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UK - Next General Election - Most Seats

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Replies: 53
By:
Escapee
When: 15 Aug 26 13:58
Reform were 3.5 on clacton by election day.

They upped their 2024 vote count by almost 1,000 in 2026 against a dustbin.

This is the safest reform seat in the country, and reform channeled pretty much every resource and activist
they had in the country into this by election.

The market has moved into 3.2 as a response to the victory.
I think it's moved the wrong way, 22k in their safest seat is not going to pan out to most seats in the next election IMHO.

I'm looking for a lay to back trade, as the market will inevitably soon drift to 4.0 as reality seeps back in.

G'luck if you're beting on this market.



UK - Next General Election -- Most Seats        
9 Runners            £3,361,485 Matched   



              97%   94.9%             
Labour    2.66 2.68 2.7   2.72   2.74   2.76   £861,566
        £201 £51 £154     £4 £9 £121  
Reform UK    3.1 3.15 3.2   3.25   3.3   3.35   £1,662,971
        £28 £73 £6     £313 £10 £215  
Conservatives    4.9 5 5.1   5.2   5.3   5.4   £319,989
        £25 £88 £81     £2 £69 £49  
Restore Britain    19 19.5 20   22   23   24   £220,489
        £107 £83 £30     £69 £24 £4  
Green Party    40 42 44   48   50   55   £233,503
        £20 £12 £33     £8 £28 £19  
Liberal Democrats    60 65 70   75   80   85   £43,479
        £58 £14 £23     £16 £12 £1  
Your Party    390 420 520   600   620   640   £8,435
        £2 £2 £3     £5 £4 £2  
Workers Party of Britain    900 910 1000   -   -   -   £2,306
        £2 £3 £13              
Advance UK    760 810 1000   -   -   -   £8,745
        £2 £3 £1              
By:
keyboard_line
When: 15 Aug 26 21:05
i think the next thing that happens here is reform goes back to fave
By:
yak hunt
When: 16 Aug 26 11:13
General Election Nowcast - 16/08/26:

LAB: 244 (-167) | 25.4% (82 Short)
RFM: 143 (+138) | 24.1%
CON: 96 (-25) | 19.6%
LDM: 73 (+1) | 10.5%
SNP: 43 (+34) | 2.7%
GRN: 13 (+9) | 10.5%
PLC: 12 (+8) | 1.3%
RES: 1 (+1) | 3.1%
Oth: 6 (+1) | 2.9%

https://electionmaps.uk/nowcast
By:
Escapee
When: 04 Sep 26 12:42

Escapee 15 Aug 26 13:58

Reform were 3.5 on clacton by election day.

They upped their 2024 vote count by almost 1,000 in 2026 against a dustbin.

This is the safest reform seat in the country, and reform channeled pretty much every resource and activist
they had in the country into this by election.

The market has moved into 3.2 as a response to the victory.
I think it's moved the wrong way, 22k in their safest seat is not going to pan out to most seats in the next election IMHO.

I'm looking for a lay to back trade, as the market will inevitably soon drift to 4.0 as reality seeps back in.

G'luck if you're beting on this market.


I got out of the lay to back trade for a tiny 0.1pt profit on friday because I figured the reform party conference would move the market against me and I would be able to get back in at a lower price the end of this week.


Instead of a victorious and motivating reform party conference, we get scandal and openly breaking election laws on video.Crazy


Is there is a way Reform can win most seats if they can't talk to the media because of all the questions they want to run a mile from?

By:
FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK
When: 04 Sep 26 15:34
To use a horse race terminology reform are sweating up in the padlocks
They need to get a grip
Tight up there act
them fence sitting votes types
Being smashed off with sledgehammer
Labour will be cooked when they 
budget comes out
There be better off calling
A general election for next month
By:
pandora1963
When: 04 Sep 26 15:35
You reckon?
By:
FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK
When: 04 Sep 26 15:36
Labour call election I think there scrap through
By:
keyboard_line
When: 17 Sep 26 04:57
theyll be favourites before christmas
By:
keyboard_line
When: 17 Sep 26 04:58
long before
By:
keyboard_line
When: 17 Sep 26 05:01
what kind of self respecting country would have it any other way
By:
keyboard_line
When: 17 Sep 26 05:05
*refuk
By:
keyboard_line
When: 17 Sep 26 05:09
solving politics worse than scotland, and weve solved it
By:
keyboard_line
When: 17 Sep 26 05:45
*weve solved it pretty badly
By:
keyboard_line
When: 17 Sep 26 05:47
depending on how you look at it, anyway, neither here nor there
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