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peckerdunne
20 Sep 23 15:05
Joined:
Date Joined: 26 Apr 12
| Topic/replies: 47,197 | Blogger: peckerdunne's blog
The place is ramped, ta se buzzing mor.

A couple at fancy prices

16.25.   Stumptown  20\1 on here possibly

            Desertmore House ( reserve,Brassil) 25\1
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Report peckerdunne November 19, 2023 11:57 AM GMT
Still going through card.


12" 45 Bayou Belle 22\1 p!us ???   5 places 



Ok I could be wrong here but I'll take the chance at prices.

Looks like they had this in mind, very difficult first handicap run.

Will have to stay well here and on heavy ground.

Caught on the run in soft Killbeggan 2m race with the rest strung out.

Was done for speed but I think not stamina, off course this will be truly run.

So if not too heavy, if stamina holds, and up in class a bit, ha I'll take 25s or so.
Report peckerdunne November 19, 2023 11:58 AM GMT
Downpatrick*
Report peckerdunne November 19, 2023 12:55 PM GMT
I backed that at 40\1 and 6\1 , was in the places over the last, tired, great shout in defeat really.
Report peckerdunne November 19, 2023 12:56 PM GMT
Well set in here at Navan.

Put up Troytown in 5
Report lapsy pa November 19, 2023 12:58 PM GMT
^ Ran well and looked as if it could possibly win between the last 2, didn't get home,  7th i think. Better ground on an easy 2 miles,maybe Thurles or Clonmel in another poor race could get a win.
Report peckerdunne November 19, 2023 1:08 PM GMT
I'm very tough race Troytown, I have a good record in it tho, put up last year's winner on here.

Hollow Games  8\1.

3rd in Galway plate, was out asleep finished very well from off the pace a touch. Heavy, extra half mile will suit, put away for this, surely.

Largy Debut 12\1

2nd in Munster National soft, Travelled well in dcent field, caught on run in for speed, will be heavier ground today, " might help"

Fakir Dalene 50\1 

hard to get this lad right, will like ground and trip, off 19 months, low weight.
Report peckerdunne November 19, 2023 1:08 PM GMT
Good luck, have fun.
Report shiny new shoes please November 19, 2023 1:09 PM GMT
Macs Charm e\w
Largy Debut if bigger price
Gl
Report peckerdunne November 19, 2023 2:43 PM GMT
50\1 3rd   

A mighty run off the front, I can tell you my heart was actually thumping there. Laugh

Small bbbbboooooommmmmmmmmm

Turned a profit on the race, which is what it's about.


Other tell at first too, could easily have had winner instead, same formline, ha that's racing
Report peckerdunne November 19, 2023 2:49 PM GMT
SP was 28\1  1\4 the odds, so even at that you double your money.

Win win e\w  4 units  7\1 returns 8 units

If you're bank building
Report peckerdunne November 19, 2023 2:52 PM GMT
Still a little miffed I didn't have winner, would Largy have beaten him today, we never know.

Moving on Grin
Report shiny new shoes please November 19, 2023 3:24 PM GMT
Would of been funny if he lost unlucky lace
Report shiny new shoes please November 19, 2023 3:30 PM GMT
November 18, 2023 4:43 PM
4\1 - 6\4
1\2 -9\4
Report lapsy pa November 19, 2023 3:39 PM GMT
Yes Shiny, mad market, Roedera well backed too but on a line through Wild Mandate wasn't worried about her, ground the question.
Report shiny new shoes please November 19, 2023 3:41 PM GMT
Done yours & disco ExcitedLaugh
Report shiny new shoes please November 19, 2023 3:46 PM GMT
unbelievable They knew
Report lapsy pa November 19, 2023 3:48 PM GMT
Yes,market was screaming, 4th but well beat,disappointing,thought she could be a good one, 1st 3 worth following.
Report shiny new shoes please November 19, 2023 4:02 PM GMT
Last one moon chime\ bella Cool
Report shiny new shoes please November 19, 2023 4:13 PM GMT
3rd, traffic problems or likes ass, to free perhaps
a few more for following
Report peckerdunne November 21, 2023 1:00 PM GMT
2.30 Pretending

I've taken 4\1 on here, and might add to that.

Only get !!!!
Report peckerdunne November 21, 2023 2:37 PM GMT
Moved the market Laugh

Fell at 2nd last, I think it would have won myself.

If you look at the tape from previous run.
Report peckerdunne November 24, 2023 4:11 PM GMT
Going to play maybe 3 races at Dundalk.

Have to pop out briefly, one in two races a little bit later, post them soonish, if anyone cares Laugh

So this is how I play these and I'll just stick with that.

Some might say pay the fav, others it's Weld, are you mad.

4 units bet, one on Donnachas at 4/\ here

   and then one each on Joseph's three that I expect I'll get about 16\1 each, maybe 20\1 maybe 14\1 , I'll make a tiny adjustment to equalise return,

So 5 units return, 17 units return, or not.
Report Steve Voltage November 24, 2023 4:35 PM GMT
small peckerdunne Laugh
Report peckerdunne November 24, 2023 5:05 PM GMT
So, 2nd and 3rd, but no good, I wanted to take on the favourite but nothing in there to beat it, fair enough.
Report peckerdunne November 24, 2023 5:11 PM GMT
6,00  Bog Bank  11\2 here

  Will have first 4 too, evens.
Report lapsy pa November 24, 2023 5:29 PM GMT
Morgiana,Flooring Porter,a Mullins Haydock raid,v decent Ascot card for tomorrow. Sunday John Durkan,top racing weekend for anyone with the slightest interest in racing.
Like Dundalk as the form is solid enough,not tonight though. Did Eagles Realm in the last at Southwell at a bit better price,think 2/1 not much juice in that, he did have a fair bit in hand when winning last time out and dossed a bit.
Have my eye on one Sunday and will wait til a market up.

Good luck PD, decent thread re racing.
Report Steve Voltage November 24, 2023 6:02 PM GMT
small peckerdunne Laugh
Report peckerdunne November 24, 2023 6:18 PM GMT
7'00  Havana notion  8\1
Report peckerdunne November 24, 2023 7:11 PM GMT
A poor night so, I pushed the boat a little tbh, no worries.

Yes nice racing weekend Pa, will enjoy, I'm not mad about all weather.

I'll have a little look now at Southwell last.
Report lapsy pa November 24, 2023 7:28 PM GMT
You had a nice run going PD,they were all running well,never lasts and we all go cold, damage limitation then and step back for a bit.

AW not usual for me but thought that one did it well as said,they don't all run same way twice though as you know,i'd be disappointed if it at least wasn't near.

Never change PD,'they' are after ya on here.
Report Steve Voltage November 24, 2023 8:20 PM GMT
small peckerdunne Laugh
Report peckerdunne November 24, 2023 8:24 PM GMT
Love it hup  Excited one more winner for thread

Well done Pa Laugh
Report lapsy pa November 24, 2023 8:27 PM GMT
Thanks PD Grin,not a big price but won handy enough,dossed again judging by the ears, may get another 1 or 2.
Report shiny new shoes please November 25, 2023 10:44 AM GMT
great racing on a frosty day
50 Cent win Cry In Da Club
Report peckerdunne November 25, 2023 11:28 AM GMT
Yesterday was my first poor performance on this thread.

Not because of the losers but because of the process, I know I fooked up.

I had a think about and know what happened.

I had a tooth pulled yesterday, but more to the point, I visited someone Wednesdays and are gluten.

Should have known better as it sets me off and I don't sleep great and develop cramp etc..

Though it's all a bit of fun I just don't like getting unnecessary losers, I don't like a losing year either and try not let that happen ever. Had many off course in the past, all part of the learning process.

My last really bad run was over 4 years ago and in the end, 4 months of hell, I was shot, I had no faith whatsoever, it wasn't panic, just 36 losers consecutively, fell at first, fell at last, left in stall, thrown out, you name it, had 17 seconds in that run.

I broke it with a 16\1 shot followed by a 33\1 shot, crazy stuff.

Anyways, up early today, focus is back, let's see.

Keep on rockin lads
Report shiny new shoes please November 25, 2023 12:01 PM GMT
In willie we trust Grin 2\1 fair Confused glucko
Report shiny new shoes please November 25, 2023 12:53 PM GMT
He's unstoppable Grin
Report peckerdunne November 25, 2023 1:32 PM GMT
Nice
Report peckerdunne November 25, 2023 1:32 PM GMT
Porter won't go that way again
Report lapsy pa November 25, 2023 1:43 PM GMT
Unlucky with the loose one annoying him,i laid it earlier in the thread and it behaved like a saint, backed it today and was the devil i knew.

That way maybe, or the wide open space of Punchestown in that he ran a shocker before there as well.

He did better than Shiskin,sickener for short priced  backers
Report shiny new shoes please November 25, 2023 1:49 PM GMT
Got the right price Gl
Report peckerdunne November 25, 2023 2:56 PM GMT
I like this horse, hope he wins, brave man's
Report peckerdunne November 25, 2023 3:09 PM GMT
Good race that
Report shiny new shoes please November 25, 2023 3:14 PM GMT
Cry
Report peckerdunne November 25, 2023 3:33 PM GMT
18.45 Chase the dollar 3\1 plus


Been placed 9\11 on sand, awhile since it won, trip not a worry, will be bang there.
Report shiny new shoes please November 25, 2023 5:21 PM GMT
999\1
Cry
Where is the Love
Saviour?
Report shiny new shoes please November 25, 2023 5:43 PM GMT
Surprised
Gl
Report shiny new shoes please November 25, 2023 5:45 PM GMT
7\2 ExcitedLaugh
Report shiny new shoes please November 25, 2023 5:50 PM GMT
4th   , favorite sunk!
majed
Report shiny new shoes please November 25, 2023 6:00 PM GMT
Ciao
The Next Episode Scared
Report Steve Voltage November 25, 2023 6:08 PM GMT
small peckerdunne Laugh
Report lapsy pa November 25, 2023 6:50 PM GMT
Good man PD, you're back!  always going well.
Report peckerdunne November 25, 2023 6:53 PM GMT
I backed that all the way up to 6'2 double my stake then laid halve back at 4.7 before the off, so I've had a little touch me old cockers, waited all day.


bbbbbbbbboooooooooooooommmmmmmmmmmmmmm

ExcitedLaughLaughLaugh

Straight back in the winners enclosure


Pecked Knew !! LaughLaugh
Report peckerdunne November 25, 2023 6:54 PM GMT
Be bang there I said Wink
Report Steve Voltage November 25, 2023 7:00 PM GMT
small peckerdunne Laugh
Report lapsy pa November 26, 2023 8:53 AM GMT
^ The weather is conducive to only small peckers,bitter out.

Horse i said Friday i was keeping a close eye on is Shadow Rider 3.00 Punch, i'm not going to back him,was hoping for double figures and a gen 6/1 has no appeal. Every race he has run well been backed and drifted badly on the 'not today'. Quite a classy race for its type and a few dangers,wait another day but will watch him closely.

Housemartin 1.10 Cork gen 5/2 will be main hope today, negatives,lot more weight,9lb and 7lb claimer than Clonmel, not as heavy as there either. The positives are plenty,still a weak race(80-109), very few form dangers,Bukhill and Dgalwaygallivantor seem to me the 2 most likely, an awful lot have shown very little. Manner of that Clonmel win was impressive,a distance between 2nd and 3rd,(dontdooddson 4th 40 lths behind) ground was extreme but even so. Hoping after that he is still improving.

GL if you are having a punt today.
Report shiny new shoes please November 26, 2023 10:41 AM GMT
He lost his $

Top racing ere
Willie 2.30 Cry v fast\slow.
3.00 x Willie
Last Willie
Will he
Report nineteen points November 26, 2023 12:03 PM GMT
wont he
Report shiny new shoes please November 26, 2023 2:22 PM GMT
Yeah N\R.Angry NF - The Search

More is needed if he's to beat the Gold Cup winner once more Excited more more more
Report shiny new shoes please November 26, 2023 2:36 PM GMT
ExcitedLaughGrinDevil
Report shiny new shoes please November 26, 2023 2:42 PM GMT
you ain't see that comin
Tongue Out
Report shiny new shoes please November 26, 2023 2:55 PM GMT
Low: 6.
High: 13.5
Glucko
Report shiny new shoes please November 26, 2023 3:15 PM GMT
Made runnin' Hit a few , low ir, Freestyler Only 7th
Cioa
Report lapsy pa November 26, 2023 3:27 PM GMT
Yes went off very short,not sure making the running was a plus, mightn't be as good as i thought tbh.

Disappointed with the ride on Housemartin,a bit more positive and probably would have won,ah well,way it goes.

Some shock results today.
Report peckerdunne November 27, 2023 2:10 PM GMT
15'35  Big bad Bob 5\1

       Oslo 6\1
Report peckerdunne November 27, 2023 2:12 PM GMT
Laugh.  Small bad Bob it is
Report peckerdunne November 27, 2023 3:40 PM GMT
Ok, fav beaten, but not by us..
Report shiny new shoes please November 28, 2023 3:00 PM GMT
top 2 next  but witch1
Sunset \halo Confused
Report shiny new shoes please November 28, 2023 3:07 PM GMT
Beyoncé
Report peckerdunne November 29, 2023 5:17 PM GMT
19.00 Sky Legend 11\2 plus on here

They've had this over the wrong trips 2m and soft going , now recently corrected that, led and rallied final furlong last time, hopefully the tack makes the difference tonight, has low draw too,not that important over 1m4 but leaves no excuses. I'd expect this to be bang there in an ordinary affair.
Report shiny new shoes please November 29, 2023 5:42 PM GMT
To be sure
Race before that looks tough
Report shiny new shoes please November 29, 2023 6:37 PM GMT
ExcitedCool
Report shiny new shoes please November 29, 2023 6:41 PM GMT
SP Book 148.1 % come racing
Glucko
Report peckerdunne November 29, 2023 7:06 PM GMT
Ok, anyone ew is covered, not me, win only.

Has ran a decent race, thought it was a poorish ride though.
Report shiny new shoes please November 29, 2023 7:17 PM GMT
Chin up Grin
Alpha Centauri won 2018 Irish 1,000 Guineas & three other Group 1s. Magic number
Praising our leaders
we're getting in tune
The music's played by the
mad man
Report peckerdunne November 29, 2023 7:24 PM GMT
Indeed, fair point, I'm not sore, never get sore, get even Laugh
Report lapsy pa November 29, 2023 7:34 PM GMT
Ran well,head a bit wayward up the straight, a strong ew bet in hindsight.

Weather may cancel a few meetings,looks a prolonged cold snap.

Thurles tomorrow could well be the Mullins show again, had Cleatus Poolaw in the tracker but will let that pass being up against a Joe Donnelly Frenchie.

Can't see anything other than the blatantly obvious Herculaneum in the last,11/4 will do.
Report peckerdunne November 29, 2023 7:45 PM GMT
I made a conscious decision years ago not to their ew gets at the 567\1 odds, at 14s and above I might, but I'll want 4 places and the 1\4 odds first.

I did a study and decided that it's not advantageous in the long run, I prefer to have that extra stake straight on the nose, proved more beneficial long term, assuming you know your strike rate. I'll get 30 winners from 100 bets, near all day long, at over 3\1.

Different strokes Etc
Report lapsy pa November 29, 2023 7:56 PM GMT
You aren't alone, good thread on the HR forum years ago (Ryanwe) and i couldn't argue against the logic that was put up,saying that PP were going 4 places on that race tonight and if you had an account and not limited it was a no brainer.

Any interest in 'fantasy' runs the same way as a book ie maybe 1170 entrants and a 1000 entrance paid out? For small money a good interest in football,NBA and NFL 'comps'. Guilty pleasure on the Sunday NFL, plenty of small returns but nothing major {as of yet}
Report peckerdunne November 29, 2023 8:26 PM GMT
It's always interesting Pa, I've read loads of books and as a (shop mgr) settler\accountant I'm

Embedded in the numbers, I obviously do form, so much of it, 25 years ago I'd be doing maybe 6 hours some days between working and getting on track(alot) it's bloody tough.

I had accounts with everyone, credit ones too, if desired.

It never lasts long, they knock you back in stake and or price, was a joke tbh.

I've far from cracked but I'm good enough to survive with a few bonus years thrown in.

I looked forward to NFL Sundays before I got ill but haven't bothered since we time needs prioritising more and more, it is however a good medium to bet.

You do need to be all over it and bet decent amounts but the very tight books, so some value around, and in running can be good if you have followed it.

Basically, my betting has evolved to not betting as every edge I ever had was undermined eventually, or pretty darn quick these days.

As long as I have fun and done lose my nuts in happy, but I'll always always keep track, I hate a losing year.
Report lapsy pa November 29, 2023 8:56 PM GMT
You're a fairly serious operator, wheat from the chaff easily sorted out,your results are impressive on the thread.

Fair play to the politic lads, no one has said a word re moving it to hr,i like the thread as said and the contributions from you and Shiny.

Have a small bit of history in the industry myself albeit just a few years, a startling eyeopener, the money spoke, the information between the lines was something else, personally a great period for me but saw an ugly side too.

As you say the 'fun' or keeping it real the main thing,enjoy the good days making a few bob and not worry about a little loss
Report shiny new shoes please November 30, 2023 12:34 PM GMT
Willie v French Dynamite ?
boom
Report shiny new shoes please November 30, 2023 12:49 PM GMT
no Revolution , mistakes cost  Angry
Report shiny new shoes please November 30, 2023 1:04 PM GMT
137.8 %
6 runners

hey mr. Policeman
Report shiny new shoes please December 1, 2023 1:48 PM GMT
Up in class , good enough ?
Been backed
That sh1t makes me bat **** crazy
Report shiny new shoes please December 1, 2023 2:06 PM GMT
2nd, mistakes Sad but what a  Wild One- Flo Rida
Report shiny new shoes please December 2, 2023 1:54 PM GMT
few good races lucky pins out

2.15 2 or 3 dangers  v Calvin
2.50 Remastered & the Irish
3.10 Feet Dancer Excited

Musical melody
Any ideas
Report shiny new shoes please December 2, 2023 2:25 PM GMT
2\3 dangers all placed , Calvin out like a light !
Report shiny new shoes please December 2, 2023 3:20 PM GMT
50/1 boom boom boom
Report shiny new shoes please December 2, 2023 3:22 PM GMT
sp.18\1 lol
Report lapsy pa December 2, 2023 3:45 PM GMT
Good man yourself Shiny,nice one!
Report shiny new shoes please December 2, 2023 4:33 PM GMT
Cheers was higher 60 65 ere v 28 33 books
Lost some in the 2.50 best of 4  2nd

I'm a forgiver , last run
Was a big price considering

New day 2moz
Report irishone December 3, 2023 7:44 AM GMT
paul pics sharjah and patrick goes on ashroe
some big decisions made last week at closutton
buddy one is in good form and expected to go well
wish i was there today
Report lapsy pa December 3, 2023 11:25 AM GMT
Terrific days racing,Sir Bob and Encanto Bruno earlier in thread did me a favour and expect them to run well,tougher races today and my main punt will be Brides Hill in the 1st at 5/2, Cromwell aiming her at the Boylesport Gold Cup and if she has any aspirations for that would want to beat these today.
Buddy One was impressive last time big rise in class today, worse bets than getting double figures(11/1) w/o the Mullins hotpot.

GL lads.
Report flat16 December 3, 2023 11:50 AM GMT
Encanto bruno intrigues me ,would it not want faster ground. Or is that risk built into the price.
Report lapsy pa December 3, 2023 11:56 AM GMT
Being a Mahler probably Flat,not really tried on it except Chelt, i would be open on that,tough race.
Report flat16 December 3, 2023 12:10 PM GMT
Thanks chap ,a Newbury bookie told me ,friday was horrendous ,saturday....they were behind ,got level ,had a result in the last but everyone had gone home.
Been down the farm ,bad news ,all my pepper plants in the poly tunnel had died.
Good news the long tailed tits turned up first time this year and gs woodpecker.
Now you are as wise as me.......sorry it won't help you much.
Report shiny new shoes please December 3, 2023 12:17 PM GMT
God speed

Nara

Call the tune again

Thráigh an tobar , hopefully not
Report lapsy pa December 3, 2023 3:58 PM GMT
Good days racing, think the ground was tacky enough, Encanto Bruno never really going but the vibe before suggested that.

Know Conyers Hill style is 'switched off'to say the least but eyecatching in the 3.00,looks well handicapped still and a nice pot waiting for him, m maybe Leopardstown Xmas?

I Am Maximus impressive as well,Irish national and now this,some off the ball park thinking but worked.
Report irishone December 3, 2023 5:24 PM GMT
Winter ground
Spring ground a bit different
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