Politics
Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
http://wygop.org/2012-straw-poll-results/
This clearly includes Sweatwater, the county that had its caucus on Feb 29. A couple of days ago some reports indicated that they excluded Sweatwater as CNN called result without needing Sweatwater votes (6% lead more than 1 in 23 counties).
Obvious questions arising include:
Why is contract under super tuesday?
Why isn't it judged yet?
Why is £1386 at 1.01 still available? (I don't have available funds to bet any more.)
Most caucuses seem to have been judged on popular vote as soon as that is available & clear not on delegates. So shouldn't this be the same for Wyoming? (Wyoming does have a convention March 6-10 when delegates will be elected but some may say undecided so we don't want to wait for national convention do we?)
This clearly includes Sweatwater, the county that had its caucus on Feb 29. A couple of days ago some reports indicated that they excluded Sweatwater as CNN called result without needing Sweatwater votes (6% lead more than 1 in 23 counties).
Obvious questions arising include:
Why is contract under super tuesday?
Why isn't it judged yet?
Why is £1386 at 1.01 still available? (I don't have available funds to bet any more.)
Most caucuses seem to have been judged on popular vote as soon as that is available & clear not on delegates. So shouldn't this be the same for Wyoming? (Wyoming does have a convention March 6-10 when delegates will be elected but some may say undecided so we don't want to wait for national convention do we?)
Show More
A Wyoming thread? I enter the gates of heaven.
It is Sweetwater, cos its where the glorious Colorado River, that humungous waterway carving the monumental canyonlands starts its journey from its main tributary, the Green River.
Sweatwater must be in Pakistan.
There is a massive difference between Caucus Straw Polls and the actual Caucus electing Delegates. If Betfair is settling on the former, but titling it as the latter, the potential for error seems big?
I bet on sports, and talk politics, so dont know what it says.
It is Sweetwater, cos its where the glorious Colorado River, that humungous waterway carving the monumental canyonlands starts its journey from its main tributary, the Green River.
Sweatwater must be in Pakistan.
There is a massive difference between Caucus Straw Polls and the actual Caucus electing Delegates. If Betfair is settling on the former, but titling it as the latter, the potential for error seems big?
I bet on sports, and talk politics, so dont know what it says.
I obviously don't understand.
The rules just say "Which Republican candidate will win the named Presidential Caucus?"
I thought the caucus we were betting on was the popular vote.
I thought the state convention decided on which delegates to have in processes that can vary from state to state.
Wikipedia says:
"The 2012 Wyoming Republican caucuses took place between February 11 and 29, 2012. The county conventions will take place from March 6-10, 2012."
Betfair reply said
Thank you for your enquiry.
"This market is for who will be declared the winner of this primary/caucus. It is the users responsibility to find out how each primary/caucus declares a winner. Not all states follow the same process, Wyoming starts its official caucusing today which is why it was placed under the 6th March folder.
Please do not hesitate to contact us if you have any further enquiries."
So wikipedia says caucuses held between February 11 and 29, 2012. But betfair says "official caucuses" start March 6th.
So I am left completely confused.
Is there actually 3 processes: Caucus straw poll, official caucus, and state convention?
If only 2 processes, am I (and wikipedia?) wrong to think of them as 'caucus' (determine popular vote) and 'state convention' (determine who are the delegates though these people might still be undecided after state convention making a potential for a long wait before settling bets if betting is on delegate count)?
How should the processes be considered? Which process are we betting on? Could and should rules be clearer to avoid any confusion like this? Finally is betfair's response reasonable and correct or are they just going to do what they think appropriate, leave me confused with a fob off response, and attempt to worm way out of any problems, if there are any such problem?
Or, maybe I understand the process reasonably well it is just that Wyoming doesn't announce official result until during convention?
The rules just say "Which Republican candidate will win the named Presidential Caucus?"
I thought the caucus we were betting on was the popular vote.
I thought the state convention decided on which delegates to have in processes that can vary from state to state.
Wikipedia says:
"The 2012 Wyoming Republican caucuses took place between February 11 and 29, 2012. The county conventions will take place from March 6-10, 2012."
Betfair reply said
Thank you for your enquiry.
"This market is for who will be declared the winner of this primary/caucus. It is the users responsibility to find out how each primary/caucus declares a winner. Not all states follow the same process, Wyoming starts its official caucusing today which is why it was placed under the 6th March folder.
Please do not hesitate to contact us if you have any further enquiries."
So wikipedia says caucuses held between February 11 and 29, 2012. But betfair says "official caucuses" start March 6th.
So I am left completely confused.
Is there actually 3 processes: Caucus straw poll, official caucus, and state convention?
If only 2 processes, am I (and wikipedia?) wrong to think of them as 'caucus' (determine popular vote) and 'state convention' (determine who are the delegates though these people might still be undecided after state convention making a potential for a long wait before settling bets if betting is on delegate count)?
How should the processes be considered? Which process are we betting on? Could and should rules be clearer to avoid any confusion like this? Finally is betfair's response reasonable and correct or are they just going to do what they think appropriate, leave me confused with a fob off response, and attempt to worm way out of any problems, if there are any such problem?
Or, maybe I understand the process reasonably well it is just that Wyoming doesn't announce official result until during convention?
Post Your Reply
Please login to post a reply.
Wonder
Instance ID: 13539