Aberdeen South by election

SNP have been favourites since the market opened

1.01    £101.00       
1.12            £6.00
1.18            £50.00
1.19    £3.92        £22.16
1.2            £614.43
1.21            £603.15
1.22            £1,730.45
1.23            £559.27
1.24            £826.76
1.25            £333.64
1.26            £49.84
1.27            £36.00
1.28            £208.76
1.29            £421.2



Conservatives, who haven't won a by election in Scotland since before the moon landings have crept into odds on favourite.

UK - By-Elections -- Aberdeen South by-election

6 Runners            £22,592 Matched

			108.3%		100.2%
SNP	2	2.02	2.04		2.24	2.4	2.5	£16,024
	£48	£4	£10		£17	£1	£2
Reform	590	600	650		-	-	-	£112
	£1	£1	£2
Labour	640	720	740		-	-	-	£62
	£1	£4	£1
Conservatives	-	1.01	1.7		1.8	1.82	2	£6,386
		£100	£31		£1	£87	£50
Liberal Democrats	2	4	1000		-	-	-	£4
	£1	£5	£4
Green	2	4	1000		-	-	-	£4
	£1	£5	£4

wow

that was not the snp odds i expected to see

Given that the polls only closed 2 hours ago, I can't help wondering if this plunge on the conservatives isn't all sentiment and hot air?

UK - By-Elections -- Aberdeen South by-election

6 Runners            £26,083 Matched

			109.6%		97.5%
SNP	1.7	3	3.35		5	5.8	6	£17,044
	£50	£120	£4		£2	£41	£10
Reform	4	600	1000		-	-	-	£112
	£4	£2	£2
Labour	720	740	1000		-	-	-	£62
	£4	£2	£1
Conservatives	1.2	1.25	1.26		1.29	1.3	1.62	£8,857
	£201	£45	£4		£1	£148	£13
Liberal Democrats	2	4	1000		-	-	-	£4
	£1	£5	£4
Green	2	4	1000		-	-	-	£4
	£1	£5	£4

Anyone turn up in a Camper van to vote ?

good call by Yak , hope he got a few quid

Breaking:

SNP concede defeat in Aberdeen south

A massive vote against mad EDs green business ,as well

Based on misinformation though, and I’ve said countless times I want a buyouant Energy sector in Aberdeen but it’s over and zero to do with Milliband.

The people I know in oil and gas in Aberdeen most of retired now, made good money back in the day, great pensions but the ones who are still making money have diversified into renewables that’s were money is. It’s really not a political issue it’s money.
I’d love to see oil and gas boom again in Aberdeen but you have to be realistic that ship has sailed unfortunately.

Escapee 19 Jun 26 00:13 
Given that the polls only closed 2 hours ago, I can't help wondering if this plunge on the conservatives isn't all sentiment and hot air?




Unlucky. It must have been Trump.

I’d have thought Aberdeen would be easy seat for conservatives, if I remember correctly Aberdeen voted decisively against independence.
Strangely SNP we’re using oil and gas at that time as a policy to get their agenda over the line, I thought it was stupid
Now the tories have won using same policy, politics is strange.

Aberdeen has went from one of the most opulent places in Scotland to its current state where house prices have dropped almost 50%.

No surprise they want nothing to do with a party that’s been in bed with the Green loons for the last decade.

Idiotic statement from somebody who knows nothing about oil and gas industry

I don’t want to challenge your brain too much but I can be so bold to ask you explain why that is?

I will try and explain no so shrewd dude
Aberdeen was affluent from 80s agreed, house prices rose
Now oil and gas businesses in Aberdeen,are not doing as well in a world wide business.
It’s nothing to do do with whoever is in charge of government in England or Scotland can you absorb that into your thick dunce skull.
It’s about money nothing else and the people who control investment in oil and gas infrastructure do not live in Uk and don’t give one F about Aberdeen I can assure you on that.

Now oil and gas businesses in Aberdeen,are not doing as well in a world wide business.

It’s doing well in the places that don’t have mad Greens and the loony net zero involved.

When was the last time you were in Aberdeen?  How many times have you been there?

Sounds like another thing that a Southern Irish dunce thinks he knows about because he has mates that he speaks to via the phone and because he follows a team there..

Aberdeen was buzzing with the oil 20 or even 10 years ago. It was never going to last forever but if you think the green agenda didn’t shorten its life span by about 20 years you are thicker than I thought you were.

Given that the polls only closed 2 hours ago, I can't help wondering if this plunge on the conservatives isn't all sentiment and hot air?

another escapee comment that aged well (not)

I was in Aberdeen a fortnight ago, talking to people who refurbish oil tools, so don’t tell me I know nothing about oil and gas industry.
The pubs I were in were Malones Irish bar great pub and Aitchies beside train station, ii stayed in hotel altens.
I went down to Aldi in Tullos so don’t tell me I know nothing about Aberdeen. You are totally wrong.

You must have been meeting a selective amount of folk to strongly disagree with my assertion that the locals dont want anything to do with a party that gets in to bed with the Green loons.

Most Aberdonians don’t want anything to with the Greens and those who get in to bed with them.

Maybe you could be convinced if they voted on it.

Oh… wait, they just did you complete helmet.

I never discussed politics with anybody and have not posted that on this thread.
If you are referring to refurbishment of oil tools and BOP s, Wellheads, being a green policy then you obviously know nothing about oil and gas industry, it’s been happening for 25 years and Aberdeen made plenty out it, if you can fix it why would you build a new one ?
Is it a green policy ? Indirectly maybe, I would say more business efficiency, but certainty not directed by Govt.

I don’t vote for Green Party but most of their policy’s are common sense monitor you’re energy and water, don’t use anymore than you need, segregate waste for recycling because landfill is a fortune nowadays

I never discussed politics with anybody and have not posted that on this thread.

It’s literally a thread about a by-election you half wit.

But I never discussed politics in Aberdeen and the downtown in oil and gas business has nothing to do with any UK government, the investors are not there, please read what I posted.
I wish it was booming but ship has sailed good luck to everybody who made money, I made a few quid myself and I’d like to make more.

So the downfall of Aberdeen is nothing to do with the green agenda?

Give your head a wobble ffs.

Total clown.

The good times never last ask Aberdeen FC football fans that one.
Next you will be telling me Margaret Thatcher had a green agenda to shut down the pits and Scottish steel industry.

Can anyone engaged with this one explain why it was the Tories and not Reform to profit? Obviously it was the handmaiden to Burnham, but I still find it very odd that Reform didn't profit here. Surely they would have adopted the same talking points about oil etc as well as doing the usual on immigration etc.

I live in Aberdeen ...

Reform not popular at all up here sure there are some stop the boats sorts but generally people don't like the rhetoric of Farage et al,
North East always been pretty Conservative lots of farmers and fishing plus of course the oil and gas industry

The policy of not approving licences is certainly a driving force behind why SNP and Labour were not up to winning here this time
if the boat has sailed why are Norway continuing to hand out licences while working alongside the renewables and have climate emissions policies in place.

Miliband previously described the licence issued to Rosebank as "climate vandalism" I mean which company would invest in the North Sea with this goon in charge of it.

Britain continues to import vast amounts of oil and gas from Norway whilst sitting on some huge reserves we can and should be doing both like Norway.

Decent post from a local Aberdeen lad, but you have missed out a few things you obviously know.
The relationship with oil and gas industry in Norway and UK are totally different in financial gain for the country and its citizens.
Secondly you know industry was on downward spiral long before milliband got his job and decommissioning plans were already in place.
A lot of good oil and gas professionals have retired from Aberdeen. Knowledge gone, hard to replace.
Plenty engineering shops are still working for Aker solutions, Norways big hitter in the game.
I like Aberdeen cracking place to live I’m sure, good luck.

Far from being rejected Reform increased there percentage.
All the rest were rejected bar the Conservatives.
If oil was the big issue they would not have voted SNP at any stage, the renewables money is fairly significant as is the service sector but it's diff skills required, no roughnecks needed so locals prob got limited job ops.

Rosebank will not directly affect Aberdeen one way or another, situated 120 miles off Shetland any oil produced will be shipped out in tankers for direct export.

Aber had its hey day, lot of crumbling properties in the area affecting prop prices, homes thrown up by dodgy builders at height of boom.

Reform far from rejected and will do well again improve at next  election.

Bye election was a very low turnout too.

Good post seems well put over without any political agenda

Britain continues to import vast amounts of oil and gas from Norway whilst sitting on some huge reserves we can and should be doing both like Norway.



I have a lot of sympathy for this view. However, they aren't our reserves the moment they're out of the ground. They then belong to Shell or BP or whoever who are legally obliged to sell on the open market for the highest price possible, and not just give it to British people to use.

For us to have actual energy sovereignty and security we need to actually control it. If and when we have that, then I think  I'd be in favour of taking the oil and gas we need from the North Sea rather than relying on Russia and the sheikhs. Give us a ten or twenty year buffer while the transition to fully using renewables continues.

But until we actually do control the market I just don't see the point. It's just another supplier, that happens to be closer to home.

So our government gets no revenue from North sea oil and gas, is that what you are saying?