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http://www.businessinsider.com/secret-polls-suggest-new-democracy-will-win-sundays-election-today-2012-6
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Replies: 32
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the banksters will rig it
those who vote decide nothing those who count the vote decide everything sweet |
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Agree it seems the markets today believe a pro europe goverment in greece will be electedafter sundays vote ,nothing left to chance me thinks!
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Strange the way markets react before elections????
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The polls are secret because it's illegal to produce opinion polls in the two weeks before election in Greece. So there is no way to verify their polling method or find out even if any polling was actually done! These polls are nothing more than propaganda. If you still want to bet on the basis of this "information", go ahead, but please don't think it's a dead cert.
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was not thinking of having a bet just observing.
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hmmmm after the Greece result today, if Germany win their group tomorrow (v. likely), its Greece v Germany in the quarter finals
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should get the nationalists excited anyway
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Syriza will offer Merkel "Double or Quits"
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Word is Syriza is taking all the undecided angry voters.I see the vote split (if a fair vote)and slightly edging towards syriza.
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the banksters and fellow travellers will rig the vote
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I will give the winner now as Syriza.The voters have forced syriza into a unassailing lead.
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http://sports.betfair.com/politics/market?id=1.105842715
ND on the drift but still favorites (1.45) to win. |
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syriza over 28% with bookies long long odds on now.
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disaster for the stock markets around the world.
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Watching the live news.Syriza are in front.
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I have NO bet in this market,but am interested in this historic moment.
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Get on quick then if you know they should be long long odds on. you can get nearly 3-1 on here
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BBC saying ND are 0.5% ahead in the exit polls. So 1.33 sounds about right.
They won the last election & could not form a government not sure what would have changed this time if hey get a narrow victory. What are the odds on a 3rd election? |
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predictions from exit poll
n.d 27.5-30.5% syriza 27-30% pasok 10 -12% really drama tonight for merkel i predict that nd will win here by one unit. 6 parliament parties |
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Yeah but the greek tv said the undecided angry voters are going syriza.Syriza wins for me now.BBc put them tied .
The markets will have a severe downward correction tonight. |
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The greeks know Syriza will still stay in the euro but get a better deal.The ND have been favoured but by a bias press.So Syriza wins this/.
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100% now that the markets will crash come Monday morning and 1430hours for the dow in US.
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It's syriza or a 3rd election.
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Thanks for the tip. 3-1 into 6-4 inside half an hour or so. Great stuff.
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Dotchinite I am watching the greek news now.It;s so close.I would take a hedge and GREEN up.
Leaving it is not the value bet.Just take your profit and stick the cash in your wallet. Good luck whatever you decide. |
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The small parties gaining vote means ND are losing the vote which in turn puts syriza in front.
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I have no position at all in this market.I am betting US horses.
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syriza over 28% of the vote has been tale at 1/5 odds on now.Good for the poor greeks but a disaster for the dow jones and FTSE
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It's over, ND will be the first party
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one of my friends was in at 5 30am Saturday they sent a car for him!!!!
they have no idea what will happen and have various strategies laid out for their front people but he said it was a fkin mess!!!! merkel is interfering as fast as she can go virtually threatening the greek voters but her and her kind have no intention of taking over europe as I have been told and that I am a rascist to boot for pointing this out |
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It's over, ND will be the first party
They are favourites now, but it is not over. The votes already counted are from rural areas and naturally conservative, so they tell us little about how city-dwellers will vote. Moreover there was a very late surge for Syriza right at the death. It's unclear to me whether these votes will actually be COUNTED last, but there are certain biases in play here which could yet cause a surprise. I'm having a (very small) wager on Syriza at 34. They look like value at that price. |
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Wow. Syriza have gone up to 110.
Based on the available data I can't see any justification for a price that high. The vote share from the exit polls is within margin of error! Additionally, it seems that there was unusually low turnout in the votes counted so far. If that was uniform across the board it means nothing. But, the late surge to Syriza suggests there just may be a larger turnout in the cities than the rural areas which have already been counted. Of course, someone may know something, in which case it truly is over. That's always a possibility with this type of bet. |