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SwingingPick
16 Jul 11 17:19
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Date Joined: 11 Jul 11
| Topic/replies: 5,589 | Blogger: SwingingPick's blog
The French are whispering, it's been a while since they've had a French Champion of their Tour, they're clearly chuffed by Voeckler's proud performance in Yellow thus far. It's another all together different matter, to go through the Alps defending such a lead, though, and they won't look each other in the eye for fear of jinxing his chances, but he's there through hard work and all heart, and it's a handy lead.

Should we be considering Voeckler as a real chance for the podium in Paris with the Alps still to come - as he essentially holds onto a 2 minute lead over the Heads-of-State?

Cheers,
SP
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Report prekladatel July 16, 2011 5:31 PM BST
I consider there's a real chance the guy is on the Spanish beef.
Report SwingingPick July 16, 2011 5:35 PM BST
14/1 presently, but I'm sure you could get more.
Report nairda July 16, 2011 5:40 PM BST
there only 2 stages he has to worrie about...stage 18 and stage 19
Report A_T July 16, 2011 5:44 PM BST
Think he's hanging on in these climbs by the skin of his teeth - same with Evans. Andy S is totally preoccupied with Contador and has yet to drop the hammer. When he does Voeckler and everyone else apart from AC will lose a lot of time in the Alps.
Report Leaf July 16, 2011 5:56 PM BST
Maybe its a the history of dramatic improvement of certain tour stars , maybe im just a cynic or the dope to be a doubting thomas
Report SwingingPick July 16, 2011 6:36 PM BST
@ nairda

Stage 18: Pinerolo to Galibier Serre-Chevalier over 200&1/2 km

Stage 19: Modane Valfréjus to Alpe-d’Huez over 109&1/2 km

Cheers,
SP
Report GPT July 16, 2011 8:08 PM BST
He's doing a good job of hanging on if that's what he's doing.
Report SwingingPick July 16, 2011 8:12 PM BST
Check the movement of his odds throughout the Tour, and ask yourself what else he could be doing if not hanging on?
Report bb66 July 16, 2011 8:59 PM BST
even if he survives stages 18 & 19 in yellow, he will lose it in stage 20!
Report SwingingPick July 16, 2011 9:35 PM BST
@bb66

Stage 20: ITT around Grenoble over 42.5 km.

Cheers,
SP
Report g0ldstarr July 16, 2011 10:35 PM BST
Voekler has already done the stage 20 TT this year, so has Evans its the exact stame stage as stage 3 on the Dauphine, Voeckler was about 2 minutes slower as I recall.

I'd like to see Voeckler hang on to yellow at least until the TT, that would make for some excitement. I personally think he has a good chance, Pierre Rolland is doing a fantastic job with him on the climbs, while Voeckler is not a match for Contador and Schlek(s) when the going gets really tough on the evidence we have seen so far I don't see anyone taking two minutes out of him before the TT.

In my opinion this will come down to the final TT.
Report nairda July 16, 2011 11:04 PM BST
that another thing...eurocar has been working very hard to keep him in yellow, Eurocar team would have to be thinking he has a chance to win this
Report SwingingPick July 16, 2011 11:39 PM BST
@gOldstarr

If that's true than it'll be very close indeed, if the margin stays the same as he's got 2'06 over Evans now.

Cheers,
SP
Report bb66 July 17, 2011 6:42 AM BST
as Lance already twittered, Tommy might finish on the podium, at least top 5, I think he'll lose around 1' on Galibier and Alpe d'Huez, not sure of who'll distance him (Schlecks, hopefully Cadel, maybe too much for AC to make up 2' before ITT). We may have 5 contenders for the podium starting ITT, Tommy's battle reminding me to Chiappucchi resisting Lemond till last ITT in 1990.
Report SwingingPick July 17, 2011 7:00 AM BST
@nairda

Good observation, they have been working hard for him. Cheers, SP.
Report SwingingPick July 17, 2011 7:05 AM BST
@bb66

Very interesting input. Additionally, you have a very good memory. Cheers, SP.
Report bb66 July 17, 2011 7:34 AM BST
1990 the 1st Tour I was able to watch full coverage on ES, so it's marked in my mind as is the WC race 1989 in Chamberry ('Where does Kelly come from??!!!')
Report bb66 July 17, 2011 7:39 AM BST
btw, after his work done for Delgado on the Alpe d'Huez stage 1990 I predicted Indurain will win the Tour within the next 3 years, but no bookie offered such a bet then.Sad
Report SwingingPick July 17, 2011 8:17 AM BST
Not only did Indurain win one in the next three years, but he won one every year for the next five consecutive years. You oviously know this, but clearly you identified genius before he began to stamp his authority on the Tour, and that takes skill or a good eye.

I found my interest in the Tour, in the years where names such as Virenque and Pantani were being mentioned.

Pity about your limited betting options back then; yeah, things have changed a tad since them days.

Cheers,
SP
Report the-layman July 17, 2011 9:35 AM BST
Hello guys!
I backed Voeckler @ 140.
Should I lay now or wait a bit?
I'm a complete amateur.
Just went for him on a fluke a few days back. Love

Suggestions most welcome!
Report bix July 17, 2011 9:38 AM BST
No-one ever went broke by taking a profit. Trade out now.
Report bb66 July 17, 2011 9:48 AM BST
I'd trade for maybe 3 times green on Voeckler than on the rest, hoping for a bit smaller odds to come though I doubt he will go much shorter than 10, but be prepared to react during the mountain stages.
Report A_T July 17, 2011 10:07 AM BST
Voeckler won't win the overall.
Report SwingingPick July 17, 2011 1:51 PM BST
@A-T

Perhaps you could elaborate on your opinion, in order to more clearly define your obvious confidence in Voeckler not winning? Cheers, SP.
Report SwingingPick July 17, 2011 1:53 PM BST
@A-T

Jolly good, I see that you have done so on another thread. Cheers, SP.
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