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Lumberg
17 Jan 18 14:08
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Date Joined: 06 Apr 06
| Topic/replies: 575 | Blogger: Lumberg's blog
Castre +31 seems like a big hcap for this game considering Castres still have a chance of making quarters, so may actually be trying. A win against Munster (denying Munster a bonus pt) puts them ahead of Munster (on head to head), and there's a chance Leicester could do a job against Racing as even though they have nothing to play for, their fans will be on their backs after being nil-ed last weekend, at home you'd hope they'd have some pride.

Don't think Castres will beat Munster but Munster to do them by over 31pts on a wet Sunday in Limerick looks too high, when Munster will just be looking for 4 tries and a win.
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Report Brad Breath • January 19, 2018 11:44 PM GMT
I agree with you Lumberg.

I iitially thought the cap was about right, but that was on the assumption that Castres would send a much weakened team.
That's not the case however, with a fairly decent squad named.

As such, have got on Castres +30. I see it is now in to approx +25.
Report hunt lunt and cunningham • January 20, 2018 9:26 AM GMT
Yes seems a very good call, they certainly played well in beating leicester seconds last week. I could only get +28 early yesterday but it seems to have settled on the 24 mark now which could still be value. Well spotted Lumberg but I couldnt find the +31 anywhere.
Report Brad Breath • January 21, 2018 5:58 PM GMT
We were well off the mark in the end there lads. Munster pack smashed them.

Can't believe how poor Ulster were - they are simply atrocious away from home.
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