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marychain1
04 May 12 22:49
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Date Joined: 05 Apr 05
| Topic/replies: 28,704 | Blogger: marychain1's blog
Anyone got any fancies?

Opens Saturday with a 8.7k prologue in Denmark. Taylor Phinney, Rasmussen and Geraint Thomas are favourites for the first stage, but I fancy Jack Bobridge to give a good account of himself and have taken 11/1 and 3/1 for a top 3 place with Sporting Bet.

for the outright, Scarponi must have a great chance, his team looks solid with loads of climbers. I've taken a bit of a chance on Mikel Nieve at 66/1, good climber and be good to see what he can leading Euskatel-Euskadi do in the absence of Sanchez.
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Report RealBigfoot May 5, 2012 10:33 AM BST
My bets: Jose Rujano at 12/1 and Damiano Cunego at 21/1. Two riders in good shape and with good experience.
Report avontuur May 5, 2012 7:22 PM BST
tough,tough final week, Stelvio penultimate day could be fireworks. Cunego is dropped in class and will go well.
Report marychain1 May 6, 2012 2:37 PM BST
Is Cunego not there to ride for Scarponi?
Report avontuur May 6, 2012 6:49 PM BST
Cunego and Scarponi would be evenly matched in the high mountains. It could develop into an intriguing tactical dilemma for the team.

Cunego looks to be a big price.
Report GoBallistic May 7, 2012 2:27 AM BST
I'm not sure what to make of Cunego and Scarponi. There have been mixed messages all season about which of them was doing the Giro and which doing the Tour

At Trentino a few weeks ago Scarponi said he wanted to win the race. Cunego had looked like he was going to win AGR but somehow managed to crash on the final hill - he went to Italy to ride Trentino as preparation for LBL. I think the idea was for him to win a stage (which he did) and then help Scarponi. Didn't quite work out like that - Scarponi got beat 12 mins on each of the two big stages. Sick ? Taking it super easy ? Sulking ? That left Cunego digging deep to try salvage a GC win for Lampre which he couldn't quite manage and probably put paid to any chance he had in LBL. Scarponi on the other hand makes a miraculous recovery and finishes top 10 in LBL. His TT on saturday was pretty poor though

Overall I don't really like the preparation of either of them for this race. I can see Basso running away with it like two years ago
Report marychain1 May 7, 2012 6:52 AM BST
Goss top 3 will do me for Stage 3
Report History Maker May 7, 2012 3:17 PM BST
WD marychain!

Hope Ferrari gets kicked off the race - that was reckless in the extreme. Renshaw got booted from the tour for far less.

Think Goss would still have won by the way, so very good call.
Report avontuur May 7, 2012 7:55 PM BST
Cav got demoted to last place in stage of Tour de F two years ago, cost him the Green jersey, for much much less.
Report geoff m May 8, 2012 12:25 PM BST
Cav missing his lead out train.
No sky man good enough to take him to last 400 metres
Report History Maker May 8, 2012 2:05 PM BST
I'm not 100% sure that he needs it to keep up a decent tally of wins, although he missed out yesterday. The overall make-up of the squad is definitely geared towards Wiggins though.

Can't believe how short he (Wiggins) is for the TdF. Should he really be second favourite behind Evans?
Report MeSm3R May 9, 2012 9:17 AM BST
He's shortest of them all, Evans is priced higher. Will be a big task for Wiggo!

Garmin pretty strong favourite for today's TTT. Any opinions on who's gonna' complete the top 3?
Report RAPS May 9, 2012 11:39 AM BST
Think the market is about right today, having a fun bet on OPQS to place.

As for Wiggins` short odds for the tour.. easily explainanble. It`s the good old fashioned Brit Bias that used to send Tiger Tim off in single figures to win Wimbledon every year. I`m sure we can all think of other similar examples of Brit Sportspeople & teams @ stupidly low odds..
Report HoD May 12, 2012 8:21 AM BST
I've back Wiggo at 25-1 to win a few grand way back. Without doubt, he should be favorite on his best TdF form and his stage races this year. Cadel is having a poor year for him and he is well behind his form from last year (won Romandie last year).

Won't stop me laying a bit of my bet though!

Rodriguez for Stage 7 today ... made for him!
Report JulioJulio May 16, 2012 1:39 PM BST
The race is nicely set up now. All the main contenders are in there. With an OK TT and a very good TTT by Katusha Rodriguez is looking good but on the longer 'diesel' climbs he's not so good.
Pozzovivo was immense in Trentino but it's hard to see how he can keep his form from then until 3rd week. Basso, Rujano and Kreuziger haven't been seen at all so far which is always a good sign. I think John Gadret may come good in 3rd week too - he's done nothing this season but showed a bit yesterday.
Report charlatan May 17, 2012 4:01 PM BST
do bf have the same bloke in the stage winner market twice here?
Report Dope May 18, 2012 12:16 PM BST
Andrey Amador
Andrei Amador Bipkazacova

Yeah same guy. Not the first time it has happened in cycling markets.
Report Dope May 18, 2012 12:16 PM BST
Andrey Amador
Andrei Amador Bipkazacova

Yeah same guy. Not the first time it has happened in cycling markets.
Report marychain1 May 20, 2012 8:30 AM BST
And wins Laugh

Fancy Basso to make a bold showing today before the rest day. He's on home turf and the severe finish will play into his hands.
Report Dope May 20, 2012 1:24 PM BST
Pozzovivo to win today.
Basso & Kreuziger to lose time.
Rujano to attack at some point.
Report GoBallistic May 20, 2012 5:02 PM BST
1.01 done for 2k on Purito
Report weekender May 25, 2012 12:50 AM BST
Where's the stage 19 market??

They missed one of the earlier stages too.

Come on Betfair. You wouldn't forget to put up a market on the 3:30 at Kempton, would you?
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