UFC: Rio (134)

the ufc is returning to Brazil for the first time in 13 years, and the card is stacked!!

Main Card
Middleweight Championship:  Anderson Silva (c) vs.  Yushin Okami
Light Heavyweight bout:  Maurício Rua vs.  Forrest Griffin
Heavyweight bout:  Brendan Schaub vs.  Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira
Lightweight bout:  Ross Pearson vs.  Edson Barboza
Light Heavyweight bout:  Luiz Cane vs.  Stanislav Nedkov

Preliminary Card: on ufc.tv for UK fans
Lightweight bout:  Thiago Tavares vs.  Spencer Fisher
Middleweight bout:  Rousimar Palhares vs.  Dan Miller

Preliminary Card: on Facebook
Welterweight bout:  Paulo Thiago vs.  David Mitchell
Bantamweight bout:  Raphael Assunção vs.  Johnny Eduardo
Featherweight bout:  Yuri Alcantara vs.  Felipe Arantes
Bantamweight bout:  Yves Jabouin vs.  Ian Loveland

i cant wait for this card, some great fights and some good value bets. starting with forest griffin at 3.00, good value here, as griffin holds a victory over shogun a few years back, while its true that shogun was injured pretty badly going into that fight, he still has a lot of injuries to this day, most notably his knee. added to that the beating he took from jon jones when he lost the title you have to wonder what damage that did mentally to him. Forest will be the bigger fighter here and should be in better shape than his last fight against franklin.griffins underrated ground game could see him take shogun down and work from the guard as im not sure he wants to trade to much with shogun.
anderson silva  vs yushin okami has no value in the winner market, anderson by k.o/tko at 1.9 and even higher than that on other sites seems like a good bet, i cant see anderson subbing okami like he did with chael sonnen and would be surprised if this went into the championship rounds, pay no attention to people that say okami holds a victory over anderson as it was a disqualification, when silva knocked okami out with an illegal kick from the ground, okami was getting picked apart standing up and all but one of okami's take-down's attempts looked very telegraphed and were easily shrugged of by silva.
Schaub at 1.5 ish against big nog could be good value. nogueira hasn't fought in 1 and a half years, he has had a lot of injuries and ring rust could be a factor, he's coming of a knockout loss to cain velasquez. Brendon Schaub on the other hand is on a 4 fight win streak beating cro cop and gonzaga in impressive fashion recently, schaub will be bigger than nog, and holds a reach advantage, with very fast crisp boxing that could cause nogueira a lot of problems if he cant get it to the ground.
pearson vs barboza is gonna be a fun fight, i like barboza at 1.4 in this one, this guys leg kicks are brutal, some of the best in the sport. pearson is an all around good striker with heavy hands but i think barboza will be to quick for him and pick pearson appart with kicks.
theres not a lot of liquidity up for a lot of fights yet but hopefully this should improve.
who are your main picks for saturday?