Politics
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29 Mar 22
11:57
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Date Joined:
20 Mar 18
Smarkets now have local election odds for:
Barnet
Croydon
Cumbria
Havering
Stockport
Sunderland
Sutton
Wandsworth
Westminster
https://smarkets.com/listing/politics/uk/2022-local-elections
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Barnet
Croydon
Cumbria
Havering
Stockport
Sunderland
Sutton
Wandsworth
Westminster
https://smarkets.com/listing/politics/uk/2022-local-elections
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Replies: 167
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Hopefully Betfair exchange markets for this important political event will be added in shortly?
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We can but email them.
Paulmotty follows them on twitter so maybe he will spark betfair into action. |
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Perhaps if he is armed with an electric cattle prod ?
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Donny, that Sunderland one could be interesting. There have been some weird and wonderful results there over the last seven or eight years.
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Strange people in Sunderland.
It's like a different world, even to durham.. |
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I wonder which party will be favourite to receive most votes?
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Local Elections Voting Intention (London):
LAB: 50% (+6) CON: 23% (-6) LDM: 12% (-1) GRN: 9% (=) Via @YouGov , Changes w/ LE2018. |
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Local Elections Voting Intention (London):
LAB: 50% (+6) CON: 23% (-6) LDM: 12% (-1) GRN: 9% (=) Via @YouGov , Changes w/ LE2018. |
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Aye, 2018 saw corbyn riding high
6% would be a good swing to achieve. |
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https://sotn.newstatesman.com/2022/04/all-you-need-to-know-about-the-2022-local-elections/
.. |
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Markets up on Betfair exchange now for Wandsworth, Westminster, Croydon, Sutton, Barnet, Cumbria and Woking.
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Bbc local article on sundland elections.
https://twitter.com/BBCNEandCumbria/status/1520677356876316672?s=19 .. |
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Twitter suggests Johnson in Norf East today.
Boris Johnson has been in Whitley Bay today. The Conservatives let Whitley Bay down when they ran the council. Don’t risk that happening again. Vote Labour on the 5th of May https://t.co/tYaTSJAiUT .. |
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https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1521812569442467841?s=19
.. Tories 350+ losses... Disaster 100-150 losses... Disappointing No change.... Hanging on 100-150 gains... Triumph Labour 100-200 losses... Disaster No change.... Disappointing 50-100 gains... Gaining ground 200+ gains... Triumph ... I'd do it by swing. 6-8% expected swing con to lab since 2018 for me. Under 5 is very poor, over 10 and the gold tatt wallpaper is on borrowed time... |
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Sutton no overall control at prices around 15.0 are worth a look.
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Britain elects forecast
Our 2022 local election forecast: CON: -206 LAB: +147 LDEM: +34 GRN: +35 SNP: -12 PC: -14 Drilldown: https://t.co/xkzVdePDjC .. |
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We expect Labour to make a net loss of seats in England [excluding London] on Thursday. This is primarily down to most seats last being up in 2018, when Labour's vote was significantly different to what it is now.
We expect Labour to overtake the Conservative as Scotland's second largest party in terms of council seats. Estimate ranges... https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1521959742264029189?s=19 Brave stuff, love to see it! |
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I think scottish election count is friday
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The tories look like they are in for a really rough night, particularly in London.
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already have the spin
very tough night but not disastrous as could of been  |
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Dom Cummings...
Vote Tory = more... taxes regulation **** bureaucracy violent/sex crime neglect of security/armed forces A&E disasters / NHS neglect chance of nuclear war ... while idiots babbling about trans & other sh1te get promoted all over sw1 #RegimeChange |
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Vote Tory = more...
taxes regulation sh1t bureaucracy violent/sex crime neglect of security/armed forces A&E disasters / NHS neglect chance of nuclear war ... while idiots babbling about trans & other sh1te get promoted all over sw1 #RegimeChange |
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2/ Tories & their wider support in media/'think tanks' etc are so intellectually, politically, & organisationally rancid that a change of leader may well not change these dynamics, but there is NO chance of even discussing serious change unless the *trolly" is replaced
3/ Only point of *trolly* as PM was to act as spokesman for the Vote Leave agenda while we pushed everything in a different direction. Once this was 99% abandoned in 2020 the entire spectacle is pointless for all except the *trolly* himself who enjoys riding his bike at Chequers etc 4/ Unless youre someone like Nadine or the Telegraph ('the real boss') or Zelensky's social media crew, it's irrational to prop up the *clown* show any more. Remain/brexit/left/right/political/official, all shd unite in removing pointless fkd *trolly*... Wow.... |
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chance of nuclear war
 Down to the Tories , What would Starmer do "Take the knee " ? |
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Boot well and truly going in there! What's more, you have to agree with what he says.
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You missed City out of Champions League from the list.
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https://twitter.com/GNev2/status/1522239193480577026/photo/1
. A sad reality  |
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u staying up all night pp to watch election
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No, but will stay up a little while I guess to get a ball park idea of what's happening.
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Likely stay up till 1.30 - 2ish
Might be all over by then... |
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thx pp
hopefully u-hav-to laugh |
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A lot of places don't count tonight so things might not be clear cut until the weekend.
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labour to go favourites for the general election tonight and not go odds against ever again ?
gotta be a good chance. never mind johnson's gross incompetence and dire personal conduct the prevailing economic circumstances which are only likely to get much much worse will make it an almost impossible election for an incumbent government to win |
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Yeah, I meant all the scheduled counting.
Then they kick off again Friday. |
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Apparently, rumour control says that the London Borough of Westminster could be in play which would be a massive shock if Labour were to take it.
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Local elections are more hardcore, not yer general
swing voter. It's a good test, but the 30/40% extra that turn out in gen election are the key, and we ain't got a scooby what they will turn up for! |
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Honesty?
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Also gen election 70% turn out, leaves 30%
who do not. I've never managed to find this 30%. I don't know more than a handful in my life that don't vote,.. Some may miss odd election and plenty don't vote in locals, but all seem to vote in general election, for whatever party |
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Honesty will be an issue, but likely theres
a lot will turn out for tories in gen election who don't vote in locals, if the candidate or national party can motivate them to do it. Focus groups will be frantic trying to find them ,... Targeted via Facebook could be vital! |