Politics
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20 Mar 16
21:40
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Date Joined:
27 Jan 02
1) Brexit - Cameron and Osborne are gone before the July Meet at Newmarket. Leaving a truly swivel-eyed rogues-gallery of Right-Wing nutters with the reins of power. Also the end of the Monarchy in sight before The Queen's demise, as Scotland leads the break-up of the UK. Re Next PM market - it cannot now be Michael Gove who, as Rupert Murdoch's pathic, has offended the Queen.
2) Remain - George Osborne's main plank will be rising house-prices, and if he cannot guarantee a safe rise until 23rd June, he should not be Chancellor. If house-prices are rising intothe referendum, one would be 85% sure of Remain. If they are stalling or falling, 85% sure of Brexit.
3) The one politician who could still win either side is Theresa May.
2) Remain - George Osborne's main plank will be rising house-prices, and if he cannot guarantee a safe rise until 23rd June, he should not be Chancellor. If house-prices are rising intothe referendum, one would be 85% sure of Remain. If they are stalling or falling, 85% sure of Brexit.
3) The one politician who could still win either side is Theresa May.
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Replies: 44
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The one thing we can be sure of is that Jeremy Corbyn will never be Prime Minister.
You can bet your dole money on that. |
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Looking a certainty the lunatic Johnson to be prime minister
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Osborne is a dead duck as far as the leadership is concerned.
I think a lot of Tories will shy away from Boris when it comes to it. If enough do then Teresa must be a good bet. |
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fair shout salmon!
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I think Osbourne is disliked immensely and will not win a leadership contest. those guys need to be thinking about their jobs and how much money they can make while they have their jobs as MP's.
I think the Chump Factor might be enough for them to vote for Boris. Theresa May is emerging though. I am not a Tory to be fair so dont know what is going on with them. Whatever happens I think Cameron is a lame duck whatever the Referendum result. |
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Unfortunately Mrs May doesn't want to lead the party. 10 years ago yes she did,but have it on very good authority that's not now the case.
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Brexit will still fail, as the real capitalists, who rule, don't want it, but,
as predicted last year, King Boris will eventually take over from his old Etonian chum, Dave. Btw, while I was down Cheltenham way, I noticed that Dave isn't very popular at the moment, even in his own constituency ( to the east). "LEAVE" signs everywhere in fields across the Cotswolds and down to Bath. |
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George, gove, and smith are nowhere now, just like poor ould Nige.
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If Johnson is to have any chance he will have to jettison his wife.
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hopefully none of the disgusting despicable shower will lead our country ever again,divide and conquer is the old tory con trick its whether enough fools fall for it
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They don't "lead" the country, angst.
They just obey orders from the real capitalists. Most politicians couldn't run a penny-bun stall, including poor ould jeremy who will never have power ( just like Nige). |
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Unless Boris is a disaster leading the out campaign it is hard to see him not succeeding cameron. If he wins the referendum he will be the hero. If in wins then there are going to be a lot of disgruntled tories hard to see them electing somene who stole their dream of leading leaving boris in a strong position as a man who wanted out.
Right now osborne looks a busted flush but a week is a long time in politics. |
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Spot on, Mighty!
Boris wins whatever happens. By 2022, when brexit still hasn't occurred, he'll just say that circumstances have changed and get another cushy little number. Will it be the Olympics or soccer or something? maybe he'll be mayor again. DaveC will be a billionaire by then. Jeremy, nige, smith, gove, osbourne will be nowhere but all very comfortably off. |
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Boris is not leading the OUT campaign, no one has had the official nod off the electoral commission yet and will not until April 15th. If GO get the funding Boris will just be popping up now and then, as VOTE LEAVE will not have the funds for mass campaigning.
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I thought perhaps such a prominent intellectual like yourself burton might be at the forefront of such a demanding and gripping campaign.
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Burton for BRITTANIA
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I have already done 4 out of the last 5 Saturdays so far on behalf of GO/LEAVE.EU, thankfully we have this Easter free. I'm sure you will put as much effort and commitment in on behalf of the remain campaign when they actually get around to doing anything.
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It's funny seeing everybody coming round. What's the old saying? First they ridicule you. Then they denounce you. Then they pretend they knew all along. Or something like that.
 I said straight away this was a master stroke by Boris where he could hardly lose. |
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Not before myself, ET/Norris!  Many ultra-conservatives were saying Boris wasn't even an MP when I was on about him going to the top. I may have read a recent post from ye wrong as it is unclear; 'twas on the thread about who is doing all the deleting. Needless to say, both ye and krappen are all over it. Ye appear to say that ye have never deleted anyone and never had a post deleted. However, I fully recall ye getting the hump and telling us al ye were jacking over some censorship or other. Of course, your huff only lasted a day or two before ye were back on here posting. Perhaps, ye were saying that Meadows never did the things ye mentioned? 'Twas unclear what ye meant. |
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My point is that ye are on here so much, ye cannot remember wtf ye said.
How is your old side-kick pawras, btw? |
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when we vote to brexit scotland will call another referndum
and the people will be asked to leave a free vibrant UK and join the sinking euro not a chance they will vote for that |
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Even if ye vote brexit, ye won't have left by 2020.
King |Boris will not be bate. |
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If we vote to leave, then surely Boris will be favourite for the tory leadership. Currently leave is 7/4 and Boris next leader is 7/4
So betting the double is the sensible option rather than 2 singles? |
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That is a contingency bet so even if taken wont be paid.
Not so sure about Boris,an amoral man with few principles. Would worry about Theresa May too,has too much in common with Merkel. |
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Don't see much in common between May and Merkel. I can't see Theresa inviting a million more migrants some how. Ms May might be competent but to my mind has zero charisma or popular appeal. If there is a Brexit vote, I would expect a total clear out of the senior tories on both sides of the debate.
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They are both childless,this means they don't think about the next generation and tend to be selfish.
Merkel made what she considered a noble gesture so the people would love her,so she would go down in history. |
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Fascinating to see the A Team of Capitalism split asunder! They are all good for nothing, truth be told. Btw, Angela is hard, May is harsh and unwell. Make money gambling them if ye can, but remember that Boris will be King. Nu-labor, ewe-krap, et al, will NEVER have power. They are futile and just for losers to whinge. |
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All parties are split all the time behind the scenes. Every so often an issue causes the differences to come out in public.
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this sunday morning i will collect 1k leaflets from labourleave.org..and will post them in my area, i can say the majority of people who i know who are all labour voters will vote out!
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In my circles the Tories are for out and the left for in. I am going to have no sympathetic friends at this rate.
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Interesting splits but the Daily Telegraph online poll of readers who bother to vote (so not a balanced sample) shows 75% for leave. Also recently, a poll of expats in Spain who are eligible to vote showed the majority would not vote at all, but of those who will, there was a small majority for leave. The evidence is stacking up that despite all of the politician's rhetoric, the grass roots are for leaving.
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sean
Shake your head and clear it of the meths man. Me becoming frustrated by the censorship is evidence that I am against it. |
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ET were you a member of the famous Oldham Conservative club in your formative years
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Manc cornershop man ET/Norris has broken all records and finally said something half sensible!
This was on the thread about ewe-krap not being able to take the pressure and starting to split and crack. The rats, after years of activism on here, are now running to "Leave". Money talks. I guess they get a bit more than a £ a round with their paper deliveries. There are some wealthy heavy weights among the "Leave" crowd. I saw several of their posters on major estates ( farmland not council houses) while down around Cheltenham. King Boris will take no prisoners. |
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'Tis only a problem for the unprincipled, who follow a leader rather than a code.
Whichever way ye vote, the UK will not exit before 2020, if at all. King Boris will rule, barring mishap. |
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The EU may not exist by 2020.
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I'm certainly a doubtful runner myself, sage! No man knows the future. |
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ditto Sean, Just trying to stay alive for 5 more years to pass on more to my offspring without paying the pernicious estate duty..
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