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Reading v Swansea 30/5/11

27 May 11 17:21
I make Reading slight favourites, despite the Swans winning both regular season games 1-0. However the latter of those games was on New Years Day and since then, Reading have undoubtedly been the form side. They also had the more comfortable semi final victory; the team with the biggest winning margin in the semis has won the final 3 times more often than their opponents in the last decade.

Both teams have been defensively tight in away matches recently, again treating this as an 'away' match for both. They will be looking to extend clean sheet streaks of 3 (Swansea) and 4 matches (Reading).

In the previous 7 finals, only last season's saw both teams scoring and the last 4 finals were won by 1 goal only.

Taking this into consideration, my suggestions are:- Reading to win (90 minutes) 2.5 points @ 9/5 (general) / Reading to win by 1 goal (h'cap tie) 2.5 points @ 18/5 (T0te) / Only 1 team to score 3 points @ 13/10 (C0ral)
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