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Cider
04 Feb 26 14:51
Joined:
Date Joined: 29 Aug 02
| Topic/replies: 19,639 | Blogger: Cider's blog


I watched PMQs for once.

It is genuinely embarrassing that this incoherent muppet is the political leader of the UK.

Labour has to get rid of this idiot. I'd make it around 1.2.
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Report Cider February 4, 2026 7:02 PM GMT
The establishment yet again doing what the establishment does so well....
Report saddo February 4, 2026 7:11 PM GMT
We should hope he staggers, on for a good few months yet.
Careful what you wish for.
Report Cider February 4, 2026 7:20 PM GMT
We can't suffer this fool for another 3 weeks, never mind 3 years.

Evidently it will be interesting to see who replaces him. But as far as the betting goes, I can't really see a plausible reason why he will be still putting us through it this time next year.
Report LoyalHoncho February 4, 2026 10:51 PM GMT
Agreed saddo.  I would love the guy to now resign but who does Labour have to replace him.  What part did McSweeney play in this tale of governmental ineptitude?
Report saddo February 4, 2026 10:54 PM GMT
We want lots of dirty factional infighting, not a swift resignation.
Report salmon spray February 5, 2026 11:21 AM GMT
Starmer has certainly been a disaster,but I think it's because he's not a natural politician.
He may well lie at times but he's not an habitual liar like Johnson,nor is he away with the fairies like Truss. He just doesn't seem to have the right political instincts to be a credible PM. Waking Mandelson during the daylight was always going to be a fiasco waiting to happen,whatever Starmer did or did not know about his ongoing relationship with Epstein.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- February 5, 2026 11:28 AM GMT
Fairly important attribute, that seemingly he doesn't have.
Report saddo February 5, 2026 11:44 AM GMT
Isn't it just Laugh.
The diehards will always find a reason to forgive.
Report saddo February 5, 2026 11:45 AM GMT
* Tories just the same, I warned LFC off all their leaders
but he wouldn't see the light.
Report Cider February 5, 2026 12:02 PM GMT
'Starmer not an habitual liar' Talking about being away with the fairies....
Report saddo February 5, 2026 12:07 PM GMT
He's a disaster because he shouldn't be a politician
He's a liar, but not a habitual one
It's still feasible that he was unaware of the full Mandelson/Epstein relationship

Grin
Report salmon spray February 5, 2026 12:15 PM GMT
Compared to Boris there is no way he's an habitual liar.
I don't think it's we labour voters ( possibly not next time in my case ) who are indulging in tribalpolitics on this thread,or indeed on this forum. Which is why I now very rarely post.
Report Cider February 5, 2026 12:19 PM GMT
It's demonstrably untrue. Nothing to do with Boris Johnson. If I had the inclination I'd be here listing them all out until Sunday.
Report Cider February 5, 2026 12:20 PM GMT
Like he literally got elected as Labour leader using a litany of lies.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- February 5, 2026 12:24 PM GMT
Compared to Johnson even farrage and mandleson might look honest

Hmmm, maybe not, but anybody else would
Report Cider February 5, 2026 12:24 PM GMT
Corbyn wasn't a friend Crazy I'm not having a pop salmon, but how anyone can conclude he isn't an habitual liar after the last few years of repeatedly, endlessly lying is beyond me.
Report saddo February 5, 2026 10:47 PM GMT
He's sorry, apparently, sorry sorry sorry................
What a whiny shell of a man we have running the country,
he's absolutely earned the right to be a laughing stock.
Report Cider February 5, 2026 11:01 PM GMT
Talking about Jenrick today, he'd be welcomed by a few on here Grin
Report LoyalHoncho February 6, 2026 12:19 AM GMT
Cider, Starmer has not just regularly lied he genuinely believes the lies he spouts.
True Cider, he jumped into his Reform suit too soon.  If he had waited and joined Labour he’d surely be P.M. by June.  Grin
Report unitedbiscuits February 6, 2026 8:56 AM GMT

Feb 5, 2026 -- 11:01PM, Cider wrote:


Talking about Jenrick today, he'd be welcomed by a few on here


I would love to see Jenrick contest another leadership contest so I could take Cider's money again.

Report Cider February 6, 2026 9:06 AM GMT
I was referring to Starmer's whataboutery, the old lefties still on here love a bit of whataboutery. It's unbelievably lame from a weak man. It doesn't help him either that most normal people know that what Jenrick said about his visit to a part of Brum is accurate...
Report LoyalHoncho February 6, 2026 1:58 PM GMT
Biscuits the donut.
Report impossible123 February 6, 2026 2:02 PM GMT
2026. I think he'll resign. He now knows he's not cut-out to be PM. The job was beyond him.
Report LoyalHoncho February 6, 2026 2:57 PM GMT
I agree imp.
Report saddo February 6, 2026 3:03 PM GMT
Not until he's told to 'resign' imo. He will be hounded about his personal life
once he's lost the protection of office. Woe, woe and thrice woe.
Report impossible123 February 8, 2026 10:42 PM GMT
..."personal life"... You'd not be referring to LGBT association, would you?
Report LoyalHoncho February 8, 2026 11:15 PM GMT
Trying to insinuate like that imp is not good forum practice.  Please don’t go down that road - one lapsy pa is enough.
Report Cider February 9, 2026 3:15 PM GMT
Touched 1.14 this afternoon, faster than I anticipated !
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- February 9, 2026 3:19 PM GMT
Clearly



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Cider

Cider
13 Nov 25 15:07
Joined: 29 Aug 02
| Topic/replies: 67,218 | Blogger: Cider's blog
We know the budget is going to be toxic, but not how toxic.

However, the sequence of events that would lead to a new permanent PM being in place before Xmas is a very long shot. Certainly longer than the current odds.

Even if Rachel from accounts is forced to jump, Starmer will retain the nominal support of sly, itv and auntie. Which is why I could not even back next year on this market. It's quite possible he will be propped up, albeit he's already mortally wounded, before the budget.
Report Escapee February 9, 2026 4:16 PM GMT

Touched 1.14 this afternoon, faster than I anticipated !


It's been a volatile afternoon Cool


UK - Party Leaders -- Year Keir Starmer replaced as Labour Leader        
4 Runners            £371,857 Matched   



              107%   95.5%             
2026    1.29 1.3 1.31   1.32   1.33   1.36   £309,993
        £50 £1,006 £13     £2 £426 £4  
2027    4.6 5.7 6.2   10   11   17.5   £14,535
        £163 £250 £54     £20 £1 £1  
2028    11 13 13.5   18   24   27   £10,454
        £22 £25 £18     £7 £6 £2  
2029 or later    7.6 7.8 14   24   25   34   £36,875
        £90 £81 £20     £5 £4 £10  
Report Cider February 9, 2026 4:52 PM GMT
His fate is sealed for me but makes logical sense for the carnage in May, and a 17th reset after the summer break. But who knows how long the Mandy stuff will be supressed for.
Report Escapee February 9, 2026 5:03 PM GMT
Will the Epstein files bring down a British Prime Minister?

I'm betting: Not before April Fools day Laugh
Report Escapee February 9, 2026 5:05 PM GMT
UK - Party Leaders -- Month Keir Starmer replaced as Labour Leader        
5 Runners            £11,959 Matched   



                  110.9%   94.9%             
-£127.27 January-March 2026    7.2 7.4 7.6   9.2   10   10.5   £6,993
        £176 £91 £33     £10 £5 £10  
£27.07 April-June 2026    2.48 2.5 2.52   2.54   2.56   2.66   £2,087
        £8 £308 £20     £3 £62 £3  
£27.07 July-September 2026    3.65 3.7 3.75   4.7   4.8   4.9   £1,494
        £13 £9 £2     £21 £141 £16  
£27.07 October-December  2026    13.5 17 17.5   34   36   38   £64
        £5 £2 £4     £10 £10 £33  
£27.07 2027 or later    3.7 3.85 3.9   4.9   5   5.4   £1,321
        £40 £22 £22     £9 £28 £1  


UK - Party Leaders -- Starmer Replaced by April 1st 2026?        
2 Runners            £46,111 Matched   



                  103.4%   97.2%             
£ Yes    7.6 7.8 8   10.5   11   11.5   £13,065
        £7 £109 £8     £11 £48 £2  
£18 No       1.08 1.09 1.1   1.14   1.15   1.22   £33,046
        £58 £1,103 £580     £8 £836 £645  
Report impossible123 February 11, 2026 8:38 AM GMT
He's a goner for sure. The $64k question is who'd be a suitable and logical replacement? I'm struggling to name one.
Mr Streeting is ambitious, is he able though? He's a newbie to politics too. To replace a dud with another is no better than maintaining a dud already in position. At least this dud is "liked" by potus which cannot be said about the majority of the other world leaders including the French frog or EU President.
Report PorcupineorPineapple February 11, 2026 10:49 AM GMT
I'm more on the side of him staying now. Removing a Labour leader is much more difficult than a Tory one, and it seems like the appetite for either Rayner or Streeting just isn't there. Devil you know and all that. If they'd let Burnham run it'd be a different story but I think the party are gonna try and ride this out.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- February 11, 2026 11:15 AM GMT
I'd think Burnhams position is stronger than ever.
Report the old nanny ;-) February 11, 2026 1:46 PM GMT
I am sure some of the Enablers on here were talking about 10 year Keir at some stage ?
Report impossible123 February 11, 2026 1:53 PM GMT
It's such a shame UK Plc has been lacking managerial leaders ever since Mrs Thatcher. Mr John Smith was never able to jump onto the hot seat as a result of fate; Mr Corbyn is a political career gravy-trainer and un-electable and moronic.

The posh boys despite their knockers seemed to have done a decent job between them. This cannot be said for Sir Shameless and Ms Reeves. However, I think one thing is almost certain. When Sir Shameless goes, Ms Reeves will go too. Ms Reeves will never be a leader or PM of UK Plc.
Report DIE LINKE February 11, 2026 5:22 PM GMT
Ride what out PoP? The bye-election defeat? The May election massacre? Utter delusion.
Report the old nanny ;-) February 11, 2026 5:29 PM GMT
Ed Davey ripped Starmer apart in the house ,said he has appointed twpo wqrong uns not one , who is referring to ?

Poor old Keir desperation is all he has left
Report the old nanny ;-) February 11, 2026 5:32 PM GMT
I have never seen Ed like that,  the look he gave starmer was a lethal Plain
Report the old nanny ;-) February 11, 2026 5:34 PM GMT
Was a look of Disgust , Starmer retorted with the usual Pony , Ed said, touched a nerve have I ? dear me , Brutal
Report the old nanny ;-) February 11, 2026 5:44 PM GMT
Dundee Steve ripped into him as well Grin

Mathew Doyle is the man in question ,what a shambolic state of affairs , RESIGN  what is he waiting for ?
Report the old nanny ;-) February 11, 2026 5:48 PM GMT
Kemi has also put the boot in again , this is Just getting silly  , If he wont go someone needs to go to the King we need a GE , the country can not be run by this man
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- February 11, 2026 6:05 PM GMT
Nowt the king can do you idiot.
Report saddo February 11, 2026 6:43 PM GMT
Royal family have got bigger problems than the state of the nation.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- February 11, 2026 7:16 PM GMT
Even if they were not in epstein files with epstein, Trump, spaffer
and farrage, there is absolutely nowt they can do about starmer
and indeed any government in UK.
Report Stringvest February 11, 2026 7:19 PM GMT
F I L T H
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- February 11, 2026 8:03 PM GMT
It's a thread about dave

Ffs there are some thickies on here.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- February 11, 2026 8:04 PM GMT
Lol, I'm a thickie now, wrong thread, muppet.
Report the old nanny ;-) February 11, 2026 10:24 PM GMT
What if the PM was mentally unfit ? whats the rules on that , coz starmer  showing all the signs of struggling mentally ,what would happen then if he refused to go ? and Labour who would lose everything

Done nowt ?
Report Busyfool February 11, 2026 11:34 PM GMT
he could do what your hero putin did and make himself president for life. no doubt youd like that

we seem to have the wrong kia. at least the other one deals with those he deems incompetent. keir capitualtes every time the d1ckheads that infest his party kick up a fuss. they should never be listened to. they know nothing and are bred from councils and trade unions and are clueless about the real world and hostile to business

theeves has piled pressure onto everyone, despite her 'growth' mantra. what a sick joke that is. my dear friend m has pulled out of buying 2 pubs because the costs are too great and his backers have backed out

the fact that david dummy and horrible hag rayner are anywhere near power is an indictment of labour. they are there because of what they are, not what they are capable of
even labour chums cannot come up with a single positive act from this hopeless shower

and we also have ministers for gaza. triffik. im sure their constituents are thrilled. iran has been causing havoc for 40 years, and is possibly the nastiest regime in the world, and without it the present disaster in gaza is unlikely to have happened. but wanchors on the left are silent, and some even supportive. thats how stoopid these liars are, its all about israel

islamofascism and left wing politics make for bizzare bedfellows but thats the reality of the denial of phoney liberals who simply dont care and abandon all progressive notions and pricnciples


one thing i will give kia-he is not a lover of the neo-hitler in the kremlin
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- February 11, 2026 11:45 PM GMT
He would be replaced as leader of labour party and
if necessary a vote of no confidence in Parliament,
but Labour can replace him without confidence vote.

Labour would find a new leader, and a new vote of confidence would
be called in parliament.If a no confidence motion is passed
they have 14 days to select leader and pass motion.

New leader would then go to Charles and tell him that
he needs to ask him to form a new government.


any MP can propose a motion of no confidence but, convention is that if the leader of the opposition asks for a motion of no confidence, the government acts to facilitate a debate followed
by a vote in which a majority of 1 or more triggers
the 14 day period to form new government, passes a new confidence vote, or else a general
election is triggered.
Report the old nanny ;-) February 12, 2026 12:24 AM GMT
Poor old Mitlol Brain fizzled again ,I only read the first line

Some breaking news : That chap who bought Starmers Mrs new underware,  Done a bit of Partying with Epstien .The one and only Lord Ali
Report the old nanny ;-) February 12, 2026 12:30 AM GMT
Seemed Ali had no Issues with Epstien in 2010 attending Dinner parties ETC , Epstien had already been convicted of offences

This is just crazy , is there anyone not involved with this man
Report Busyfool February 12, 2026 12:38 AM GMT
thats because anything that confronts your dishonesty and ignorance makes you uncomfortable. so you duck it

you say you have your opinion and i have mine but mine is out there and yours is not. because you are frightened or ashamed. dont be. you like fascist dictators. own it

unpopular opinions are fine imo, dishonesty less so

me brain not fizzled at all, didnt get up until about 3pm. and even when it is, its light years in front of yours. i have freedom of conscience. you know only what putins propaganda machine puts into your empty melon
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- February 12, 2026 12:39 AM GMT
And epstein files show spaffer, farage, and Rees mugg conspiring
with foreign agents to kick may out of office.

Thats a biggy too,.. Treason.
Report Cider February 12, 2026 12:49 AM GMT
In another email from May 2012, Epstein mentions to a friend that Mandelson and Lord Alli were staying at Shelter Island in the Hamptons, the exclusive summer playground for America's elite.

Epstein, in an exchange with businesswoman Jennie Enterprise, containing multiple grammatical and spelling errors, asks: 'are you on shelter island.'

Ms Enterprise: 'Yes… U close?' He then emails back: 'no my fined peter mandel son , former dep prime minister engalnd' gay is with another black gay , walid , currently on shelter island.'

'Walid' is understood to be a reference to Lord Alli who was the first openly gay member of the House of Lords when he was ennobled in 1998 by Tony Blair.

He bought a substantial Shelter Island property in 2016 before selling it and buying another in 2020, which is now on sale for £13 million.


LaughLaugh
Report Busyfool February 12, 2026 1:02 AM GMT
i find this obsession tiresome and a distraction

if you want real corruption and extreme nastiness it is everywher but only this squalid case gets the airtime. i hate it but know theres a lot worse out there and the fascination leaves me cold

hes hovis. good. compared to other places, this wouldnt see the light of day. only in the u.s. never in china or russia or..
Report Cider February 12, 2026 1:05 AM GMT
It's extremely hilarious. I guess the only thing we have left is contemptuous laughter. I can't take these idiots seriously.
Report the old nanny ;-) February 12, 2026 1:21 AM GMT
The Lord denies meeting Jeffrey

Mitolo wtaf are you going on about ?  if you are referring to the Ukraine war that is done and dusted with me , I said there was mass fraud  a long time back , There was and for all I know still is .

I could not give a lying about Putin or Zalensky , I cannot do anything to stop the war , If you think I am supporting Zalensky think again ,I shall leave that to you

as for Putin he is a Gangster , I feel sorry for people on both sides who have died , END OF

I believe there are posters of Stefan on sale , perhaps get one and Jog On ..
Report Busyfool February 12, 2026 1:38 AM GMT
backtracking

youd never heard of bandera until putin stuck it out there for you

no point feeling sorry for those dead. bit late for them

what you could have done is deplore large-scale war brought back to europe by a fascist dictator

but you didnt. you blamed nato, not the evil brute who started it

you dont like zelensky you say. what if you thought he was a great geezer, would you have a different opinion of the war?

irrelevant bollox from a massive idiot and fool and liar

you want to remove yourself from any discussion because you are embarrassed about previous tripe and know you are on the wrong side
Report the old nanny ;-) February 12, 2026 1:47 PM GMT
I said there was mass Corruption in Ukraine Mitolo , stop piishing your pants about it,have another Drink FFS

As for Ukraine and assisting Hitler running death camps , that is well documented 

They put their own people in work camps ,Those who didnt agree with Bandera and his merry men

Read up on a bit of history Mitlo , and have another Drink

BTW we are sending another half a billion over to Team Zalensky that should cheer you up , crack another bottle open Grin
Report Cider May 11, 2026 6:17 PM BST
wobbling
Report saddo May 11, 2026 6:48 PM BST
They'd risk losing a very safe seat if someone steps aside for Burnham,
and they would almost guarantee losing the Manchester Mayor gig.
Let's get Angie in,  the tax affairs won't amount to much.
Report Cider May 11, 2026 6:59 PM BST
I don't see it myself, the GBP don't like being taken for granted, and have a habit of handing someone a reality check when it is deserved.
Report lapsy pa May 11, 2026 7:08 PM BST
Rayner resigned over her breaking the ministerial code, the starting point with any politician is being ethical,she should be shunned from the party and so should anyone else who isn't ethical.
Report saddo May 11, 2026 7:18 PM BST
We've had ex terrorists as MPs, a bit of a tax fiddle is
nowt compared to that.
Report Cider May 11, 2026 7:23 PM BST
Her issue is the unashamed hypocrisy, the socialist red queen piling up properties and evading tax. Not in small part by raiding her son's compo.
Report lapsy pa May 11, 2026 7:29 PM BST
Sinn Fein don't get paid by UK/Westminster while she did handsomely and still not willing to pay her dues,not good enough,it is basically unethical against your employer.

Serve the country and not yourself
Report saddo May 11, 2026 7:34 PM BST
You'll wait a long time for a PM without self interest.
Report lapsy pa May 11, 2026 7:47 PM BST
I honestly think you have one now unless you can persuade me otherwise.
Report saddo May 11, 2026 7:58 PM BST
We could do with someone who thinks more of the UK
than he does the EU and WEF though.
Report lapsy pa May 11, 2026 8:10 PM BST
He is probably right with thinking the UKs best interest is a close relationship with the EU,maybe even more so today. You can talk all billybigbollix like johnson and others but in practice it isn't feasible and was shown.
Report Cider May 11, 2026 8:32 PM BST
Germany's expected growth rate for 2026 is projected to be between 1.4% and 1.5%. Goldman Sachs forecasts a growth of 1.4%, while the Ifo Institute and other sources predict a growth of 1.5%.

France’s economy is projected to grow by approximately 0.9% in 2026, with quarterly growth moderating to 0.2% in the first half of the year.
Annual Growth Outlook (European Commission, 2026).


righty ho
Report Cider May 11, 2026 8:35 PM BST
Approximately 3.6 trillion USD
France National Debt
France's national debt is a significant concern, with a debt-to-GDP ratio of 115.16% as of 2024. This means that France's total debt is approximately 3.6 trillion USD, which is a substantial portion of the country's economy.

€2.69 trillion
Germany National Debt
Germany's national debt has seen fluctuations over the years, with the most recent increase in 2024. The general government debt rose by €57 billion, bringing the total to €2.69 trillion. This increase was primarily due to the central government's borrowing, which included repayments on assistance loans granted during the coronavirus pandemic and to support the energy sector. The debt ratio, which is the ratio of debt to nominal GDP, fell by 0.4 percentage point to 62.5%. This decrease was offset by the nominal GDP growth, which reduced the debt ratio by 1.8 percentage points.
debtclock.io


Plain
Report lapsy pa May 11, 2026 8:54 PM BST
Given those two countries bad economic performances Cider are you saying that it isn't Starmers fault the UK is up the creek too?
Report Cider May 11, 2026 9:15 PM BST
He is probably right with thinking the UKs best interest is a close relationship with the EU

the actual evidence suggests otherwise.
Report lapsy pa May 11, 2026 9:27 PM BST
I take it you are saying both Starmer is actually doing an ok job in relation to similar European countries and it would have been a lot,lot better if the OBR brexit losses are even half correct?
Report impossible123 May 11, 2026 9:29 PM BST
So far 70 MPs have called upon him to resign. Another 11 are needed for a motion unless Cabinet ministers tell him to resign.
Report Cider May 11, 2026 9:33 PM BST
Nothing to do with Starmer. You are claiming that a close relationship with the EU is in our best interest. But the EU is failing. If you've got the flu, the answer isn't jumping off the nearest bridge.
Report lapsy pa May 11, 2026 9:41 PM BST
Source,the independent,the eye watering fee being lost each year due to brexit.

1/ £90 billion a year in lost tax revenue

2/ Average briton worse off by £2700-£3700 per annum in terms of GDP per head

3/GDP 6-8% smaller due to leaving the EU.

Okay you saved £12 billion per annum.

You would of course castigate him under any circumstance but without the above you have proven he is doing okay with your example Cider.
Report Cider May 11, 2026 9:47 PM BST
The independent is the exact opposite. All those figures are bow locks.

And as I posted last night, the average Scot is annually £3K better off than then average Brit, due to 'wealth redistribution'. We'd only need to put a stop to that nonsense, job done.
Report the old nanny ;-) May 11, 2026 9:52 PM BST
Germany are in the EU , I heard they are potless ?
Report the old nanny ;-) May 11, 2026 9:54 PM BST
Hes Toast IMP  , HOC reopens Wednesday if 70 today will be over 100 By wednesday
Report the old nanny ;-) May 11, 2026 9:56 PM BST
1.16 TIMBER
Report Cider May 11, 2026 9:58 PM BST
GDP growth 2024 (I just picked a random post brexit year not distorted by lockdowns.

Report the old nanny ;-) May 11, 2026 9:58 PM BST
No more Riding up front in the Jeep with his mate Manny Laugh
Report the old nanny ;-) May 11, 2026 9:59 PM BST
Yes I heard things were not fairing too well for the Powerhouse of Europe
Report Cider May 11, 2026 9:59 PM BST
the level of gaslighting is high, I'll give them that. I suppose they rely on people believing them like sheep.
Report Cider May 11, 2026 10:05 PM BST
Home sec reported to be pulling the plug
Report the old nanny ;-) May 11, 2026 10:10 PM BST
They will have to Drag him out with his Suitcases Laugh
Report Cider May 11, 2026 10:13 PM BST
He has the full support of mastermind. He's toast.
Report impossible123 May 12, 2026 6:02 PM BST
The Parliamentary friends of the main PM contender are riding shotgun for prime position but do not want their leader to pace-set for others to come through and collect the main prize. In the meantime the useless git is still in office at the country's expense.

Sir Shameless will be remembered for "I'll stop the boats".
Report Solmyr May 12, 2026 6:21 PM BST
I don't get why the odds for new leader April-June are as low as they are. Surely that's now virtually impossible with recess + long election process to come.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- May 12, 2026 6:32 PM BST
Yeah, shall be bring back the Theresa may thread, lol.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- May 12, 2026 6:33 PM BST
Shall we
Report Cider June 21, 2026 3:58 PM BST
Report the old nanny ;-) June 21, 2026 4:31 PM BST
Grin
Report the old nanny ;-) June 21, 2026 4:32 PM BST
All over bar the Shouting ,which will be Starmer as he is Carted out
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