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55,000 993 deaths
 almost back to peak deaths,i wonder who couldv'e caused this resurge Brazil 49,000 and 1300 deaths,its just a flu wtf.. |
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Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump · 6 Jul They name teams out of STRENGTH, not weakness, but now the Washington Redskins & Cleveland Indians, two fabled sports franchises, look like they are going to be changing their names in order to be politically correct. Indians, like Elizabeth Warren, must be very angry right now! Is there any group that this idiot hasn't insulted?  |
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JRXUP8c4kgo |
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nkeyFUe6WdU
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Looking bad again today
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Sure does, nearly 10K new cases today in Florida already.
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What's the nationwide count today?
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23K new cases, 337 deaths so far.
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Dearie me, what next?
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Tim, you are posting some really strange stuff at the moment. You had one a couple of nights ago that suggested laying Trump and that somehow his price could be 3.2/3.7 which didn't make any sense at all.
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timbuctooth 06 Jul 20 20:43
I`ve pointed out cross-market anomalies in prices before, and here`s another one, this time between the POTUS and `Trump Electoral College Votes` markets. The Don currently 2.72 for POTUS, but laying all the bands up to `269` for `EC votes`, even just taking what`s on offer now, gives 3.2 The Don, while laying at best available gives 3.7 The Don. |
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Tim, you are saying Lay Trump?
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For all bands up to 269 (which means The Don wins); currently POTUS 2.68, laying at the prices available in EC now pays 3.0, laying at best available prices paying 3.5
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Tim, that doesn't make sense at all to me. I just want you to be 100% clear here. Are you saying lay or bet Trump at all the electoral college bands up to 269?
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Lay
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This is on the betfair exchange I assume?
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No; lay it on the bed, on the tarmac and in the chicken coop
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Ok Tim, I will go along with you on this, here are the current lay prices for Trump on the electoral college votes market up to 269...
Band/ Lay Price 119 or less 12.0 120-149 10.5 150-179 9.8 180-209 6.4 210-239 7.8 240-269 9.0 You are saying if I lay all these prices I will achieve 3.0 Trump. Ok, you have £100. Show me how much to lay on each band so that I will get a return of 3.0 ie £300 (stake and profit). |
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I don`t know if you`re taking the mickey, or you really don`t know how to show it pays 3.0? (Actually, using those figures, it pays 3.08)
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Not taking the mickey at all Tim. Go ahead and show me how me how much to lay on each band.
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If you don`t know how to do it, it`s time to learn;
In `Settings`, turn on the `What if?` function Go to a market that has at least six bands, and in which you have no bets Line up six lays, pump in those prices At the top of your betslip, click `payout` Play around with various payouts to get the desired result, in this example, £309 should do it. |
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And DON`T accidentally click `submit`!
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Tim, just show me how much to stake on each band please in the market we are discussing. Thank you.
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Why? Don`t you want to learn? Follow the steps, and it will answer your question, showing you how much to lay
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Tim, I am simply listing the prices in the market you quoted. Can you show me how much to stake on each band please?
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Rather than handouts to the lazy and feckless, I prefer individual responsibility, self-help and education; you`ve been shown how to do it so if you really want to know how much to lay, you can do it for yourself. Otherwise, you`re clearly just messing around, best I leave you to your fun.
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approx total 56 divided by the 6 is 9, 9 minus 6 is 3
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just 60,000 today cases
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10% of all cases will have long recoveries,that's if they recover at all fit people under 50 now showing brain damage as well.. |
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Latest CDC guidelines ; Do what you want, we've thrown in the towel.
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119 or less 12.0
120-149 10.5...now 11 150-179 9.8 180-209 6.4...now 6.8 210-239 7.8... 240-269 9.0....now 8.8 currently 66.5% for an £8.06 steak, i can get a profit of £15.62 might be able to nick another couple of pennies not much more at those prices |
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if i back the other blocks 270-upwards its 33.9%
i can get a profit of £49.14 for a steak of 25.82, which i can upscale by 50% on steak |
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timmeh is right unless there is some trap in the conditions somewhere. At the moment to back trump to get 270 or more ec votes, to return £100, costs $34 ie odds of 66/34 compared to the 1.7/1 in the pres win market. timmeh used the opposite end on the market and although these aren't quite the same - six options rather than five, I'd be surprised if it was radically different.
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This market will be settled according to the popular vote won at the 2020 presidential election and the respective projected electoral college votes. Any subsequent events i.e. a ‘faithless elector’ would have no effect on the settlement of this market.
This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2020, or the named candidate does not contest the election. If more than one election takes place in 2020, then this market will apply to the first election that is held. |
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if there is anything i hate more than spending a bit of time on a post to see someone else post exactly the same thing a nano second before, I can't think of it at the moment
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lol dave
2 heads are better than one... |
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btw the only trap I can think of is a viable third candidate getting some EC votes meaning that a pres could be elected with less than 270. Can ye believe that happening?
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surely that is outweighed for trump backers by getting non runner no bet which is about 1.08
on here |
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remembering, of course, there is little liquidity on this market, at the moment
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