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Escapee
02 May 26 14:34
Joined:
Date Joined: 27 Aug 04
| Topic/replies: 10,563 | Blogger: Escapee's blog
The markets say they have a 30% of winning the senedd election in a few days.

This is huge for them, they've never had anywhere near a 30% chance to win a national election which is just days away.

Have they got any welsh specific policies?
Has Farage been campaigning in Wales much?



Welsh Elections -- Which Party will win the most seats?        
6 Runners            £46,862 Matched   



              102.2%   97.6%             
Plaid Cymru    1.43 1.44 1.45   1.47   1.48   1.5   £29,398
        £2 £199 £44     £27 £763 £100  
Reform UK    3.15 3.2 3.25   3.45   3.5   3.7   £16,872
        £25 £5 £2     £7 £16 £5  
Liberal    130 200 220   800   -   -   £47
        £1 £6 £2     £1        
Green    60 160 180   1000   -   -   £74
        £1 £6 £2     £2        
Labour    65 70 75   290   430   970   £464
        £4 £4 £5     £1 £1 £2  
Conservative    540 560 610   -   -   -   £7
        £1 £2 £6              
Pause Switch to Standard View Will Reform be running Wales after...
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Report DancingBraveTheBest May 2, 2026 2:37 PM BST
I sincerely hope soHappy
Report yak hunt May 2, 2026 4:39 PM BST
No possible chance.
Report paulybad May 2, 2026 9:43 PM BST
Unlikely Cons vote so decimated a reform / cons alliance won't get the numbers, e pect plaid to cobble together something with the greens or libs, sell their grannies to stop reform , but you never know anti labour sentiment here huge and the plaid mob have underperformed before.
Report PorcupineorPineapple May 3, 2026 8:32 AM BST
Hope so. We need two years of seeing them and testing them in office for the veil to drop.
Report Cider May 3, 2026 9:07 AM BST
Worked for labour in Westminster. Although, that was about two weeks to be fair.
Report saddo May 3, 2026 11:56 AM BST
Grin
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- May 3, 2026 12:06 PM BST
Farage wants most seats and no power so he can whine and top
up his 5 million.

The refuk leader that farage lied about not knowing, in jail for treason, must be gutted he sold out for 5 figures.
Report saddo May 3, 2026 12:10 PM BST
And good bloke Starmer is clinging to power because....?
Report Escapee May 3, 2026 12:31 PM BST

And good bloke Starmer is clinging to power because....?


I'd guess one of the reasons he is able to cling on is he's not in jail for treason like that welsh reform leader.

Report dpm May 3, 2026 12:36 PM BST
Starmer the biggest traitor in the UK.
Report Escapee May 3, 2026 12:45 PM BST

Starmer the biggest traitor in the UK.


Is this just in your mind?
or do you have some logical reason?

Report DancingBraveTheBest May 3, 2026 2:16 PM BST
Look at Starmers manifesto promises and look at the current situation.....has traitor written all over it ffs......get to Specsavers
Report Cider May 3, 2026 2:56 PM BST
To form the next government of this great nation.

I want to thank the outgoing Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak.

His achievement as the first British Asian Prime Minister of our country…

The extra effort that will have required… 

Should not be underestimated by anyone.

We pay tribute to that today…

And we also recognise the dedication and hard work he brought to his leadership.

But now our country has voted, decisively…

For change. 

For national renewal.

And a return of politics to public service.

When the gap between the sacrifices made by people…

And the service they receive from politicians…

Grows this big.

It leads to a weariness in the heart of a nation. 

A draining away of the hope, the spirit, the belief in a better future…

That we need to move forward, together.

Now, this wound…

This lack of trust…

Can only be healed by actions not words…

I know that. 

But we can make a start today…

Happy
Report DancingBraveTheBest May 3, 2026 2:57 PM BST
Taxes on working people for starters.....up up and awayLaugh
Report DancingBraveTheBest May 3, 2026 2:59 PM BST
Smash the gangs......shud have said help the gangs and he would have kept a promiseLaugh
Report Cider May 3, 2026 3:00 PM BST
The very first part of his first speech, identity politics.

The exact thing being used to divide the country.

I think the rest of that excerpt is enough...
Report DancingBraveTheBest May 3, 2026 3:03 PM BST
Building the M4 relief road in South Wales a must.....if you have ever tried getting to or past Cardiff going West on any afternoon/evening always give yourself an extra hour plus for your journey......Reform promise to change this and boost the local economy. Liebour wasted over 150 million in consultation and planning the relief road then scrapped it at the last minute.....not their money to waste but did they careSad
Report yak hunt May 3, 2026 3:04 PM BST
How exactly are Reform going to change this road issue please?
Report DancingBraveTheBest May 3, 2026 3:07 PM BST
Look it up ffs
Report yak hunt May 3, 2026 3:40 PM BST
As part of a Community service initiative, perhaps they are going to get folks in jail, like Wales Reform leaders, to dig a new road?
Report DancingBraveTheBest May 3, 2026 3:59 PM BST
LaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh
Report Cider May 3, 2026 4:15 PM BST
not a bad idea, labour have already dug the hole.
Report paulybad May 3, 2026 6:13 PM BST
M4 relief should have been built years ago bypassing newport, it should be then taken overthw Severn on top of a hydro generating barrage on one of the biggest tides in the world, but the backward labour lot entrenched there never had the foresight or cajones to do it, wales is 20 years behind most of the UK.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- May 3, 2026 6:17 PM BST
A social media post by prominent member of Reform UK Arron Banks was racist, a Welsh election candidate for the party has said.

James Evans said it was wrong and became the first Reform figure to call it racist.

Arron Banks, an outspoken supporter of the party, posted "Welsh lad?" on X in response to a Plaid Cymru video which was fronted by a black community organiser in Cardiff.

Banks hasn't responded to a request for comment but had said previously that it was a "joke" and Plaid Cymru had "lost their sense of humour".
Report Early Morning Riser May 4, 2026 3:42 PM BST
I wont be voting in Welsh election because i disagree with the new voting system being used. I dont want to vote for a party, i want to vote for individuals who i think will serve my community the best.
Report yak hunt May 4, 2026 5:00 PM BST
If you don't vote....
Report Early Morning Riser May 5, 2026 7:19 PM BST
And on top of that new voting system "not one canvasser have knocked my door or been around my area" so why should i vote for any party.
Report Escapee May 5, 2026 11:55 PM BST
Not one billionaire has given me £5 million so why should I vote for any party?
Report paulybad May 6, 2026 9:34 AM BST
Some value in most seats reform in wales, current polling 36 reform 37 plaid, but voters who do fancy reform as a protest rarely admit I when questioned so at the prices reform must be a bet.
Report GLASGOWCALLING May 6, 2026 11:22 AM BST
Not sure those that voted to ban greyhound racing will be happy, Nigel loves a bit of field sports. Happy
Report Early Morning Riser May 7, 2026 7:59 PM BST
Lots and lots of youngsters voting today, never seen so many going into my local polling station.
Report saddo May 7, 2026 8:04 PM BST
I'm guessing turnout may be high, first time I've voted in locals.
Could you have a bet on turnout?
Report PorcupineorPineapple May 7, 2026 8:14 PM BST
Guy in mine before said it was way down. Around 20% (this was around 5.30)
Report Early Morning Riser May 7, 2026 8:33 PM BST
They must be reform voters or they have been hypnotized.
Report paulybad May 7, 2026 11:52 PM BST
Guessing high turnout in wales i voted 8.30 pm still very busy, queues elswhere, bye Kier.
Report sageform May 8, 2026 8:16 AM BST
Much more likely to be Plaid Cymru who are rather to the left of Labour.
Report paulybad May 8, 2026 8:42 AM BST
Plaid, Reform, whoever Labour have not lost Wales in a 100 years, this will be the end of him.
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 1:01 PM BST
High turnouts for the Welsh elections in Wales, and it looks 99.99% sure that Plaid as the most seats, high stacks of plaid ballot papers.
    Clwyd: 51.39%
    Ceredigion Penfro: 55.2%
    Sir Gaerfyrddin: 55.97%
    Pontypridd Cynon Merthyr: 47.28%
    Casnewydd Islwyn: 47.8%
    Caerdydd Penarth: 56.72%

Reminder: Never in a devolved election has turnout been over 50% however that makes an average across Wales at the moment 52.39%
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 1:04 PM BST
Pontypridd Cynon Merthyr, overwhelming vote for Plaid.
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 1:28 PM BST
Caerdydd Ffynnon Taf 58.49% turnout.  recount in Blaenau Caerfilli Rhymni.
Report Cider May 8, 2026 1:32 PM BST
There's actually a place called Taf Grin
Report FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK May 8, 2026 1:46 PM BST
BBC got laugh
Taking to public in
Romford market
Then cut to Bexley say they didn’t do well at
Neighbouring bexley

Unless Romford and harving cross the the Thames
How **** are they neighbours
Report FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK May 8, 2026 1:47 PM BST
Just norm try put sly boot in to reform
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 1:51 PM BST
Blaenau Gwent Caerfilli Rhymney, plaid takes 3 seats.
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 1:53 PM BST
Caerdydd Penarth, 3 seats for Plaid.
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 2:01 PM BST
recount in Blaenau Gwent Caerfilli Rhymni for minor placingsLaughLaugh
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 2:11 PM BST
Looks like a lot of recounts today in Wales because of the new system of votingCrazyCrazy
Report liberator of the oppressed May 8, 2026 2:19 PM BST
Has the MP who suggested dog racing be banned lost her seat?
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 2:37 PM BST
She should just about keep her seat but iw will be tight.
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 3:06 PM BST
Casnewydd Islwyn reform 2, plaid 2
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 3:15 PM BST
Blaenau Gwent Caerfilli Rhymni reform 3 plaid 3
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 3:20 PM BST
Pen-y-bont Bro Morgannwg plaid 2 reform 2.
Report saddo May 8, 2026 3:35 PM BST
My goodness, can you actually pronounce those places, EMR?
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 3:39 PM BST
yes saddoLaughLaugh
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 3:41 PM BST
Sir Gaerfyrddin plaid 3 reform 3
Report DancingBraveTheBest May 8, 2026 3:42 PM BST
Like whatsapp we shud be able to post voice recordings on hereLaugh
Report Jumper45 May 8, 2026 3:49 PM BST

May 8, 2026 -- 3:39PM, Early Morning Riser wrote:


yes saddo


Respect - no, not the party, but your linguistic competence!!

Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 3:52 PM BST
Caerdydd Penarth plaid 3 reform 1.
Report Cider May 8, 2026 3:55 PM BST
what's with using all the Welsh names lol. That's a niche audience. I think I got Gwent!
Report Cider May 8, 2026 3:56 PM BST
I know ynys mon as I had a nice win there a few years ago
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 3:59 PM BST
Will be more Welsh names when Plaid takes control of the Senedd LaughLaughLaugh
Report Cider May 8, 2026 4:02 PM BST
are they planning to lift the daft speed limits?
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 4:09 PM BST
Pontypridd Cynon Merthyr Plaid 3 reform 2.  If this keeps on Plaid my have overall control of the senedd.
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 4:14 PM BST
Afan Ogwr Rhondda Plaid 3 Reform 2. Thats a bad result for reform. Looks like a clear cut win for Plaid in Wales.
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 4:24 PM BST
Bangor Conwy Mon plaid 3 reform 2, bad result for Plaid there in North Wales.
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 4:27 PM BST
Sir Fynwy Torfaen Plaid 2 Reform 2
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 4:54 PM BST
Eluned Morgan OUT.
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 4:55 PM BST
Caerdydd Ffynnon Taf plaid 3 reform 1
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 4:59 PM BST
Ceredigion Penfro Plaid 3 reform 2, now looks no majority for plaid.
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 5:19 PM BST
Brycheiniog Tawe Nedd Reform3 plaid 2,   Clywd reform 3  plaid 2.  2 good results for Reform there.
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 5:22 PM BST
GLASGOWCALLING
06 May 26 11:22
Joined: 11 Jan 11
| Topic/replies: 32,199 | Blogger: GLASGOWCALLING's blog
Not sure those that voted to ban greyhound racing will be happy, Nigel loves a bit of field sports.

She got in
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 5:25 PM BST
Gŵyr Abertawe: Plaid 3, Reform 2,
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 5:48 PM BST
Fflint Wrecsam plaid 2 reform 2.  No overall majority for plaid now.
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 6:00 PM BST
Plaid Dafydd Trystan has arrived at the Senedd to take his oath to become a Senedd member. He was seen trying to secure his bike outside the Welsh Parliament.

It's faster to travel by bike in Wales than by carLaughLaughLaugh
Report sageform May 8, 2026 6:06 PM BST
But no other Welsh party will join with Reform to oppose Plaid who should find it easy enough to find a small party to form a coalition with. The big shock to me is the massive strength of Reform in the north of England. An area that has been solid Labour for 60 years. Boris dented them but Nigel has destroyed them.
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 6:09 PM BST
Plaid have won most seats. go collect
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 6:10 PM BST
Sageform, they will need Labour to join them.
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 6:14 PM BST
Gwynedd Maldwyn plaid 4 reform 2.
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 6:15 PM BST
Plaid Cymru - 43 seats
Reform UK - 34 seats
Labour - Nine seats
Conservatives - Seven seats
Green - Two seats
Liberal Democrat - One seat.
Report diabolicalliability May 8, 2026 6:22 PM BST
The Welsh hate English more thahn they love Wales.
Report Escapee May 8, 2026 6:34 PM BST
Welsh "Most seats" Market suspended Cool
Report Early Morning Riser May 8, 2026 6:35 PM BST
If a general election took place next week Labour would not have 1 MP in WalesCrazyCrazy
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