele has a personality and 'great' songs.
By:
stringerbell
When: 18 Nov 12 19:50
hi cider, hope all's good mate. strongly disagree. she's 16 - how can you say she doesnt have a personality. or songs - didnt she sing her own at audition and it was really good? may be wrong. she is 16 ffs and she sings like a goddess. and hey you may be right about her not being commercial, but i just cant see how you can say it. adele is and she is like a clone.

what DOES worry me is dizzy's point about there already being an ella, in adele, but there is no james. but i am consoled by the fact i think james might struggle to get votes...
By:
theonlywayforward
When: 18 Nov 12 19:58
Backed Chris to get the boot as Louis will save rylan and deadlock will reveal he had less votes .
By:
Cider
When: 18 Nov 12 19:59
All good cheers nick trust all is well with you!

The way I see it Adele sings from the heart, her songs have come through experience. Ella just sings. She's just a kid, I've nothing against her but she has put herself in the public domain to be judged to the nth degree. She may do well, but I can't see it for now.
By:
stringerbell
When: 18 Nov 12 20:07
not bad ta mate. not bad.

not sure how ella is supposed to sing from experience. she's 16. she could write a song about getting f*ngered behind the bike sheds but it probably wouldnt fly. my point, crassly put, is that all ella has at this point is that utterly amazing natural talent. voice of an angel etc etc. i just cant see how you can not think she can be commercial.

but i value your opinion so its a bit concerning..Grin

on another note, how utterly out of place does jahmene look in the group songs. he looks like me or you thrown onto the pitch in a world cup final by mistake
By:
Cider
When: 18 Nov 12 20:11
Therefore Ella is to young for people who'd buy her music to relate to. She isn't sprinkled with charisma for me, something that Adele has in abundance.


Yep Jahmene is not adroit at the group songs, tbf!
By:
deejayric
When: 18 Nov 12 21:01
GymTanLaundry 18 Nov 12 15:47 
james v ella
ella gone


amazing shout
By:
RMB ©
When: 18 Nov 12 21:03
Hope you didn't load up on Ella, monster price of 2.8 taking you out of retirement Stringer and gone 3 days later at the bottom of the votes.
By:
hemsby
When: 18 Nov 12 21:06
Take a bow GTL.....I don't remember a better prediction.
By:
bearcub
When: 18 Nov 12 21:08
Well done Gym,   excellent call Happy
By:
jack12321
When: 18 Nov 12 21:08
Incredible GTL, I saw Ella potentially going but to predict James too was amazing
By:
five leaves left
When: 19 Nov 12 01:33
Great shout Papa and half a great one jack Grin
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 19 Nov 12 01:39
Papa a great call and that took some doing.  I went for the 'obvious' bottom 2 of Union and Rylan which didn't take a lot of working out but yours was a really big call.  Terriffic stuff.
By:
seebee
When: 19 Nov 12 01:40
Jack, thanks for your post earlier in thread, made me have a think about things last night. GTL...top notch.
By:
jack12321
When: 19 Nov 12 02:23
Glad you did well out of it seebee Grin

Very odd night all round, by far the most profitable one for me ever
By:
Angelwings
When: 19 Nov 12 08:40
Amazing call GTL VVWD you deserve whatever you picked up from your bets this week. Like most I didnt think all of Rylan UJ and Chris would escape B2

A bit sick that I knew guilty pleasures week was a graveyard week and didnt go for a speculative punt.
By:
Dizzy42
When: 19 Nov 12 09:47
Yep, Angel - you were saying all week it could be a graveyard for the well fancied acts!

Amazing shout Papa, hope you made some decent cash out of that call.  Incredible tipping!

Was increasingly convinced that Ella was in danger (and to a lesser extent James), but never in a million years thought that she would be out...  Of course I didn't factor in both falling into the drop zone at the same time!
By:
hemsby
When: 19 Nov 12 10:37

Nov 19, 2012 -- 2:23AM, jack12321 wrote:


Glad you did well out of it seebee Very odd night all round, by far the most profitable one for me ever


Cool

By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 19 Nov 12 21:52
only backed james for B2, the combo was a speculative and still-slightly-tipsy guess!  nice result on james though.
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 19 Nov 12 23:11
Papa

Can you have a few drinks next week and tip us the next B2 then. 

wink!
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