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2024 UK GENERAL ELECTION PREDICTION THREAD
2024 UK GENERAL ELECTION PREDICTION THREAD
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Another prediction is Prime Minister Starmer will be generous and gracious toward defeated Rish Sunak in his victory speech because he recognizes Rishi Sunak is not actaully a bad person like say Boris Johnson is a bad person.
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Sorry Jolly, I did indeed mean labour MPs.
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402 labour
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labour 400
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The final MRP projection by
@Survation Labour on Course to Win 484 seats. The Conservatives and Liberal Democrats are in a close race to form the official opposition. Probabilistic seat count: LAB 484 CON 64 LD 61 SNP 10 RFM 7 PC 3 GRN 3 34,558 interviews conducted online and on the telephone |
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NEW MRP: Labour 99% Certain To Win More Seats Than in 1997
Labour on Course to Win 484 seats. The Conservatives and Liberal Democrats are in a close race to form the official opposition. Probabilistic seat count: LAB 484 CON 64 LD 61 SNP 10 RFM 7 PC 3 GRN 3 |
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Final YouGov MRP shows Labour on course for historic election victory
Labour: 431 (+229 from GE2019 result) Con: 102 (-263) Lib Dem: 72 (+61) SNP: 18 (-30) Reform UK: 3 (+3) Plaid: 3 (-1) Green: 2 (+1) |
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with a day to go we have the following, all for labour
jolly 365 LeeHoFooks 352 SirNorbertClarke 420 yak hunt 435 youhavetolaugh 370 hologon 405 AT 399 charlie 406 xmoneyx 320 lapsy pa 393 dotchinite 500 foinavon 377 glow worm 402 keyboard_line 400 |
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5 major polling companies
highest labour 484 lowest labour 430 highest tory 126 lowest tory 64 |
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Labour 457
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Labour 388
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Labour 402.
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Labour 406.
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John curtice locked in a room
knows the result by 2pm  |
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five hours to go.
all going for labour as biggest party jolly 365 LeeHoFooks 352 SirNorbertClarke 420 yak hunt 435 youhavetolaugh 370 hologon 405 AT 399 charlie 406 xmoneyx 320 lapsy pa 393 dotchinite 500 foinavon 377 glow worm 402 keyboard_line 400 martink 457 pleasegivemeanaildontip 388 salmon spray 402 fife 406 |
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ttt
jolly use this thread to post results & rumours after 10pm ? |
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if you want xmoneyx although someone might start an in-running thread.
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ok
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Labour 446
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declaration times
anyone want to know declaration time of own seat - just ask I will post it |
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aberdeen north
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Aberdeen North 3am
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ok, if still conscious will probably be in a shape, what about clacton?
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Clacton 4am
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scotland seat declarations
1am: 3 seats 2am: 8 3am: 23 4am: 16 5am: 6 6am: 1 |
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Labour 419
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polling stations in scotland have been busy
not sure if it favours labour or snp  |
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my polling station was dead when i went in about 5, asked the person if it has been busy, suppose they cant give much away, just said, oh its up and down
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i would guess lower turnout favours snp up here, dunno
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401 labour
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Nicola looks mega embarrassed on ITV
must know the result scotland |
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time is up, thank you everybody
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SNP BLOODBATH
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final entries all for labour
jolly 365 LeeHoFooks 352 SirNorbertClarke 420 yak hunt 435 youhavetolaugh 370 hologon 405 AT 399 charlie 406 xmoneyx 320 lapsy pa 393 dotchinite 500 foinavon 377 glow worm 402 keyboard_line 400 martink 457 pleasegivemeanaildontip 388 salmon spray 402 fife 406 hayden 446 drumard 419 the dragon 401 |
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fife, Charlie - good one!
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reform must beat labour MPs looking at prediction
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Exit poll suggests Reform is set to win Hartlepool
that will shut mandleson up |
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George Galloway is set to lose his Rochdale seat to Labour
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Peter Smith on ITV says the SNP are telling him they're not even certain of holding Dundee Central, their safest seat.
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