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Hopes and Fears 2011
Hopes and Fears 2011
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To be fair it seems pretty accurate for me for 2011, it's just way out for November and December of last year, when I had the worst two months I've ever had, £-4600 and £-2200. I must of gone mad on the rebuys.
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OPR looks OK to me on Ongame/Betfair. Underestimates my rebuy profile but does explain why and how that is averaged. It does not seem to cope with the sats wins into tourneys and records those as losses when my own records show good ROIs.
Useful to look at months and all the details. Pretty sure that June/July upswings have got me more than back on my average. I think I know why too - took some real hits and suckouts on some of these final tables and got my Betfair poker roll to and all time high and given me a nice excuse to take some cash out. Think I'm improving in various tourneys. Will review poker holdings in various sites like all good risk management practices say you should. Fortunately only had 0.13c on FT |
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Still think I am playing well, just not playing much and not running that well near the end of tourneys.
Back below zero for the year  |
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Won a bucket full in Jan... lost a bucket full in March/April after running like a dog in the GSOP. Had a month or two off. Now back with a depleted bank roll (i keep spending it!) and miffed cos I can't really play the $100s sighhh.
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highroller, raise call pre AKcc flop 865cc. Him 85 obv
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run bad on ongame for an awful long time. Just busted 48th in 50r, pays 40, I lost a couple of races but had spiked with Kx vs TT. 40th would have been nice.
I managed one cash on st ars, 10th just before FT, AQs vs AK off button vs SB passed around to me so always going in pre. Was flying really high in the 100r turbo, but couldn't survive a 65/35 for the chip lead and left with shrapnel. I have had to start reloading on betfair for the first time in an absolute age too |
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Ran terrible on ongame again, got sucked out on twice in a decent position including aces busted in one. KK vs TT all in pre in the 100 2xchance on st ars 50 left. discoed out of my last bf tourney, the 100 turbo.
but 4/13 in $100 plo8 on st ars 14/61 in 50r on ip oker and just won a GUKPT seat there |
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6/58 in 50r on ip oker, just doubled up KK vs AK all in pre. still discoed @ betfair
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8/47 in 50r, 10/12 in plo8, just got scooped.
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9th in plo8, got them in with nut low draw,straight draw. He had nut low draw and pair of twos. pair of twos held for the scoop! just discovered the fella that scooped me earlier has never played the game, was kind of obvious given the hand he got them in with, he backdoored a straight
 22/40 in i poker 50r, lost race. bf didn't come back, I assume the turbo 100 has gone now |
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ffs 37th and out of 50r, lost another flip vs same fella.
b u g g e r |
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woohoo betfair back
100 turbo down to 2 players, managed a creditable 53rd |
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Ran good the other night for a change
I played $10/$20 for the first time in many months on what looked a fishy table. I managed to get my $1000 in with JJ vs KK all in pre, spiked a jack and decided I had used up my luck and left. To compensate for this, I played the 50 rebuy here yesterday. In the rebuy period I think I ran top pair top kicker or overpair in to a set 3 times and then KK in to AA. Managed to hit another set with my overpair after the rebuy had ended. I did about $500 without getting a sniff of the money. Guess I had it coming after the JJ vs KK, so no complaints. I have just done my accounts. No real idea on how much I made at cash at DTD on Saturday. Guessed at £80, may have been +/-£100 from here. Year to date -£4200 + 1 GUKPT main event ticket vs -£15K at low point. Now 3 winning months in 7 Recent 120 day stats still looking very good on OPR, so must be playing well I have avoided tonight's highroller so +$500 more in the bank then normal |
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Recent 120 day stats still looking very good on OPR, so must be playing well
? |
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I run good
classic slow playing tax PokerStars Game #65590388094: Tournament #420517189, $50+$5 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XIV (200/400) - 2011/08/05 20:48:19 ET Table '420517189 1' 9-max Seat #1 is the button Seat 1: Bassysaffari (11149 in chips) Seat 2: FerriTheNuts (9670 in chips) Seat 3: uaredead lol (6008 in chips) Seat 4: Elgatodkr (8828 in chips) Seat 5: Zimmy86 (2452 in chips) Seat 6: Jig75 (22270 in chips) Seat 7: mjw006 (6982 in chips) Seat 8: Doobs (11650 in chips) Seat 9: Havana85 (5240 in chips) Bassysaffari: posts the ante 80 FerriTheNuts: posts the ante 80 uaredead lol: posts the ante 80 Elgatodkr: posts the ante 80 Zimmy86: posts the ante 80 Jig75: posts the ante 80 mjw006: posts the ante 80 Doobs: posts the ante 80 Havana85: posts the ante 80 FerriTheNuts: posts small blind 200 uaredead lol: posts big blind 400 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Doobs [Jd Jc] Elgatodkr: folds Zimmy86: folds Jig75: raises 800 to 1200 mjw006: folds Doobs: calls 1200 Havana85: folds Bassysaffari: folds FerriTheNuts: calls 1000 uaredead lol: folds *** FLOP *** [3c Ac Js] FerriTheNuts: checks Jig75: checks Doobs: bets 3370 FerriTheNuts: calls 3370 Jig75: folds *** TURN *** [3c Ac Js] [Ts] FerriTheNuts: checks Doobs: bets 5600 FerriTheNuts: calls 5020 and is all-in Uncalled bet (580) returned to Doobs *** RIVER *** [3c Ac Js Ts] [Jh] *** SHOW DOWN *** FerriTheNuts: shows [Ad As] (a full house, Aces full of Jacks) Doobs: shows [Jd Jc] (four of a kind, Jacks) Doobs collected 21500 from pot FerriTheNuts finished the tournament in 74th place *** SUMMARY *** Total pot 21500 | Rake 0 Board [3c Ac Js Ts Jh] Seat 1: Bassysaffari (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 2: FerriTheNuts (small blind) showed [Ad As] and lost with a full house, Aces full of Jacks Seat 3: uaredead lol (big blind) folded before Flop Seat 4: Elgatodkr folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 5: Zimmy86 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 6: Jig75 folded on the Flop Seat 7: mjw006 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 8: Doobs showed [Jd Jc] and won (21500) with four of a kind, Jacks Seat 9: Havana85 folded before Flop (didn't bet) |
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I run good...
but not for long. Just ran 99 in to AA and AJ couldn't hold vs A9 sooted, and out. |
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SIGH
Highroller. Get them in 75/25, he called. Now 3k rather than 17k still in 5 tourneys but no big stacks |
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managed to win a race in the highroller at last
 16/52 Got decent stacks in 3 other tourneys. gl me |
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a bit more than that now. Good luck.
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all in pre AKs vs KK vs JJ. To be fair I had them both well covered and would have been left with 18k. now 2/32. Guess I am owed in this tourney
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4/9 at final table of highroller. pls run good.
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got lucky again. spewed half a stack with top pair vs aces, then got the short stack in with A4 vs A9 and hit. 5/6
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1/4 at break. one time
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Probably overplayed last hand.
but still 2nd for $11k  take back all I ever said about the highroller. +ve for year and +ve on ongame at last |
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N1 wp Doobs
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n1 Doobs
hennigan |
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n1 Doobs
hennigan |
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Good stuff. Glad someone's winning.
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Cheers all
Just had a quick bash at 10/10 Omaha. Flopped top set vs wrap vs nut flush draw. Couldn't avoid all the outs and didn't reload. I am playing the noon flight at GUKPT Luton on Friday. I am playing well so a level 1 exit seems inevitable. Just need to remember one thing [x] live donks [ ] aggro scandis |
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Finished the day amongst the chip leaders.
Absolute last hand of the day, it is passed around to me in SB, I look down to see KhKx. I raise, Paul Zimbler calls from the BB. Flop 876hh I bet, he raises, I have him well covered and shove, he snaps with 76 off. Turn 9, river K. I run good in a GUKPT at last. Bagged up 90k |
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Good luck.
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n1 keep it going m8 be lucky
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First level today a bit rubbish. Dropped about 10k.
Second level was fine until I got jacks. I raised, got two called, flop was 965. Bet, one caller. Turn 8, I checked, he bet small I called, river 8. I checked, he bet small I called. He had 97. Probably cost me 25-30K Very next hand, I got jecks, I raised, low flop and I win Very next hand I get aces. I raise, BB calls. Flop came T82. I c bet, he shoves 30k or so, I insta call. Him T9, turn 9. I was then down to 18k when I shoved Qs just befoe the first break. It was called by kings. Hit a Q on the turn to avoid the ignominy of going 90k to zero in 2 levels. Hit break with 38k. Drifted downwards over the next level, before this exit hand in around 40th . Bubbled the £1000 bonus for highest place online qualifier toohttp://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=54774.msg1419055#msg1419055 He had exactly 100 more than me, but it was only around 19K he shoved for and not as reported. That 9 was the turn, I say no, been here too many times to not realise what was coming. River was the 8. He whooped an hollered. Another £1k tourney goes without a cash. |
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One down, one to go. Lost my dog - the one in the photo. Passed away this morning. Had an incurable lung disease and hadn't been well. Distraught. Dad seriously ill. Cancer really beginning to bite now. Bag of bones. Life's not been much fun of late. (rockme)
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Thinking of you rockme. Thought I was going to lose my Dad a few years ago, but he made it through.
On the poker front, I am actually a few quid under for the year, though as near to break even as makes no difference. Tonight, cashed in one on st ars already. 187/256 in 50r on st ars. 6/76 in my new favourite highroller tournament. Funny how things change. Just had JJ vs AA, jack high flop, wasn't all in pre either! |
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After extolling the virtues of the highroller I got aces busted by A4 soooted. Kind of crippled and folded to a min cash.
And got donked twice by the same brazillian to get little over than a min cash on st ars Probably not far from flat tonight. As an aside the highroller seems to be way more popular than it used to be, dunno if this is part of the fallout from the exit of full tilt and absolute. 153 runners tonight yet it was strugling for its guarantee a few months ago. |
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Just binked $5k on stars for 3rd in a turbo.
3 handed was all in 3 times with the best of it and split once and lost twice. But I sucked out at least 3 times on the way (including vs aces) so no complaints. Back in front for the year after getting £2k down. |
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Played my first sunday in ages. Was flying in a couple on stars but ran pretty nasty just before the cashes in both, and just min cashed the 100k 1r1a here. Also was the victim of a comedy call in one where I did half my average stack. Fell raises, I reraise with aces, fella in BB shoves for a little more, I have to call as I have aces. He has T6 off and flops both. Guess it must have been a misclick.
Backed Dream Ahead yesterday and obviously ran good there. Probably going to have a week off now. Can't see my playing many 24 hour WCOOPs starting at midday on a weekday. Probably back close to break even for the year |
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lol at the week off in the last post. Ended up playing more than usual and running horribly. This run was capped by playing the 200 rebuy omaha on st ars tonight. The first bullet went with top set vs just a king high flush draw in a 10k pot all in on the flop when blinds were 10/20. Second went not lon after vs only an ace high flush draw all in on a flop. Even though it is a turbo, there is really no reason to get 250 BBs in on a **** flush draw. Still only lost $400 rather than the full 600.
But just won the $100 turbo on bf for $4.5k, and won a GUKPT seat, so probably better than break even for the week. There probably isn't much in it as a lot of the tourneys have been pricey ones on st ars FWIW The GUKPT sats on blue sq/g casino are v good value. The one I played was £250 in with 10 entrants and 4 £1000 seats guaranteed. In addition if you are the last surviving online qualifier in the main event you get £1000 worth of future entries. I doubt I'll be playing anymore simply because I can't play blackpool. |
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I must thank you, Dooberama, for something that could have caused me grief, but for you.
I have just started playing mtts after two years of mainly cash and sngs and after some good cashes I thought I would look up my results on sharkscope. For the first couple of minutes I was in paradise as my results were fantastic, then I remembered you saying that they do not have the exact number of rebuys and addons and just give an average figure  Is there a site that does give you your exact stats for mtt rebuys? |