A Football Betting Thread

2-2 and up at Hudds today. I hope Forster starts for the Addicks.

Chelsea Villa. u 2.5 at 2.38 looks to me like value.

At your own risk, I have been on a losing run on these of late. ;)

2.38 was value. It is good to get one right here.

Anyone think odds against for Barca on Wednesday is tremendous value given our record against the bigger side this season ?

Iniesta will be missing for them, he pulled a Ham String.

Nice holiday Alex ?

It'll be a shoot out, sint. Barca are not defending especially well and it might be because of the missing midfielders rather than the actual back four. Although they have had two holders from Yaya, Busquets and Keita they have still looked more vulnerable and it's probably simply because they are not tearing sides apart, hence the opponents remain in the game and not wondering how the hell to get a touch of the ball.

Arsenal need to get at the back four with pace.

thought Utd looked a decent bet at 6/4 ish, especially if Robben doesn't make it...

I agree, as long as United play the 4-5-1. Bayern are not in the same class.

Afternoon lads, havent been in here for a while. Trust you are all well.

Fancy Utd myself too. Had a go at them at 6/4. My main fancy is Utd clean sheet at 3.25.

Cheers

I have baked overs so could do with Bayern notching! Also backed Evra anytime on here @ 30.

2-2 and up at Watford in their 6 pointer with that mob from Smellhurst.

Holding fire on the same bet at Accrington pending that one getting the go ahead.

baked ffs. *backed.

thoughts on Man U/Man U at 3/1....

could see them nicking an early goal and then see out the rest of the game

It's 4.6, TD. :|

Couldn't put you off.

was looking at Hills website :|

yeah had a bit of that to go with my 6/4 United.

i clearly haven't learnt the lesson of "never underestimate the Germans" yet. ;\

always liked van buyten and its not often u can get 28's on him scoring first either

gd lk lads

Seing the team, I have also added Scholes anytime at 8 and a smidge FGS at 19.

gyepes at cardiff 40-1 after scoring first time for a while on saturday

Great defending from ze Germans :^0

Nice start td btw :)

Couldnt be worse.. of all the ways to lose money, its down to my least favourite footballer on the planet handballing it like that :(

Poor performance imo. Didn't turn up 2nd half, not what one expects from United. Thanks for the late one though!

Arse v Barca. Hope it's as good as it looks on paper. :)

wd with overs cgull!

yeah, frustrating that :| got the first bit right about nicking the early goal, but they played really poorly second half. :|

You were spot on with the pace,Cgull. Walcott must be a cert to start next week.

Played the 2-2 and up at Hamburg and the same at Brighton but on BHA to win as well. Will have a bet at Valencia once the teams are in. They were utter filth at Zaragoza but expect to see Villa and Silva return tonight, but no Navarro, Marchena etc so have to be vulnerable defensively. Shame JAR is out for Atletico, he has been fantastic recently.

Well done Cgull, 2 from 3 winners was it ?

I thought Liverpool were a tadge unlucky last night. Rafa's tactics are appaling but it was working until the ridiculous decision to send Babel off. Pablo Aimar was a little bit g-ay for that penalty claim,too.

Angel Di Maria looks a decent player in the making. I remember Wenger tried to sign him a couple of summers back but it fell through, probably finance. But he looks very classy to me.

Hello sane people. I just thought that I would sign in for a reality check.

Thank you.

Alreet,Alex.

I missed last night's Barca game but gather they were in top form winning 4-1. Ibrahimovic injured himself in the warm-up and will miss the game.

Song has not travelled to Barca.

ledley and gerard both look big prices first scorer on here for the 5.15 game

Afters all. Bojan came in for Ibrahimovic, sint and was fantastic. I would think he'll start tonight.

Cant wait for this game tonight.... cant remember enjoying a game as much as the first leg. Havent decided on bets yet but hafter that first half performance, its pretty hard to ignore Barca HT / FT at Evs...

Nasri anytime at 7.6 doesnt look too bad mind....

I'm glad someone is looking forward to it! We could get b1tchslapped tonight.

Nasri is not a bad shout CCM he's been playing well lately. I've not looked at any odds yet but will look for Vermaelen and young Theo :)

Draw 2-2 @ 22/1 and Vermaelen AGS 10/1 small pokes for me.

Barca -1.5 at Evens, aint bad for a heavy hitters bet imo. Not hard to imagine them winning by two clear goals, is it ?

marquez alves first anjd anytime for me

Had a little go at no more goals here at 5.6...

Grrrr. Laid a chunk off at 1.7 and made a smidge, but feels like a loss :(

Bayern will surely score tonight and kncok Utd out ? Thought they put in a very hard working display last time and got on top of Utd's midfield. Will Fergie start with Scholes again ? He's a Red card waiting to happen imo but gets away with it.

coorols dangle me 33-1 van buyten

go on you big defender u

gonna back Di Maria AGS tonight. Not sure what price he is yet but he was Ben Fica's main threat last time and looks fairly solid.

6/1 willies

Lots of shouts for overs in several Europa games tonight so dunn them in an acca.

Valencia
Standard
Liverpool

circa 7/2.

My lay of Liverpool for top 3 has been settled :)

Unfortunately gave it back on my PFA pokes :( mdb.

2-2, 2-3, 3-2 and 3-3 in the Manc dust up.

thoughts on the game tonight lads?

can Jose stop them scoring?

Alex, saw your post on the Brighton Pavilion seat. It may interest you that there is a poll on the BHA fans' site, North Stand Chat on that one.

cgull 22 Apr 14:41
Alex, saw your post on the Brighton Pavilion seat. It may interest you that there is a poll on the BHA fans' site, North Stand Chat on that one.


I would have thought that a poll within the gay community would be most relevant for that seat. Or are you telling me something about BHA supporters?

You may have a point insofar as that voters who have moved to Brighton may have done so because of their sexuality and therefore may not be Brighton supporters. (Aren't THEY all in Kemp Town though?!) But it is interesting that the Greens top that poll despite previous objection to Falmer although Caroline Lucas has distanced herself from that. I think they area stick on for the seat tbh.

*are a

Just seen your post! You can get my e-mail address from HWB if you wish. I asked Tricky when I saw your post about Brighton pavilion but he didn't answer so I asked HWB as well. How am i talking in riddles?! I think the Greens are a stick on for the seat is pretty clear isn't it?

Greens to win, yes? And thanks for that. I have been playing the odds for greens to win a seat and then Brighton Pavilion and concluding that they might actually get the gig.

You could always add me to Im instead of using HWB and Tricks to give me messages. It could be handy too when I have something valuable to say which is rare I will admit but it does occur from time to time.

alexwrinkled at live.com

Cgull, is JAR playing tonight iyo?

See the message on my IM. Free money innit.

Carnage on the four Green markets this morning. Perhaps carnage is an overstatement but the odds currently are scew wiff.

The odds compliers are just sitting down at their desks this morning and moving their prices. So have we had a poll in the Brighton Argus?

Xavi carded at 8.8 a speculative play at the Camp Nou.

Athletico are odds-on 4/5 to Qualify tonight, but they are half a point bigger in the Outright win market than Liverpool. 9/4 vs 11/4.

Xavi should have complained more vociferously about the disallowed Bojan effort. :|

He may miss the Wc :0 with a muscle tear. At least Cesc will be nice and rested.

Had a small bet on Charles N`Zogbia anytime goal scorer vs Hull today. Hull have lost all their away games this season, and twice against Wigan. N`Zogbia is their Most Valuable Player on the dream team Stats and scored last time out vs us. 4/1 on BF top price 3/1 at bookies.

Should say Hull won none of their away games.

N'Zogbia injured. Non-starter :| Victor Moses started in his position and scored.

Caroline won and I need new glasses.  She is not a looker.

I see that Fran Merida is off the Althletico Madrid. Buena suerte

I don't know whether anybody has noticed but England play Mexico tonight.  I am thinking that England look too short on the match odds at 1.47-1.48.  FT unders are value and HT overs are value which is a bit bizarre as they normally follow each other. That is far as I have got at the moment, more could follow.

Is this fred dead?  All bets have been stormers before ko.

Probably be back when the final 23's are announced for the World Cup.  I can't stand this new forum though.

Sint

Do you recall that link that you put up with the bloke walking around the mountain and skipping about?  Do you still have that bookmarked?

England vs USA.  This is a game that happens on Saturday evening chaps.  [;)]

I have been seeding this for a month or so now and here are my observations:


No sending off is starting to get too big at 1.31.  I am forced now to try to get laid at 4.1 on the other side but small as irrational punting means that the price could go shorter.

u/o 2.5:  Unders are too big at 1.9. 

The other goals markets have been irrational and I will need to come back to that.

No hatrick at 1.03 looks like value but I am not having any of that. I cannot take the stress of 1.03 back bets any longer.


Substitutes used is a market I am new to.  6 the market seems to think and I need to do more research.  Prima facie 4-5 looks like value and a lay of 0-3 if you can get matched.

Morning Alex.
Bizarrely I have looked on this thread for the first time in ages today and low and behold there are some new posts!

Yes I remember the video clip but unfortunately it has disappeared. I asked the guy who sent it to me if he had a copy but alas no!

I think England are worth a lay at 1/2 tonight, should trade big in-running if this game is as tight as the first two we see yesterday.

It was hosted on brightcove.tv .. they have a search facility so if you can remember the name of the caves (they were spanish) you might be able to find it.

Hmm, that brightcove video used to make me go all tingly in my nether regions.  It would be handy to know whether that still exists on the tinternet.

Evening lads. had forgotten about this fred.

Good start for the South Koreans cgull.... good work on that one mate.

England to win to nil at 2.5 and England clean sheet at 2.04 my only plays here.

ffs. Not a good way to lose my dosh. RG off the Christmas card list

well done sint.

so who plays the next game, James or Hart ?

Personally, I hope it's Hart as I'm a big fan of his (said before the tournament I wanted him to start ) and James is apparently strugging still.

comaiserations CCM. Not a nice way to do your cash as you say, but it help me out [:p]

agree TD. Hart has at least played all season when on-loan and has not suffered with injuries, I think. He reminds of David Seaman a bit tbh, un-fussy and gets on with it.

have not had time to look yet Alex. will do.

today I hope to see RvP score for top dutch/tgs bets.

If England face Ghana in the next round I could see that been a very tricky tie tbh. Solid at the back.

Hup Hup Holland

I still hate this forum sadly. 

I have one in mind for the IC v Portugal game and will post up once the teams are in. 

Re the England goalkeeping situation if James is fit then he has to start for me.  Capello can always say that James was first choice but for his injury so it's not a case of Green being dropped for his clanger but simply James being available again.  I know he divides opinion but he is a country mile in front of any other English 'keeper and it is sad that the occasional error from years gone by still seem to tarnish his reputation.  ALL keepers have made high profile errors at some time or another, including the ones the pundits and media who watch no football outside of the Premiership, Champions League and the Euros and World Cup fawn over (Casillas, Buffon etc etc) and let's face it, James has seen plenty more action standing behind the Pompey defence recently than most.

That said, if he isn't fit (and he says he is) then I'd pick Hart ahead of Green.  Not because of the mistake but simply because I think he is a better 'keeper.  I doubt whoever plays will have much to do on Friday evening anyway tbh.

Didier Zokora MOTM @ 28/1 and anytime scorer (32 on here at present.)  Hoping he reverts to the style of play that got him his transfer after the last World Cup rather than the reserved defensive type he has become in Spain.  Speculative punt.

This world cup aint all that is it ? Perhaps things will pick up in the knock-out stages.

This England game this afternoon, I do like England games to bet on.

Unders look too generous across the board.

Under 2.5 is odds on yet look at the hatrick odds, 1.06 for no hatrick!  It should be 1.02 or maybe 1.03 at a push  Silly and emotional punting, imo.

Sending off at 1.4 is just plain silly.  Expect a big hitter to arrive an hour before the game and bring sense to that market,  no sending off is bound to go shorter.

I expect a slow start so am gently backing the draw.  If the emotional punters come out in force than the price for the draw could go higher.

Just checking a few markets, I will see if I can find more.

I am wasted here and I ought to set up a tipping site.  All of those have gone in the right direction.  [;)]

[i]Unders look too generous across the board.

Under 2.5 is odds on yet look at the hatrick odds, 1.06 for no hatrick!  It should be 1.02 or maybe 1.03 at a push  Silly and emotional punting, imo.

Sending off at 1.4 is just plain silly.  Expect a big hitter to arrive an hour before the game and bring sense to that market,  no sending off is bound to go shorter.

I expect a slow start so am gently backing the draw.  If the emotional punters come out in force than the price for the draw could go higher.
[/i]


All correct. Call this aftertiming if you like.

WD Alex.

Did the back of the Draw cop off then ?

Fran Merida     Joined: 24 Apr 08
Replies: 1129 24 Jun 10 17:35 
WD Alex.

Did the back of the Draw cop off then ?


I squared it so it must have been good.  More on this next England game if anybody wants to hear.  As usual, not outrights, just price movements.

Alex, are you surprised England are favourites against the Germans .. ?

No prizes for Originality here but think Brazil are the bankers of the 2nd round around 1.58. They beat Chile 3-0 (away) and 4-2 (home) in the Qualifiers and the Chileans had quite a tough game last night against Spain. Although both sides eased off around the 70 minute mark, the Chilean's dominated the first half for long periods and did plenty of running.  They also have three players Suspended for the next game.

Ghana backers must be seething imo. They toyed with the Americans in the first half. Then they totally sat off in the second and allowed the US to get back in it. Good team imo.

Think this game between Spain & Portugal will be tight tonight.A bash at 9 corners or less,5/4 ish.

sintonian     26 Jun 10 16:50 
Alex, are you surprised England are favourites against the Germans .. ?



Sorry, I took my eye off the ball on this fred.  Had we talked more I am sure that would have persuaded each other that the odds were wrong and we would have made a bit more money.


I see that the amount of England flags on cars has reduced but surprisingly some still are flying.

No worries Alex, I did alright in the end.

Yes less flags also, noticed that.

The corners bet landed but have no idea how. There were 4 corners in the first 11 minutes, then just one more before half time. The 9th and final corner came on the 70th minute can you believe!?

I must pay more attention to corners markets.  I guess my reticence to do so is that it feels a bit like gambling.

Any ideas for these Quarter-finals ?

Brazil at Evens is tempting. I hope they let the Dutch have the ball, soak up the pressure, then pull their pants down on the counter-attack.

Ghana & Uruguay looks quite tight to me. I read on Sporting Life about 25 of the 40 winning matches so far have been Won by a single goal, and Uruguay are responsible for 3 of them, so the 11/4 for that margin seems reasonable. I do think they if Ghana put their minds to it they could cause an upset.

Argentina - German looks like a game of who has the best attack or slightly better defence, and in both cases the answer would be Argentina imo. 11/8 in 90 mins is also OK, I think.

Messi has yet to score but been playing very well and had 7 shots on target which is joint top so far. Perhaps him in a wincast is the way to play it ? Need to check the odds.

sintonian     01 Jul 10 16:10 
Any ideas for these Quarter-finals ?



nope, I have my head buried in tax returns.  I hate it.

Backed Brazil today.

Done a mug acca for a few quid also

Brazil
Argentina
Spain
Ghana
30/1 in 90 mins

same again with Ghana in the To Qualify makret as that could be extra-time etc .. 17/1.

Alex, did I read you were laying the Brazilians on the main forum ..?

Oh dear.  Costly.

well done Alex.

I see why Wenger admires Melo as a player but the guy is a liabilty in terms of his temperament.

sintonian     Joined: 21 Sep 04
Replies: 6067 02 Jul 10 09:58 
Alex, did I read you were laying the Brazilians on the main forum ..?

Yes I did ok yesterday.  But i will admit to sitting in the pub and then popping and and next door to Billies after watching 25 minutes

And then putting down money on Holland to win at silly short odds.

any bets on the final ?

cheering on the spaniards myself.