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Cider
04 Feb 26 14:51
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Date Joined: 29 Aug 02
| Topic/replies: 69,412 | Blogger: Cider's blog


I watched PMQs for once.

It is genuinely embarrassing that this incoherent muppet is the political leader of the UK.

Labour has to get rid of this idiot. I'd make it around 1.2.

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Replies: 108
By:
Cider
When: 04 Feb 26 14:53
Any layers of 2026 about ?
By:
PorcupineorPineapple
When: 04 Feb 26 15:09
Odds feel about right to me. If they'd allowed Burnham to stand they'd have had their replacement ready-made and he'd probably be gone by next month but the MP's will now be tossing up whose next and what will they do. Never forget they love a bit of infighting about direction so that won't be straight forward.
By:
Cider
When: 04 Feb 26 15:21
Which stakeholders would you say have the most influence over party matters? If it's still the unions then I can't see how he survives. Backers have multiple bites of the cherry, even if they let him get past this (after what he has already admitted to), May will be a wipe out including losing Wales for the first time. The new(ish) Labour MPs will want some chance of keeping their jobs.

That there doesn't appear to be an appropriate successor is probably the only hope that layers have.
By:
PorcupineorPineapple
When: 04 Feb 26 15:34
Binning McSweeney might buy him some time, especially if it was allied to bringing Rayner back into the fold and moving to a more traditional Labour viewpoint. But it still feels like he's only marking time.
By:
PorcupineorPineapple
When: 04 Feb 26 15:50
That said, it's equally the case that he could be out by this evening. Politics is febrile in the last decade or so. The likes of Thatcher's drawn out upturning are from a different era. Mandelson could be the convenient scapegoat to get rid now and look to re-shape going into May. Odds have drifted out seven spots since my first post so - for me - it's one to get the popcorn out and watch from the sidelines.
By:
Cider
When: 04 Feb 26 15:57
That may well be true, Starmer today admitted to appointing Mandy as US ambassador even though he knew he had strong associations with a convicted paedo. Ordinarily that alone would end a PM.

I saw somewhere that Starmer made this the first political appointment to that position in 50 years. So he can't pin it on anyone else this time. He seems to gave been relying on Mandy denying what the vetting threw up Crazy And the vetting of his own team, who coincidentally were pushing for Mandy to get the role.
By:
Cider
When: 04 Feb 26 15:58
I suspect the relevant phrase is boxed in.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 04 Feb 26 16:23
During Starmers official trip to USA last year, he had an 'off the books' meeting with Palantir, not listed on any published diary, orchestrated by the man with close links to Palantir, Mandelson, and subsequently Palantir were awarded a £240m contract.... not a British company
By:
Cider
When: 04 Feb 26 19:02
The establishment yet again doing what the establishment does so well....
By:
saddo
When: 04 Feb 26 19:11
We should hope he staggers, on for a good few months yet.
Careful what you wish for.
By:
Cider
When: 04 Feb 26 19:20
We can't suffer this fool for another 3 weeks, never mind 3 years.

Evidently it will be interesting to see who replaces him. But as far as the betting goes, I can't really see a plausible reason why he will be still putting us through it this time next year.
By:
LoyalHoncho
When: 04 Feb 26 22:51
Agreed saddo.  I would love the guy to now resign but who does Labour have to replace him.  What part did McSweeney play in this tale of governmental ineptitude?
By:
saddo
When: 04 Feb 26 22:54
We want lots of dirty factional infighting, not a swift resignation.
By:
salmon spray
When: 05 Feb 26 11:21
Starmer has certainly been a disaster,but I think it's because he's not a natural politician.
He may well lie at times but he's not an habitual liar like Johnson,nor is he away with the fairies like Truss. He just doesn't seem to have the right political instincts to be a credible PM. Waking Mandelson during the daylight was always going to be a fiasco waiting to happen,whatever Starmer did or did not know about his ongoing relationship with Epstein.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 05 Feb 26 11:28
Fairly important attribute, that seemingly he doesn't have.
By:
saddo
When: 05 Feb 26 11:44
Isn't it just Laugh.
The diehards will always find a reason to forgive.
By:
saddo
When: 05 Feb 26 11:45
* Tories just the same, I warned LFC off all their leaders
but he wouldn't see the light.
By:
Cider
When: 05 Feb 26 12:02
'Starmer not an habitual liar' Talking about being away with the fairies....
By:
saddo
When: 05 Feb 26 12:07
He's a disaster because he shouldn't be a politician
He's a liar, but not a habitual one
It's still feasible that he was unaware of the full Mandelson/Epstein relationship

Grin
By:
salmon spray
When: 05 Feb 26 12:15
Compared to Boris there is no way he's an habitual liar.
I don't think it's we labour voters ( possibly not next time in my case ) who are indulging in tribalpolitics on this thread,or indeed on this forum. Which is why I now very rarely post.
By:
Cider
When: 05 Feb 26 12:19
It's demonstrably untrue. Nothing to do with Boris Johnson. If I had the inclination I'd be here listing them all out until Sunday.
By:
Cider
When: 05 Feb 26 12:20
Like he literally got elected as Labour leader using a litany of lies.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 05 Feb 26 12:24
Compared to Johnson even farrage and mandleson might look honest

Hmmm, maybe not, but anybody else would
By:
Cider
When: 05 Feb 26 12:24
Corbyn wasn't a friend Crazy I'm not having a pop salmon, but how anyone can conclude he isn't an habitual liar after the last few years of repeatedly, endlessly lying is beyond me.
By:
saddo
When: 05 Feb 26 22:47
He's sorry, apparently, sorry sorry sorry................
What a whiny shell of a man we have running the country,
he's absolutely earned the right to be a laughing stock.
By:
Cider
When: 05 Feb 26 23:01
Talking about Jenrick today, he'd be welcomed by a few on here Grin
By:
LoyalHoncho
When: 06 Feb 26 00:19
Cider, Starmer has not just regularly lied he genuinely believes the lies he spouts.
True Cider, he jumped into his Reform suit too soon.  If he had waited and joined Labour he’d surely be P.M. by June.  Grin
By:
unitedbiscuits
When: 06 Feb 26 08:56

Feb 5, 2026 -- 11:01PM, Cider wrote:


Talking about Jenrick today, he'd be welcomed by a few on here


I would love to see Jenrick contest another leadership contest so I could take Cider's money again.

By:
Cider
When: 06 Feb 26 09:06
I was referring to Starmer's whataboutery, the old lefties still on here love a bit of whataboutery. It's unbelievably lame from a weak man. It doesn't help him either that most normal people know that what Jenrick said about his visit to a part of Brum is accurate...
By:
LoyalHoncho
When: 06 Feb 26 13:58
Biscuits the donut.
By:
impossible123
When: 06 Feb 26 14:02
2026. I think he'll resign. He now knows he's not cut-out to be PM. The job was beyond him.
By:
LoyalHoncho
When: 06 Feb 26 14:57
I agree imp.
By:
saddo
When: 06 Feb 26 15:03
Not until he's told to 'resign' imo. He will be hounded about his personal life
once he's lost the protection of office. Woe, woe and thrice woe.
By:
impossible123
When: 08 Feb 26 22:42
..."personal life"... You'd not be referring to LGBT association, would you?
By:
LoyalHoncho
When: 08 Feb 26 23:15
Trying to insinuate like that imp is not good forum practice.  Please don’t go down that road - one lapsy pa is enough.
By:
Cider
When: 09 Feb 26 15:15
Touched 1.14 this afternoon, faster than I anticipated !
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 09 Feb 26 15:19
Clearly



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Cider

Cider
13 Nov 25 15:07
Joined: 29 Aug 02
| Topic/replies: 67,218 | Blogger: Cider's blog
We know the budget is going to be toxic, but not how toxic.

However, the sequence of events that would lead to a new permanent PM being in place before Xmas is a very long shot. Certainly longer than the current odds.

Even if Rachel from accounts is forced to jump, Starmer will retain the nominal support of sly, itv and auntie. Which is why I could not even back next year on this market. It's quite possible he will be propped up, albeit he's already mortally wounded, before the budget.
By:
Escapee
When: 09 Feb 26 16:16

Touched 1.14 this afternoon, faster than I anticipated !


It's been a volatile afternoon Cool


UK - Party Leaders -- Year Keir Starmer replaced as Labour Leader        
4 Runners            £371,857 Matched   



              107%   95.5%             
2026    1.29 1.3 1.31   1.32   1.33   1.36   £309,993
        £50 £1,006 £13     £2 £426 £4  
2027    4.6 5.7 6.2   10   11   17.5   £14,535
        £163 £250 £54     £20 £1 £1  
2028    11 13 13.5   18   24   27   £10,454
        £22 £25 £18     £7 £6 £2  
2029 or later    7.6 7.8 14   24   25   34   £36,875
        £90 £81 £20     £5 £4 £10  
By:
Cider
When: 09 Feb 26 16:52
His fate is sealed for me but makes logical sense for the carnage in May, and a 17th reset after the summer break. But who knows how long the Mandy stuff will be supressed for.
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