What are the odds.............

it's 1 in 595 of  getting quads by the river .

3 players is obviously 3 times  more likey, lets  say 1 in 200
in one hour with just 3 players  you could see 100 hands per hour ?

so there was half a chance you would see them quads once . thats one in 2

and four times less likely than that to see them 4 times. (is that one in 8 ?)

so to clarify:  in 2 hours  the odds are 3v3ns  once so half of evens is 2/1 and 4 x 2/1 is probably 8/1 and odds are weird so take one off for luck, so i guess 7 to 1

sounds like a load of glub to me!!

Im not sure its 8/1 odds - think it is much harder than that!

8/1sounds miles toshort.

I will have another go....


probability of occuring four times in an hour on a 50:50 chance bet, which is 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 = 1/16.

15/1

50/50 is a coinflip.  when you have something occuring once every 2 hours then that will occur half every 1 hour...  if thats fifty fifty then i revise my answer to 15/1


but that probably assumes too many starting hamds going to the river..
assuming its a result of people playing pocket pairs.

its 16/1 for you to get a pocket pair and same for your oppos so call it 6/1 any one of you holds a pocket pair. that s one time in seven (14 times in one hour here)


the probability of FLOPPING quads with a pocket pair is 1 in 408.
the probability of hitting quads by the river with a pocket pair is 1 in 122.

122/14 is 8.7     once every  9 hours ,is that 1/8 ?

1/8 x 1/8 x 1/8 x 1/8

which is apparently 1 in 4096

of course i had to flop quads aces inside the first level of my first tournament today! ROFL!