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Escapee
02 May 26 14:34
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Date Joined: 27 Aug 04
| Topic/replies: 10,565 | Blogger: Escapee's blog
The markets say they have a 30% of winning the senedd election in a few days.

This is huge for them, they've never had anywhere near a 30% chance to win a national election which is just days away.

Have they got any welsh specific policies?
Has Farage been campaigning in Wales much?



Welsh Elections -- Which Party will win the most seats?        
6 Runners            £46,862 Matched   



              102.2%   97.6%             
Plaid Cymru    1.43 1.44 1.45   1.47   1.48   1.5   £29,398
        £2 £199 £44     £27 £763 £100  
Reform UK    3.15 3.2 3.25   3.45   3.5   3.7   £16,872
        £25 £5 £2     £7 £16 £5  
Liberal    130 200 220   800   -   -   £47
        £1 £6 £2     £1        
Green    60 160 180   1000   -   -   £74
        £1 £6 £2     £2        
Labour    65 70 75   290   430   970   £464
        £4 £4 £5     £1 £1 £2  
Conservative    540 560 610   -   -   -   £7
        £1 £2 £6              

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Replies: 82
By:
DancingBraveTheBest
When: 02 May 26 14:37
I sincerely hope soHappy
By:
yak hunt
When: 02 May 26 16:39
No possible chance.
By:
paulybad
When: 02 May 26 21:43
Unlikely Cons vote so decimated a reform / cons alliance won't get the numbers, e pect plaid to cobble together something with the greens or libs, sell their grannies to stop reform , but you never know anti labour sentiment here huge and the plaid mob have underperformed before.
By:
PorcupineorPineapple
When: 03 May 26 08:32
Hope so. We need two years of seeing them and testing them in office for the veil to drop.
By:
Cider
When: 03 May 26 09:07
Worked for labour in Westminster. Although, that was about two weeks to be fair.
By:
saddo
When: 03 May 26 11:56
Grin
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 03 May 26 12:06
Farage wants most seats and no power so he can whine and top
up his 5 million.

The refuk leader that farage lied about not knowing, in jail for treason, must be gutted he sold out for 5 figures.
By:
saddo
When: 03 May 26 12:10
And good bloke Starmer is clinging to power because....?
By:
Escapee
When: 03 May 26 12:31

And good bloke Starmer is clinging to power because....?


I'd guess one of the reasons he is able to cling on is he's not in jail for treason like that welsh reform leader.

By:
dpm
When: 03 May 26 12:36
Starmer the biggest traitor in the UK.
By:
Escapee
When: 03 May 26 12:45

Starmer the biggest traitor in the UK.


Is this just in your mind?
or do you have some logical reason?

By:
DancingBraveTheBest
When: 03 May 26 14:16
Look at Starmers manifesto promises and look at the current situation.....has traitor written all over it ffs......get to Specsavers
By:
Cider
When: 03 May 26 14:56
To form the next government of this great nation.

I want to thank the outgoing Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak.

His achievement as the first British Asian Prime Minister of our country…

The extra effort that will have required… 

Should not be underestimated by anyone.

We pay tribute to that today…

And we also recognise the dedication and hard work he brought to his leadership.

But now our country has voted, decisively…

For change. 

For national renewal.

And a return of politics to public service.

When the gap between the sacrifices made by people…

And the service they receive from politicians…

Grows this big.

It leads to a weariness in the heart of a nation. 

A draining away of the hope, the spirit, the belief in a better future…

That we need to move forward, together.

Now, this wound…

This lack of trust…

Can only be healed by actions not words…

I know that. 

But we can make a start today…

Happy
By:
DancingBraveTheBest
When: 03 May 26 14:57
Taxes on working people for starters.....up up and awayLaugh
By:
DancingBraveTheBest
When: 03 May 26 14:59
Smash the gangs......shud have said help the gangs and he would have kept a promiseLaugh
By:
Cider
When: 03 May 26 15:00
The very first part of his first speech, identity politics.

The exact thing being used to divide the country.

I think the rest of that excerpt is enough...
By:
DancingBraveTheBest
When: 03 May 26 15:03
Building the M4 relief road in South Wales a must.....if you have ever tried getting to or past Cardiff going West on any afternoon/evening always give yourself an extra hour plus for your journey......Reform promise to change this and boost the local economy. Liebour wasted over 150 million in consultation and planning the relief road then scrapped it at the last minute.....not their money to waste but did they careSad
By:
yak hunt
When: 03 May 26 15:04
How exactly are Reform going to change this road issue please?
By:
DancingBraveTheBest
When: 03 May 26 15:07
Look it up ffs
By:
yak hunt
When: 03 May 26 15:40
As part of a Community service initiative, perhaps they are going to get folks in jail, like Wales Reform leaders, to dig a new road?
By:
DancingBraveTheBest
When: 03 May 26 15:59
LaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh
By:
Cider
When: 03 May 26 16:15
not a bad idea, labour have already dug the hole.
By:
paulybad
When: 03 May 26 18:13
M4 relief should have been built years ago bypassing newport, it should be then taken overthw Severn on top of a hydro generating barrage on one of the biggest tides in the world, but the backward labour lot entrenched there never had the foresight or cajones to do it, wales is 20 years behind most of the UK.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 03 May 26 18:17
A social media post by prominent member of Reform UK Arron Banks was racist, a Welsh election candidate for the party has said.

James Evans said it was wrong and became the first Reform figure to call it racist.

Arron Banks, an outspoken supporter of the party, posted "Welsh lad?" on X in response to a Plaid Cymru video which was fronted by a black community organiser in Cardiff.

Banks hasn't responded to a request for comment but had said previously that it was a "joke" and Plaid Cymru had "lost their sense of humour".
By:
Early Morning Riser
When: 04 May 26 15:42
I wont be voting in Welsh election because i disagree with the new voting system being used. I dont want to vote for a party, i want to vote for individuals who i think will serve my community the best.
By:
yak hunt
When: 04 May 26 17:00
If you don't vote....
By:
Early Morning Riser
When: 05 May 26 19:19
And on top of that new voting system "not one canvasser have knocked my door or been around my area" so why should i vote for any party.
By:
Escapee
When: 05 May 26 23:55
Not one billionaire has given me £5 million so why should I vote for any party?
By:
paulybad
When: 06 May 26 09:34
Some value in most seats reform in wales, current polling 36 reform 37 plaid, but voters who do fancy reform as a protest rarely admit I when questioned so at the prices reform must be a bet.
By:
GLASGOWCALLING
When: 06 May 26 11:22
Not sure those that voted to ban greyhound racing will be happy, Nigel loves a bit of field sports. Happy
By:
Early Morning Riser
When: 07 May 26 19:59
Lots and lots of youngsters voting today, never seen so many going into my local polling station.
By:
saddo
When: 07 May 26 20:04
I'm guessing turnout may be high, first time I've voted in locals.
Could you have a bet on turnout?
By:
PorcupineorPineapple
When: 07 May 26 20:14
Guy in mine before said it was way down. Around 20% (this was around 5.30)
By:
Early Morning Riser
When: 07 May 26 20:33
They must be reform voters or they have been hypnotized.
By:
paulybad
When: 07 May 26 23:52
Guessing high turnout in wales i voted 8.30 pm still very busy, queues elswhere, bye Kier.
By:
sageform
When: 08 May 26 08:16
Much more likely to be Plaid Cymru who are rather to the left of Labour.
By:
paulybad
When: 08 May 26 08:42
Plaid, Reform, whoever Labour have not lost Wales in a 100 years, this will be the end of him.
By:
Early Morning Riser
When: 08 May 26 13:01
High turnouts for the Welsh elections in Wales, and it looks 99.99% sure that Plaid as the most seats, high stacks of plaid ballot papers.
    Clwyd: 51.39%
    Ceredigion Penfro: 55.2%
    Sir Gaerfyrddin: 55.97%
    Pontypridd Cynon Merthyr: 47.28%
    Casnewydd Islwyn: 47.8%
    Caerdydd Penarth: 56.72%

Reminder: Never in a devolved election has turnout been over 50% however that makes an average across Wales at the moment 52.39%
By:
Early Morning Riser
When: 08 May 26 13:04
Pontypridd Cynon Merthyr, overwhelming vote for Plaid.
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