Clearly poor maths teaching in Ireland as well as England.
Yes, if the Tories take 5 points of Labour they would be level. If you can't follow this write the numbers down and you will see that this is correct.
Not saying this will happen (I don't think it will), just saying that it is very easy maths.
Clearly poor maths teaching in Ireland as well as England.Yes, if the Tories take 5 points of Labour they would be level. If you can't follow this write the numbers down and you will see that this is correct.Not saying this will happen (I don't think
Of course they could lose further votes to other parties also and be behind the tories
It’s not a difficult thing to grasp
If it does they are equal as foin says Of course they could lose further votes to other parties also and be behind the tories It’s not a difficult thing to grasp
1/ This is a betting site. I think you should be ok with that one. 2/ This is the politics section of the betting site. I think you will also be ok with that. 3/ This forum is for folks that bet on politics. Ok so far?
The way you win money on politics is to follow opinion polls and utilise the data they provide. Political punters like me may have political allegiances but we don't give a hoot in that regard when it comes to political betting as hopefully you will understand if you care to look through the multiple threads on this forum going back years, not only in the UK but in other parts of the world, particularly the USA.
If you understand that, politics betting is a niche market that has proven over years for some of us on here to be a licence to print money.
Wise words indeed.
A reminder, From page 1 of this thread I am going to try and help you here.1/ This is a betting site. I think you should be ok with that one.2/ This is the politics section of the betting site. I think you will also be ok with that.3/ This forum is f
It is possible to predict many months prior to a general election what is likely to happen , maybe a year and a half Using data - the tories should prepare for a major loss
That’s assuming no major shock within the next 18 months . or whatever time is left until the next election
However a reminder .. because many on this forum have very short memories … 2019
It is possible to predict many months prior to a general election what is likely to happen , maybe a year and a half Using data - the tories should prepare for a major loss That’s assuming no major shock within the next 18 months . or whatever time
What you want, what you hope for is one thingWhat you should bet on may be something else.When they coincide, and you win, it's great.But it's not a guaranteed system for winning.
Con 26% (-2) Lab 44% (-) Lib Dem 12% (+2) Other 18% (-) Fieldwork: 29 September - 2 October 2023 Sample: 1,516 GB adults (Changes from 22nd-25th September 2023)
Con 26% (-2)Lab 44% (-)Lib Dem 12% (+2)Other 18% (-)Fieldwork: 29 September - 2 October 2023Sample: 1,516 GB adults(Changes from 22nd-25th September 2023)
In the wake of the VAR fail in Sunday's Liverpool-Spurs match, regular Premier League viewers are more likely to say we should be able to listen in on the conversations between referees and video assistant referees
In the wake of the VAR fail in Sunday's Liverpool-Spurs match, regular Premier League viewers are more likely to say we should be able to listen in on the conversations between referees and video assistant refereesSupport: 84% (+7 from 2020)Neither:
YouGov @YouGov Rishi Sunak has been trying to position himself as the candidate of change - but 69% of Britons say he represents more of the same
Represents change: 13% Represents more of the same: 69%
YouGov@YouGovRishi Sunak has been trying to position himself as the candidate of change - but 69% of Britons say he represents more of the sameRepresents change: 13%Represents more of the same: 69%
Oct 4 to 5Conservative24%Labour45%Lib Dem11%SNP4%Plaid Cymru1%RefUK8%Green7%Other1%Data based on a survey of 2,062 adultsYou gov...No change except snp go from 3 to 4%
Britain Elects@BritainElectsRutherglen and Hamilton West parliamentary by-election, result:LAB: 58.6% (+24.1)SNP: 27.6% (-16.6)CON: 3.9% (-11.1)LDEM: 2.9% (-2.2)GRN: 2.0% (+2.0)REF: 1.3% (+1.3)Labour GAIN from SNP.
How Scotland would vote if the Rutherglen & Hamilton West By-Election swing was repeated across the country:LAB: 38 (+37)SNP: 7 (-41)CON: 7 (+1)LDM: 5 (+3)Changes w/ GE2019 Notional.
We also asked this week if people believed the Gov is committed to ‘levelling up’ - defined as ‘creating opportunities for everyone across the UK’?
53% no 26% yes 21% don’t know
We thinkWe also asked this week if people believed the Gov is committed to ‘levelling up’ - defined as ‘creating opportunities for everyone across the UK’? 53% no 26% yes 21% don’t know
Labour lead has narrowed to fifteen percentage points in the latest results from Deltapoll. Con 28% (+2) Lab 43% (-1) Lib Dem 12% (-) Other 17% (-1) Fieldwork: 5th-6th October 2023 Sample: 1,517 GB adults (Changes from 29th September-2nd October 2023)
Labour lead has narrowed to fifteen percentage points in the latest results from Deltapoll.Con 28% (+2)Lab 43% (-1)Lib Dem 12% (-)Other 17% (-1)Fieldwork: 5th-6th October 2023Sample: 1,517 GB adults(Changes from 29th September-2nd October 2023)
The opinion polls have been showing a very consistent solid lead for Labour for over a year now. The tories will have to do something dramatic to close the gap or they are facing disaster. Sunak being chopped asap cant be ruled out, in order to give his successor a chance to make inroads into that huge Labour lead.
The opinion polls have been showing a very consistent solid lead for Labour for over a year now. The tories will have to do something dramatic to close the gap or they are facing disaster. Sunak being chopped asap cant be ruled out, in order to give
How much sympathy would Britons feel towards families if their children's private school fees went up because of proposed new VAT rules?None: 45%Not much: 26%Some: 13%A lot: 6%yougovhttps://twitter.com/coldwarsteve/status/1712128384115867988?s=19..
Amid a plethora of promises, predictions and proclamations made during the conferences, which party did the best job at selling their vision to voters?
43% Labour 18% Conservative 38% don’t know
While voter intention remained statuesque, the needle has definitely shifted in our preferred PM tracker, with Sir Keir doubling his advantage from last week and opening up a 12-point lead.
ENVIRONMENT: Labour would ban bonuses to water chiefs whose firms allow pollution in rivers and increase fines for water company leaders. Thoughts Britain?
78% agree 8% disagree 14% don’t know
following Ofgem’s announcement that households could be asked to pay an extra £17 a year on their energy bills to prevent suppliers going bust, we asked how voters felt:
78% unfair to bill payers 14% fair to bill payers 8% don’t know
We thinkAmid a plethora of promises, predictions and proclamations made during the conferences, which party did the best job at selling their vision to voters? 43% Labour 18% Conservative 38% don’t knowWhile voter intention remained statue
I think if they dump him now the party risks schism
He needs to stay and limit losses so they can build for future.
With Labour and lib dems fighting each other He can easily pick up a boost this week in by election.
I think if they dump him now the party risks schismHe needs to stay and limit losses so they can buildfor future.With Labour and lib dems fighting each otherHe can easily pick up a boost this week in by election.
What would be classed as a boost? Losing half their vote and hanging on by the skin of their teeth? They could be incredibly fortunate in Mid Bedfordshire that there is no clear challenger, with Labour and the LibDems fighting for votes.
What would be classed as a boost? Losing half their vote and hanging on by the skin of their teeth? They could be incredibly fortunate in Mid Bedfordshire that there is no clear challenger, with Labour and the LibDems fighting for votes.
following Ofgem’s announcement that households could be asked to pay an extra £17 a year on their energy bills to prevent suppliers going bust, we asked how voters felt:
78% unfair to bill payers 14% fair to bill payers 8% don’t know
following Ofgem’s announcement that households could be asked to pay an extra £17 a year on their energy bills to prevent suppliers going bust, we asked how voters felt: 78% unfair to bill payers 14% fair to bill payers 8% don’t know
Alveley and Claverley (Shropshire) council by-election result:LDEM: 58.8% (+36.6)CON: 36.3% (-33.1)LAB: 4.9% (+4.9)Votes cast: 1,125Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative.
Tactical will take more but some mps are hard to shift because they are popular inside their own constituencies so likely many avoid the cull.
Yeah I think the projection was 71.Tactical will take more but some mps are hardto shift because they are popular inside theirown constituencies so likely many avoid the cull.
From what you’ve read and heard, how prepared, if at all, do you think the government is for a possible future pandemic?
Very prepared: 2% Fairly prepared: 21% Not very prepared: 36% Not prepared at all: 30%
yougov
From what you’ve read and heard, how prepared, if at all, do you think the government is for a possible future pandemic?Very prepared: 2%Fairly prepared: 21%Not very prepared: 36%Not prepared at all: 30%yougov
Via @YouGov/@ScotVoting, On 20-25 October Diff w 2-6 October
Labour has recorded their FIRST Scottish Labour lead in a Westminster poll since 2014LAB: 38% (+6) SNP: 32% (-1) CON: 16% (-4)LDM: 5% ()Via @YouGov/@ScotVoting, On 20-25 OctoberDiff w 2-6 October
Labour lead up to 24 points in latest YouGov poll for The Times
CON 23 (=) LAB 47 (+3) LIB DEM 10 (+1) REF UK 8 (-1) GREEN 7 (-2)
Fieldwork 7 - 8 November
Tories are facing annihilation unless they do something and do it quickly.
Labour lead up to 24 points in latest YouGov poll for The Times CON 23 (=)LAB 47 (+3)LIB DEM 10 (+1)REF UK 8 (-1)GREEN 7 (-2) Fieldwork 7 - 8 NovemberTories are facing annihilation unless they do something and do it quickly.
Do you think Rishi Sunak should keep Suella Braverman as Home Secretary or should he sack her?Should keep: 22% (Con 2019 voters: 48%)Should sack: 49% (Con 2019 voters: 31%)Don't know: 29% (Con 2019 voters: 21%)yougov.
The plot thickens... no, we’re not talking about a Nadine Dorries novel. We’re talking voter intention, with Labour hitting a 24-point lead, their highest lead since early August.
Lab 48% (+3) Con 24% (-3) LD 9% (-1) Ref 8% (-1) Green 6% (+1) SNP 3% (NC)
We think 9/10 nov
The plot thickens... no, we’re not talking about a Nadine Dorries novel. We’re talking voter intention, with Labour hitting a 24-point lead, their highest lead since early August. Lab 48% (+3)Con 24% (-3)LD 9% (-1) Ref 8% (-1)Green 6% (+1) SNP 3%
Britons think Rishi Sunak was right rather than wrong to sack Suella Braverman as home secretary
Right to sack her: 57% (44% of Con 2019 voters) Wrong to sack her: 20% (39% of Con 2019 voters)
yougov
Britons think Rishi Sunak was right rather than wrong to sack Suella Braverman as home secretaryRight to sack her: 57% (44% of Con 2019 voters)Wrong to sack her: 20% (39% of Con 2019 voters)yougov
Snap poll - is the appointment of David Cameron as Foreign Secretary a good decision or a bad decision?
Good decision: 24% Bad decision: 38% Don't know: 38%
yougov.
Loveto see this poll repeated tomorrow after people have been told what to think!
Snap poll - is the appointment of David Cameron as Foreign Secretary a good decision or a bad decision?Good decision: 24%Bad decision: 38%Don't know: 38%yougov.Loveto see this poll repeated tomorrow afterpeople have been told what to think!
He was wrong to have to sack her. he should have shown absolute steel at the start and NOT have appointed her - whether her votes got her in or not. Didn't have the bolls. What a message that would have sent out.
He was wrong to have to sack her.he should have shown absolute steel at the start and NOT have appointed her - whether her votes got her in or not.Didn't have the bolls.What a message that would have sent out.
@PeoplePolling, 1,581 people Surveyed after PM's reshuffle yesterday
Real pinch of salt here,
1 they tend to have bigger labour leads 2 people still taking in news.
Labour: 49%Conservative: 19%RefUK: 11%Lib Dems: 9%Green: 7%@PeoplePolling, 1,581 people Surveyed after PM's reshuffle yesterdayReal pinch of salt here,1 they tend to have bigger labour leads2 people still taking in news.
Sunak appears to want to alter law to allow Rwanda deal, and may frame next election as mandate on that, to stop immigration.
These policies are focus group tested.
Possibly wrong place for discussion.But...Sunak appears to want to alter law to allowRwanda deal, and may frame next election as mandateon that, to stop immigration.These policies are focus group tested.
Argentina's new president has suggested efforts would be made to get the Falkland Islands back, but Rishi Sunak says it's not up for discussion
Britons think the Falklands belong with the UK by 57% to 16%,
Argentina's new president has suggested efforts would be made to get the Falkland Islands back, but Rishi Sunak says it's not up for discussionBritons think the Falklands belong with the UK by 57% to 16%,
Already did: 7% Today or this weekend: 5% Next week, before 1 Dec: 5% Next week, on or after 1 Dec: 22% Week after (4-10 Dec): 22% Later than this: 17%
yougov
When will Britons put up Christmas decorations?Already did: 7%Today or this weekend: 5%Next week, before 1 Dec: 5%Next week, on or after 1 Dec: 22%Week after (4-10 Dec): 22%Later than this: 17%yougov
Growing the economy or reducing immigration? Brits are split 37% - 39% as to what should be the priority
Which should the government prioritise?
Economic growth, even if it means more immigration: 37% Reducing immigration, even if it means less economic growth: 39% Neither: 11%
yougov
Growing the economy or reducing immigration? Brits are split 37% - 39% as to what should be the priorityWhich should the government prioritise?Economic growth, even if it means more immigration: 37% Reducing immigration, even if it means less economi
Rishi Sunak cancelled a meeting with the Greek PM over his calls for the Parthenon Marbles to be returned to Greece
By 66% to 11% Britons think this was the wrong decision
yougov
Rishi Sunak cancelled a meeting with the Greek PM over his calls for the Parthenon Marbles to be returned to GreeceBy 66% to 11% Britons think this was the wrong decisionyougov