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Once again, the live games are bets I particularly like and they are worth throwing into a multiple: [b]Chicago -3 Green Bay -3 Houston -6.5[/b] [i] £15 Trixie pays £200[/i] [b]Bears at Detroit[/b] I've mentioned before that I'm not a fan of situational betting, but the Bears have to win to have a chance at the post-season and that must play here. More important is the ability of the Chicago' defense to take away the ball, coupled with Detroit's willingness to give it away: the Bears lead the league in causing turnovers and the Lions rank seventh in giveaways in the NFL. Matt Stafford will want to feed megatron to get him over the 2000yd mark and while it's a pretty terrifying thought that one of the finest wide receivers to have ever played football is going to be...

It's difficult to see Detroit dominating Atlanta sufficiently to get a result here. Megatron is at his freakish best and will severely test a Falcons' secondary that is down some personnel and looks vulnerable, but Stafford will have to have a perfect game and he's been inconsistent lately and prone to throwing picks, or missing his passes. Mikel Leshoure and Joique Bell have some punch out of the backfield, but even though the Atlanta run D is workmanlike at best, Detroit may well be playing from behind. The Falcons can clinch the No. 1 seed in the NFC with a victory and with Nick Fairley and Jacob Lacey out and Louis Delmas injured, the Lions are looking thin on defense. Matt Ryan torched the pathetic Giants last week and while I don't expect such a gutless performance from the home...

Injuries make this matchup compelling. The Lions are down to the bare boards; there' really only megatron left to throw to (there's a decent enough backfield; look for Leshoure in close) and the Packers are getting mighty thin at receiver and running back (no change there!) On the other side of the ball, Detroit have lost two starting cornerbacks and a safety and Green Bay are still without Clay Matthews - and it's difficult to call who will be missed most. The Lions are coming off a couple of rough games and that weakness in the secondary is dangerous with a QB like Rodgers staring it down and although he's never quite got the offense ticking like usual, the return of Greg Jennings will help. Crucially, Rodgers' O line has to keep him on his feet long enough to make plays and that...

Green Bay have injury problems on the OL and still haven't all their offensive weapons fit after the bye week, but if they keep Rodgers upright he'll be able to attack a Lions' secondary that is similarly missing bodies all over the place and playing poorly. Detroit have given up yards on the ground too recently, and if Green Bay can find any sort of running game, they can tame the Lions - yuk it up, kids. The Pack also have key elements out on D (specifically Clay Matthews) and Tramon Williams should've been having megatron sized nightmares all week. Stafford has struggled this season, but has run into a little form and he has the weapons downfield to attack a Green Bay D that is giving up chunks of yardage through the air: look for talented rookie Titus Young, who is becoming a real...