Politics
appears to coming to a couple of crunch points and with the possibility of being settled in the next 3 or so weeks.
His Scheduled exit date of 2021 is currently 1.05--1.06 which is actually up from yesterdays 1.04--1.05
such is the strangeness of the Trump political betting markets.
2020 has also displayed a little oddness today, with backers backing it at prices from 200 down to 150.
Seeing as there are less than 2 days of 2020 left one would think the layers would be moving the price up not down.
2025 is the other notable market, with the price currently 29-30
The 2 crunch points I speak of are of course the senate rubberstamping the electoral college votes on the 6th January, and the inauguration of Biden on the 22nd Jan.
1.05 on there not being a coup would seem a very good return.
Anyone betting on this?
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.138799270
Sen. Josh Hawley (R-MO) adds colleagues to the fight against unlawful state election changes & credible allegations of election fraud.
Jan 2, 2021 -- 9:44AM, Timber wrote:
Jan 2, 2021 -- 9:53AM, A_T wrote:That has absolutely nothing to do with what will happen on the 6thwhat do you believe will happen on the 6th?Nobody knows for sure. Just because the hand wringers poo poo and put their fingers in their ears, doesn't mean something absolutely outrageous isn't going to happenTrump and Pence have a lot more ammo at their disposal than is being reported. Whether it is legal or not or if it holds is another matter. One thing for sure, it's not going to be finished on the 6th. This could end up going into February in fact. And yes there is precedent for that too
Naw, not going to February. We'll be waving you a gentle good bye on January 20th.
Jan 2, 2021 -- 4:38PM, Charlie wrote:
Timber the plank seems to believe everything posted on twatter.
wrong, you believe everything in the msm
Jan 2, 2021 -- 4:42PM, politicspunter wrote:
I am happy to accept the decisions of the House and the Senate.
Will you be happy when Trump is reelected?
Here is a low loader full
https://got-freedom.org/evidence/
Inaugural parade viewing stands were taken down yesterday
Jan 3, 2021 -- 10:32AM, politicspunter wrote:
Does Kamala Harris not remain a senator until Biden inauguration? Covid means inauguration will be very low key this year.
Jan 3, 2021 -- 10:27AM, Timber wrote:
The simps on here are always talking about NO evidenceHere is a low loader fullhttps://got-freedom.org/evidence/
Simp
Someone who does way too much for a person they like
Oh hey there, Timber and other trump cultists! 
Obama resigned from the Senate in November
the dems still had control of senate after he resigned, so his vote was irrelevant, but harris's vote could be relevant over something when the likes of Romney wouldn't pi55 on trump if he was on fire.
Jan 3, 2021 -- 11:06AM, dave1357 wrote:
Timber • January 3, 2021 10:54 AM GMTObama resigned from the Senate in Novemberthe dems still had control of senate after he resigned, so his vote was irrelevant, but harris's vote could be relevant over something when the likes of Romney wouldn't pi55 on trump if he was on fire.
>like what??
to 'paper trade' a £10k bet.
He seems to be over whelmed with the thought of it.
No worries Timber, It takes gumption and guts to put up real money, or even paper trade.
Not everyone is suited to it, Not everyone has what it takes, it's a rare skill.
There's no shame in being just a groupie Timber, maybe we could promote you to teaboy if that would make you happy?
Put the kettle on and we'll think about it.
Jan 3, 2021 -- 11:24AM, Escapee wrote:
I've asked Timber a couple of times what his bets are, and if he doesn't have any I've invited himto 'paper trade' a £10k bet.He seems to be over whelmed with the thought of it.No worries Timber, It takes gumption and guts to put up real money, or even paper trade.Not everyone is suited to it, Not everyone has what it takes, it's a rare skill.There's no shame in being just a groupie Timber, maybe we could promote you to teaboy if that would make you happy?Put the kettle on and we'll think about it.
>
posted my bets, do keep up
Between 3.5 and 4s on NO senate majority
Dems have already stolen it, it's a done deal.
Jan 3, 2021 -- 11:26AM, dave1357 wrote:
who knows what louis gobmuck and teddy boy have got cooked up to embarrass their country and party.
>enough to make you very very angry....hopefully
That looks a good value price at the moment.
Jan 3, 2021 -- 11:54AM, dave1357 wrote:
where and when was that price available?
https://graphs.betfair.com/#/1.170351353/1111905/0
20s has been traded on that market.
Jan 3, 2021 -- 12:04PM, Timber wrote:
It was 1.3 to 1.4 for ages
REp majority that is
Jan 3, 2021 -- 12:04PM, Timber wrote:
It was 1.3 to 1.4 for ages
No it wasn't. The lowest price traded has been 1.9.
Jan 3, 2021 -- 12:05PM, politicspunter wrote:
Jan 3, 2021 -- 1:04PM, Timber wrote:It was 1.3 to 1.4 for agesNo it wasn't. The lowest price traded has been 1.9.
rep majority
So you don't believe in your own research & posts enough to actually back them with money?
You've been banging on about Trump staying president so much, I thought you must either have
money on it or be a groupie/teaboy type.
Happy to bet against anything to make money, only fools bet with their hearts
Jan 3, 2021 -- 12:08PM, politicspunter wrote:
Timber did have money on Trump, which lost.
Only on electoral college votes, still think he got 330+
I traded the next president market
Jan 3, 2021 -- 12:08PM, Timber wrote:
What I want personally and what I bet on are two different thingsHappy to bet against anything to make money, only fools bet with their hearts
But ou bet on Trump to get 56% of the national vote and over 330 in the electoral college, both virtually impossible to happen.
as suspected your posts are just wishful thinking
Jan 3, 2021 -- 12:11PM, A_T wrote:
I traded the next president markethow much did you lose?
i won on that, posted many times
Jan 3, 2021 -- 12:10PM, politicspunter wrote:
Jan 3, 2021 -- 1:08PM, Timber wrote:What I want personally and what I bet on are two different thingsHappy to bet against anything to make money, only fools bet with their heartsBut ou bet on Trump to get 56% of the national vote and over 330 in the electoral college, both virtually impossible to happen.
Take only the legal votes and he would have got over 330
Jan 3, 2021 -- 12:22PM, politicspunter wrote:
Ah, now you are betting with your heart again instead of your head.
HE won all those swing states plus NM.
God knows what the real outcome would be if you audited all 50 states.
Dems might just about cling onto NY and CA
Give us the figures, surely you have them available.
Jan 3, 2021 -- 12:42PM, Angoose wrote:
Come on Timber, back up your claim with data, not with more baseless claims.Give us the figures, surely you have them available.
I posted fathoms of fraud earlier
https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/NM.html
98% of the New Mexico voters from 2016 had already voted early by 2nd November and the Democrats were over 100K votes ahead in a relatively small populated state. Despite these early pre election day figures, which made the Democrats a stonewall certainty, folks continued to back Trump on the exchange. I know, because I have their money
“The Vice President welcomes the efforts of members of the House and Senate to use the authority they have under the law to raise objections and bring forward evidence before the Congress and the American people on January 6th.”
Jan 3, 2021 -- 12:47PM, politicspunter wrote:
Funnily enough, about a year before the election I gave Trump a serious chance of winning New Mexico. However, all the polls said he was behind and falling further behind every week. The final thing that made up my mind was this...https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/NM.html98% of the New Mexico voters from 2016 had already voted early by 2nd November and the Democrats were over 100K votes ahead in a relatively small populated state. Despite these early pre election day figures, which made the Democrats a stonewall certainty, folks continued to back Trump on the exchange. I know, because I have their money
Absolutely massive fraud in NM
They don't need that to win, but it will be uncovered in due course
https://twitter.com/travisakers/status/1345160893382995969/photo/2
From Lin Wood, Trumps attorney.
I can imagine he will get disbarred if he can't back it up
Lol
Jan 3, 2021 -- 1:39PM, Timber wrote:
He's not Trump's attorney
He was three days ago...
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-lin-wood-jeffrey-epstein-alive-b1781084.html
Jan 3, 2021 -- 1:40PM, politicspunter wrote:
There is no fraud in New Mexico. Every single one of those votes was verified pre election. Feel free to study those official figures that I provided.
I'll have to find the evidence. It was rampant though.
People voting in two states was massive
Jan 3, 2021 -- 1:42PM, politicspunter wrote:
Jan 3, 2021 -- 2:39PM, Timber wrote:He's not Trump's attorneyHe was three days ago...https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-lin-wood-jeffrey-epstein-alive-b1781084.html
That's wrong, he's not part of the team, he's working independently and is actually a democrat voter
Jan 3, 2021 -- 1:43PM, politicspunter wrote:
It was rampant on twitter/ conspiracy theorist websites perhaps but you can't find any real evidence?
You won't believe anything so I'm not going to spend time finding it again
Another Lin Wood case in Georgia flung out.
He was lookin' for a soul to steal
He was in a bind
' Cause he was way behind
And he was willin' to make a deal
