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Opposable favourites

AW opposable favourite

28 Sep 13 18:52
Out of maidens and into a handicap and I think we can take on the favourite in the 7.00 at Wolverhampton in the shape of Full Day. Yes those maidens have been competitive but he hasnt shown enough to justify being fav here. With at least three others on our side the call is to Lay.

Lay Full Day at 2.96.

Trade? Lay at 2.96 and buy back at 9.8 in running for 30% of your original stake to make around 66% after commission.
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In the 3.55 at Downpatrick it could be worth taking on the likely favourite in the shape of Cyras Love. Yes the mare did improve last time out to finish third last time out but this field includes a few more in form types than that race did. With todays jockey just 1/25 for the stable in recent times and a stable with just a 4.3% strike rate in hurdle races over the years the percentage call is to oppose.

Lay at 4.2. Trader? Lay at 4.2 and then buy back at 14 in running to make around 66%.
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An Opposable favourite

26 Sep 13 17:18
In the 5.50 at Pontefract its worth taking on The Wizzard of Aus at around 1.96. He will find this surface a bit different to his last race on the all weather, up in grade and taking on his elders.

Trading out? Lay at 1.96 and back in running at 6.4 for 30% of your original stake to make around 66% after commission.
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An odds on Opposable fav

04 Dec 12 13:43
Sometimes its good to take on odds on shots and this afternoon I think I've found one to take on. You may ask why not just back the 2nd fav as it seems to be a two horse race, fair enough but this is National Hunt Racing and you never know what will happen As well as the 2nd fav on our side Jonjo has an unraced one in there as well. Utopian is the Lay in question who didnt impress with his jumping on his hurdling debut and at 1,76 the call is to take him on.

2.00F Utopian- Lay at 1.76.
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At Kempton on the all weather this afternoon I think its worth taking a chance on laying a favourite that doesn't have a great record at the track. The horse in question is the Pat Phelan trained and Ian Mongan ridden The Wonga Coup. Although he is in decent form his three races to date at Kempton, two on the flat and one hurdle race has seen him finish last both times on the flat and eight of nine in a hurdle race. He has yet to win in 11 attempts on the all weather, add that to his poor record when going right handed and its well worth taking him on today.

2.20 Kempton The Wonga Coup - Lay at 3.95.

He doesnt have the greatest draw for this race so those wishing to trade could buy back at 11.5 for 35% of your original stake to make 65% profit if matched.
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In the 4.05 at Kempton we have a short priced favourite in Cheektocheek. The gelding is no world beater but still probably deserves to be favourite on what he has achieved so far. Having watched his last couple of races it looks to me as though he needs a distance in excess of todays, and therefore with four other possible winners in this field I think the percentage call at odd of 2.28 is to Lay.

4.04K Cheektocheek - Lay at 2.28.

Those wishing to trade out could do so by buying him back in running at 6.6 for 35% of your original stake to give you a 65% profit, less your commission rate.
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In the 7.50 at Kempton tonight it could pay to take on the shortest priced horse in the race Girl Of Cadiz. She finished second in a poor Nursery last time, has gone up 4lb in the weights for her efforts and loses the 7lb claimed by her rider that night. There are probably seven others capable of taking this race, some of them improvers so the percentage call at 3.35 is to oppose.

7.50 Kempton - Girl Of Cadiz - Lay at 3.35

To buy her back in running and make a profit you should buy her back in running at 9.6 for 35% of your original stake which would leave you a 65£ profit or so before commission.
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The going is so bad at Hamilton this afternoon that it could be worthwhile taking on the odds on favourite in the maiden race at 1.40. The Mark Johnston trained Fraseburgh didnt seem to like the soft last time being beaten around 10 lenghths over six furlongs, having performed fairly well on good/firm the time before. We have just the four runners on our side in this race but any one of them could spring a surprise and at odds of 1.42 the call is to oppose.

1.40 Hamilton - Fraserburgh - Lay at 1.42

In case of a difficult race you could buy him back at 4.1 in running for 35% of your original stake for a nice 65% profit, less commission of course.
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In the 7.40 at Kempton I think there is mileage taking on the favourite in this, the Simcock trained and William Buick ridden Gucci Doro. The reason for his position at the top of the market is the improvement shown on his last run when upped in distance to 2 miles for the first time over this course and distance. A decent performance it was in the context of tonights race but it was against his own age group and he will find this much tougher tonight and with eight other possible winners in the race then at the odds of 2.98 the percentage call is to oppose him.

7.40 Kempton Gucci D'oro - Lay at 2.96
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One favourite not to oppose

19 Sep 12 14:30
In the 2.55 at Listowel the O'Brien team have a good one in the making in the shape of Chamonix. The way he won a Listed race at Galway over this distance and heavy ground suggests that he is worth much more than his official rating of 105. That day he was heavily eased in the closing stages and it will take a good one to lower his colours. He gets weight from the older horses in the field and his current price of 2.54 looks exceptional me.

2.55 Listowel - Chamonix - Back at 2.54.
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