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17 May 20 16:15
Joined:
Date Joined: 06 Jul 10
| Topic/replies: 34,148 | Blogger: ----you-have-to-laugh---'s blog
Net Approval Ratings of Party Leaders

Keir Starmer (LAB): +24 (+6)
Nicola Sturgeon (SNP): +15 (+7)
Boris Johnson (CON): +10 (-10)
Ed Davey (LD): -4 (+3)
Nigel Farage (BRX): -20 (+2)

Via @OpiniumResearch
Pause Switch to Standard View A pinch of salt,... Approval ratings
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Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- June 24, 2022 12:27 AM BST
Bush Fair (Harlow) council by-election result:

LAB: 47.1% (+2.6)
CON: 38.2% (-6.5)
GRN: 8.6% (+1.0)
HAP: 6.0% (+6.0)

Votes cast: 1,261

Labour GAIN from Conservative.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- June 24, 2022 12:28 AM BST
Highley (Shropshire) council by-election result:

LDEM: 54.5% (+54.5)
CON: 24.1% (-9.5)
LAB: 20.7% (+7.3)
GRN: 0.8% (+0.8)

Votes cast: 1,157

No Ind (-53.0) as prev.

Liberal Democrat GAIN from Independent.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- June 24, 2022 12:37 AM BST
Hindhead (Waverley) council by-election result:

LDEM: 54.6% (+7.9)
CON: 45.4% (-1.2)

Votes cast: 983

No Lab (-6.8) as prev.

Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative.
Report politicspunter June 24, 2022 12:38 AM BST
Looking like a real stinker of a night for the tories.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- June 24, 2022 12:40 AM BST
Not huge swings, sure tories would love
similar in by elections for parliament!
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- June 24, 2022 12:56 AM BST
Port Talbot (Neath Port Talbot) council election result:

LAB: 58.1%
PC: 23.3%
IND: 15.6%
GRN: 2.9%

Labour HOLD (X3).

Lab previously elected unopposed.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- June 24, 2022 1:55 AM BST
New Malden Village (Kingston upon Thames) council election result:

LDEM: 32.8%
GRN: 23.4%
RES: 19.5%
CON: 12.6%
LAB: 11.7%

Liberal Democrat WIN (X3)

New boundaries.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- June 24, 2022 10:56 AM BST
Tiverton & Honiton parliamentary by-election result

LDEM: 52.9% (+38.1)
CON: 38.5% (-21.7)
LAB: 3.7% (-15.9)
GRN: 2.5% (-1.3)
REF: 1.1% (+1.1)
UKIP: 0.6% (-1.1)

Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- June 24, 2022 10:57 AM BST
Wakefield parliamentary by-election result

LAB: 47.9% (+8.1)
CON: 30.0% (-17.3)
IND (Akbar): 7.6% (+7.6)
YRK: 4.3% (+2.4)

Labour GAIN from Conservative.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- June 24, 2022 2:44 PM BST
ANALYSIS: Labour won Wakefield by-election after a 12 pt vote swing from Tories to Labour.

If replicated on national voting stage, Labour would win an overall majority.





Overlooks mechanisms of yesterday's vote swap
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- June 25, 2022 8:55 PM BST
Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 37% (+1)
CON: 34% (-)
LDEM: 11% (-2)
GRN: 6% (-)

via @OpiniumResearch, 22 - 24 Jun
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- June 26, 2022 12:48 PM BST
Mike smithson


Terrible polling for Johnson and good for Starmer from Opinium.

If you were forced to choose, which of these would you prefer?

A LAB government led by Keir Starmer: 46%
A CON government led by  Johnson: 35%
Report mafeking June 27, 2022 5:00 PM BST
obviously you won't get as much tactical voting at a general election but you have to think opinion polls will still underestimate the effect. very likely the next election will become get the tories out at any cost election especially in the unlikely event johnson is still the leader
Report politicspunter June 27, 2022 5:32 PM BST
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 41% (=)
CON: 34% (+1)
LDM: 15% (+2)
GRN: 4% (-1)
REF: 3% (-2)
SNP: 4% (=)

Via
@RedfieldWilton
, On 26 June,
Changes w/ 19 June.
Report politicspunter June 27, 2022 5:35 PM BST
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
@RedfieldWilton
·
24m
Tied highest % to say 'incompetent' that we've recorded.

Government Competency Rating (26 June):

Incompetent: 54% (+5)
Competent: 20% (+1)
Net: -34% (-4)

Changes +/- 19 June

https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-26-june-2022/
Report mafeking June 27, 2022 6:49 PM BST
where the hell have they found the 20% from ? Laugh
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- June 27, 2022 7:09 PM BST
Staunch supporters.

Must be near as low as it gets, 19% previous.


A bit like football markings out of 10 but nobody
gets less than 4.
Report politicspunter June 27, 2022 7:38 PM BST
True, how much less than that can it go?
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- June 28, 2022 12:38 PM BST
Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 39% (-)
CON: 34% (+1)
LDEM: 9% (-1)
GRN: 8% (+2)
REF: 4% (-)

via @YouGov, 22 - 23 Jun
Chgs. w/ 16 Jun
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- June 28, 2022 12:39 PM BST
Lib dem 9!
Report politicspunter June 28, 2022 12:40 PM BST
Bit of a surprise there Shocked
Report politicspunter June 28, 2022 1:58 PM BST
@Tomorrow'sMPs
@tomorrowsmps
·
1h
Lindsay Hoyle’s daughter Emma Fox is on 3-strong shortlist when Lab in Warrington Sth (Con maj 2,010) pick cand next Monday, 41 yrs after grandfather Doug (now Lord) Hoyle won Warrington at famous 1981 by-election.  So we could soon see 3 generations of Hoyles in Parliament.
Report politicspunter June 28, 2022 2:09 PM BST
Election Maps UK
@ElectionMapsUK
·
1h
Lib Dem Lead over Greens by Pollster:

Redfield: +11%
Kantar: +8%
Techne: +8%
Survation: +7%
Opinium: +5%
YouGov: +1%
Report politicspunter June 28, 2022 5:39 PM BST
Red Wall Voting Intention:

LAB: 46% (=)
CON: 35% (-1)
LDM: 8% (+3)
GRN: 4% (=)
REF: 3% (-3)
PLC: 1% (-1)

Via
@RedfieldWilton
, On 26-27 June,
Changes w/ 12-13 June.
Report politicspunter June 28, 2022 5:40 PM BST
Lead grows to eleven.
Report politicspunter June 28, 2022 5:51 PM BST
Smarkets News & Politics
@SmarketsPol
·
4m
Smarkets odds suggest a 59% chance that Scotland would vote for independence in a 2023 referendum (though it's worth bearing in mind that this includes the possibility of an unauthorised referendum being boycotted by unionists).
Report politicspunter June 28, 2022 6:00 PM BST
WILL LLOYD
@willgeorgelloyd
·
5h
The Greens got 2% in Wakefield 2.5% in Tiverton, I think we can now officially say that the YouGov Green figure is inflated to an extent that drastically hinders Labour’s lead.

That should be worrying for the Tories because come GE time, that 8% will flock over to Labour.
Report politicspunter June 28, 2022 6:01 PM BST
I have to agree, especially in battleground constituencies.
Report mafeking June 29, 2022 3:56 PM BST
yep when it comes to the crunch people by nature want to be on winning side if at all possible. principles and values which may be espoused in public are easily discarded in the privacy of the voting booth
Report politicspunter June 30, 2022 9:21 AM BST
Westminster Voting Intention (Scotland):

SNP: 45% (=)
LAB: 25% (+6)
CON: 18% (-7)
LDM: 8% (-2)

Via @SavantaComRes, 23-28 Jun.
Changes w/ GE2019.
Report politicspunter June 30, 2022 9:22 AM BST
New Scottish Independence poll, ComRes 23 - 28 Jun (changes vs 26 Apr - 3 May):

No ~ 46% (-1)
Yes ~ 44% (-1)
Don't Know ~ 10% (+3)

Excluding Don't Knows (/ vs 2014):
No ~ 51% (nc / -4)
Yes ~ 49% (nc / +4)

Source
@TheScotsman
: https://scotsman.com/news/politics/scottish-independence-majority-of-scots-a...
Report politicspunter June 30, 2022 9:22 AM BST
New Scottish Parliament poll, ComRes 23 - 28 Jun (changes vs 26 Apr - 3 May):

List:
SNP ~ 33% (+2)
Lab ~ 24% (+1)
Con ~ 20% (+2)
Grn ~ 13% (-1)
LD ~ 8% (-2)
Alba ~ 2% (-1)

Constituency:
SNP ~ 46% (nc)
Lab ~ 25% (nc)
Con ~ 18% (nc)
LD ~ 8% (+1)
Report politicspunter June 30, 2022 9:24 AM BST
All parties can take something from these polls. Labour have grabbed a bigger share of the unionist vote and seem to be holding on to it. The tories , although having lost a lot of ground, appear to have stopped the rot. The SNP figures are rock solid and consistent.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- June 30, 2022 11:25 AM BST
Latest Westminster voting intention (28-29 June)

Con: 33% (-1 from 22-23 June)
Lab: 36% (-3)
Lib Dem: 13% (+4)
Green: 6% (-2)
Reform UK: 3% (-1)
SNP: 5% (+1)

You gov.




Polling all over place on lib dems.. I guess
as folks consider tactical voting.
Report politicspunter June 30, 2022 12:56 PM BST
Yes, and not just the usual point here and there.
Report politicspunter June 30, 2022 5:22 PM BST
Westminster Voting Intention (29-30 June):

Labour 40% (-1)
Conservative 32% (-1)
Liberal Democrat 13% (-2)
Green 5% (+1)
Scottish National Party 5% (+1)
Reform UK 2% (-1)
Other 2% (+1)

Changes +/- 26 June

https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/magnified-email/issue-42
Report politicspunter June 30, 2022 11:08 PM BST
Berwick Hills & Pallister (Middlesbrough) Result:

LAB: 56.8% (+26.5)
IND: 32.1% (New)
CON: 8.3% (+2.8)
LDM: 1.7% (New)
GRN: 1.1% (New)

No IND (-64.2) as prev.
LAB GAIN from Independent.
Report politicspunter June 30, 2022 11:34 PM BST
Cleveleys Park (Wyre) Result:

CON: 53.7% (-9.0)
LAB: 46.3% (+9.0)

Conservative HOLD.
Changes w/ 2019.

This is in the battleground constituency Blackpool North.
Report politicspunter June 30, 2022 11:39 PM BST
Ollerton (Newark & Sherwood) council by-election result:

LAB: 64.9% (+0.6)
CON: 26.7% (-9.0)
IND: 8.4% (+8.4)

Votes cast: 1,482

Labour HOLD.
Report politicspunter June 30, 2022 11:40 PM BST
Fazakerley (Liverpool) council by-election result:

LAB: 57.5% (-25.6)
IND: 26.9% (+26.9)
LDEM: 12.2% (+8.2)
GRN: 3.3% (-1.0)

No Con (-6.6) and Lib (-1.8) as prev.

Votes cast: 2,372

Labour HOLD.
Report politicspunter July 1, 2022 8:13 AM BST
Bridlington North (East Riding of Yorkshire) council by-election result:

LDEM: 57.1% (+57.1)
CON: 31.5% (-39.5)
LAB: 5.0% (-23.9)
SDP: 3.7% (+3.7)
YRK: 2.7% (+2.7)

Votes cast: 3,416

Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative.
11:49 PM · Jun 30, 2022

Shocked
Report politicspunter July 1, 2022 9:01 AM BST
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 41% (+2)
CON: 30% (-3)
LDM: 15% (+3)

Via
@IpsosUK
, On 22-29 June,
Changes w/ 11-17 May.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 1, 2022 9:04 AM BST
Lib dems in Brid, lol.
Report politicspunter July 1, 2022 10:35 AM BST
Midway (South Derbyshire) council by-election result:

LAB: 52.6% (+14.8)
CON: 47.4% (+9.1)

No UKIP (-23.9) as prev.

Votes cast: 1,140

Labour GAIN from Conservative.
Report politicspunter July 1, 2022 10:36 AM BST
Bernwood (Buckinghamshire) council by-election result:

LDEM: 38.7% (+21.4)
GRN: 34.4% (-3.9)
CON: 24.1% (-9.8)
LAB: 2.8% (-7.7)

Votes cast: 2,996

Previous election result (multi-member): Grn, Con*, Con

Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 1, 2022 10:37 AM BST
New poll from @IpsosUK:

Labour: 41% (+2)
Cons: 30% (-3)
LibDem: 15% (+3)

(Changes since mid-May)

Oof.
Report politicspunter July 1, 2022 10:38 AM BST
A real stinker of a night for the tories and now that Ipsos poll to put the boot in.
Report politicspunter July 1, 2022 11:47 AM BST
Nowcast Model + Interactive Map (30/06):

LAB: 314 (+112) - 39.2%
CON: 236 (-129) - 32.4%
SNP: 48 (=) - 3.9%
LDM: 26 (+15) - 12.9%
PLC: 5 (+1) - 0.8%
GRN: 1 (=) - 5.4%
RFM: 0 (=) - 3.3%
IND: 1 (+1) - 2.1%

LAB 12 Short.
Changes w/ GE2019.
https://electionmaps.uk/nowcast
Report politicspunter July 1, 2022 12:29 PM BST
South Croydon (Croydon) council by-election result:

CON: 42.9% (+2.9)
LAB: 27.0% (-2.1)
LDEM: 14.7% (+0.6)
GRN: 8.8% (-5.5)
IND (Pelling): 5.2% (+5.2)
UKIP: 0.8% (-1.6)
IND (Samuel): 0.6% (+0.6)

Votes cast: 3,045

Conservative HOLD.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 1, 2022 1:20 PM BST
Tories drop to third place amongst Graduates

- @IpsosNewsPolls

LAB 40%
LDs 25%
CON 20%
GRN 8%
Report politicspunter July 2, 2022 8:30 AM BST
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/07/02/conservatives-set-lose-26-their-64-lib-dem-battleg
.

Tories under immense pressure in the South of England.
Report politicspunter July 2, 2022 4:36 PM BST
YouGov MRP (CON/LD Marginals):

CON: 38 (-26)
LDM: 24 (+24)
LAB: 2 (+2)

Via
@YouGov
, 15-29 Jun.
Changes w/ GE2019.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 2, 2022 6:41 PM BST
Had me confused, guess its seats not %






New. "In hindsight was Britain right or wrong to vote to Leave the EU?"

Right 42%
Wrong 58%


YouGov June 29.
Don't knows excluded.
Report politicspunter July 4, 2022 5:01 PM BST
Westminster Voting Intention (3 July):

Labour 41% (+1)
Conservative 35% (+3)
Liberal Democrat 11% (-2)
Green 5% (–)
Scottish National Party 3% (-2)
Reform UK 5% (+2)
Other 1% (-1)

Changes +/- 29-30 June

https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-3-july-2022
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 4, 2022 5:59 PM BST
Have to wait a few days/weeks to see if starmers
Brexit bonus gives Labour a + or —.

I imagine it was see some churn.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 4, 2022 6:00 PM BST
Will see some churn
Report politicspunter July 4, 2022 8:41 PM BST
Survation.
@Survation
·
1m
NEW - Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB 43% (+2)
CON 35% (+1)
LD 11% (+1)
SNP 3% (-1)
GRN 2% (-1)
OTH 5% (-2)

1,017 UK adults aged 18+ online, 27th June '22. Changes w/ June 17th ‘22
Report politicspunter July 6, 2022 9:52 AM BST
Britain Predicts — model update:

LAB: 306 MPs (+104)
CON: 245 (-120)
SNP: 50 (+2)
LDEM: 24 (+13)

Drilldown:
https://sotn.newstatesman.com/2022/06/britainpredicts/
Report politicspunter July 6, 2022 10:41 AM BST
Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 42% (+7)
CON: 32% (-7)
LDEM: 11% (+2)
GRN: 4% (-2)
REF: 4% (+1)

via
@BMGResearch
, 28 Jun - 01 Jul
Chgs. w/ Apr 2021 (!)
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 7, 2022 9:20 AM BST
Snap poll: The majority of Conservative party members want Boris Johnson to resign

Should resign: 59%
Should not resign: 36%

https://t.co/6phY4O4nFj

..
Report politicspunter July 7, 2022 3:16 PM BST
YouGov
@YouGov
·
1m
As he announces his resignation, Boris Johnson's net favourability hits a new low of -53

Favourable: 19% (-2 from 24-26 Jun)
Unfavourable: 72% (n/c)
Report politicspunter July 7, 2022 8:43 PM BST
Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 43% (+2)
CON: 31% (-4)
LDEM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 7% (+2)
REF: 2% (-4)

via
@RedfieldWilton
, 07 Jul
Chgs. w/ 03 Jul
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 8, 2022 8:56 AM BST
Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 40% (+1)
CON: 29% (-4)
LDEM: 15% (+2)
GRN: 6% (-)

via @YouGov


P E A K    J O H N S O N ?
Report politicspunter July 8, 2022 10:10 AM BST
Wow!
Report politicspunter July 8, 2022 2:49 PM BST
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 45% (+2)
CON: 31% (-4)
LDM: 11% (=)
SNP: 5% (+2)
GRN: 2% (=)

Via
@Survation
, 6 Jul.
Changes w/ 27 Jun.
Report politicspunter July 8, 2022 2:49 PM BST
Labour stretch lead to 14 points !
Report politicspunter July 8, 2022 3:04 PM BST
Survation.
@Survation
·
14m
NEW Westminster VI
Labour's vote share reaches new 2019 parliament heights - 45% with a 14 point lead over the Conservatives - not seen since 2013:
Report SirNorbertClarke July 8, 2022 4:28 PM BST
All these polls could be fish & chip paper when the Tories elect a new PM.

If they elect someone prepared to distance themselves from Boris and his cronies they could get a considerable bounce.
Report politicspunter July 8, 2022 4:32 PM BST
I agree. In fact, it's almost certain.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 8, 2022 5:47 PM BST
No wonder torp mps found a conscience
Report jollyswagman July 8, 2022 5:51 PM BST
up to now the polling says its a bozo problem not a tory party problem. change leader and its all in play again. i mentioned elsewhere that no party which won an 80 seat majority has ever lost the next election, that is the scale of what labour are up against.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 8, 2022 5:54 PM BST
Very much so, but there have been exceptional circumstances
in last 2 elections.

Lots of mps are well liked in constituency which
helps them in general election. So big turnarounds
are difficult to achieve.
Report jollyswagman July 8, 2022 6:13 PM BST
the economy is likely to be problematical to say the least so it wont necessarily work out well for whoever becomes pm.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 8, 2022 7:00 PM BST
Indeed, but personal votes for sitting mps
can hold up, even against big swings.

One of the reasons by elections can be so volatile
Report SirNorbertClarke July 8, 2022 8:14 PM BST
the economy is likely to be problematical to say the least so it wont necessarily work out well for whoever becomes pm.

The public want tax cuts but they also want a functioning NHS, police force, decent state pensions, etc etc.

As Rishi has hinted, someone needs to explain to them that all these things need a strong economy and Brexit has done our economy great damage.
Report politicspunter July 9, 2022 8:09 PM BST
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 38% (+1)
CON: 33% (-1)
LDM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 6% (=)
SNP: 3% (-1)

Via
@OpiniumResearch
, On 6-8 July,
Changes w/ 22-24 June.
Report politicspunter July 11, 2022 4:46 PM BST
POLL: Westminster Voting Intention

LAB: 43% (+2)
CON: 28% (-4)
LD: 12% (+1)
GRN: 4% (+1)
SNP: 4% (-)

Via
@SavantaComRes
, 8-10 July
Changes w/ 1-3 July

Holy feck Shocked
Report politicspunter July 11, 2022 4:47 PM BST
Largest lead for any party in any poll since May 2021
Lowest Conservative vote share in any poll since September 2019 (Lib Dems were on 22%, Brexit Party in 16%)
Largest Labour lead in any poll since February 2013
Report politicspunter July 11, 2022 5:43 PM BST
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 42% (-1)
CON: 31% (=)
LDM: 12% (=)
GRN: 5% (-2)
REF: 5% (+3)
SNP: 4% (+1)

Via
@RedfieldWilton
, On 10 July,
Changes w/ 7 July.
Report politicspunter July 12, 2022 2:06 PM BST
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
@RedfieldWilton
·
5m
Labour lead by 14% in the Red Wall.

Red Wall Voting Intention (11 July):

Labour 46% (–)
Conservative 32% (-3)
Reform UK 7% (+4)
Liberal Democrat 10% (+2)
Green 4% (–)
Plaid Cymru 0% (-1)
Other 1% (-1)

Changes +/- 26-27 June

https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-red-wall-voting-intention-11-july-2022
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 14, 2022 6:06 PM BST
Conservative leadership candidates favourability ratings (13-14 Jul)

Sunak: 29% fav / 60% unfav
Mordaunt: 22% / 29%
Truss: 19% / 50%
Tugendhat: 17% / 24%
Badenoch: 11% / 25%

Yougov
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 14, 2022 6:06 PM BST
% of Britons who say they "don't know" how they feel about [x] Conservative leadership candidate (13-14 Jul)

Sunak: 13% (-2 from 10-11 Jul)
Truss: 30% (-4)
Mordaunt: 49% (-9)
Tugendhat: 59% (-4)
Badenoch: 64% (first time asked)
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 15, 2022 9:34 AM BST
Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 40% (-)
CON: 29% (-)
LDEM: 13% (-2)
GRN: 7% (+1)

via @YouGov
Report politicspunter July 15, 2022 12:02 PM BST
Nowcast Model + Interactive Map (15/07):

LAB: 327 (+125) - 41.1%
CON: 216 (-149) - 30.8%
SNP: 49 (+1) - 3.9%
LDM: 32 (+21) - 12.5%
PLC: 5 (+1) - 0.8%
GRN: 1 (=) - 5.2%
RFM: 0 (=) - 3.4%
Others: 1 (+1) - 2.2%

LAB Majority of 4.
Changes w/ GE2019.
https://electionmaps.uk/nowcast
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 16, 2022 4:51 PM BST
Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 42% (-)
CON: 31% (-1)
LDEM: 12% (+2)
GRN: 6% (-1)

via @JLPartnersPolls, 12 - 14 Jul
Report politicspunter July 18, 2022 5:06 PM BST
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
@RedfieldWilton
·
5m
Labour leads by 10%.

Westminster Voting Intention (17 July):

Labour 42% (–)
Conservative 32% (+1)
Liberal Democrat 12% (–)
Green 5% (–)
Scottish National Party 4% (–)
Reform UK 3% (-2)
Other 2% (+1)

Changes +/- 10 July
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 18, 2022 5:29 PM BST
Refuk loons returning to tories to support bad Enoch?
Report politicspunter July 18, 2022 5:34 PM BST
Once voters have had a chance to take in the catfights that have been advertised as TV debates, who knows where we will be?
Report politicspunter July 18, 2022 5:34 PM BST
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
@RedfieldWilton
·
4m
Tied highest % to say "incompetent" that we've recorded.

Government Competency Rating (17 July):

Incompetent: 54% (+1)
Competent: 17% (+1)
Net: -37% (–)

Changes +/- 10 July
Report politicspunter July 21, 2022 12:07 PM BST
Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 37% (+1)
CON: 33% (-1)
LDEM: 13% (-)
GRN: 7% (+2)

via
@KantarPublic
, 14 - 18 Jul
Chgs. w/ Jun
Report politicspunter July 21, 2022 6:12 PM BST
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 43% (=)
CON: 30% (+2)
LDM: 11% (-1)
SNP: 4% (=)
GRN: 4% (=)

Via
@SavantaComRes
, On 15-17 July,
Changes w/ 8-10 July.
Report politicspunter July 23, 2022 9:06 PM BST
Labour lead at eleven points in latest results from Deltapoll for The Mail on Sunday.
Con 31%
Lab 42%
Lib Dem 10%
Other 17%
Fieldwork: 21-23 July 2022
Sample: 1,588
Report politicspunter July 23, 2022 9:07 PM BST
That is a substantial lead.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 23, 2022 9:18 PM BST
That. Is. A. Disgrace.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- July 27, 2022 12:47 PM BST
By 69% to 22%, Britons continue to think Boris Johnson should resign as PM

Tory voters are now split 46/46, however, having supported him going by 54% to 33% at the beginning of July
Report mafeking July 28, 2022 12:50 PM BST
obviously tory voters can't believe how idiotic the MPs are in offering up johnson's numbers 2 and 3 as an alternative PM. more of the same that's gonna work obviously Crazy
Report thegiggilo July 29, 2022 10:04 PM BST
Lexden and Braiswick (Colchester) council by-election result:

CON: 63.7% (+11.8)
LDEM: 28.8% (+6.6)
LAB: 7.5% (-7.4)

No Grn (-11.1) as prev.

Votes cast: 2,154

Conservative HOLD

Starmer smashing through the tory vote,imagine a place where the tory vote increases this place must be a racist hell,another place to avoid like the plague..
Report markzzz July 30, 2022 7:44 AM BST
^ People you have never spoken to, and never even met can all be classified as racist because they have a different political opinion to you. Such bigoted views never cease to amaze me. (I wish that it did surprise me, but unfortunately it doesn't)
Report thegiggilo August 2, 2022 10:44 PM BST
Britain Elects
@BritainElects
Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 35% (-4)
CON: 34% (+2)
LDEM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 7% (-1)

via
@YouGov
, 27 - 28 Jul


Tory mark 2 going well..
Report politicspunter August 2, 2022 11:11 PM BST
UK (GB), Ipsos MORI poll:

LAB-S&D: 44% (+3)
CON~ECR: 30%
LDEM-RE: 10% (-5)
GREENS-G/EFA: 8% (+2)
SNP-G/EFA: 5%
REFORM~NI: 1%
UKIP~ID: 1% (+1)
PC-G/EFA: 0% (-1)

+/- vs. 22-29 Jun

Fieldwork: 21-27 July 2022
Sample size: 1,052
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