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19 Nov 09 19:04
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Date Joined: 07 Aug 06
| Topic/replies: 19,297 | Blogger: Alex the old wrinkled retainer's blog
Here we go chaps.

This is tucked away so we can keep the dross at bay and just be logical.

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Replies: 163
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 19 Nov 09 19:16
Moooooooo
By:
owl4life
When: 19 Nov 09 19:26
andy gray 4 me
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 19 Nov 09 19:32
Get him added
By:
Alex the old wrinkled retainer
When: 19 Nov 09 20:07
In time the valuable comments will appear here.

good ere innit. ;)
By:
owl4life
When: 19 Nov 09 20:55
shhhhhhh
By:
Alex the old wrinkled retainer
When: 19 Nov 09 22:10
Sorry Mr Owl.
By:
Templeton Peck
When: 19 Nov 09 22:39
I haven't followed this market closely but it appears they're going to take their time.

They will look at Ireland and, to a lesser extent, Wales and see how they seem to be progressing with experienced and high-profile managers.

They have no money but it's feasible that a rich Scottish individual (and there are plenty of them) may bankroll it (as I believe is the case in the ROI).

I expect they'll want someone who understands the Scottish mentality. Which will rule out many.

Someone who can help young players flourish and advance. There seems to be a lot of comment on there being no young players coming through. There are many reasons for this but football is becoming a more athletic game and nations with a propensity for producing athletic individuals will become more successful. Scotland is not such a country.

And then the hardest task. Finding someone who wants it.

So I have no idea. Levein wears glasses so he looks intellectual and as if he has a plan. But I know little about him. I'd lay the favourites but I hear that you (Alex) are the master in this market.

Stab in the dark would be Wim Jansen at 130-1. Seems to meet all the criteria. A tehcnical advisor/assistant coach at a Dutch team will have a very good knowledge of producing youngsters. Knowledge of Scottish football/mentality. Seems to have had some time out of the game so doens't appear to need to be on the training pitch at all times. May enjoy the greater challenge of improving Scottish football. Close to home.

I have just had £5 on him. I have left £2 at 100-1 for someone else. Although, like I said, it's a stab in the dark and I know nothing of his current situation.
By:
Ernesto
When: 19 Nov 09 22:49
Aaaaahhhhhh, that's better. A very comfy little residence you've found here Alex.

My first sensible tip would be directed at Templeton Peck, whose advice I have valued on other threads. Do not spend any more of your valuable winnings on Wim Jansen. There are other longshots out there who are realistic candidates rather than market cannon-fodder.

Just off to check the midnight press for any nuggets.
By:
Templeton Peck
When: 19 Nov 09 22:58
Thank you. I do speak sense sometimes but should be ignored fairly often.

I do believe I recently posted a self-confessed inability to get these markets right. Very rarely bet but sometimes tempted by the outsiders on these markets. Will leave it at £5 on Wim then.
By:
Ernesto
When: 19 Nov 09 23:25
[i]From The Times November 19, 2009-Graham Spiers

SFA chief says Scotland manager's job is a difficult one but it is not impossible We will be looking for someone with experience, with authority, and with a reputation in the game.
By:
Ernesto
When: 19 Nov 09 23:42
http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b00p9c7j/Chick_Youngs_World_of_Football_19_11_2009/

After 38 minutes, Joe Jordan interview, eventually get round to talking sbout Scotland. Would be very well received by the Tartan Army
By:
Crawford Baptie
When: 20 Nov 09 09:30
The last four managers we have had their end of their times have ended unsatisfactorally. Walter Smith and Alex McLeish were a success, they move onto pastures new. Vogts and Burley failures they get their Jotters.
I think we have to look at this long term. If the likes of Collins or Levien get the job, do reasonably well and the likes of Wigan come in for them do you think they will stay? No chance! The next choice of manager is important. We have to look at a long term appointment (by long term I mean 5 years). I think we also have to look at someone who won't jump at the first opportunity that comes their way. I also think the next appointment should be a Scot.
My personal choice is KENNY DALGLISH. Failing that I would take GEORGE GRAHAM or JOE JORDAN in that order. Dalglish and Graham's CV are second to any other candidate's on the Betfair list (Dalglish 80's and John Collins 9's...... am I the only one who thinks that is mental?). Yes they are older but it hasn't affected Fabio Capello's judgement (I don't think Capello would have taken the England job 10-15 years ago by the way). I think these guys I have selected would jump ship to West Ham and thier profiles would lift our supprters and our game.
Please don't make it someone like Billy Davies who will: a) be rank rotten and get issued his Jotters or b) reasonable glorious failure and in 2 years we are once again back to square one because Burnley want a new Manager. We need to think of the 2014 World Cup as well as the 2012 European Championships. The longer we fail to qualify for Major Tournaments the further down we go do the rankings and the harder we will find it to qualify. Look at poor Wales and they pumped us 3-0!! We need to address this now.
By:
Crawford Baptie
When: 20 Nov 09 09:32
That should be I don'tthink these guys will jump ship to West Ham.
Apologies
By:
Ernesto
When: 20 Nov 09 10:08
Good post Brawford Baptie.

I agree about the long term but whether the blazers see it that way I'm not sure. Do they really want someone who could threaten the way they do things by looking at the youth structure of scottish football and promoting players who can actually pass and trap the baw. I'm not so sure. Smith's comments about pragmatism make me think we could be going down the road of a 10 at the back and Kenny Miller up front again.

Wales is a good example to use as Toshack has said all along what his aims were to bring through the next generation and to mould them into a team capable of qualifiying. Scotland are at the same level or below Wales now and we need to do the same thing.

As for betting, I'd see Jordan as possessing the coaching attributes we need and the discipline too. His status as a Scotland legend would also afford the necessary time. I don't think Graham has that status and could see the media turning on him as they did with Burley. I'd love KK to be part of the equation but I think his future is tied up with the machinations at Liverpool.
By:
Ernesto
When: 20 Nov 09 10:08
*sorry Crawford*
By:
Ernesto
When: 20 Nov 09 12:10
Walter Smith says he's out

Walter Smith has ruled out a second stint in charge of Scotland

Rangers boss Walter Smith has ruled out returning to manage Scotland for a second spell.

Smith, 61, who enjoyed a three-year spell in charge of the Scots before returning to Ibrox in 2007, does not want to succeed George Burley.

"I don't feel it would be right to go back. That's the situation," he said.

But speaking on Friday he said he had no interest in a second stint with the national side.

"The matter is now closed as far as I am concerned," he added.
By:
Sir Denis Eton-Hogg
When: 20 Nov 09 12:59
as if it matters a jot who the manager is. they've got sh1t players and will probably never qualify for a major tourny again. not surprising given the average young jocko is about 6 stone overweight
By:
Alex the old wrinkled retainer
When: 21 Nov 09 05:35
http://www.thesun.co.uk/scotsol/homepage/sport/2740276/Harry-Redknapp-hopes-Joe-Jordan-doesnt-become-Scotland-boss.html



This is just worth opening this link to look at the picture. I now understand why wimmin become Lesbians.


Nothing newsworthy that I have spotted on my early morning scout about. Sorry.
By:
Crawford Baptie
When: 22 Nov 09 21:02
Hi Alex and the rest of the troops,
Had a weekend away. Was on a train journey today with Chief Brody. We bought a couple of Broadsheet newspapers and read their articles relating to the Scotland Manager debate.
In the Sunday Times I was heartened to see they backed my fancy, Kenny Dalglish, stating he was the best candidate in their opinion. In the Scotland on Sunday they also did a interesting article featuring Craig Levien and his credentials. It basically pointed out that although they felt Levein just about justified favouritism he was perhaps overrated. The SOS pointed out that yes, Levien's Dundee United team has a good record against the Old Firm, however in the last two seasons Dundee United have finished fifth in the SPL. McGhee (Motherwell) , Laszlo (Hearts) and Calderwood (Aberdeen) twice finished above United with similar budgets. These three managerial records are comparable with Leviens's but are not as fancied as he is.
I have stated on here earlier I think a elder statesman should take the Scotland Manager's post. The market is a bit out in my opinion. 3/1 Levien is way too short as is 7/1 Collins and Walter Smith and 20's Darren Ferguson. Levien hasn't won a trophy and I think he should grow further as a Manager before taking our National Team's role. Walter Smith has ruled himself out. Even though his contract runs out in January at Rangers I cannot see him walking away or Rangers letting him leave. £31 million in debt, Rangers need the steady guidance of Smith more than ever. John Collins? What has he done? He won a League Cup at Hibs and then left in strange circumstances. He has also had a spell at Belgian club Charleoi (Is that the correct spelling?) and had a good interview at West Ham. If this is qualifcation enough to be Scotland's National Team Manager then heaven help us!! Collins, like Levien, is one for the future but right now should not be allowed near the job. Finally Darren Ferguson at 20's is absolutely mental. I know Smith has on record said that he will consult Sir Alex Ferguson on who should get the post but surely Fergie won't tout his own son.
I'm happy with my position on this market. Dalglish at 74/1 I am happy. I even put a daft £2 on Sir Alex at 169/1. He has to retire from Man Utd sometime and the job's his if he wants it. If they approached him and he said he would take it at the end of the current season I think the SFA would keep the position open till then.
By:
Ernesto
When: 22 Nov 09 23:04
Anybody think Craig Brown might be in the running as an elder statesman. Could maybe see him being appointed as a caretkaer until the end of the season but with only one game that no pay out.

I'm on JJ and KK with a small interest on the English KK too. Agree with you Crawford about those who are too short which is great for laying. Collins my only significant red
By:
Crawford Baptie
When: 23 Nov 09 09:53
I think Craig Brown is in the running. I personally do not want him back. Yes he took us to Euro 96 and France 98 (How we could do with that now!). However I recall he was reluctant to blood new players towards the end of his tenure. Friendlies were being played with as much full strength sides as he could muster. Wee Berti took over the reins and had to blood a lot of new players, some who were up for it, so who weren't and the problems escalated from then to now. Craig was not forward thinking enough in 2001. I get the feeling he will be like that now.
I like Gordon Smith. I think he is forward thinking enough for Scottish Football and I believe he is ambitious enough for Scottish Football to progress. I believe he and his colleagues have to take their time and pick the correct candidate. I believe if they go for someone like Collins then they are nothing short of a disgrace. He is far too young, inexperienced and ambitious. England have Capello, Ireland have Trappatoni and Wales have Toshack. All are managers who have managed at the top level, have bags of experience and have EARNED the right to manage at International Football level.
I, for one, believe the Scotland Manager's role is still a prestigious one. If John Collins is placed in that role then I believe the SFA devalue it's importance. They mahy as well get bl**dy Simon Cowell to create a show around it and we can all apply!
By:
Ernesto
When: 23 Nov 09 12:12
Poll from the Tartan Army Messageboard

From the list supplied by the Poll requester, who would be your first pick?
W Smith [ 87 ] [16.57%]
C Levein [ 66 ] [12.57%]
J Calderwood [ 19 ] [3.62%]
B Davies [ 8 ] [1.52%]
J Jefferies [ 20 ] [3.81%]
G Souness [ 36 ] [6.86%]
G Houllier [ 49 ] [9.33%]
L Beenhakker [ 18 ] [3.43%]
J Collins [ 92 ] [17.52%]
J Jordan [ 29 ] [5.52%]
G MacAllister [ 7 ] [1.33%]
D Ferguson [ 7 ] [1.33%]
S Clarke [ 17 ] [3.24%]
A Irvine [ 3 ] [0.57%]
O Coyle [ 10 ] [1.90%]
A N Other [ 57 ] [10.86%]

Total Votes: 526

I think the Hibees have been out in force to vote for Collins. Surely not....
By:
Crawford Baptie
When: 23 Nov 09 12:49
I notice Collins price contracts further. Surely 92 votes out of a measley 526 on the Tartan Army website will turn the blazers heads. Also you cannot vote for George Graham or Kenny Dalglish.
Ernesto I see you are on King Kenny as well. I would also be happy with the appointment of Jim Jefferies but as a Falkirk fan I look at the appointment through rose tinted glasses. He did a cracking job for Falkirk during his time at Brockville. Unsuccessful at Bradford ( mainly due to inheriting a financial mess) he did win a Scottish Cup at Hearts. He has done well at Killie over the years and this is the fresh challenge he just might relish.
By:
Ernesto
When: 23 Nov 09 13:20
I don't think it's scientific Crawford but I like to look at these things to get a wider view of opinions. I'm surprised he's attracting any support to be honest. I agree that it would be a shocking appointment. The Any Other Manager option I'd imagine would be mainly Dalglish or Graham.

Kenny would be my choice but then he was my boyhood idol and I'd always take him over anyone else but I think we have to get someone who will instantly have the respect of the players. Look at Capello with England, no v-signs or prima donnas refusing to play.

When I look at the list overall it's far from inspiring me so I'm also keeping the new entrant to the market well onside in case they do look abroad again.
By:
cgull
When: 23 Nov 09 15:00
I haven't bothered with this market so far but could I just ask a question of the Scottish contributors who care who is appointed from a footballing not gambling perspective please? SSN stated that, because of the Bertie Vogts debacle, it is unthinkable that the Scots would appoint from overseas again. Is it? Has this been confirmed by Gordon Smith at al? Why would you shun applications from every point of the globe because you tried it once and it didn't work out?

I accept that there probably isn't an attractive salary on offer so it may restrict the quality of the applications but wouldn't you prefer to see what turns up rather than have a shortlist made up of the only handful of Scottish managers that would actually consider accepting the post?
By:
cgull
When: 23 Nov 09 15:03
*et al
By:
Templeton Peck
When: 23 Nov 09 15:09
Gordon Smith would not rule out a foreign manager when he was interviewed last week.

I doubt they would rule out all foreigners because they had one failure. But I never do well on these markets as I totally over-estimate the intelligence of people who appoint managers.

I'm still hurting from the ridiculous appointment of Sbragia at Sunderland.
By:
cgull
When: 23 Nov 09 15:14
I agree as well TP. But when I glance through the market there do not appear to be many foreign names. It's either going to be one of the handful that haven't ruled themselves out or the market most likely doesn't include the winner yet.
By:
Templeton Peck
When: 23 Nov 09 15:17
I wouldn't pay much attention to the list on here. Joe Kinnear, Kevin Keegan and Terry Butcher are much less likely than hundreds of foreign managers.
By:
Templeton Peck
When: 23 Nov 09 15:19
In fact a professor of genealogy would be more likely than the names I've listed.
By:
cgull
When: 23 Nov 09 15:34
Aye, hence my final comment.
By:
Ernesto
When: 23 Nov 09 15:47
cgull

part of the problem is the incredibly insular and parochial nature of the Scottish media. This drives me crazy. Without wasting too much of your life have a listen to the buffoonery of the main Scottish football show, Sportsound at 6pm every night on Radio Scotland. I cringe when I hear the small town laddishness of it.

Vogts was a disaster but as has been previously stated he was picking up the pieces of an incredibly old squad which couldn't go on forever. He tried change but too quickly and the suspicions of the players were passed onto the press and he was history.

For Scotland to have a successful manager from overseas it has to be a name. A successful manager who will command instant respect from the squad and the media. I don't think we have the finances for this hence the limited list of mainly Scottish candidates. Lets face it in the greater scheme of things it's not the biggest job in world football and to attract a biggish name we will have to tug on the tartan heartstrings to an extent.

We need a complete overhaul of the Scottish game but the powers that be in the SFA are incredibly resistant to this. Look at Gordon Smith when he was describing whetehr or not Ferguson and McGregor would return,

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/football/international/scotland/6600968/Scotland-door-is-re-opened-for-disgraced-duo-Barry-Ferguson-and-Allan-McGregor.html

I've a green position on Levein but in another market he would be much shorter. His problem is that he would want to sweep away the cobwebs in the SFA and I can't see him being allowed to do this.

In short I'd be very receptive to an overseas manager but I'm not so sure that the media really would be.
By:
cgull
When: 23 Nov 09 15:58
Cheers Ernesto. The "tabloid" (I include the man in the pub type radio and TV shows) media only or is it more widespread? It drives you mad how they speak as if on behalf of everyone when in reality they drive the parochialism and antagonism towards individuals (same down here.)

I can't see how any of the managers who have been linked are going to be able to change the fundamentals which clearly you need. The change in attitude of the media and even the clubs (as well as the previously self absorbed players) through Capello has been astounding. That would have taken some doing. I know you can't aim that high but surely a change of direction is required not more of the same. Though Scotland did seem to have turned a corner under Walter Smith.
By:
Ernesto
When: 23 Nov 09 16:33
It is more widespread but then their income derives from their knowledge of the goldfish bowl. If they ever had to upgrade to a tropical tank and more exotic varieties of fish their job would become more difficult.

Listening to Mark McGhee is illuminating when he talks about the drinking culture. He was asked about whether or not Aberdeen would be allowed a Christmas night out and he immediately replied, "What with a match within seven days. No way" Maybe that's why he wasn't appointed to the job last year.

In my view Smith and McLeish peeked round the corner rather than turned. Remember we didn't actually qualify for anything under them. I've never been as gutted as I was in football as I was when we couldn't beat Italy at Hampden in a biblical downpour in a febrile atmosphere. Perfect conditions for Scotland, yet we failed.

We can only be suiccessful as a footballing nation when we start to play football again rather than preventing others from doing so. That's going to take some time, effort and revolutionary thinking though.
By:
cgull
When: 23 Nov 09 16:39
Tigana would do the job for much less than 400k. ;)
By:
cgull
When: 23 Nov 09 16:45
Quite ironic that Gordon Smith is in one of the top jobs yet you are in this "anti football" vein (sorry, I hate that term but you know what I mean.) Obviously he is part of the history of the club I support because of THAT miss but he was very much the footballing second striker type. Silky, for want of a better word.
By:
Ernesto
When: 24 Nov 09 09:53
Finally a drift on Wattie and less of a willingness to take Collins down to 5's. A few quid on the lay side but next to nothing on the back.

I've spread a few quid on the silent types (like Billy Davies for eample) who aren't commenting publicly. He's come in but only on the back of 25 quid at 30.0.

Generally a drift on the field making the market much tighter. As cgull pointed out though the next manager may not be on there.....yet.
By:
Alex the old wrinkled retainer
When: 24 Nov 09 10:52
I reckon that we are just treading water. For the moment I am not focusing although I will admit I check it each morning.


Keep up the good work Ernesto. We need to meet for a beer.
By:
Ernesto
When: 24 Nov 09 11:58
Alex that sounds much more manly than "Would you like to go out for a drink".

Would it offend you/make you nervous if I ordered a G & T :D

I'm in London much more irregularly these days but will give you a shout when I am.

You are obviously a student of the side markets Alex and in the absence of a permanent NMM I'm sure there must be rich pickings lurking in those dark waters for an analytical mind.

We are treading a little water in the market but I've just tidied my book a wee bit there. After the initial rush to positions, I'm enjoying this drift. The Scottish press are making great play of the chances of Dundee United splitting Celtic and Rangers. I think this could be keeping Levein's price high (as well as his problems with G Smith).

The main drifters still have scope to fall further though imho. The press are taking such a lazy position over this that I almost believe it would be possible to make someone a candidate just by dint of them shortening on here.

This from todays super soaraway scottish sun

"SFA chief executive Gordon Smith, who'll face the media this morning, has already started the search for Scotland's sixth boss in five years.

But it's believed the SFA Board, headed by George Peat, could wait until the New Year before making an appointment.

They are in no rush to find a successor with Scotland having no game until a Hampden friendly against the Czech Republic in March.

They'd be keen to have the new man in place for the Euro 2012 qualifying draw in Poland in February and a subsequent squad gathering later that month.

Former Hibs boss John Collins has already thrown his hat into the ring for the job, with Dundee United's Craig Levein - the 5/2 favourite - and Jim Jefferies of Kilmarnock also in the frame.

Walter Smith and Graeme Souness have ruled themselves out the running.

But Billy Davies, Jimmy Calderwood, Gary McAllister and Darren Ferguson could be contenders."
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