A pinch of salt,... Approval ratings

This isn't my main job like you sitting around slacking with your tóng zhìs drinking hot water all day putting bets on.

Butter is Britons' preferred spread in a sandwich by a clear margin

Butter: 59%
Margarine: 13%
Mayonnaise: 11%
Something else: 5%

No spread: 6%

yougov.

Perverts

Sick, just plain sick.

Poll Analysis: Survation 1st - 15th of November 2024

Holyrood Seats Projection:
SNP ~ 38
Labour ~ 36
Conservative ~ 21
Reform UK ~ 14
Green ~ 10
Lib Dem ~ 10

Independence:
No ~ 52% : Yes ~ 48% ballotbox.scot/survation

Won't be long now,give it another year that pro independence will the biggest ever,there's only one way that's going then the rise of the SNP again,Scotland will never be conned again..

British Electoral Politics
@electpoliticsuk
Westminster Voting Intention:

CON: 27% (+2)
LAB: 25% (-9)
REF: 22% (+8)
LDM: 12% (-)
GRN: 9% (+2)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via
@FindoutnowUK
, On 27th November,
Changes w/ GE2024.


What a sh1t show, labour losing council seats everywhere on huge swings the sooner we get a good dose of facism and the peasents feel it the sooner we can end late stage capitalism,although i'm now even questioning elections in the West.After what's happened in Gaza and a genocude enabled,then rigging an election is small fry,i will never vote again till at least PR is introdiced,but i suspect ISRAEL won' let us do that as they will own everything we have..Welcoming facism with open arms,looks like the peasents are going to learn thw hard way...

If good people stop voting the bad people have won.

BREAKING: Plaid lead Senedd poll, Reform 2nd

BREAKING: Plaid lead Senedd poll, Reform 2nd

PLAID: 24% (+3)
REF: 23% (+22)
LAB: 23% (-13)
CON: 19% (-6)
GRN: 6% (+2)
LD: 5% (+1)


Via
@YouGov
, 25-29 Nov (+/- vs 2021 election)  There's only one way these polls go now

CON: 26% (-1)
REF: 24% (+2)
LAB: 23% (-2)
LDEM: 11% (-1)
GRN: 9% (-)

via @FindoutnowUK, 04 Dec

Sunday Times seat projection for Holyrood 2026 shows John Swinney’s SNP is miles ahead.

Does Scottish Labour think voting against the SG’s Budget will turn this situation around?

Con 19
Lab 20
Lib Dem 11
SNP  59
Reform Green 13
Green 7

It looks like the
@theSNP
Decision to lift the two-child benefit cap is electoral gold. Who knew?

Reform been making an Effort for a very short time , Polling numbers unrealstic TBH ,How many Candidates did they run at the last Election ?

If the polling figures are a True reflection and 4 years to Go , They would be a certainty to be Next government ,Or at least part of a Coalition

how Starmer or Labour can turn things around is anyones guess, to be saying this 5 months in is unbelievable


I like many more were quite happy to give them a Chance for Change ,Starmer is actually talking about a ten year Strategy

I have actually blocked him on Twitter I cannot even look at his Tweets , I have never blocked any MP  on there

And follow many from all sides ,Galloway and Blackford the only two who have blocked me , I dont know why

I dont even block folks who attack what I say , ,Most people on there agree to differ regardless of differences and we go on our way .

From the guy who thinks they branded porridge unhealthy.

At least you found the CAPSLOC

It's 9 December, and 51% of Britons now have their Christmas decorations up

Have put up: 51% (+21 from 2 Dec)
Not put up yet: 30% (-19)
Not putting any up: 18% (=)

yougov.

When questioned about Reform UK MP James Murdock's conviction for assault, Nigel Farage has said the conviction 18 years ago is "irrelevant" because it is now spent - but 68% of Britons (including 66% of Reform voters) say politicians' old convictions for past violent crimes DO remain relevant

Yougov

Looking back, would you say 2024 has been a good or a bad year?

A good/great year: 27%
An average year: 39%
A bad/terrible year: 33%

yougov.


And looking forward, do you think 2025 will be a good or a bad year?

A good/great year: 40%
An average year: 28%
A bad/terrible year: 18%

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 29% (=)
CON: 23% (-2)
REFUK: 22% (+1)
LDEM: 11% (+1)
GRN: 10% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @OpiniumResearch, 18-20 Dec.
Changes w/ 27-29 Nov

What has been the single most significant historical event of the last 25 years, according to Britons

1. Covid: 26%
2. 9/11: 24%
3. Queen dying: 11%
4. Ukraine war: 7%
5. Brexit: 5%

yougov.

Poll by Deltapoll for Mail on Sunday
Lab 30% +1
Con 23% -4
Reform 22% +4
(change since Nov; other parties not given)

In our first @moreincommonuk.bsky.social  voting intention of 2025, Labour & Tories remain at 26%. Reform is at 22% - the highest figure we’ve recorded for them

CON 26% (nc)
LAB 26% (nc)
REFUK 22% (+3)
LIB DEM 12% ( -1)
GREEN 7% (-1)
SNP 3% (nc)

N = 2,011 6 - 8 Jan, Change w 10 Dec

Our first voting intention since the general election shows a close contest between Labour and Reform UK (12-13 Jan 2025)

Labour: 26%
Reform UK: 25%
Conservatives: 22%
Lib Dems: 14%
Green: 8%
SNP: 3%

yougov

The number of Britons saying the economy is one of the most important issues facing the country has reached its highest level in 15 months

Economy: 57% (+6 from 4-6 Jan 2025)
Health: 45% (=)
Immigration: 44% (-1)
Housing: 21% (=)
Crime: 20% (+1)
Environment: 19% (+2)
Defence: 18% (+1)
Taxation: 12% (-3)

yougov.

Westminster Voting Intention (Scotland):

SNP: 33%
LAB: 24%
REF: 15%
CON: 14%
LD: 9%
GRN: 4%
OTH: 1%

7th - 13th Jan

Survation

Spain has proposed a 100% tax on homes bought by non-EU residents

By 53% to 27%, Britons would support a similar scheme in the UK for non-residents
Yougov

Westminster voting intention

CON: 25% (+5)
REF: 25% (-)
LAB: 24% (-1)
LDEM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 10% (-1)

via @FindoutnowUK, 15 Jan

REF: 26% (+1)
CON: 23% (-2)
LAB: 22% (-2)
LDEM: 12% (-)
GRN: 10% (-)

via @FindoutnowUK, 22 Jan
Chgs. w/ 15 Jan

What impact has Brexit had on yourself personally?

All Britons
Positive: 8%
Negative: 45%
No impact: 38%

Leave voters
Positive: 17%
Negative: 19%
No impact: 57%

Remain voters
Positive: 0%
Negative: 74%
No impact: 22%

yougov

Westminster voting intention

LAB: 26% (+1)
REF: 24% (-)
CON: 23% (-1)
LDEM: 12% (-1)
GRN: 7% (-)

via @techneUK, 29 Jan
Chgs. w/ 22 Jan

Yougov 2/3 feb

Ref: 25% (+2 from 26-27 Jan)
Lab: 24% (-3)
Con: 21% (-1)
Lib Dem: 14% (=)
Green: 9% (=)
SNP: 3% (=)

When is Bad Enoch getting chucked?

Who are the most popular kings and queens since 1066?

Top 10
1. Elizabeth II: +74 net score
2. Victoria: +50
3. George VI: +40
4. Elizabeth I: +36
5. George V: +30
6. Richard the Lionheart: +29
7. Charles III: +27
8. Edward VII: +14
9. William the Conqueror: +12
10. Henry V: +10

...

https://x.com/YouGov/status/1887783291685900636?s=19

..

Full list

Westminster voting intention

LAB: 27% (-1)
REF: 26% (-1)
CON: 22% (+1)
LDEM: 11% (-)
GRN: 8% (-)

via @OpiniumResearch, 07 Feb

Westminster voting intention

REF: 29% (+2)
LAB: 25% (+2)
CON: 18% (-3)
LDEM: 13% (+2)
GRN: 10% (-)

via @FindoutnowUK, 05 Feb

Yougov

Who do Britons think would make the best prime minister?

Keir Starmer vs Kemi Badenoch
Starmer: 31%
Badenoch: 20%

Keir Starmer vs Nigel Farage
Starmer: 36%
Farage: 26%

Keir Starmer vs Ed Davey
Starmer: 24%
Davey: 16%

Kemi Badenoch vs Nigel Farage
Badenoch: 22%
Farage: 22%

Kemi Badenoch vs Ed Davey
Davey: 26%
Badenoch: 17%

Nigel Farage vs Ed Davey
Davey: 30%
Farage: 25%

Bad Enoch departure time is nearer daily.

She is unelectable.

REF: 29% (-)
LAB: 23% (-2)
CON: 21% (+3)
LDEM: 12% (-1)
GRN: 9% (-1)

via @FindoutnowUK, 45700
Chgs. w/ 05 Feb

Do you think a peace treaty negotiated between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin on the Ukraine conflict would be better for Ukraine, better for Russia, or be more of a compromise for both sides?

Better for Russia than Ukraine: 51%
More of a compromise for both sides: 23%
Better for Ukraine than Russia: 5%

More

https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/survey-results/daily/2025/02/13/d09ad/3

..

With Donald Trump seeming to suggest that Ukraine is responsible for the war with Russia, just 3% of Britons would agree

Russia is entirely/mostly responsible: 77%
Both sides are equally responsible: 8%
Ukraine is entirely/mostly responsible: 3%

It's the 40th anniversary of Eastenders - so which soap opera do Britons say is their favourite?

EastEnders: 9%
Coronation Street: 8%
Emmerdale: 7%
Hollyoaks: 2%
Something else: 2%
N/A - I don't like any soap operas: 68%

Labour and the LibDems must be laughing their heads off as Farage and Bad Enoch continue to drift further right, splitting their vote in two and away from the central ground where elections are won.

Hopefully you are still solvent, and will be playing in the next uk ge.

Donald Trump, net favourability scores

Lib Dem: -84
Labour: -82
Conservative: -40
Reform UK: +38

yougov.


Vladimir Putin, net favourability scores
Labour: -94
Conservative: -92
Lib Dem: -91
Reform UK: -68


Volodymyr Zelenskyy, net favourability scores
Lib Dem: +75
Labour: +66
Conservative: +65
Reform UK: +12





Volodymyr Zelenskyy: +48
Donald Trump: -51
Vladimir Putin: -85

yougov.

We're delighted to be the most accurate pollster for the 2025 German federal election - successfully detailing the reality of the race.  Our final call voting intention poll was within one percentage point of the results for almost all parties

A big congratulations to Frieder Schmid, Martha Posthofen, Lea Königshofen, Patrick English and everyone else who worked so hard to make this happen!

yougov.


Self praise and all that, but a remarkable effort,

Top pollster, very seldom way off the mark.

REF: 25% (-1)
LAB: 24% (-1)
CON: 22% (+1)
LDEM: 16% (+2)
GRN: 8% (-1)

via @YouGov, 23 - 24 Feb
Chgs. w/ 10 Feb

Four party shootout?

Would be brilliant, but I think deals would be done before
they allowed it to happen.

CON: 25% (-1)
REF: 24% (-)
LAB: 23% (-1)
LDEM: 16% (+3)
GRN: 8% (+2)

via @Moreincommon_, 21 - 24 Feb
Chgs. w/ 03 Feb

Nine points separate the top four again. Not much in it.

More a pinch of sugar, than salt with this one

It's Shrove Tuesday today, and 39% of Britons say they will be making or eating pancakes today - although this is down from 47% four years ago

Will: 39% (-8 from Feb 2021)
Will not: 45% (+4)

Yougov asking the important questions again

Is it ruder to give someone the Vs or show someone the finger?

Middle finger: 40%
Giving the Vs: 4%
Both equally offensive: 42%

REF: 26% (-2)
LAB: 25% (+2)
CON: 21% (-)
LDEM: 12% (-1)
GRN: 10% (-)

via @FindoutnowUK,



LAB: 28% (+2)
REF: 25% (-)
CON: 21% (-1)
LDEM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 7% (-1)

via @TechneUK, 05 - 06 Feb

LAB: 28% (-)
REF: 27% (+1)
CON: 20% (-1)
LDEM: 12% (-)
GRN: 8% (-)

via @OpiniumResearch, 05 - 07 Mar
Chgs. w/ 21 Feb

Who do Britons see as the UK's closest ally?

United States: 17%
France: 15%
Canada: 7%
Australia: 6%
Ireland: 3%
Ukraine: 3%
Germany: 2%
New Zealand: 1%
Portugal: 1%

Don't know: 41%

yougov.


What a question!

You gov

Lab: 24% (-2 from 2-3 Mar)
Ref: 23% (-2)
Con: 22% (+1)
Lib Dem: 15% (+1)
Green: 9% (=)
SNP: 3% (=)

LAB: 25% (-1)
REF: 25% (+1)
CON: 23% (-1)
LDEM: 14% (+1)
GRN: 8% (+1)

via @Moreincommon_, 07 - 10 Mar

CON: 25% (-)
LAB: 25% (-4)
REF: 23% (+1)
LDEM: 11% (-)
GRN: 9% (+1)

via @DeltapollUK, 14 - 17 Mar
Chgs. w/ 17 Jan

Half of Reform UK voters say they distrust the COVID vaccine - this despite 77% having taken it, and 68% trusting vaccines in general

% who trust the COVID vaccine
Lib Dem: 82%
Con: 81%
Lab: 79%
Reform: 46%

% who trust vaccines in general
Lab: 90%
Lib Dem: 90%
Con: 89%
Reform: 68%

LAB: 26% (-2)
REF: 26% (-1)
CON: 21% (+1)
LDEM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 8% (-)

via @OpiniumResearch, 19 - 21 Mar
Chgs. w/ 07 Mar

LAB: 27% (+1)
CON: 23% (+1)
REF: 23% (-2)
LDEM: 14% (+1)
GRN: 7% (-1)

via @TechneUK,  20 Mar
Chgs. w/ 27 Feb

REF: 27% (+1)
LAB: 22% (-3)
CON: 21% (-)
LDEM: 14% (+2)
GRN: 11% (+1)

via @FindoutnowUK, 19th March
Chgs. w/ 05 Mar

A new study has suggested the average price of a pint is about to break the £5 mark nationally - but how expensive does that sound to Britons for their local area?

Very expensive: 26%
Fairly expensive: 29%
About average: 26%
Very/fairly cheap: 6%



% saying that £5 for a pint sounds expensive in...

London: 37%
Scotland: 52%
Rest of South: 53%
*Nationally: 55%*
Wales: 59%
Midlands: 63%
North: 65%

Mar 24, 2025 -- 4:04PM, ----you-have-to-laugh--- wrote:

REF: 27% (+1)LAB: 22% (-3)CON: 21% (-)LDEM: 14% (+2)GRN: 11% (+1)via @FindoutnowUK, 19th MarchChgs. w/ 05 Mar

That Labour figure looks far too low.

REF: 26% (-1)
LAB: 23% (+1)
CON: 22% (+1)
LDEM: 12% (-2)
GRN: 11% (-)

via @FindoutnowUK, 26 Mar
Chgs. w/ 19 Mar

(30-31 Mar) youguv

Lab: 24% (+1 from 23-24 Mar)
Ref: 23% (+1)
Con: 21% (-1)
Lib Dem: 14% (-2)
Green: 11% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)

REF: 28% (+2)
LAB: 22% (-1)
CON: 20% (-2)
LDEM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 11% (-)

via @FindoutnowUK, 02 Apr

Wow, would never have believed that!

LAB: 24% (-1)
REF: 24% (-)
CON: 23% (-)
LDEM: 13% (-1)
GRN: 8% (-)

via @TechneUK, 02 - 03 Apr
Chgs. w/ 27 Mar

That seems more realistic.

Just 2 different companies, different models, one likely panics after locals.

But locals are difficult to extrapolate because of all the tactical stuff.

Westminster Voting Intention in Wales:

LAB 29% (-8)
REF 25% (+8)
PC 18% (+3)
CON 15% (-3)
LD 6% (-1)
GRE 6% (+1)
Other 1% (-1)

Changes vs. 2024 General Election
Survation





New Senedd polling shows Labour in the lead but with Reform and Plaid close behind.

LAB 27%
REF 24%
PC 24%
CON 15%
LD 5%
GRE 5%
OTH 1%

F/w 10th March - 3rd April.

LAB: 24% (-)
REF: 23% (-)
CON: 22% (+1)
LDEM: 17% (+3)
GRN: 9% (-2)

via @YouGov, 06 - 07 Apr

(local election bounce!)

LAB: 24% (-)
REF: 24% (-)
CON: 22% (-1)
LDEM: 15% (+2)
GRN: 8% (-)

via @TechneUK, 11 Apr

latest Polling Canada seat averages:

LPC: 206 (+46)
CPC: 115 (-4)
BQ: 18 (-14)
NDP: 2 (-23)
GPC: 2 (-)

- April 11, 2025 -

(Seat Changes With 2021 Federal Election)

canadianpolling.substack.com


Dunno how good these guys are.

The Liberals (thanks to Trump) have a solid and consistent lead. Their vote is extremely efficient, maximising the number of ridings (seats) in key geographical regions. Most polling companies have their lead around the 6 point mark but apparently one to be released tomorrow has them 13 points ahead now.

70% of Britons think that immigration has been too high over the past decade

Too high: 70% (+2 from 22-24 Mar)
About right: 16% (=)
Too low: 4% (+1)

You gov,... Too low?, lol

In the 1970s, half of men and 40% of women over the age of 16 reported smoking cigarettes. Since then, smoking rates have steadily fallen. Now just 12% of men and 10% of women.



Around 11% of the adult population in Great Britain vapes:

- 53% of them are ex-smokers
- 39% are current smokers and
- 8% are never smokers

Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention (21-22 April)

Ref: 25% (+2 from 13-14 Apr)
Lab: 23% (-1)
Con: 20% (-1)
Lib Dem: 16% (+2)
Green: 10% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)

Here is the list of the top 10 "sexiest women" in the UK:

1. Amanda Holden
2. Lily Allen
3. Stacey Solomon
4. Angela Rayner
5. Cat Deeley
6. Maya Jama
7. Katie Piper
8. Holly Willoughby
9. Zara McDermott
10. Carol Vorderman

Who voted in this poll—people who were blind and drunk?



From twitter, but the comment seems fair.

Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention (27-28 April)

Ref: 26% (+1 from 21-22 Apr)
Lab: 23% (=)
Con: 20% (=)
Lib Dem: 15% (-1)
Green: 9% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)

Runcorn and Helsby by-election, model forecast

LAB: 36% (-17)
REF: 35% (+17)
CON: 11% (-5)
GRN: 9% (+3)
LDEM: 7% (+2)

via Britain Predicts, the @BNHWalker model




Out the window for a by election, of course

How do them 11% tories and 16% lefties split?

Our forecast for today's local elections:

CON: 483 seats (-538 on 2021)
LAB: 334 (+72)
LDEM: 314 (+104)
REF: 311 (+311)
GRN: 56 (+17)
OTH: 109 (-1)

Council-by-council drilldown:
newstatesman.com

Amid severe seat losses for the Conservatives and Labour in the local elections, just 23% of Britons say they would rather two larger parties dominated British politics

Two larger parties: 23%
More smaller parties: 46%

REF
677
677
(Reform UK: 677 councillors, 677 councillors gained)
LD
370
163
(Liberal Democrat: 370 councillors, 163 councillors gained)
CON
317
676
(Conservative: 317 councillors, 676 councillors lost)
LAB
99
186
(Labour: 99 councillors, 186 councillors lost)
IND
89
20
(Independent: 89 councillors, 20 councillors lost)
GRN
80
45 gained

Wowsers

Reform are projected to win 30% of the vote, with Labour 20%, the Lib Dems on 17%, Tories on 15% and Greens on 11%.

Ref: 29% (+3 from 27-28 Apr)
Lab: 22% (-1)
Con: 17% (-3)
Lib Dem: 16% (+1)
Green: 10% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)

Youguv

5/6 may

Westminster voting intention

REF: 32% (+9)
LAB: 22% (-4)
CON: 19% (-5)
LDEM: 13% (-1)
GRN: 9% (+1)

via @BMGResearch, 06 - 08 May
Chgs. w/ 27 Mar

What is happening is quite incredible, I would never have believed it. Where we go from here, who knows, other than Bad Enoch must be way past her time.

It's somewhat like the birth of social Democrats, but refuk have advantage
of that knowledge, so may not make same errors.

REFUK 30 (+4)
LAB 25 (-1)
CON 18 (-4)
LDEM 13 (+1)
GRN 7 (-)
OTH 7 (-)

F/w 2nd - 5th May 2025. Changes vs 3rd May.

Survation

Absolutely nobody saw it coming.

Looks like remaining tory voters are switching directly to Reform.

You would have thought that the tories would have learned after Rishi but no, they chose a candidate that can never win.

That's why labour support has cratered