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Well here we are - halfway. The second half however is tougher than the first. Today is two HCs, a cat 2 then a (rare) summit finish on a Cat 1.
Unless Moncoutie is having an 'on' day, I can't see past the first four being Froome, Evans, Wiggins and Nibali - probably in that order!
Unless Moncoutie is having an 'on' day, I can't see past the first four being Froome, Evans, Wiggins and Nibali - probably in that order!
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Perfect for Sky, this breakaway incapable of working together. This is between Wiggins, Froome, Nibali & VDB
i have no idea why Rolland is shortening, unless he has LOADS left I dont see how he can stay out. These guys cant stay out.
because mugs pile in anyone thats over hyped and at the front (see laying valverde 4.5 with 140km to go)
Nibali's going to attack on the descent here and Van den Broek's going to attack up La Toussoire, so Rolland is still a massive lay. Im maxed out, and if Rolland wins I'll need Wiggins top 3 to turn a profit.
Roland was v.impressive last year when Contador caught him, but he wa able to ride away and still win. The gap has gone from 2 mins to 3 mins, of course Rolland is gonna shorten.
Its a similar stage to Alpe d'Huez as well, plus his directeur sportif said he was going to drop everyone today. But he's done so much work and the bunch behind have to move. Nibali attacks on the descent, Sky will ramp it up on the final climb and VDB will attack from there. They need a lot more than they've got imo.
Exactly, Skys easy pace has seen the chances of the leaders grow.
All depends on Nibali. If he goes on the downhill the Sky train clicks into another gear. If he doesn't then they would be well served taking it easy.
Yes, difference between 2 minutes and 3 minutes could prove the difference.
Could not though...
Could not though...
Rolland is a serious climber, much harder to take 3 minutes from him than from the normal breakaway merchants, all depends on whether Sky need to chase and I'm not sure who might cause them to do so, Evans is knackered, Nibali is probably discouraged after yesterday and VDB is too far back on the GC
Are they all going to just look at each other til the final climb? Nibali's a sh1thouse.
im betting on rolland and greening out if he gets to evens, price could well drop sharply soon
According to Twitter, Nibali hasn't recce'd this descent so probably won't attack
I was hoping Chris Anker Sorensen got in the break so I could lay him in play... he got in the initial break but it was so strong his odds drifted from 25/1 to 40+/1!! He's still doing OK now but wont win.
If Rolland, Kiserlovski and Kiryienka have 3mins at the foot of the climb they have a good chance... but Rolland has just crashed!
If Rolland, Kiserlovski and Kiryienka have 3mins at the foot of the climb they have a good chance... but Rolland has just crashed!
Short climb LL? La Toussuire is an 18k climb averaging 6.1%. I still think the peloton are favourites once Sky wind it up.
Its 3 times as long as La Plance des Belles Filles, although at a shallower gradient.
Why are Sky going to wind it up? They only need to keep Evans & Nibali from gaining any time, which they are doing. I can't see them being that bothered about the stage win.
Exactly, no reson at all for Sky to wind it up as things stand
you guys watching it online? theres so many adverts on itv 4..
was referring to d'Huez when Rolland won, everyone in the big boys group was ****ed after Andy's solo the day before and Cheatador's Giro legs.
Thoughts on the Rolland group succeeding now?
Thoughts on the Rolland group succeeding now?
just flick between Eurosport and ITV4 at each advert cos they have them at different times
Massive on the flat ... not much up Cat 1 ... could lose a minute in last 2k
Rogers gone, Porte doesnt look good. This break could stay out unless someone attacks.
I still dont think it stays out, but my Rolland lay is starting to make me a bit nervous now
I was pretty certain that if the break stays away Rolland wins, not too sure now. He looks to be hurting a bit to me.
Rolland might be sandbagging, wouldnt surprise me if one of the four went on a solo once the gap gets down to 1.30-2.00. Rolland likely candidate.
May be Marychain. Just a few times a couple of K's ago he lost his wheel by a length or so.
So hard to call.
So hard to call.
Rolland v VDB v Nibali v peloton
-----------------------------
lay Rolland
bakc peloton
-----------------------------
lay Rolland
bakc peloton
Ah ****, Rolland a big loss for me here, all credit to him. Great ride.
Awesome ride from Froome. Looked cooked 2k ago blown Evans out the water
Wow Evans dropped. Absolute ownage here by Sky. They are coming back to Nibbles too.
Had to apply handbrake as hes now blown Wiggo out the back.
Wiggins didn't change his pace at all .... didn't have to ... but could he?!
Anyone got any explanations why Froome attacked Wiggins???
Poor form from sky Wiggo was in no danger & Froome could have hammered home the advantage over Evans.
Nah, best to keep Froome fresh, practically carrying Wiggins on his back to Paris.
should of been 50 quid up and ended up for a fiver thanks to a surprise family visit 
Nice to see Wiggo and Nibali give each other a pat on the back there.
Hard luck to the poster who bet Wiggo Top 3, but the logic was right
Think people on here need a brain cell thinking Nibali wouldn't attack - uphill or downhill
Indeeed, had the break been reeled in Top 3 was a good shout.
Backed Froome - 2nd
Backed Pinot - 3rd
Backed Wiggins top 3 - 6th
Backed VDB - 5th
Backed Schleck - nowhere
Backed Cobo - nowhere
Laid Rolland - won
managed to lay a few others at stupid short like Valverde and Kiserlovski but a horrible day of post hitting and a big loss for me. Worst loss of the tour so far.
Backed Pinot - 3rd
Backed Wiggins top 3 - 6th
Backed VDB - 5th
Backed Schleck - nowhere
Backed Cobo - nowhere
Laid Rolland - won
managed to lay a few others at stupid short like Valverde and Kiserlovski but a horrible day of post hitting and a big loss for me. Worst loss of the tour so far.
Froome can clearly win the Tour. They should let him go. Poor form. Wiggo will win despite being 2nd best. Froome the new Greg Lemond 
wiggins top 3 at 1.11 went big on that , still a bit at 1.1!
Froome knew exactly what he was doing when Wiggo dropped off the back - he was chancing his arm to see if they would let him go
How much time Wiggins would have lost had Froome gone is a matter of conjecture. Would he have made 2mins? 3mins even given Wiggins is the better time trialist? It's not an open and shut case.
Wiggo would have done the same as Cadel and paced himself to limit losses. He spent a good few minutes riding at the front when Froome was struggling and wasn't exactly going backwards.
Wiggo would have done the same as Cadel and paced himself to limit losses. He spent a good few minutes riding at the front when Froome was struggling and wasn't exactly going backwards.
Froome would have won the stage if they had let him go at that point
Froome wasn't struggling ffs....seeing as 30 secs later he was at the front destroying the rest of the field and kicking clear of wiggo.
I agree that Froome could have got Rolland today.
I agree that Froome could have got Rolland today.
yr getting completely carried away. guys are always making attacks off the front of a group and it looks v impressive but then they get picked up again a bit later. i expect froome wudda finished in the wiggo group
tour is over, topped up at 1.27. cheers for coming vincenzo but you ****ed your only chance today and lost me chunks.
Agreed ...Nibali's attack looked really impressive and killed Wiggins .... ooooo look, they finished with same time. I suspect Froome's would have finished the same way
No way Froome would have won the stage. I suspect that he might not have been caught by Wiggins and Nibali though. Doubt he would have gained more than about 20 secs.
There was 4km to go at the point Froome accelerated. Did you all even watch the way he accelerated? It was a sharp acceleration where nobody was able to match, he would have run Rolland close.
People thinking Wiggins would have caught him
He couldn't match him even after being paced up all the cat climbs yesterday by his team mates ffs
People thinking Wiggins would have caught him
He couldn't match him even after being paced up all the cat climbs yesterday by his team mates ffs
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