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Nicolux
14 Jun 12 14:34
Joined:
Date Joined: 14 Jun 12
| Topic/replies: 7 | Blogger: Nicolux's blog
http://www.businessinsider.com/secret-polls-suggest-new-democracy-will-win-sundays-election-today-2012-6
Pause Switch to Standard View Greece - SECRET POLLS = FrEe Money !!!
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Report conspiracywackjob June 14, 2012 5:04 PM BST
the banksters will rig it

those who vote decide nothing

those who count the vote decide everything

sweet
Report metro john June 15, 2012 9:01 AM BST
Agree it seems the markets today believe a pro europe goverment in greece will be electedafter sundays vote ,nothing left to chance me thinks!
Report metro john June 15, 2012 9:06 AM BST
Strange the way markets react before elections????
Report complexsimon June 16, 2012 4:20 PM BST
The polls are secret because it's illegal to produce opinion polls in the two weeks before election in Greece.  So there is no way to verify their polling method or find out even if any polling was actually done!  These polls are nothing more than propaganda.  If you still want to bet on the basis of this "information", go ahead, but please don't think it's a dead cert.
Report metro john June 16, 2012 6:52 PM BST
was not thinking of having a bet just observing.
Report subversion June 16, 2012 9:54 PM BST
hmmmm after the Greece result today, if Germany win their group tomorrow (v. likely), its Greece v Germany in the quarter finals

Laugh
Report subversion June 16, 2012 9:55 PM BST
should get the nationalists excited anyway
Report zilzal1 June 16, 2012 11:05 PM BST
Syriza will offer Merkel "Double or Quits"Mischief
Report pmbets June 17, 2012 4:55 PM BST
Word is Syriza is taking all the undecided angry voters.I see the vote split (if a fair vote)and slightly edging towards syriza.
Report conspiracywackjob June 17, 2012 5:02 PM BST
the banksters and fellow travellers will rig the vote
Report pmbets June 17, 2012 5:05 PM BST
I will give the winner now as Syriza.The voters have forced syriza into a unassailing lead.
Report Mexico June 17, 2012 5:05 PM BST
http://sports.betfair.com/politics/market?id=1.105842715

ND on the drift but still favorites (1.45) to win.
Report pmbets June 17, 2012 5:05 PM BST
syriza over 28% with bookies long long odds on now.
Report pmbets June 17, 2012 5:06 PM BST
disaster for the stock markets around the world.
Report pmbets June 17, 2012 5:08 PM BST
Watching the live news.Syriza are in front.
Report pmbets June 17, 2012 5:09 PM BST
I have NO bet in this market,but am interested in this historic moment.
Report Dotchinite June 17, 2012 5:14 PM BST
Get on quick then if you know they should be long long odds on. you can get nearly 3-1 on here
Report Mexico June 17, 2012 5:21 PM BST
BBC saying ND are 0.5% ahead in the exit polls. So 1.33 sounds about right.

They won the last election & could not form a government not sure what would have changed this time if hey get a narrow victory. What are the odds on a 3rd election?
Report ALEXANDER_THE_GREEK June 17, 2012 5:25 PM BST
predictions from exit poll
n.d 27.5-30.5%
syriza 27-30%
pasok 10 -12%
really drama tonight for merkel

i predict that nd will win here by one unit.
6 parliament parties
Report pmbets June 17, 2012 5:27 PM BST
Yeah but the greek tv said the undecided angry voters are going syriza.Syriza wins for me now.BBc put them tied .
The markets will have a severe downward correction tonight.
Report pmbets June 17, 2012 5:28 PM BST
The greeks know Syriza will still stay in the euro but get a better deal.The ND have been favoured but by a bias press.So Syriza wins this/.
Report pmbets June 17, 2012 5:29 PM BST
100% now that the markets will crash come Monday morning and 1430hours for the dow in US.
Report pmbets June 17, 2012 5:30 PM BST
It's syriza or a 3rd election.
Report Dotchinite June 17, 2012 5:40 PM BST
Thanks for the tip. 3-1 into 6-4 inside half an hour or so. Great stuff.
Report pmbets June 17, 2012 5:42 PM BST
Dotchinite I am watching the greek news now.It;s so close.I would take a hedge and GREEN up.
Leaving it is not the value bet.Just take your profit and stick the cash in your wallet.
Good luck whatever you decide.
Report pmbets June 17, 2012 5:43 PM BST
The small parties gaining vote means ND are losing the vote which in turn puts syriza in front.
Report pmbets June 17, 2012 5:44 PM BST
I have no position at all in this market.I am betting US horses.
Report pmbets June 17, 2012 5:46 PM BST
syriza over 28% of the vote has been tale at 1/5 odds on now.Good for the poor greeks but a disaster for  the dow jones and FTSE
Report Mental June 17, 2012 6:37 PM BST
It's over, ND will be the first party
Report moisok June 17, 2012 6:41 PM BST
one of my friends was in at 5 30am Saturday they sent a car for him!!!!
they have no idea what will happen and have various strategies laid out for their front people
but he said it was a fkin mess!!!!
merkel is interfering as fast as she can go virtually threatening the greek voters
but her and her kind have no intention of taking over europe as I have been told
and that I am a rascist to boot for pointing this out
Report cheese June 17, 2012 7:24 PM BST
It's over, ND will be the first party

They are favourites now, but it is not over.

The votes already counted are from rural areas and naturally
conservative, so they tell us little about how city-dwellers
will vote.
Moreover there was a very late surge for Syriza right at the
death. It's unclear to me whether these votes will actually
be COUNTED last, but there are certain biases in play here
which could yet cause a surprise.

I'm having a (very small) wager on Syriza at 34. They look like
value at that price.
Report cheese June 17, 2012 7:33 PM BST
Wow. Syriza have gone up to 110.

Based on the available data I can't see any justification
for a price that high. The vote share from the exit polls
is within margin of error!

Additionally, it seems that there was unusually low turnout
in the votes counted so far. If that was uniform across the
board it means nothing. But, the late surge to Syriza suggests
there just may be a larger turnout in the cities than the
rural areas which have already been counted.

Of course, someone may know something, in which case it truly
is over. That's always a possibility with this type of bet.
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